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	<title>Comments on: Survey shows majority of Iraqis disapprove of invasion</title>
	<atom:link href="http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: Brendan</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129150</link>
		<dc:creator>Brendan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 18:35:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129150</guid>
		<description>Oi, Karl! Are you Nick Cohen?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Oi, Karl! Are you Nick Cohen?</p>
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		<title>By: roger</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129145</link>
		<dc:creator>roger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 18:02:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129145</guid>
		<description>ps -- re Allawi, I imagine the U.S. discovery of torture centers run by the Interior ministry is all about helping Allawi. The centers were reported on almost a year ago in the Guardian. The U.S. has certainly not just discovered them. The timing is such as to rally Sunnis to their &quot;natural&quot; candidate, and the American candidate. The risk of alienating Shi&#039;ites is low, however, since these centers are connected to SCIRI, and the Americans probably think that SCIRI has noplace to go but to continue to use American troops as instruments of ethnic cleansing in Anbar province and elsewhere.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>ps&#8212;re Allawi, I imagine the U.S. discovery of torture centers run by the Interior ministry is all about helping Allawi. The centers were reported on almost a year ago in the Guardian. The U.S. has certainly not just discovered them. The timing is such as to rally Sunnis to their &#8220;natural&#8221; candidate, and the American candidate. The risk of alienating Shi&#8217;ites is low, however, since these centers are connected to <span class="caps">SCIRI</span>, and the Americans probably think that <span class="caps">SCIRI</span> has noplace to go but to continue to use American troops as instruments of ethnic cleansing in Anbar province and elsewhere.</p>
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		<title>By: roger</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129132</link>
		<dc:creator>roger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 17:18:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129132</guid>
		<description>Actually, a test is coming up of the accuracy of the Oxford Research Poll. Given that Allawi is the most liked leader in the poll, let&#039;s see how he does. In my opinion, the poll&#039;s results show a distinct class bias -- an avoidance of, for instance, the vast mass of the unemployed and the poor. However, this is only an inference -- the poll&#039;s takers, maddeningly, feel that they have done their statistical duty merely by assuring us that they have taken samples from each region. 

Myself, I have a hard time believing Allawi has suddenly emerged as Iraq&#039;s most popular guy. However, opinions shift quickly. The Sunnis may have forgiven him for Fallujah, and the Shiites might look back on Fallujah admiringly, as a sample of the kind of massive punishment that should be doled out to the Sunnis. Stranger contradictions have elected stranger politicians.

But I&#039;d bet against it, and the poll, at this point.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Actually, a test is coming up of the accuracy of the Oxford Research Poll. Given that Allawi is the most liked leader in the poll, let&#8217;s see how he does. In my opinion, the poll&#8217;s results show a distinct class bias&#8212;an avoidance of, for instance, the vast mass of the unemployed and the poor. However, this is only an inference&#8212;the poll&#8217;s takers, maddeningly, feel that they have done their statistical duty merely by assuring us that they have taken samples from each region.</p>

	<p>Myself, I have a hard time believing Allawi has suddenly emerged as Iraq&#8217;s most popular guy. However, opinions shift quickly. The Sunnis may have forgiven him for Fallujah, and the Shiites might look back on Fallujah admiringly, as a sample of the kind of massive punishment that should be doled out to the Sunnis. Stranger contradictions have elected stranger politicians.</p>

	<p>But I&#8217;d bet against it, and the poll, at this point.</p>
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		<title>By: dsquared</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129127</link>
		<dc:creator>dsquared</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 17:04:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129127</guid>
		<description>It took a hell of a lot of finding, but &lt;a href=&quot;http://crookedtimber.org/2005/07/26/reading-the-small-print/#comment-84709&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt; they &lt;a href=&quot;http://crookedtimber.org/2005/07/26/reading-the-small-print/#comment-85052&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;are&lt;/a&gt;.  Norhing is too good for our loyal readers.

I&#039;ve just realised that in principle the same person could be impersonating NC and KM, so I redouble my apology and withdrawal.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>It took a hell of a lot of finding, but <a href="http://crookedtimber.org/2005/07/26/reading-the-small-print/#comment-84709" rel="nofollow">here</a> they <a href="http://crookedtimber.org/2005/07/26/reading-the-small-print/#comment-85052" rel="nofollow">are</a>.  Norhing is too good for our loyal readers.</p>

	<p>I&#8217;ve just realised that in principle the same person could be impersonating NC and KM, so I redouble my apology and withdrawal.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris Williams</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129125</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris Williams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 16:54:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129125</guid>
		<description>And sure enough, once I admit I can&#039;t find it, the first thing that I do is just that. Here we go:
http://crookedtimber.org/2005/07/26/reading-the-small-print/
I still miss Nick, though - at one stage he was on our side, unlike that Hitchens, who was only ever on his own.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>And sure enough, once I admit I can&#8217;t find it, the first thing that I do is just that. Here we go:<br />
<a href="http://crookedtimber.org/2005/07/26/reading-the-small-print/" rel="nofollow">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/07/26/reading-the-small-print/</a><br />
I still miss Nick, though &#8211; at one stage he was on our side, unlike that Hitchens, who was only ever on his own.</p>
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		<title>By: dsquared</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129124</link>
		<dc:creator>dsquared</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 16:52:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129124</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t know; this was a joke by me.  You would probably be well-advised not to say that it was.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I don&#8217;t know; this was a joke by me.  You would probably be well-advised not to say that it was.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris Williams</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129123</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris Williams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 16:51:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129123</guid>
		<description>Cohen&#039;s certainly tried that &quot;Who are your comrades in Iraq, you pro-fascists?&quot; above his own name. IIRC I replied, &quot;The WCPI&quot;. No response from him. On the other hand, I can&#039;t for the life of me find it on google, so it may be false memory.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Cohen&#8217;s certainly tried that &#8220;Who are your comrades in Iraq, you pro-fascists?&#8221; above his own name. <span class="caps">IIRC I</span> replied, &#8220;The <span class="caps">WCPI</span>&#8221;. No response from him. On the other hand, I can&#8217;t for the life of me find it on google, so it may be false memory.</p>
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		<title>By: Brendan</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129120</link>
		<dc:creator>Brendan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 16:16:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129120</guid>
		<description>Dsquared,

is &#039;Karl Marx&#039; &lt;i&gt; really &lt;/i&gt; Nick Cohen?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Dsquared,</p>

	<p>is &#8216;Karl Marx&#8217; <i> really </i> Nick Cohen?</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Brendan</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129098</link>
		<dc:creator>Brendan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 14:38:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129098</guid>
		<description>I was far too young to have an opinion at the time :). I don&#039;t know too much about it, but a quick websearch shows that Syria first got involved in Lebanon in &#039;76 when i was 5.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I was far too young to have an opinion at the time :). I don&#8217;t know too much about it, but a quick websearch shows that Syria first got involved in Lebanon in &#8216;76 when i was 5.</p>
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		<title>By: a</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-129016</link>
		<dc:creator>a</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 13:51:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-129016</guid>
		<description>brendan - Did you disapprove of the Syrian intervention at the time of the intervention?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>brendan &#8211; Did you disapprove of the Syrian intervention at the time of the intervention?</p>
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		<title>By: Brendan</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-128992</link>
		<dc:creator>Brendan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 13:40:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-128992</guid>
		<description>&#039;Time changes things. It is entirely consistent to approve of one set of circumstances if they endure only 2 years, vs. pretty much the same set if they endure ten times longer.&#039;

Don&#039;t get me wrong. I was fully in favour of a Syrian withdrawal. I am also fully in favour of a full Russian withdrawal in Chechnya. I am also fully in favour of an American/UK withdrawal from Iraq. 

My reasons for all three are the same, because the three situations are essentially the same. 

Incidentally in my post above &#039;automatically disbelieved&#039; should of course be &#039;automatically believed.&#039;, and ignore the rest of that sentence. Mea culpa.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8216;Time changes things. It is entirely consistent to approve of one set of circumstances if they endure only 2 years, vs. pretty much the same set if they endure ten times longer.&#8217;</p>

	<p>Don&#8217;t get me wrong. I was fully in favour of a Syrian withdrawal. I am also fully in favour of a full Russian withdrawal in Chechnya. I am also fully in favour of an American/UK withdrawal from Iraq.</p>

	<p>My reasons for all three are the same, because the three situations are essentially the same.</p>

	<p>Incidentally in my post above &#8216;automatically disbelieved&#8217; should of course be &#8216;automatically believed.&#8217;, and ignore the rest of that sentence. Mea culpa.</p>
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		<title>By: a</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-128971</link>
		<dc:creator>a</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 12:56:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-128971</guid>
		<description>brendan - I can remember that my reaction to Syria&#039;s initial invasion of Lebanon was strongly approving.  I think this was pretty much the standard view.  It seemed that the intervention was the only way to stop the civil war.  

It was only after 5 or 10 years that (in my eyes anyway) that the presence of Syrian troops became negative.

Time changes things.  It is entirely consistent to approve of one set of circumstances if they endure only 2 years, vs. pretty much the same set if they endure ten times longer.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>brendan &#8211; I can remember that my reaction to Syria&#8217;s initial invasion of Lebanon was strongly approving.  I think this was pretty much the standard view.  It seemed that the intervention was the only way to stop the civil war.</p>

	<p>It was only after 5 or 10 years that (in my eyes anyway) that the presence of Syrian troops became negative.</p>

	<p>Time changes things.  It is entirely consistent to approve of one set of circumstances if they endure only 2 years, vs. pretty much the same set if they endure ten times longer.</p>
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		<title>By: Brendan</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-128970</link>
		<dc:creator>Brendan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 12:54:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-128970</guid>
		<description>&#039;But in the world as it is, it is the other sides of those arguments who feel the need to resort to lies and distortions, the facts not being in their favour.&#039;

Oh please share with us. What lies have been told by those who are on the side of the majority of the British people and the majority of the American people in wanting a timetable for withdrawal?

(Incidentally, let&#039;s not forget how Harry&#039;s Place reported large demonstrations against the presence of Syrian bases on Lebanese soil: 

&#039;Beirut was the location for a huge demonstration Monday against the de facto Syrian occupation of Lebanon. It follows last week&#039;s massive and angry funeral procession for Rafik Hariri, whose murder is widely blamed on the Syrians.

Perhaps not coincidentally Syria hinted it might start withdrawing some of its 14,000 troops from its neighboring country. &lt;strong&gt;Believe it when it happens.&lt;/strong&gt;&#039;.

It should be stressed that my position vis a vis the Americans/British in Iraq is exactly the same as Harry&#039;s Place vis a vis the Syrians and the Lebanese: i.e. I will believe that troops have withdrawn when they actually go. 

My posiition vis a vis Iraq is also the same as Chirac&#039;s and Bush&#039;s when they called for: 

&#039;US President George Bush and French President Jacques Chirac have this week repeatedly demanded a &lt;strong&gt;full&lt;/strong&gt; Syrian army withdrawal from Lebanon.&#039; (emphasis added). How happy do you think Chirac and Bush would have been if Syria had left behind military bases, perhaps large military bases, whose relationship to the Lebanese military (in terms of command) was, to put it mildly, problematic? 

And were the pro-war left swayed by the fact that sizeable amounts of Lebanese (perhaps a majority, who knows?) wanted the Syrians to stay? Of course not. There was no poring over opinion poll data there. There was no particular interest in what the Lebanese people &#039;wanted&#039;. The US wanted Syria out and that was the end of it.)


The fact is that the actions of France and Russia and Syria are viewed with the normal common sense scepticism that any sane person would. In other words, it is not always assumed that their actions are philanthropic, nuances are accepted, linguistic and ethnic splits in countries are accepted and so forth. 

It is only for the US and the UK that we all have to suddenly assume that if Bush says something...well that makes it true. And if he says he is bringing democracy to Iraq...then that&#039;s just the way it is. 

This is made clear by Gene&#039;s own latest missive: 

&#039;Of course you can choose to believe everything Bush says about democracy and freedom is a lie intended to conceal his neo-imperialist designs. Or you can choose (as I do) to take him at his word....&#039;

Again it can hardly be stated enough that it is literally inconceivable that if Chirac or Putin or Berlusconi or Assad were to state that they were genuine about spreading democracy they would be &lt;i&gt;automatically&lt;/i&gt; disbelieved until they could provide some evidence to back this up. It&#039;s only Bush and Blair who have a get out of jail free card.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8216;But in the world as it is, it is the other sides of those arguments who feel the need to resort to lies and distortions, the facts not being in their favour.&#8217;</p>

	<p>Oh please share with us. What lies have been told by those who are on the side of the majority of the British people and the majority of the American people in wanting a timetable for withdrawal?</p>

	<p>(Incidentally, let&#8217;s not forget how Harry&#8217;s Place reported large demonstrations against the presence of Syrian bases on Lebanese soil:</p>

	<p>&#8216;Beirut was the location for a huge demonstration Monday against the de facto Syrian occupation of Lebanon. It follows last week&#8217;s massive and angry funeral procession for Rafik Hariri, whose murder is widely blamed on the Syrians.</p>

	<p>Perhaps not coincidentally Syria hinted it might start withdrawing some of its 14,000 troops from its neighboring country. <strong>Believe it when it happens.</strong>&#8216;.</p>

	<p>It should be stressed that my position vis a vis the Americans/British in Iraq is exactly the same as Harry&#8217;s Place vis a vis the Syrians and the Lebanese: i.e. I will believe that troops have withdrawn when they actually go.</p>

	<p>My posiition vis a vis Iraq is also the same as Chirac&#8217;s and Bush&#8217;s when they called for:</p>

	<p>&#8216;US President George Bush and French President Jacques Chirac have this week repeatedly demanded a <strong>full</strong> Syrian army withdrawal from Lebanon.&#8217; (emphasis added). How happy do you think Chirac and Bush would have been if Syria had left behind military bases, perhaps large military bases, whose relationship to the Lebanese military (in terms of command) was, to put it mildly, problematic?</p>

	<p>And were the pro-war left swayed by the fact that sizeable amounts of Lebanese (perhaps a majority, who knows?) wanted the Syrians to stay? Of course not. There was no poring over opinion poll data there. There was no particular interest in what the Lebanese people &#8216;wanted&#8217;. The US wanted Syria out and that was the end of it.)</p>


	<p>The fact is that the actions of France and Russia and Syria are viewed with the normal common sense scepticism that any sane person would. In other words, it is not always assumed that their actions are philanthropic, nuances are accepted, linguistic and ethnic splits in countries are accepted and so forth.</p>

	<p>It is only for the US and the UK that we all have to suddenly assume that if Bush says something&#8230;well that makes it true. And if he says he is bringing democracy to Iraq&#8230;then that&#8217;s just the way it is.</p>

	<p>This is made clear by Gene&#8217;s own latest missive:</p>

	<p>&#8216;Of course you can choose to believe everything Bush says about democracy and freedom is a lie intended to conceal his neo-imperialist designs. Or you can choose (as I do) to take him at his word&#8230;.&#8217;</p>

	<p>Again it can hardly be stated enough that it is literally inconceivable that if Chirac or Putin or Berlusconi or Assad were to state that they were genuine about spreading democracy they would be <i>automatically</i> disbelieved until they could provide some evidence to back this up. It&#8217;s only Bush and Blair who have a get out of jail free card.</p>
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		<title>By: soru</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-128965</link>
		<dc:creator>soru</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 11:18:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-128965</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;We all sit here and have these debates, when we all know that if every opinion poll of the last ten years stated that 100% of the Iraqis wanted the US/UK out tomorrow, the ‘pro-invasion left’ would still be arguing that the sample size was limited, or that these results were meaingless unless they were translated into political results or something.
&lt;/i&gt;

Hypothetically, were that the case, I am sure there are some members of that group who would do that.

Hypothetically, if global warming were somehow proved scientifically incorrect, quite likely some environmentalists would attempt dishonestly to cast doubt on the findings, the better to &#039;win&#039; the argument.

But in the world as it is, it is the other sides of those arguments who feel the need to resort to lies and distortions, the facts not being in their favour.

soru</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>We all sit here and have these debates, when we all know that if every opinion poll of the last ten years stated that 100% of the Iraqis wanted the US/UK out tomorrow, the &#8216;pro-invasion left&#8217; would still be arguing that the sample size was limited, or that these results were meaingless unless they were translated into political results or something.<br />
</i></p>

	<p>Hypothetically, were that the case, I am sure there are some members of that group who would do that.</p>

	<p>Hypothetically, if global warming were somehow proved scientifically incorrect, quite likely some environmentalists would attempt dishonestly to cast doubt on the findings, the better to &#8216;win&#8217; the argument.</p>

	<p>But in the world as it is, it is the other sides of those arguments who feel the need to resort to lies and distortions, the facts not being in their favour.</p>

	<p>soru</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/comment-page-2/#comment-128963</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2005 10:43:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2005/12/12/survey-shows-majority-of-iraqis-disapprove-of-invasion/#comment-128963</guid>
		<description>Brendan, I find the concept of a national government (US, UK, Syria or any other national government) sending troops and money abroad for the purpose of creating democracy there - I find this concept absurd. So, whatever arguments the pro-war-left people present - these are arguments defending an absurd position, much like the arguments defending the flat earth theory.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Brendan, I find the concept of a national government (US, UK, Syria or any other national government) sending troops and money abroad for the purpose of creating democracy there &#8211; I find this concept absurd. So, whatever arguments the pro-war-left people present &#8211; these are arguments defending an absurd position, much like the arguments defending the flat earth theory.</p>
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