Comments on: They’re off!

By: des von bladet

des von bladet — Thu, 07 Apr 2005 09:52:07 +0000

Oh, and a hung parliament would give the LibDems what they’ve always wanted: power without responsibility. It would be rubbish, for sure.

By: des von bladet

des von bladet — Thu, 07 Apr 2005 09:51:06 +0000

Gregory VII: Our Imperial Majesty remains slightly concerned about the concubine issue. We’ve heard some frankly rather worrying rumours about the number of concubines the Pope is allocated.

By: John Quiggin

John Quiggin — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 19:53:59 +0000

The markets are making a pretty clear prediction. But even allowing for the recent rise in Tory support, the polls are making the same prediction about equally clearly.

By: Gregory VII

Gregory VII — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 18:01:12 +0000

But I’m the Holy Roman Emperor! I can’t be Pope as well, can I?

Your Majesty would have to abdicate first, of course. We would be happy to explain to Your Majesty why being elevated to the papacy would be a promotion.

By: Matt McGrattan

Matt McGrattan — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 17:41:45 +0000

A hung parliament might be the best outcome. Maybe a Lib-Lab coalition.

By: Simstim

Simstim — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 15:59:37 +0000

I reckon a hung parliament is not out of the question (in fact, it’s what I’m hoping for) so the Lib Dems may end up in government, just not solely so.

By: shwe

shwe — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 14:41:09 +0000

Try http://www.politicalbetting.com

By: des von bladet

des von bladet — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 14:20:37 +0000

But I’m the Holy Roman Emperor! I can’t be Pope as well, can I?

By: Andrew Brown

Andrew Brown — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 14:16:12 +0000

Herrn von Bladet for Pope! The bandwagon starts now.

By: jet

jet — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 12:43:35 +0000

Tom T,
I thought they came under fire here for being only as accurate or only slightly more accurate than public polls. Still a good tool for prediction.

By: Tom T.

Tom T. — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 12:31:21 +0000

Has anyone ever studied the predictive power of these bookmaking shops? The various political futures markets in the US have come under fire here at CT quite a bit, so I’m wondering whether the UK oddsmakers are any more or less reliable.

By: Simstim

Simstim — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 12:26:56 +0000

I’m so excited.

By: des von bladet

des von bladet — Tue, 05 Apr 2005 12:07:23 +0000

That link misbehaves: is it that I am not a member?

Fellow sufferers may prefer Paddy Power, although the Tories are only at 6-1.

Is 100-1 a generic upper bound, BTW? Because frankly I have a better chance of being elected Pope than the Lib-Dems have of forming the next government.