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	<title>Comments on: Sophists, economists and calculators</title>
	<atom:link href="http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: jet</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72236</link>
		<dc:creator>jet</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2005 14:16:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72236</guid>
		<description>Xbox,
It might also serve to note that in 1980 the top 1% of income earners in the US were paying 18% of all income taxes, in 1988 the top 1% were paying 25% of all income taxes, while having a much reduced rate.  So even though the rich were getting richer than the poor, they also ended up paying more of the social burden of government.  

What inferences can you draw from that concering the Laffer Curve?  If you answered &quot;lower taxes&quot; you&#039;d be right.  Of course we can&#039;t lower taxes now without cutting spending.  I&#039;m not sure which government programs that effect me, I&#039;d prefer cut first.  Would it be the DEA that I&#039;d start with, the endless list of corrupt state bills, ag bills, corporate whore bills?  If only I were king for a day.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Xbox,<br />
It might also serve to note that in 1980 the top 1% of income earners in the US were paying 18% of all income taxes, in 1988 the top 1% were paying 25% of all income taxes, while having a much reduced rate.  So even though the rich were getting richer than the poor, they also ended up paying more of the social burden of government.</p>

	<p>What inferences can you draw from that concering the Laffer Curve?  If you answered &#8220;lower taxes&#8221; you&#8217;d be right.  Of course we can&#8217;t lower taxes now without cutting spending.  I&#8217;m not sure which government programs that effect me, I&#8217;d prefer cut first.  Would it be the <span class="caps">DEA</span> that I&#8217;d start with, the endless list of corrupt state bills, ag bills, corporate whore bills?  If only I were king for a day.</p>
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		<title>By: jet</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72233</link>
		<dc:creator>jet</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2005 13:54:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72233</guid>
		<description>Xbox, 
don&#039;t be an idiot.  Nominal GDP grew by 208% from 1980 to 1990.  Nominal federal revenues gew from 517 billion to over 1 trillion in the same period (almost keeping pace with the GDP, but still growing at a higher rate than the previous decade, which had higher overall tax rates).  The problem in the 80&#039;s was that the only thing the Democratic Congress left in Reagan&#039;s proposed budgets was defense spending.  Most of Reagan&#039;s other proposed spendings were radically changed, with the end result that while inflation adjusted revenue grew ~28% spending gew ~36%.  And that ~36% can&#039;t all be blaimed on defense.  So it is obvious which side of the Laffer Curve the US was on in the 80&#039;s.

Thanks for playing, but take your uneducated crap back to school (unless you can show your &quot;empirical evidence&quot;).  </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Xbox,<br />
don&#8217;t be an idiot.  Nominal <span class="caps">GDP</span> grew by 208% from 1980 to 1990.  Nominal federal revenues gew from 517 billion to over 1 trillion in the same period (almost keeping pace with the <span class="caps">GDP</span>, but still growing at a higher rate than the previous decade, which had higher overall tax rates).  The problem in the 80&#8217;s was that the only thing the Democratic Congress left in Reagan&#8217;s proposed budgets was defense spending.  Most of Reagan&#8217;s other proposed spendings were radically changed, with the end result that while inflation adjusted revenue grew ~28% spending gew ~36%.  And that ~36% can&#8217;t all be blaimed on defense.  So it is obvious which side of the Laffer Curve the US was on in the 80&#8217;s.</p>

	<p>Thanks for playing, but take your uneducated crap back to school (unless you can show your &#8220;empirical evidence&#8221;).</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72107</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 May 2005 08:44:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72107</guid>
		<description>About the curve thing: isn&#039;t it kinda crude to consider &#039;tax rate&#039; as a single argument for a flat curve? Our tax system has many different rates, different brackets; therefore instead of a simple curve you&#039;d have to build a complex multi-dimentional function, correct? 

I mean, you could raise the tax rate for one bracket while lowering the tax rate for another one or adjust thresholds for various brackets; the function you&#039;re trying to optimize should have a large number of arguments.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>About the curve thing: isn&#8217;t it kinda crude to consider &#8216;tax rate&#8217; as a single argument for a flat curve? Our tax system has many different rates, different brackets; therefore instead of a simple curve you&#8217;d have to build a complex multi-dimentional function, correct?</p>

	<p>I mean, you could raise the tax rate for one bracket while lowering the tax rate for another one or adjust thresholds for various brackets; the function you&#8217;re trying to optimize should have a large number of arguments.</p>
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		<title>By: Xboy</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72098</link>
		<dc:creator>Xboy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 May 2005 05:34:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72098</guid>
		<description>Since 1980, every increase in the US income tax rate has resulted in increased government revenues, and every decrease in the tax rate has resulted in decreased government revenues.
That&#039;s empirical evidence of which side of the (completely notional) Laffer Curve we&#039;re on.
Of course, big-business conservatives don&#039;t give a shit about the Laffer Curve -- it was just one of the shoddier temporary justifications for their permanent agenda: More Tax Cuts for the Wealthy, No Matter What!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Since 1980, every increase in the US income tax rate has resulted in increased government revenues, and every decrease in the tax rate has resulted in decreased government revenues.<br />
That&#8217;s empirical evidence of which side of the (completely notional) Laffer Curve we&#8217;re on.<br />
Of course, big-business conservatives don&#8217;t give a shit about the Laffer Curve&#8212;it was just one of the shoddier temporary justifications for their permanent agenda: More Tax Cuts for the Wealthy, No Matter What!</p>
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		<title>By: RSL</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72082</link>
		<dc:creator>RSL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 23:42:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72082</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Here in Hyde Park I saw Steve Levitt buying ice cream from an ice cream truck&lt;/i&gt;

Hyde Park now has ice cream trucks? Now that&#039;s truly freakonomic . . . </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Here in Hyde Park I saw Steve Levitt buying ice cream from an ice cream truck</i></p>

	<p>Hyde Park now has ice cream trucks? Now that&#8217;s truly freakonomic . . .</p>
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		<title>By: MutantD</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72038</link>
		<dc:creator>MutantD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 17:25:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72038</guid>
		<description>I would agree that it&#039;s an interesting quick read that at the very least gets you thinking about the topics he breezes through. 
And it is less simplistic than &quot;estate agents work harder when selling their own houses than selling clients? Say it ain’t so!!).&quot;  
The counter-intuitive point Levitt was going for is that the belief it&#039;s in the best interest of the agent to get the maximum selling price for your house isn&#039;t true. 
The amount of commision gained from using a little extra hustle and waiting for a $10,000 higher bid isn&#039;t enough to offset the gain from accepting a quick but lower bid with less effort on the agent&#039;s part.  </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I would agree that it&#8217;s an interesting quick read that at the very least gets you thinking about the topics he breezes through.<br />
And it is less simplistic than &#8220;estate agents work harder when selling their own houses than selling clients? Say it ain&#8217;t so!!).&#8221;<br />
The counter-intuitive point Levitt was going for is that the belief it&#8217;s in the best interest of the agent to get the maximum selling price for your house isn&#8217;t true.<br />
The amount of commision gained from using a little extra hustle and waiting for a $10,000 higher bid isn&#8217;t enough to offset the gain from accepting a quick but lower bid with less effort on the agent&#8217;s part.</p>
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		<title>By: radek</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72028</link>
		<dc:creator>radek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 16:24:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72028</guid>
		<description>Nah, Freakanomics is a good read, albeit a quick one. Start to finish, two hours. And yeah, there&#039;s a lot of hype around it. My own review would just say &#039;wait till the paperback comes out, then it&#039;s worth it&#039;.
But do read it before writing criticisms.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Nah, Freakanomics is a good read, albeit a quick one. Start to finish, two hours. And yeah, there&#8217;s a lot of hype around it. My own review would just say &#8216;wait till the paperback comes out, then it&#8217;s worth it&#8217;.<br />
But do read it before writing criticisms.</p>
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		<title>By: Daniel</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72027</link>
		<dc:creator>Daniel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 16:15:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72027</guid>
		<description>&quot;Freakonomics&quot; isn&#039;t out in the UK as far as I can tell, but from the excerpts I&#039;ve seen, I think my view of it is going to be much closer to Sutherland&#039;s than to Henry&#039;s.  I&#039;m having a hard time seeing why Levitt is anything more than the thinking man&#039;s Steven Landsburg; addicted to &quot;counterintuitive&quot; explanations that aren&#039;t counterintuitive (estate agents work harder when selling their own houses than selling clients? Say it ain&#039;t so!!) and to &quot;economic&quot; explanations that also ain&#039;t so (as far as I can tell from excerpts, he has a theory of young male involvement in criminal gangs which doesn&#039;t include social status).  I&#039;ve heard mumblings from around and about that Levitt (in &quot;Freakonomics&quot; at least) is not so great at giving credit where due to his co-authors as well, though obviously I will only be able to judge this when I see the book.  For the time being, I am possibly prejudiced against the book because of the glowing review that the awful Michael Lewis wrote, but I suspect that Sutherland might be on to something when he says that Levitt is a symptom of a particularly tiresome and annoying habit of thought among economists and their pop-intellectual groupies.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;Freakonomics&#8221; isn&#8217;t out in the UK as far as I can tell, but from the excerpts I&#8217;ve seen, I think my view of it is going to be much closer to Sutherland&#8217;s than to Henry&#8217;s.  I&#8217;m having a hard time seeing why Levitt is anything more than the thinking man&#8217;s Steven Landsburg; addicted to &#8220;counterintuitive&#8221; explanations that aren&#8217;t counterintuitive (estate agents work harder when selling their own houses than selling clients? Say it ain&#8217;t so!!) and to &#8220;economic&#8221; explanations that also ain&#8217;t so (as far as I can tell from excerpts, he has a theory of young male involvement in criminal gangs which doesn&#8217;t include social status).  I&#8217;ve heard mumblings from around and about that Levitt (in &#8220;Freakonomics&#8221; at least) is not so great at giving credit where due to his co-authors as well, though obviously I will only be able to judge this when I see the book.  For the time being, I am possibly prejudiced against the book because of the glowing review that the awful Michael Lewis wrote, but I suspect that Sutherland might be on to something when he says that Levitt is a symptom of a particularly tiresome and annoying habit of thought among economists and their pop-intellectual groupies.</p>
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		<title>By: CG</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72025</link>
		<dc:creator>CG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 15:21:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72025</guid>
		<description>Here in Hyde Park I saw Steve Levitt buying ice cream from an ice cream truck for his two or three smiling children.  One of them was adopted from China.  How could he possibly be to the right of the political center? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Here in Hyde Park I saw Steve Levitt buying ice cream from an ice cream truck for his two or three smiling children.  One of them was adopted from China.  How could he possibly be to the right of the political center?</p>
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		<title>By: jet</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72020</link>
		<dc:creator>jet</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 14:23:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72020</guid>
		<description>If real GDP grew at 1.23% in the 70&#039;s and grew at 1.25% in the 80&#039;s, but US treasury income grew at 99% of GDP in the 80&#039;s and only 90% of GDP in the 70&#039;s, doesn&#039;t that tell us which side of the Laffer Curve we were on in the 80&#039;s when tax rates were cut?  And it would seem that by looking at overall tax rate changes between the 70&#039;s and 80&#039;s, we could get a good idea of where we are now.  
I picked the 70&#039;s and 80&#039;s because the difference in marginal tax rates was so drastic.

I got my real GDP numbers here http://www.eh.net/hmit/gdp/
And my tax income rates here http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0854973.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>If real <span class="caps">GDP</span> grew at 1.23% in the 70&#8217;s and grew at 1.25% in the 80&#8217;s, but US treasury income grew at 99% of <span class="caps">GDP</span> in the 80&#8217;s and only 90% of <span class="caps">GDP</span> in the 70&#8217;s, doesn&#8217;t that tell us which side of the Laffer Curve we were on in the 80&#8217;s when tax rates were cut?  And it would seem that by looking at overall tax rate changes between the 70&#8217;s and 80&#8217;s, we could get a good idea of where we are now.<br />
I picked the 70&#8217;s and 80&#8217;s because the difference in marginal tax rates was so drastic.</p>

	<p>I got my real <span class="caps">GDP</span> numbers here <a href="http://www.eh.net/hmit/gdp/" rel="nofollow">http://www.eh.net/hmit/gdp/</a><br />
And my tax income rates here <a href="http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0854973.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0854973.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: RSL</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72015</link>
		<dc:creator>RSL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 13:11:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72015</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;How about ‘usually (but not always)’? &lt;/i&gt;

I might accept that, too, although my acceptance would have to be based mostly on faith in the logic of the argument rather than on empirical evidence. One of the problems we have in debating which approach is best is our limited ability to do scientific tests where both approaches are tried in strictly controlled settings and we compare results. Usually, we are stuck with observing the results of the one approach actually adopted and making inferences about the possible results of alternative approaches that weren&#039;t actually tried.

By the way, the examples you&#039;ve given of market systems (Kyoto and gas taxes) are what I would call hybrid approaches. The &quot;desirable outcome&quot; is defined by some sort of deliberative process and then market-type incentives are imposed on the actual market by a governing body. It&#039;s not quite laissez faire. I do agree with you that these hybrid approaches can be very effective, however, since they often allow us to take advantage of both deliberative decision making and the power of market-based incentives to influence behavior in desirable directions.   


</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>How about &#8216;usually (but not always)&#8217;? </i></p>

	<p>I might accept that, too, although my acceptance would have to be based mostly on faith in the logic of the argument rather than on empirical evidence. One of the problems we have in debating which approach is best is our limited ability to do scientific tests where both approaches are tried in strictly controlled settings and we compare results. Usually, we are stuck with observing the results of the one approach actually adopted and making inferences about the possible results of alternative approaches that weren&#8217;t actually tried.</p>

	<p>By the way, the examples you&#8217;ve given of market systems (Kyoto and gas taxes) are what I would call hybrid approaches. The &#8220;desirable outcome&#8221; is defined by some sort of deliberative process and then market-type incentives are imposed on the actual market by a governing body. It&#8217;s not quite laissez faire. I do agree with you that these hybrid approaches can be very effective, however, since they often allow us to take advantage of both deliberative decision making and the power of market-based incentives to influence behavior in desirable directions.</p>



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		<title>By: Tim Worstall</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72014</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim Worstall</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 12:42:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72014</guid>
		<description>Thanks very much for the explanations on Laffer Curves. It’s made it clearer for me.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Thanks very much for the explanations on Laffer Curves. It&#8217;s made it clearer for me.</p>
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		<title>By: john c. halasz</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72013</link>
		<dc:creator>john c. halasz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 12:16:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72013</guid>
		<description>mw:

But who exactly is it that opposes CAFE standards? And what is the political likelihood of (self-)imposing higher gasoline taxes? (That&#039;s something those damn socialist EU countries do!) The point about regulation is that implicitly or explicitly, formally or informally, all social processes involve (self-)regulation. Granted there are significant problems with bureaucratic schemes of regulation: aside from inefficiency, coerciveness or perverse unintended effects, they are quite simply redundant, requiring a reduplication of efforts, not to mention their susceptibility to regulatory capture by the interests ostensibly regulated. Yeah, it would be nice if alternative means could be found to reach socially desirable ends. Regulatory schemes are provoked and generated by the effects of concentrated &quot;market&quot;-based interests and the predatory externalities they generate with respect to generalizable social interests. And they precisely enable those interests to continue in operation, while effecting some modifications in their behavior. It would perhaps be nice if there were some ideal set of market solutions to market-generated problems in an ideal market world, but that is not the real market world in which we live. And if markets are an implicit mechanism of social self-regulation, then equally they are themselves dependent on basic regulatory requirements, as well as, limited by the self-regulatory requirements of other social domains.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>mw:</p>

	<p>But who exactly is it that opposes <span class="caps">CAFE</span> standards? And what is the political likelihood of (self-)imposing higher gasoline taxes? (That&#8217;s something those damn socialist EU countries do!) The point about regulation is that implicitly or explicitly, formally or informally, all social processes involve (self-)regulation. Granted there are significant problems with bureaucratic schemes of regulation: aside from inefficiency, coerciveness or perverse unintended effects, they are quite simply redundant, requiring a reduplication of efforts, not to mention their susceptibility to regulatory capture by the interests ostensibly regulated. Yeah, it would be nice if alternative means could be found to reach socially desirable ends. Regulatory schemes are provoked and generated by the effects of concentrated &#8220;market&#8221;-based interests and the predatory externalities they generate with respect to generalizable social interests. And they precisely enable those interests to continue in operation, while effecting some modifications in their behavior. It would perhaps be nice if there were some ideal set of market solutions to market-generated problems in an ideal market world, but that is not the real market world in which we live. And if markets are an implicit mechanism of social self-regulation, then equally they are themselves dependent on basic regulatory requirements, as well as, limited by the self-regulatory requirements of other social domains.</p>
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		<title>By: mw</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72011</link>
		<dc:creator>mw</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 11:48:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72011</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;I am not as anti-market as you assume. In fact, I would agree totally with your conclusion if you just modified to read as follows:&lt;/i&gt;

&lt;i&gt;Markets, provided the right incentives, aren’t the enemy of the common good, but are often (though not always) the most effective way of achieving it.&lt;/i&gt;

How about &#039;usually (but not always)&#039;?  With the additional comment that, historically, regulatory schemes have been used where market-based approaches would have been better much more often than the reverse (in fact, I&#039;m not sure I have a real-world counter-example where markets were used and regulation would have been better).  It&#039;s not hard, though, to point to inappropriate regulatory approaches.  Take &#039;CAFE&#039; fuel-economy standards in the U.S., for example.  Simply imposing higher gas taxes and letting the market sort out how to respond to them would be far better.  Higher mileage vehicles are one possibile choice, but so are working closer to home or living closer to work (possibly driving changes in housing development patterns), telecommuting, greater use of alternate forms of transport, cutting down on frivolous trips, sharing rides, paying closer attention to maintainence, replacing old gas guzzlers, driving the family&#039;s smaller vehicle more and larger one less, and so on.  The CAFE regulatory approach provides incentives for exactly NONE those latter possibilities.  

In fact, the combination of high-mileage vehicles and cheap fuel are a perfect recipe for killer congestion--for large numbers of single-occupancy vehicles being driven on long and frequent commutes and other trips.  Allow hybrids onto HOV lanes (as is being done) and you may create a perfect storm of regulatory stupidity.  And congestion, of course, is a highly effective way to produce terrible fuel economy (not to mention increased pollution and lost productivity).


</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>I am not as anti-market as you assume. In fact, I would agree totally with your conclusion if you just modified to read as follows:</i></p>

	<p><i>Markets, provided the right incentives, aren&#8217;t the enemy of the common good, but are often (though not always) the most effective way of achieving it.</i></p>

	<p>How about &#8216;usually (but not always)&#8217;?  With the additional comment that, historically, regulatory schemes have been used where market-based approaches would have been better much more often than the reverse (in fact, I&#8217;m not sure I have a real-world counter-example where markets were used and regulation would have been better).  It&#8217;s not hard, though, to point to inappropriate regulatory approaches.  Take &#8216;CAFE&#8217; fuel-economy standards in the U.S., for example.  Simply imposing higher gas taxes and letting the market sort out how to respond to them would be far better.  Higher mileage vehicles are one possibile choice, but so are working closer to home or living closer to work (possibly driving changes in housing development patterns), telecommuting, greater use of alternate forms of transport, cutting down on frivolous trips, sharing rides, paying closer attention to maintainence, replacing old gas guzzlers, driving the family&#8217;s smaller vehicle more and larger one less, and so on.  The <span class="caps">CAFE</span> regulatory approach provides incentives for exactly <span class="caps">NONE</span> those latter possibilities.</p>

	<p>In fact, the combination of high-mileage vehicles and cheap fuel are a perfect recipe for killer congestion&#8212;for large numbers of single-occupancy vehicles being driven on long and frequent commutes and other trips.  Allow hybrids onto <span class="caps">HOV</span> lanes (as is being done) and you may create a perfect storm of regulatory stupidity.  And congestion, of course, is a highly effective way to produce terrible fuel economy (not to mention increased pollution and lost productivity).</p>



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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/comment-page-1/#comment-72005</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2005 09:20:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/05/16/sophists-economists-and-calculators/#comment-72005</guid>
		<description>test</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>test</p>
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