Comments on: Botching the Job

By: No Preference

No Preference — Wed, 21 Apr 2004 15:01:56 +0000

I don’t understand about the “spare parts” for the lithotripters. The point is that now that David Kay and the IAEA have determined that Iraq did not even have a nuclear weapons program, the lithotripters story has as much weight as the aluminum tubes for uranium enrichment story. Even if they didn’t have one, given the sanctions, that doesn’t prove that they wouldn’t try to get one if they could. We’re back to the goofy rationale for the war. Iraq can’t prove that it doesn’t have a WMD program; therefore we must attack. The fact that most members of a UN committee were corrupt and asleep on the job The UN Security Council, of which the US is by far the most prominent member, was responsible for the overview of the Oil for Food program. The US was on the sanctions committee. Why weren’t we on top of this? In addition, while there does seem to be have been undetected corruption in the Oil for Food program, bear in mind that the accusations are coming from some fire behind the smoke of these You can’t prove that all dual-use items (such as the 500 year supply of spare parts that, purely coincidentally, could be used for military purposes, or the fiber optic system that could be used to shoot down US planes) were innocent How do you prove a negative? You can’t. You can make a reasonable supposition that if the other 14 members of the 661 Committee – made of of the same states as the Security Council – disagreed with the US on 81% of all the holds placed on Iraqi imports, that the US judgement on this might have been off. In fact, unlike the rest of the world US policy was completely oriented towards punishing Saddam as opposed to allowing the Iraqi people to live some kind of decent life. Or to live, period. What did Madeleine Albright say on this topic? Somehow, I’m sure you haven’t read the link.

By: Ann

Ann — Wed, 21 Apr 2004 04:02:19 +0000

I don’t understand about the “spare parts” for the lithotripters. Are you saying that they were ordering 500 years worth of spare parts for the kidney stone machines because they were worried about the water supply? And I don’t accept that Saddam had forever abandoned any thoughts of a nuclear program simply because the IAEA said they didn’t have one. Even if they didn’t have one, given the sanctions, that doesn’t prove that they wouldn’t try to get one if they could. I agree totally, however, that most of the UN members couldn’t care less about US deaths, as long as they were properly compensated. The fact that most members of a UN committee were corrupt and asleep on the job doesn’t prove that Saddam’s heart was pure and his intentions noble. You can’t prove that all dual-use items (such as the 500 year supply of spare parts that, purely coincidentally, could be used for military purposes, or the fiber optic system that could be used to shoot down US planes) were innocent simply by the fact most of the members were hanging around doing nothing, when they were supposed to be keeping an eye on Saddam.

By: No Preference

No Preference — Wed, 21 Apr 2004 03:40:27 +0000

Bush wanted to improve rather than end the sanctions regime Every time there was an international consensus to either relax do away with sanctions, the US moved to co-opt that by proposing “reforms” that were more restrictive than the ones being considered. Only military and dual-use items would have been restricted Yes, that’s exactly the problem. The US had a much broader view of what constituted “dual use” than any other nation on the committee. I suggest that you read the link I provided. There were 15 members of the 661 committee that approved imports to Iraq. Any single member could hold up an import request. The US alone was responsible for 81% of the holds. The US together with Britain was responsible for another 16%. The other 13 countries were responsible for less than 3%. The holds amounted to 25% of the requests made for imports for the sanitation/water supply sector. Holds were placed on 14% of medical supply requests. The effect of these holds were amplified by the fact that many items that were imported were useless without associated items that were placed on hold. The effect on public health was very serious. The US was responsible. The Wisconsin Project pointed out in 1999 how Iraq ordered 6 lithotripters to break up kidney stones, and 120 spare electronic switches (at least 100 more than the lithotripters could ever possibly need). These switches could also be used for atomic bombs I’m not sure why you bring this up. The IAEA said in March that “Iraq’s nuclear capabilities had been effectively dismantled by 1997”. There was no Iraqi nuclear program in 1999. You just gave an example of why the American paranoia about imports, which was unshared by others on the import committee, was unjustified.

By: Shaun Evans

Shaun Evans — Wed, 21 Apr 2004 02:29:30 +0000

Taking a step back, there are several reasons to believe that the reconstruction of Iraq was bound to be more difficult than the invasion was. First, destruction has been and will continue to be easier than construction. Secondly, no part of the US government specializes in running and rebuilding countries. The military spends lots of time and sweat trainging to win in combat. It does not spend lots of time and sweat practicing repairing electrical grids. On the whole, this is a good thing, if we wish to maintain civilian control over the military. Reflect for a moment, if you will, about the dangers of having a highly trained group of young, physically fit, idealistic servicemen and women possessing both the skills to run cities and even nations efficiently, and fully automatic weapons. Consider the following events: Government shuts down because Congress cannot agree on a budget. The President is impeached and charged with high crimes and misdemeanors. Young female congressional aide disappears without a trace; evidence found that the aide and the Congressmen were having an affair. Citizens of Washington, DC murdered at random by rifle fire. Even after several weeks, police are unable to find the killers. How many such events would have to take place before triggering a coup from the Department of Regime Change? (For all the best reasons, from their perspective, of course.)

By: Tom T.

Tom T. — Wed, 21 Apr 2004 01:50:00 +0000

Certainly, as we’ve seen lately, certain people at the UN were profiting mightily from the sanctions; I suspect the US would not have had an easy time withdrawing them even if it had tried. And withdrawing the sanctions raises the risk of Saddam acquiring WMDs. In any event, wishing the sanctions away takes anti-war people down the same “well, I would have done it better” road that this post originally took to task on the pro-war side.

By: Ann

Ann — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 22:31:31 +0000

Yes, Bush wanted to improve rather than end the sanctions regime, since Saddam still wasn’t allowing the inspectors full (indeed, any) access. But would equipment to improve the water supply or electricity grid have been blocked under “smart sanctions”? From what I have read, such improvements would have been much easier. Only military and dual-use items would have been restricted, while no approval at all (only notification) would have been required for anything not on the list. Dual-use items on the list would still have been allowed, after verification that they were being used for non-military purposes (such as improving the water or electricity supply). Regardless of our failure so far to find WMD stockpiles, there was every reason at the time to keep an eye on the Hussein regime in Iraq. Even Hans Blix was arguing at the time that the sanctions should not be suspended. The Wisconsin Project pointed out in 1999 how Iraq ordered 6 lithotripters to break up kidney stones, and 120 spare electronic switches (at least 100 more than the lithotripters could ever possibly need). These switches could also be used for atomic bombs, but as medical equipment, they were unrestricted. Here’s a link to the story: http://www.iraqwatch.org/wmd/lithotripter.html Powell and Bush had good reason to oppose lifting the sanctions on Iraq, and the fact remains that they were trying to improve the system. The opposition ultimately came from Saddam, who told Russia that he wouldn’t pay Iraq’s debts to them unless they blocked the changes. Bush made a genuine attempt to fix the system, in spite of the fact that an improved system would have made it harder to justify an invasion of Iraq.

By: No preference

No preference — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 21:12:07 +0000

Well, guess what? Bush made a major effort during spring 2001 to fix the Oil For Food program, a fact that his detractors conveniently ignore . . . Bush tried to get food and medical supplies to the people of Iraq. Bush tried to ease the sanctions in 2001 in a successful effort to forestall the UN from doing away with them entirely. As Colin Powell told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee at the time: This wasn't an effort to ease the sanctions; this was an effort to rescue the sanctions policy that was collapsing. "Food and medical supplies" were not the issue. What the US consistently blocked were attempts to repair Iraq's infrastructure, including the electricity grid and public water supply, which were vital to public health. For more information, see the link provided in the previous post. And even if the mass executions had slowed down recently in Iraq, what about feeding people through human shredders . . . What did Iraqis have to look forward to under Saddam - getting to choose whether they would be shredded head-first or feet-first? The "human shredder" story is likely propaganda, as this story in the Guardian makes clear. Yes, things are difficult now, but they have a chance to build a future. If I was living there, I’d gladly take the chance. Most Iraqis would agree with that, according to polls. Iraq is one of about five countries in the world where the population thinks that the invasion was a good idea. That doesn't change the foregoing points about the sanctions.

By: Ann

Ann — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 18:04:52 +0000

“If we wanted fewer “deaths and privations” in Iraq under the sanctions, we could have (doh!) relaxed the sanctions. The US resisted this every time the possibility arose.” Are you saying that, if Bush really cared about the people of Iraq, he would have tried to fix the sanctions during his first few months in office in order to make it easier for Iraqis to get legitimate food and medical supplies? Well, guess what? Bush made a major effort during spring 2001 to fix the Oil For Food program, a fact that his detractors conveniently ignore. I don’t like the way he did it – the Chinese company Hua Wei, which got technology from US companies and made deals with Saddam and with the Taliban, among others, to improve their ability to target US planes, got “pardoned” in exchange for China’s promise not to block a more efficient set of sanctions. But, in the end, the effort was blocked by France and Russia. Bush tried to get food and medical supplies to the people of Iraq. France, on the other hand, helped Saddam divert the money to other uses. Remember when Iraq was caught smuggling baby formula out of the country, under the sanctions? And even if the mass executions had slowed down recently in Iraq, what about feeding people through human shredders, or throwing them off buildings? Had Saddam’s sons cut back on their rapes per month? What did Iraqis have to look forward to under Saddam – getting to choose whether they would be shredded head-first or feet-first? Yes, things are difficult now, but they have a chance to build a future. If I was living there, I’d gladly take the chance.

By: No Preference

No Preference — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 16:58:19 +0000

Even if he had, there were still the widespread deaths and other privations from the sanctions regime. This tendency to forget that it was the US, almost alone, that was responsible for the killing nature of the sanctions would be funny if it were not so awful. The US was responsible for 98% of the holds put on Iraqi imports by the committee overseeing the sanctions. (Please see this link for confirmation). Two UN directors of UN humanitarian aid program for Iraq in succession quit in protest. If we wanted fewer "deaths and privations" in Iraq under the sanctions, we could have (doh!) relaxed the sanctions. The US resisted this every time the possibility arose. Making this part of the rationale for invading Iraq requires quite a capacity for rewriting history.

By: No Preference

No Preference — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 16:45:06 +0000

Even if he had, there were still the widespread deaths and other privations from the sanctions regime. This tendency to forget that it was the US that was responsible for the killing nature of the sanctions would be funny if it were not so awful. Two UN directors of UN humanitarian aid program for Iraq in succession quit to protest the sanctions.

By: Joshua W. Burton

Joshua W. Burton — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 14:36:15 +0000

“Give him a corporal’s guard of picked loyalists, and then have the MPs cover their eyes and count to a hundred.” You’re joking, right? Right? Think of it as a new application of the Rumsfeld doctrine. (Sometimes, you have to grit your teeth and do the handshake.) With a bit of finesse, Halliburton might even win the contract to stand the statues back up.

By: dzd

dzd — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 05:59:45 +0000

“Give him a corporal’s guard of picked loyalists, and then have the MPs cover their eyes and count to a hundred.” You’re joking, right? Right?

By: Tom T.

Tom T. — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 04:48:36 +0000

Russell, I don’t quite agree with your reading of Brooks, but I take your point. I must say, though, the argument that we can’t make policy based on what might happen 20 years from now might have more force if the comment right above yours was not seeking to constrain current US policy on the basis of US mistakes 20 years ago. John I., I’m well aware that the mass killings happened several years ago. Certainly, to say “at least he hasn’t committed a genocidal atrocity in 15 years” is hardly a vote of confidence. In any event, I said “some number” because I’m not prepared to say that Saddam and his government had stopped killing civilians altogether. Even if he had, there were still the widespread deaths and other privations from the sanctions regime. Oh, and (I nearly forgot) the enviromentally disastrous campaign against the Marsh Arabs. I (and probably Brooks) happen to think that Iraq is better off now with those calamities behind them, even despite the current instability. Certainly, reasonable minds can differ, and I recognize that you strongly disagree. As for the Rumsfeld photo-op, certainly I think it was distasteful, but I don’t see policy implications in it for today’s world. Jacques Chirac was famously photographed being friendly with Saddam, too; does this diminish his moral standing to oppose the war? A big part of the reason that the US left Saddam in power after the first Gulf War was because the UN allies would not countenance a further war effort to remove him; does this constrain the UN and its member states from opposing the current war? Madeleine Albright has been photographed sharing a drink with Kim Jong-Il; in what way does this restrict our future policy options for dealing with North Korea’s challenges? Look, I think there are lots of legitimate reasons for opposing the Iraq war, but the photo-op doesn’t carry great weight with me.

By: Joshua W. Burton

Joshua W. Burton — Tue, 20 Apr 2004 02:50:51 +0000

As even Matt acknowledges, a confrontation with Saddam would still be looming somewhere in the near future. Brooks is simply saying that this scenario remains less attractive to him than even the current mess over there. Perhaps the “we broke it, we own it” thesis is too pessimistic; after all, we currently have Saddam in what could be construed a favorable negotiating position. Give him a corporal’s guard of picked loyalists, and then have the MPs cover their eyes and count to a hundred. Implicit rules of engagement: one planeload of senior Shiites to Teheran; one planeload of Chalabi hopefuls to Locarno. Hands off the Kurds, and hold the butcher’s bill to four figures, because that’s about how well we did. In a year, when Saddam announces the birth of his son and heir (see Job, Book of), Kerry sends Hans Blix back in to see if there are any weapons of mass destruction. Depending on how that goes, we gradually lift sanctions. It’s not what you’d call a pretty outcome, but I think there should be broad bipartisan agreement that it’s better than anything else on offer today.

By: Dan Simon

Dan Simon — Mon, 19 Apr 2004 23:46:06 +0000

...supporters of the war can’t run away from the problems of its aftermath just because they personally might have done things differently, because frankly anyone who knew anything about both the Bush administration and the complexities of a war in Iraq could have predicted that it was going to be a mess. Seems to me this argument "proves too much". After all, I heard numerous opponents of the Iraq war complaining that it would waste too many soldiers' lives, while provoking massive worldwide hostility to America and neglecting the effort to eradicate Al Qaida. Surely, though, those opponents must have known that this administration would have found ways to get troops killed while alienating world opinion and falling down on the anti-terrorism job, even had it not chosen to target Iraq. Shouldn't they have been thankful, then, that at least the war in Iraq would topple a horrible dictator in the process? A more reasonable discussion of the pros and cons of the Iraq campaign, I think, needs to be independent of whether the Bush administration can be assumed a priori to be evil and/or incompetent.