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	<title>Comments on: Hard to believe</title>
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	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: Barista &#187; Blog Archive &#187; History Carnival XLIV</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-181039</link>
		<dc:creator>Barista &#187; Blog Archive &#187; History Carnival XLIV</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Dec 2006 04:42:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-181039</guid>
		<description>[...] As two thousand people leave Iraq every day, the parallels with those more European fugitives are obvious - a point explored further on Crooked Timber. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>[...] As two thousand people leave Iraq every day, the parallels with those more European fugitives are obvious &#8211; a point explored further on Crooked Timber. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Ragout</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180891</link>
		<dc:creator>Ragout</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Dec 2006 04:35:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180891</guid>
		<description>Pamela, let me offer my congratulations too, for an excellent article.  Any thoughts on the politics of this issue?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Pamela, let me offer my congratulations too, for an excellent article.  Any thoughts on the politics of this issue?</p>
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		<title>By: John Quiggin</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180875</link>
		<dc:creator>John Quiggin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Dec 2006 02:01:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180875</guid>
		<description>Thanks for this info Pamela, and congratulations on a compelling article.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Thanks for this info Pamela, and congratulations on a compelling article.</p>
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		<title>By: pamela hartman</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180839</link>
		<dc:creator>pamela hartman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 20:47:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180839</guid>
		<description>Hi. The source for the 202 Iraqi refugee figure was an administrator at the UN High Commissioner for Refugees in Wash. D.C. 

Thanks,
Pamela</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Hi. The source for the 202 Iraqi refugee figure was an administrator at the <span class="caps">UN </span>High Commissioner for Refugees in Wash. D.C.</p>

	<p>Thanks,<br />
Pamela</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180740</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 15:34:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180740</guid>
		<description>Of course, like I said: they can&#039;t go to Iraq or any other sovereign state without being allowed by the government. How would you expect it to work? But also, like I said, there can&#039;t be Iraqi refugees in Iraq, simply by definition.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Of course, like I said: they can&#8217;t go to Iraq or any other sovereign state without being allowed by the government. How would you expect it to work? But also, like I said, there can&#8217;t be Iraqi refugees in Iraq, simply by definition.</p>
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		<title>By: Ragout</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180724</link>
		<dc:creator>Ragout</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 14:17:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180724</guid>
		<description>Abb1,

The UN restricted their activities in northern Iraq because Saddam asked them to. According to a &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.brook.edu/fp/projects/IDP/articles/iraqreport.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Brookings report&lt;/a&gt;.
&lt;blockquote&gt;UN human rights officials...have not visited the North. Their terms of reference allow them to visit countries only at the invitation of the government. In this case, the government in Baghdad has unsurprisingly never ‘invited’ them to visit the North.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
The report also discusses how the UN limited their demining and reconstruction efforts in the North at Saddam&#039;s behest.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Abb1,</p>

	<p>The UN restricted their activities in northern Iraq because Saddam asked them to. According to a <a href="http://www.brook.edu/fp/projects/IDP/articles/iraqreport.pdf" rel="nofollow">Brookings report</a>.<br />
<blockquote>UN human rights officials&#8230;have not visited the North. Their terms of reference allow them to visit countries only at the invitation of the government. In this case, the government in Baghdad has unsurprisingly never &#8216;invited&#8217; them to visit the North.</blockquote><br />
The report also discusses how the UN limited their demining and reconstruction efforts in the North at Saddam&#8217;s behest.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180718</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 13:37:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180718</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s important to keep in mind that refugee numbers listed in the report linked by ragout are only fraction of the refugees actually granted asylum in the US each year.  That report is about the number of refugees certified by UNHCR or by the US government to be refugees outside of the US who are then admitted to the US in resettlement programs.  It doesn&#039;t include the people who are technically called &#039;asylees&#039; in US law who are people who show up in the US in various ways and then apply for and are granted asylum.  In many years this group is as large or larger than the &#039;refugee&#039; group, and has no annual cap like the other group does.  (The cap on resettlment refugees crashed in during the Bush years, and even the lower cap was often not filled as unreasonable documentation requirements were impossed on refugees.  The numbers are also a bit misleading since they contain a large number of &#039;refugees&#039; who are such in name only, i.e., Jews from Russia and many Cubans who would not, by any plausible means, meet the normal refugee definition but who are called such for political reasons.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>It&#8217;s important to keep in mind that refugee numbers listed in the report linked by ragout are only fraction of the refugees actually granted asylum in the US each year.  That report is about the number of refugees certified by <span class="caps">UNHCR</span> or by the US government to be refugees outside of the US who are then admitted to the US in resettlement programs.  It doesn&#8217;t include the people who are technically called &#8216;asylees&#8217; in US law who are people who show up in the US in various ways and then apply for and are granted asylum.  In many years this group is as large or larger than the &#8216;refugee&#8217; group, and has no annual cap like the other group does.  (The cap on resettlment refugees crashed in during the Bush years, and even the lower cap was often not filled as unreasonable documentation requirements were impossed on refugees.  The numbers are also a bit misleading since they contain a large number of &#8216;refugees&#8217; who are such in name only, i.e., Jews from Russia and many Cubans who would not, by any plausible means, meet the normal refugee definition but who are called such for political reasons.)</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180698</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 09:50:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180698</guid>
		<description>Ragout,
there is no such thing as &#039;internal refugees&#039;, they are called &#039;internally displaced&#039; (IDs). 

&lt;i&gt;The UN mostly deferred to Saddam’s wishes and ignored them.&lt;/i&gt;

All the UN can do is to &lt;i&gt;assist&lt;/i&gt; national governments if they agree to receive assistance, assuming that the UN has money to do it. The UN can&#039;t force Jordan or Syria (where most of the Iraqi refugees are) or any other sovereign state to do anything. Saddam&#039;s wishes have nothing to do with that, that&#039;s silly.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Ragout,<br />
there is no such thing as &#8216;internal refugees&#8217;, they are called &#8216;internally displaced&#8217; (IDs).</p>

	<p><i>The UN mostly deferred to Saddam&#8217;s wishes and ignored them.</i></p>

	<p>All the UN can do is to <i>assist</i> national governments if they agree to receive assistance, assuming that the UN has money to do it. The UN can&#8217;t force Jordan or Syria (where most of the Iraqi refugees are) or any other sovereign state to do anything. Saddam&#8217;s wishes have nothing to do with that, that&#8217;s silly.</p>
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		<title>By: John Quiggin</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180696</link>
		<dc:creator>John Quiggin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 09:36:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180696</guid>
		<description>&#039;But, John, the only reason you find the current situation “hard to believe” is because of the international “humanitarian” community’s shameful silence. They’ve been been ignoring the plight of Iraqi refugees for decades.&#039;

Ragout, this issue has been a hot one in Australia for many years - it was, for example, central in the 2001 election. So when I say it&#039;s hard to believe, I  mean that even when the actions of the CoW have directly created the refugee crisis, and even when large numbers are fleeing because they are seen as collaborators with the occupying forces, there has still been no change in the policy.

I hope your Vietnam analogy is right, but I think the view of most supporters of the war is pretty much that of anon at #3, repeated various times through the thread.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8216;But, John, the only reason you find the current situation &#8220;hard to believe&#8221; is because of the international &#8220;humanitarian&#8221; community&#8217;s shameful silence. They&#8217;ve been been ignoring the plight of Iraqi refugees for decades.&#8217;</p>

	<p>Ragout, this issue has been a hot one in Australia for many years &#8211; it was, for example, central in the 2001 election. So when I say it&#8217;s hard to believe, I  mean that even when the actions of the CoW have directly created the refugee crisis, and even when large numbers are fleeing because they are seen as collaborators with the occupying forces, there has still been no change in the policy.</p>

	<p>I hope your Vietnam analogy is right, but I think the view of most supporters of the war is pretty much that of anon at #3, repeated various times through the thread.</p>
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		<title>By: Ragout</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180690</link>
		<dc:creator>Ragout</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 08:23:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180690</guid>
		<description>Katherine,

I think that HRW report is focussing on a small aspect of Iranian policy.  If you look at Iran&#039;s record as a whole it&#039;s pretty good: they host more refugees than any country in the world (see this &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.hrw.org/backgrounder/mena/iraq021203/4.htm#_Toc32640944&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;HRW report&lt;/a&gt;).  A lot of the Marsh Arabs fled to Iran.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Katherine,</p>

	<p>I think that <span class="caps">HRW</span> report is focussing on a small aspect of Iranian policy.  If you look at Iran&#8217;s record as a whole it&#8217;s pretty good: they host more refugees than any country in the world (see this <a href="http://www.hrw.org/backgrounder/mena/iraq021203/4.htm#_Toc32640944" rel="nofollow"><span class="caps">HRW</span> report</a>).  A lot of the Marsh Arabs fled to Iran.</p>
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		<title>By: Katherine</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180680</link>
		<dc:creator>Katherine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 05:06:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180680</guid>
		<description>Iran? &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.hrw.org/reports/2006/jordan1106/index.htm&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Not exactly.&lt;/a&gt; (Link is to pretty thorough report by HRW. The focus is on Jordan but there are sections on a bunch of countries.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Iran? <a href="http://www.hrw.org/reports/2006/jordan1106/index.htm" rel="nofollow">Not exactly.</a> (Link is to pretty thorough report by <span class="caps">HRW</span>. The focus is on Jordan but there are sections on a bunch of countries.)</p>
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		<title>By: Ragout</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180672</link>
		<dc:creator>Ragout</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 03:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180672</guid>
		<description>Thomas is right: we&#039;re not going to let in many refugees until after we (the US) pull out of Iraq.  Then, I expect that we&#039;ll pass a law making it easy for the Iraqis to be admitted as refugees.  Finally, a large flow of refugees from Iraq will continue for a decade or two.  That&#039;s been the pattern with Vietnam, Iran, Central America, Cuba, and so on.

At the moment, though, things are awful.  Even if the UN registers Iraqis as refugees they still wouldn&#039;t be let in, since most Iraqis would probably be considered &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.refugees.org/uploadedfiles/Investigate/Newsroom/Headlines/October/Refugeemess.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;terrorists&lt;/a&gt; under US law.

But, John, the only reason you find the current situation &quot;hard to believe&quot; is because of the international &quot;humanitarian&quot; community&#039;s shameful silence.  They&#039;ve been been ignoring the plight of Iraqi refugees for decades.

Before the 2003 invasion, there were already about 2 million refugees from Saddam&#039;s Iraq: 1 million internal refugees, and 1 million in neighboring countries.  The UN mostly deferred to Saddam&#039;s wishes and ignored them.  To date, the UN has registered only a few 10s of thousands of Iraqi refugees.  NGOs have done very little to help.     You won&#039;t find any mortality studies published in epidemiological journals.  Jordan has basically treated Iraqi refugeess as illegal aliens.  I think the list of good samaritans is limited to Iran.

P.S. The US State Department says that &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.state.gov/g/prm/rls/rpt/2006/73619.htm#domestic&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;198 Iraqi refugees&lt;/a&gt; were admitted in 2005.  The good news is that they expect admissions to increase by 150% this year!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Thomas is right: we&#8217;re not going to let in many refugees until after we (the US) pull out of Iraq.  Then, I expect that we&#8217;ll pass a law making it easy for the Iraqis to be admitted as refugees.  Finally, a large flow of refugees from Iraq will continue for a decade or two.  That&#8217;s been the pattern with Vietnam, Iran, Central America, Cuba, and so on.</p>

	<p>At the moment, though, things are awful.  Even if the UN registers Iraqis as refugees they still wouldn&#8217;t be let in, since most Iraqis would probably be considered <a href="http://www.refugees.org/uploadedfiles/Investigate/Newsroom/Headlines/October/Refugeemess.pdf" rel="nofollow">terrorists</a> under US law.</p>

	<p>But, John, the only reason you find the current situation &#8220;hard to believe&#8221; is because of the international &#8220;humanitarian&#8221; community&#8217;s shameful silence.  They&#8217;ve been been ignoring the plight of Iraqi refugees for decades.</p>

	<p>Before the 2003 invasion, there were already about 2 million refugees from Saddam&#8217;s Iraq: 1 million internal refugees, and 1 million in neighboring countries.  The UN mostly deferred to Saddam&#8217;s wishes and ignored them.  To date, the UN has registered only a few 10s of thousands of Iraqi refugees.  NGOs have done very little to help.     You won&#8217;t find any mortality studies published in epidemiological journals.  Jordan has basically treated Iraqi refugeess as illegal aliens.  I think the list of good samaritans is limited to Iran.</p>

	<p>P.S. The <span class="caps">US </span>State Department says that <a href="http://www.state.gov/g/prm/rls/rpt/2006/73619.htm#domestic" rel="nofollow">198 Iraqi refugees</a> were admitted in 2005.  The good news is that they expect admissions to increase by 150% this year!</p>
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		<title>By: John Quiggin</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180631</link>
		<dc:creator>John Quiggin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Nov 2006 22:04:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180631</guid>
		<description>#15, see #8</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>#15, see #8</p>
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		<title>By: dearieme</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180628</link>
		<dc:creator>dearieme</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Nov 2006 21:12:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180628</guid>
		<description>Fascinating.  Having adopted the second-stupidest way anyone could think of for opposing Islamism, we should now adopt the stupidest?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Fascinating.  Having adopted the second-stupidest way anyone could think of for opposing Islamism, we should now adopt the stupidest?</p>
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		<title>By: Planeshift</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/comment-page-1/#comment-180621</link>
		<dc:creator>Planeshift</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Nov 2006 20:57:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2006/11/29/hard-to-believe/#comment-180621</guid>
		<description>Re: 11

We were actually doing that during the run up to war. As the Blair government were pointing out the human rights abuses of Iraq, kurds were being sent back to face those same abuses. One home office letter actually told an asylum seeker that &quot;the justice system of Iraq is fair, and we did not feel you would be denied a fair trial.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Re: 11</p>

	<p>We were actually doing that during the run up to war. As the Blair government were pointing out the human rights abuses of Iraq, kurds were being sent back to face those same abuses. One home office letter actually told an asylum seeker that &#8220;the justice system of Iraq is fair, and we did not feel you would be denied a fair trial.&#8221; </p>
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