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	<title>Comments on: The realist case for electoral reform</title>
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	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: Roy Badami</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71790</link>
		<dc:creator>Roy Badami</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 May 2005 16:07:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71790</guid>
		<description>Re coalitions:  The LibDems did indeed state that they would not enter into a coalition with Labour, but that doesn&#039;t preclude them lending their support to a minority Labour government under a political agreement.

AIUI, the Lib/Lab pact was like this; it involved a minority Labour government rather than a coalition government.

I&#039;ve also been told that the Labour party constitution forbids it from forming a coalition government anyway.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Re coalitions:  The LibDems did indeed state that they would not enter into a coalition with Labour, but that doesn&#8217;t preclude them lending their support to a minority Labour government under a political agreement.</p>

	<p><span class="caps">AIUI</span>, the Lib/Lab pact was like this; it involved a minority Labour government rather than a coalition government.</p>

	<p>I&#8217;ve also been told that the Labour party constitution forbids it from forming a coalition government anyway.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71364</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 16:12:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71364</guid>
		<description>Australia used to have the system where you had to rank every candidate for both the House and the Senate. That&#039;s been dropped, and you now need only rank candidates as far as you like.

For the Senate, you have a choice between ranking by hand as many of the roughly 100 candidates as you like, or picking one of about a dozen pre-assigned party lists to vote for. Most people choose the latter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Australia used to have the system where you had to rank every candidate for both the House and the Senate. That&#8217;s been dropped, and you now need only rank candidates as far as you like.</p>

	<p>For the Senate, you have a choice between ranking by hand as many of the roughly 100 candidates as you like, or picking one of about a dozen pre-assigned party lists to vote for. Most people choose the latter.</p>
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		<title>By: Anthony</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71354</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 14:07:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71354</guid>
		<description>Andrew Shuttlewood (#23) - One issue with STV is in the details of its setup. A properly democratic STV does not require ranking all candidates or parties. So a &quot;true-blue&quot; Conservative could vote for the Conservative candidate first choice, and no other candidates. If the Conservative is eliminated, her vote goes nowhere (just as it does if her candidate loses in the current system). 

If I remember correctly (I&#039;m too lazy to look it up now), Australia has some sort of god-awful system where you have to rank each and every candidate (or party?) for the Senate, when there are tens of candidates. Parties then offer &quot;lists&quot; - sets of ordinal rankings - and rather than making one&#039;s own choices among all 60 candidates or so, one can choose from among 150 pre-registered lists instead. Having 100+ candidates for Governor here in California wasn&#039;t that bad, but only because I only had to understand what about 5 of them stood for. If we&#039;d had an STV vote, I&#039;d have researched perhaps another 5 or 10, and ranked about 10. I wouldn&#039;t want to have to rank all 100+.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Andrew Shuttlewood (#23) &#8211; One issue with <span class="caps">STV</span> is in the details of its setup. A properly democratic <span class="caps">STV</span> does not require ranking all candidates or parties. So a &#8220;true-blue&#8221; Conservative could vote for the Conservative candidate first choice, and no other candidates. If the Conservative is eliminated, her vote goes nowhere (just as it does if her candidate loses in the current system).</p>

	<p>If I remember correctly (I&#8217;m too lazy to look it up now), Australia has some sort of god-awful system where you have to rank each and every candidate (or party?) for the Senate, when there are tens of candidates. Parties then offer &#8220;lists&#8221; &#8211; sets of ordinal rankings &#8211; and rather than making one&#8217;s own choices among all 60 candidates or so, one can choose from among 150 pre-registered lists instead. Having 100+ candidates for Governor here in California wasn&#8217;t that bad, but only because I only had to understand what about 5 of them stood for. If we&#8217;d had an <span class="caps">STV</span> vote, I&#8217;d have researched perhaps another 5 or 10, and ranked about 10. I wouldn&#8217;t want to have to rank all 100+.</p>
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		<title>By: Anthony</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71351</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 13:59:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71351</guid>
		<description>Brian (#21) - I don&#039;t think it will happen immediately, and it may not happen at all. But it is a prospect - if enough people defect to smaller parties. Many parties in Britain seem to be geographically concentrated, even the big three; small parties which represent regional or geographical interests under the cover of ideological interests may do quite well.

As a sidelight, I suspect the LD leadership will be rather dismayed to find just how much of their vote goes to the Conservatives under STV.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Brian (#21) &#8211; I don&#8217;t think it will happen immediately, and it may not happen at all. But it is a prospect &#8211; if enough people defect to smaller parties. Many parties in Britain seem to be geographically concentrated, even the big three; small parties which represent regional or geographical interests under the cover of ideological interests may do quite well.</p>

	<p>As a sidelight, I suspect the LD leadership will be rather dismayed to find just how much of their vote goes to the Conservatives under <span class="caps">STV</span>.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71346</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 13:29:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71346</guid>
		<description>RS, voters don&#039;t have to be that sophisticated, their parties do it for them. When you have an STV system you invariably have each party with a representative by each ballot box providing a recommendation for how to fill out the complete ballot. Between 70 and 90% of voters will comply with what the party says in the vast majority of cases. If the Tories say to put Labour ahead of Galloway (and they should, for all sorts of reasons) most of their voters will follow. Maybe LD wouldn&#039;t do the same, but if they did, King wins easy on preferences.

I agree Soru that STV won&#039;t help the really small parties, and may exaggerate their problems. The main difference it would make would be to the LDP.

Andrew, the Australian system of having STV for the House of Commons (or its equivalent) and PR for the house of review (in this case the Lords) has been (at least for the last 30 years) reasonably effective in balancing the need for stable government with the ideal of minority representation. It would probably work as well as anything in the UK, at least as a foundation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>RS, voters don&#8217;t have to be that sophisticated, their parties do it for them. When you have an <span class="caps">STV</span> system you invariably have each party with a representative by each ballot box providing a recommendation for how to fill out the complete ballot. Between 70 and 90% of voters will comply with what the party says in the vast majority of cases. If the Tories say to put Labour ahead of Galloway (and they should, for all sorts of reasons) most of their voters will follow. Maybe LD wouldn&#8217;t do the same, but if they did, King wins easy on preferences.</p>

	<p>I agree Soru that <span class="caps">STV</span> won&#8217;t help the really small parties, and may exaggerate their problems. The main difference it would make would be to the <span class="caps">LDP</span>.</p>

	<p>Andrew, the Australian system of having <span class="caps">STV</span> for the House of Commons (or its equivalent) and PR for the house of review (in this case the Lords) has been (at least for the last 30 years) reasonably effective in balancing the need for stable government with the ideal of minority representation. It would probably work as well as anything in the UK, at least as a foundation.</p>
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		<title>By: soru</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71344</link>
		<dc:creator>soru</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 12:00:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71344</guid>
		<description>--
Can you point to any constituency in England where STV would have changed the result from one of the three big parties to a smaller party, even allowing for some change in voting behaviour?
--

If that&#039;s the case, wouldn&#039;t that actually _increase_, rather than decrease, the difference between the proportions of first-preference votes and MPs per party?

Instead of the Greens saying &#039;we have 1% of the vote and no MPs&#039;, it would be &#039;we have 10% of the first preference votes and no MPs&#039;.

STV avoids many of the perceived problems of true PR, but also doesn&#039;t have many of it&#039;s merits.

soru</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8212;Can you point to any constituency in England where <span class="caps">STV</span> would have changed the result from one of the three big parties to a smaller party, even allowing for some change in voting behaviour?&#8212;<br />
If that&#8217;s the case, wouldn&#8217;t that actually <em>increase</em>, rather than decrease, the difference between the proportions of first-preference votes and MPs per party?</p>

	<p>Instead of the Greens saying &#8216;we have 1% of the vote and no MPs&#8217;, it would be &#8216;we have 10% of the first preference votes and no MPs&#8217;.</p>

	<p><span class="caps">STV</span> avoids many of the perceived problems of true PR, but also doesn&#8217;t have many of it&#8217;s merits.</p>

	<p>soru</p>
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		<title>By: Andrew Shuttlewood</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71341</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Shuttlewood</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 10:14:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71341</guid>
		<description>What&#039;s wrong with minority parties?

A lot of people I spoke to about the election weren&#039;t happy about either party - they want more of a plurality of choices. Labour state that they have a mandate - yet their election missives warned people that if they voted for any minority party then the Tories would get in - this is negative campaigning at the end of the day.

I think that people have to decide what they want - STV makes more sense if you consider the MP the important person - in which case I would favour a reduction in the strength of parties as they&#039;re far too powerful now. PR makes more sense if you want a purely party based system. Perhaps a mix with multiple houses would be the best approach - although I know some people feel this would lead to less effective government.

I don&#039;t want to be forced to appear as if I support a party if they are my second choice - if some party gets in I want them to know that they were just considered the lesser of two evils and to govern based upon this rather than claiming some sort of mandate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>What&#8217;s wrong with minority parties?</p>

	<p>A lot of people I spoke to about the election weren&#8217;t happy about either party &#8211; they want more of a plurality of choices. Labour state that they have a mandate &#8211; yet their election missives warned people that if they voted for any minority party then the Tories would get in &#8211; this is negative campaigning at the end of the day.</p>

	<p>I think that people have to decide what they want &#8211; <span class="caps">STV</span> makes more sense if you consider the MP the important person &#8211; in which case I would favour a reduction in the strength of parties as they&#8217;re far too powerful now. PR makes more sense if you want a purely party based system. Perhaps a mix with multiple houses would be the best approach &#8211; although I know some people feel this would lead to less effective government.</p>

	<p>I don&#8217;t want to be forced to appear as if I support a party if they are my second choice &#8211; if some party gets in I want them to know that they were just considered the lesser of two evils and to govern based upon this rather than claiming some sort of mandate.</p>
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		<title>By: RS</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71338</link>
		<dc:creator>RS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 08:57:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71338</guid>
		<description>&quot;As far as I can tell, STV would make it somewhat harder for UKIP to win a seat, and effectively impossible for the BNP or Respect or Veritas to win one, assuming the major parties did the right thing and didn’t send any preferences their way.&quot;

I think you are underestimating the boost STV would give minor parties (we&#039;re talking AV here right?).  It does this by reducing the cost of voting for them.  Now you can vote Respect because you want a party further left than Labour, but still have your vote count for Labour when Respect are eliminated.  Thus you don&#039;t split the vote by going more extreme.  This makes voting for minority parties more attractive, and would have an effect in some areas.  Obviously, if voters were tactical, they could prevent extreme groups being elected by having their vote end-up with some less extreme group they still disagree with (i.e. Tory votes ending up with Labour), but I don&#039;t think voters are that sophisticated.

Of course the real question is where do second preference Tory and Lib Dem votes go when they&#039;re eliminated? If Tories and Labour go Lib Dem then I presume the number of Lib Dem seats skyrockets, but who knows where Lib Dems voters will go? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;As far as I can tell, <span class="caps">STV</span> would make it somewhat harder for <span class="caps">UKIP</span> to win a seat, and effectively impossible for the <span class="caps">BNP</span> or Respect or Veritas to win one, assuming the major parties did the right thing and didn&#8217;t send any preferences their way.&#8221;</p>

	<p>I think you are underestimating the boost <span class="caps">STV</span> would give minor parties (we&#8217;re talking AV here right?).  It does this by reducing the cost of voting for them.  Now you can vote Respect because you want a party further left than Labour, but still have your vote count for Labour when Respect are eliminated.  Thus you don&#8217;t split the vote by going more extreme.  This makes voting for minority parties more attractive, and would have an effect in some areas.  Obviously, if voters were tactical, they could prevent extreme groups being elected by having their vote end-up with some less extreme group they still disagree with (i.e. Tory votes ending up with Labour), but I don&#8217;t think voters are that sophisticated.</p>

	<p>Of course the real question is where do second preference Tory and Lib Dem votes go when they&#8217;re eliminated? If Tories and Labour go Lib Dem then I presume the number of Lib Dem seats skyrockets, but who knows where Lib Dems voters will go?</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71320</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 04:05:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71320</guid>
		<description>Anthony, I think you&#039;re confusing STV with PR here. I don&#039;t see any reason to think that under PR any party that doesn&#039;t currently have a seat would get one. And the change in representation in the current small parties (SNP, PC, Respect, assorted independents) would be pretty minor.

Can you point to any constituency in England where STV would have changed the result from one of the three big parties to a smaller party, even allowing for some change in voting behaviour? (I&#039;ll restrict this to England, because I wouldn&#039;t be surprised if STV helped the SNP and PC in some parts. Obviously the effect on Northern Ireland would be irrelevant for these debates.) As far as I can tell, STV would make it somewhat harder for UKIP to win a seat, and effectively impossible for the BNP or Respect or Veritas to win one, assuming the major parties did the right thing and didn&#039;t send any preferences their way. There are dozens of seats the LDP could expect to pick up from both Lab and Con, but it&#039;s hard to find seats where any other change could be expected.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Anthony, I think you&#8217;re confusing <span class="caps">STV</span> with PR here. I don&#8217;t see any reason to think that under PR any party that doesn&#8217;t currently have a seat would get one. And the change in representation in the current small parties (SNP, PC, Respect, assorted independents) would be pretty minor.</p>

	<p>Can you point to any constituency in England where <span class="caps">STV</span> would have changed the result from one of the three big parties to a smaller party, even allowing for some change in voting behaviour? (I&#8217;ll restrict this to England, because I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised if <span class="caps">STV</span> helped the <span class="caps">SNP</span> and PC in some parts. Obviously the effect on Northern Ireland would be irrelevant for these debates.) As far as I can tell, <span class="caps">STV</span> would make it somewhat harder for <span class="caps">UKIP</span> to win a seat, and effectively impossible for the <span class="caps">BNP</span> or Respect or Veritas to win one, assuming the major parties did the right thing and didn&#8217;t send any preferences their way. There are dozens of seats the <span class="caps">LDP</span> could expect to pick up from both Lab and Con, but it&#8217;s hard to find seats where any other change could be expected.</p>
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		<title>By: charlie b.</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71319</link>
		<dc:creator>charlie b.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 03:58:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71319</guid>
		<description>36%? 37% Just for the record, the Labour share of the vote in the UK was 35.2%. In England Labour came second. In England South of the Wash-Severn leaving out London they came third. With London they came second by 1.4 million votes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>36%? 37% Just for the record, the Labour share of the vote in the UK was 35.2%. In England Labour came second. In England South of the Wash-Severn leaving out London they came third. With London they came second by 1.4 million votes.</p>
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		<title>By: Anthony</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71313</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 May 2005 00:26:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71313</guid>
		<description>Brian (#15) - How many of those parties in NSW make it into parliament? How many parties ever get 10% of the seats in parliament? How much swing between the major parties is there in elections?

In Israel&#039;s case, the problem is that there are 15 to 20 (or more?) parties in the Knesset, that the Big Two consistently get about 1/3 each of the seats, and that there are several mid-sized parties, none of which alone is usually enough to make a government in coalition with one of the major parties. 

In the UK, under STV the Conservatives and Labour would likely be receiving between about 30% to 35% of the vote. If due to second-choice votes and the vagaries of the electoral system, one or the other were usually able to form a government alone or in coalition with similarly-minded parties or occasionally the LDP, things wouldn&#039;t change much. However, if the share of the vote, or more importantly, the seats, which the big parties received under STV eroded, the parties filling the gap wouldn&#039;t be just the LDP, despite Kennedy&#039;s fantasies. There would be a plethora of parties with mutually incompatible platforms, making it rather difficult to form a coalition, and rather easy to break one.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Brian (#15) &#8211; How many of those parties in <span class="caps">NSW</span> make it into parliament? How many parties ever get 10% of the seats in parliament? How much swing between the major parties is there in elections?</p>

	<p>In Israel&#8217;s case, the problem is that there are 15 to 20 (or more?) parties in the Knesset, that the Big Two consistently get about 1/3 each of the seats, and that there are several mid-sized parties, none of which alone is usually enough to make a government in coalition with one of the major parties.</p>

	<p>In the UK, under <span class="caps">STV</span> the Conservatives and Labour would likely be receiving between about 30% to 35% of the vote. If due to second-choice votes and the vagaries of the electoral system, one or the other were usually able to form a government alone or in coalition with similarly-minded parties or occasionally the <span class="caps">LDP</span>, things wouldn&#8217;t change much. However, if the share of the vote, or more importantly, the seats, which the big parties received under <span class="caps">STV</span> eroded, the parties filling the gap wouldn&#8217;t be just the <span class="caps">LDP</span>, despite Kennedy&#8217;s fantasies. There would be a plethora of parties with mutually incompatible platforms, making it rather difficult to form a coalition, and rather easy to break one.</p>
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		<title>By: McDuff</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71304</link>
		<dc:creator>McDuff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 May 2005 22:38:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71304</guid>
		<description>If we&#039;re whining about democracy, we should look to the Lords as well.  Much as I, like most other English people, have a stab of pride every time I realise that our political system is utterly ludicrous and yet still manages to keep us on a remarkably moderate and even keel, all things considered (true, we had Thatcher for Reagan, but we then had Blair for both Clinton and Bush), I don&#039;t think we need to do away with the black rod or the woolsack or the silly hats in order to make the Lords actually democratic.

Personally, I would have the Lords elected on a PR list basis for the same terms as the commons, and keep the MPs representing individual local constituencies.  </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>If we&#8217;re whining about democracy, we should look to the Lords as well.  Much as I, like most other English people, have a stab of pride every time I realise that our political system is utterly ludicrous and yet still manages to keep us on a remarkably moderate and even keel, all things considered (true, we had Thatcher for Reagan, but we then had Blair for both Clinton and Bush), I don&#8217;t think we need to do away with the black rod or the woolsack or the silly hats in order to make the Lords actually democratic.</p>

	<p>Personally, I would have the Lords elected on a PR list basis for the same terms as the commons, and keep the MPs representing individual local constituencies.</p>
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		<title>By: RS</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71297</link>
		<dc:creator>RS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 May 2005 21:57:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71297</guid>
		<description>&quot;STV is not a case of democracy going too far, but of the wrong kind of democracy. Under a PR system, an extremist party, like the BNP, could garner 10 per cent of the vote, then go into coalition with a more mainstream party and get key policies that were only supported by a small minority of the electorate and which were voted against by a far larger number enacted. That doesn’t sound like democracy to me.&quot;

No a system where a party gaining only a minority of votes is given total legislative power sounds much more democratic to me.  Seriously, if that&#039;s your objection, that you don&#039;t like the idea of representatives being forced to reach compromises without monolithic blocs holding power, then surely a Presidential system is better.  Otherwise you&#039;re just arguing against democracy - if the coalition partners allow the policies of an extreme group in return for their support then that is politics, and, I&#039;m afraid, democracy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;STV is not a case of democracy going too far, but of the wrong kind of democracy. Under a PR system, an extremist party, like the <span class="caps">BNP</span>, could garner 10 per cent of the vote, then go into coalition with a more mainstream party and get key policies that were only supported by a small minority of the electorate and which were voted against by a far larger number enacted. That doesn&#8217;t sound like democracy to me.&#8221;</p>

	<p>No a system where a party gaining only a minority of votes is given total legislative power sounds much more democratic to me.  Seriously, if that&#8217;s your objection, that you don&#8217;t like the idea of representatives being forced to reach compromises without monolithic blocs holding power, then surely a Presidential system is better.  Otherwise you&#8217;re just arguing against democracy &#8211; if the coalition partners allow the policies of an extreme group in return for their support then that is politics, and, I&#8217;m afraid, democracy.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris Corrigan</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71280</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris Corrigan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 May 2005 20:51:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71280</guid>
		<description>You might be interested to follow how this will all play out here in British Columbia.  When the ruling proivincial Liberals were elected in 2001 they initiated an electoral reform process that set the bar very high.  They drew 2 people from random from the voter&#039;s list - one male and one female - and set them to work for a year in a Citizen&#039;s Assembly.  After a year&#039;s worth of hearings, conversations and workshops, the Assembly recommended that BC switch to STV.  On May 17th we will be voting on a referendum to do just that.  There is a high threshold for success, but if it passes it will be amazing. 

More at http://www.citizensassembly.bc.ca/public

</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>You might be interested to follow how this will all play out here in British Columbia.  When the ruling proivincial Liberals were elected in 2001 they initiated an electoral reform process that set the bar very high.  They drew 2 people from random from the voter&#8217;s list &#8211; one male and one female &#8211; and set them to work for a year in a Citizen&#8217;s Assembly.  After a year&#8217;s worth of hearings, conversations and workshops, the Assembly recommended that BC switch to <span class="caps">STV</span>.  On May 17th we will be voting on a referendum to do just that.  There is a high threshold for success, but if it passes it will be amazing.</p>

	<p>More at <a href="http://www.citizensassembly.bc.ca/public" rel="nofollow">http://www.citizensassembly.bc.ca/public</a></p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/comment-page-1/#comment-71276</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 May 2005 20:30:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/10/the-realist-case-for-electoral-reform/#comment-71276</guid>
		<description>Anthony, why would a large number of small parties make the country ungovernable? In New South Wales elections there are more parties than even dedicated observers can keep track of (and a lower house elected by STV and upper house elected by PR) but it has hardly made NSW (or any other part of Australia) ungovernable. I guess the problem is that we don&#039;t have enough data points to work with, but it&#039;s hard to think of any case where moving from FPP to STV increased instability - if anything I&#039;d imagine it would decrease it.

If Britain moved to full PR all sorts of things could happen, but it&#039;s hard to see how moving to STV would make any of these other parties (from Respect to the BNP) more powerful than say the SNP already is.

Any ungovernability problems are already there in the current system. Imagine a scenario (not too implausible as a 2009/10 result I&#039;d think) where Labour drops, say, 60 seats to the Tories, and Kennedy holds firm on him promise to not enter a coalition. What happens then? I imagine we muddle through with minority Labour government. But that will be just as unstable as anything STV might bring about.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Anthony, why would a large number of small parties make the country ungovernable? In New South Wales elections there are more parties than even dedicated observers can keep track of (and a lower house elected by <span class="caps">STV</span> and upper house elected by PR) but it has hardly made <span class="caps">NSW </span>(or any other part of Australia) ungovernable. I guess the problem is that we don&#8217;t have enough data points to work with, but it&#8217;s hard to think of any case where moving from <span class="caps">FPP</span> to <span class="caps">STV</span> increased instability &#8211; if anything I&#8217;d imagine it would decrease it.</p>

	<p>If Britain moved to full PR all sorts of things could happen, but it&#8217;s hard to see how moving to <span class="caps">STV</span> would make any of these other parties (from Respect to the <span class="caps">BNP</span>) more powerful than say the <span class="caps">SNP</span> already is.</p>

	<p>Any ungovernability problems are already there in the current system. Imagine a scenario (not too implausible as a 2009/10 result I&#8217;d think) where Labour drops, say, 60 seats to the Tories, and Kennedy holds firm on him promise to not enter a coalition. What happens then? I imagine we muddle through with minority Labour government. But that will be just as unstable as anything <span class="caps">STV</span> might bring about.</p>
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