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	<title>Comments on: Weather</title>
	<atom:link href="http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: Henry (not the famous one)</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194466</link>
		<dc:creator>Henry (not the famous one)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Apr 2007 15:15:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194466</guid>
		<description>According to Achen and Bartels, the weather is to blame for Bush&#039;s election in 2000:  http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2004/08/30/040830crat_atlarge?currentPage=1.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>According to Achen and Bartels, the weather is to blame for Bush&#8217;s election in 2000:  <a href="http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2004/08/30/040830crat_atlarge?currentPage=1" rel="nofollow">http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2004/08/30/040830crat_atlarge?currentPage=1</a>.</p>
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		<title>By: radek</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194365</link>
		<dc:creator>radek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 16:12:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194365</guid>
		<description>...and if we&#039;re gonna get bi-partisan with the &quot;X for Y bullshit&quot; thing then you gotta throw in:

EPI for trade, union and min wages bullshit. 

(to their credit they&#039;ve laid off the immigrants)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8230;and if we&#8217;re gonna get bi-partisan with the &#8220;X for Y bullshit&#8221; thing then you gotta throw in:</p>

	<p><span class="caps">EPI</span> for trade, union and min wages bullshit.</p>

	<p>(to their credit they&#8217;ve laid off the immigrants)</p>
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		<title>By: radek</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194364</link>
		<dc:creator>radek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 16:09:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194364</guid>
		<description>Admitting to being an economist at parties usually involves one or more of the following, none of them pleasant:

1. They ask you if the stock market&#039;s gonna go up. How the hell should I know? Economics tells you that I wouldn&#039;t know.
2. They tell you that we&#039;re gonna run out of oil. Not in your lifetime.
3. Some English major wants to argue with you about Marx. Unfortunetly they haven&#039;t read him.
4. They tell you, &quot;Oh, my uncle is an accountant&quot;. That&#039;s nice.
5. They say, &quot;the weather&#039;s bad today&quot;. Leave poor weather alone.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Admitting to being an economist at parties usually involves one or more of the following, none of them pleasant:</p>

	<p>1. They ask you if the stock market&#8217;s gonna go up. How the hell should I know? Economics tells you that I wouldn&#8217;t know.<br />
2. They tell you that we&#8217;re gonna run out of oil. Not in your lifetime.<br />
3. Some English major wants to argue with you about Marx. Unfortunetly they haven&#8217;t read him.<br />
4. They tell you, &#8220;Oh, my uncle is an accountant&#8221;. That&#8217;s nice.<br />
5. They say, &#8220;the weather&#8217;s bad today&#8221;. Leave poor weather alone.</p>
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		<title>By: No Longer A Urinated State of America</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194360</link>
		<dc:creator>No Longer A Urinated State of America</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 15:33:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194360</guid>
		<description>“Chief Shaman for Rationalizing the Juju.” 

Surely this is a description of most professional analysts?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;Chief Shaman for Rationalizing the Juju.&#8221;</p>

	<p>Surely this is a description of most professional analysts?</p>
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		<title>By: Jon H</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194350</link>
		<dc:creator>Jon H</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 14:45:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194350</guid>
		<description>&quot;Quotemills exist in lots of sectors. They’re the equivalent of Z-list celebs who’ll show up to the opening of a crisp packet. Camille Paglia for socio-bullshit, Rob Enderle for tech bullshit, and I’m sure that people could come up with other reliable Rolodex entries in their own fields.&quot;

AEI for war bullshit, CATO for (hugely predictable) tax bullshit, Heritage for culture war bullshit.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;Quotemills exist in lots of sectors. They&#8217;re the equivalent of Z-list celebs who&#8217;ll show up to the opening of a crisp packet. Camille Paglia for socio-bullshit, Rob Enderle for tech bullshit, and I&#8217;m sure that people could come up with other reliable Rolodex entries in their own fields.&#8221;</p>

	<p><span class="caps">AEI</span> for war bullshit, <span class="caps">CATO</span> for (hugely predictable) tax bullshit, Heritage for culture war bullshit.</p>
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		<title>By: C. L. Ball</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194342</link>
		<dc:creator>C. L. Ball</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 14:26:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194342</guid>
		<description>The AP writer was generous; the NAR site release attributes the drop mostly to bad weather in Feb. Remember, sales were rising for the prior 3 months, so they are looking for novel factor to explain the decline. 

Since I&#039;m looking for a house, I&#039;d agree that Lereah&#039;s remark is intuitively plausible if economically implausible. A house viewed in overcast or rainy whether looks plain dreary. But so long as buyers fear that someone else will make an acceptable offer on a well-located, well-maintained house, they will make an offer, rain or shine. That they were suddenly not doing so in March indicates that the market is shifting.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>The AP writer was generous; the <span class="caps">NAR</span> site release attributes the drop mostly to bad weather in Feb. Remember, sales were rising for the prior 3 months, so they are looking for novel factor to explain the decline.</p>

	<p>Since I&#8217;m looking for a house, I&#8217;d agree that Lereah&#8217;s remark is intuitively plausible if economically implausible. A house viewed in overcast or rainy whether looks plain dreary. But so long as buyers fear that someone else will make an acceptable offer on a well-located, well-maintained house, they will make an offer, rain or shine. That they were suddenly not doing so in March indicates that the market is shifting.</p>
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		<title>By: derrida derider</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194309</link>
		<dc:creator>derrida derider</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 10:35:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194309</guid>
		<description>One of the reasons no-one ever admits to being an economist at parties is that most non-economists think this sort of voodoo is what economists do.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>One of the reasons no-one ever admits to being an economist at parties is that most non-economists think this sort of voodoo is what economists do.</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194295</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 07:19:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194295</guid>
		<description>#23: You, liberal un-American pussy. Weather should be happy she&#039;s not being sued by the Realtors for all she&#039;s got.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>#23: You, liberal un-American pussy. Weather should be happy she&#8217;s not being sued by the Realtors for all she&#8217;s got.</p>
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		<title>By: radek</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194275</link>
		<dc:creator>radek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 01:01:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194275</guid>
		<description>When you think of all the bad things in the world that get blamed on Weather it&#039;s... well,... it&#039;s just not fair! Housing market sucks cuz of the Weather. The home team lost cuz of the Weather. Old people&#039;s bones hurt because of the Weather. People are cranky because of the Weather. Files take long to download and webpages crash because of the Weather. George Bush got elected because of the Weather. Some (partial) series won&#039;t sum because of the Weather. Girls pay no attention to me because of the Weather. The weather is bad because of the Weather.

Nobody sticks up for poor ol&#039; Weather. Even if they say &quot;nice Weather&quot; it&#039;s usually in the context of &quot;I didn&#039;t do my work because the Weather was so nice&quot; - the Weather is to blame!. We need to have a WAP. A Weather Appreciation Day. Better yet make it a month. I vote February. In the meantime, when you go outside tomorrow, say &quot;How&#039;s it going, Weather, how is your day?&quot; be it rain, or hail, or snow. The Weather will appreciate it.

Here&#039;s more proof that the Weather gets short shrift:
http://wwwa.accuweather.com/kids/worst.asp
Where&#039;s the fair and balanced &quot;Best Weather Cartoon&quot;?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>When you think of all the bad things in the world that get blamed on Weather it&#8217;s&#8230; well,&#8230; it&#8217;s just not fair! Housing market sucks cuz of the Weather. The home team lost cuz of the Weather. Old people&#8217;s bones hurt because of the Weather. People are cranky because of the Weather. Files take long to download and webpages crash because of the Weather. George Bush got elected because of the Weather. Some (partial) series won&#8217;t sum because of the Weather. Girls pay no attention to me because of the Weather. The weather is bad because of the Weather.</p>

	<p>Nobody sticks up for poor ol&#8217; Weather. Even if they say &#8220;nice Weather&#8221; it&#8217;s usually in the context of &#8220;I didn&#8217;t do my work because the Weather was so nice&#8221; &#8211; the Weather is to blame!. We need to have a <span class="caps">WAP</span>. A Weather Appreciation Day. Better yet make it a month. I vote February. In the meantime, when you go outside tomorrow, say &#8220;How&#8217;s it going, Weather, how is your day?&#8221; be it rain, or hail, or snow. The Weather will appreciate it.</p>

	<p>Here&#8217;s more proof that the Weather gets short shrift:<br />
<a href="http://wwwa.accuweather.com/kids/worst.asp" rel="nofollow">http://wwwa.accuweather.com/kids/worst.asp</a><br />
Where&#8217;s the fair and balanced &#8220;Best Weather Cartoon&#8221;?</p>
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		<title>By: MikeJ</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194273</link>
		<dc:creator>MikeJ</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 00:28:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194273</guid>
		<description>&quot;And if weather had no effect on the real estate market, house sales in Canada in January would be the same as in June. Guess what—they’re not.&quot;

I thought that was the effect of people not wanting to move while the kids were in school.  I suppose we could look at what happens in the southern hemisphere for a control.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;And if weather had no effect on the real estate market, house sales in Canada in January would be the same as in June. Guess what&#8212;they&#8217;re not.&#8221;</p>

	<p>I thought that was the effect of people not wanting to move while the kids were in school.  I suppose we could look at what happens in the southern hemisphere for a control.</p>
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		<title>By: Tom T.</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194272</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom T.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2007 00:01:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194272</guid>
		<description>You&#039;re confusing weather and climate.

(kidding)....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>You&#8217;re confusing weather and climate.</p>

	<p>(kidding)&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: dearieme</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194267</link>
		<dc:creator>dearieme</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Apr 2007 23:11:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194267</guid>
		<description>6% of economists just write footnotes to Smith.
79% of economists tend towards &quot;Shaman for Rationalizing the Juju.”
82% of statistics are made up on the spot.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>6% of economists just write footnotes to Smith.<br />
79% of economists tend towards &#8220;Shaman for Rationalizing the Juju.&#8221;<br />
82% of statistics are made up on the spot.</p>
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		<title>By: wolfgang</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194266</link>
		<dc:creator>wolfgang</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Apr 2007 22:59:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194266</guid>
		<description>&gt; Sales of existing homes plunged [..] reflecting bad weather

I thought people buy homes (at least to some extent) to be protected from bad weather...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>> Sales of existing homes plunged [..] reflecting bad weather</p>

	<p>I thought people buy homes (at least to some extent) to be protected from bad weather&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: nick s</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194264</link>
		<dc:creator>nick s</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Apr 2007 22:31:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194264</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;So why does he get quoted? Or at least, without a qualifier.&lt;/i&gt;

Journalists are lazy. Deadlines are tight.

Quotemills exist in lots of sectors. They&#039;re the equivalent of Z-list celebs who&#039;ll show up to the opening of a crisp packet. Camille Paglia for socio-bullshit, Rob Enderle for tech bullshit, and I&#039;m sure that people could come up with other reliable Rolodex entries in their own fields.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>So why does he get quoted? Or at least, without a qualifier.</i></p>

	<p>Journalists are lazy. Deadlines are tight.</p>

	<p>Quotemills exist in lots of sectors. They&#8217;re the equivalent of Z-list celebs who&#8217;ll show up to the opening of a crisp packet. Camille Paglia for socio-bullshit, Rob Enderle for tech bullshit, and I&#8217;m sure that people could come up with other reliable Rolodex entries in their own fields.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Thomas</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/comment-page-1/#comment-194261</link>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Apr 2007 21:47:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/04/24/weather/#comment-194261</guid>
		<description>Lereah may be as bad as many suggest, but this example doesn&#039;t prove it.  After all, the following is what Lereah had to say about January&#039;s news:

David Lereah, NAR’s chief economist, said observers shouldn’t overreact to the sales gain, or to other short-term effects.  “Although we’re expecting existing-home sales to gradually rise this year, and buyers are responding to the price correction, some unusually warm weather helped boost sales in January,” he said.  “On the flip side, the winter storms that disrupted so much of the country in February could negatively impact the housing market. 

http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2007/ehs_feb07_existing_home_sales_improve.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Lereah may be as bad as many suggest, but this example doesn&#8217;t prove it.  After all, the following is what Lereah had to say about January&#8217;s news:</p>

	<p>David Lereah, <span class="caps">NAR</span>&#8217;s chief economist, said observers shouldn&#8217;t overreact to the sales gain, or to other short-term effects.  &#8220;Although we&#8217;re expecting existing-home sales to gradually rise this year, and buyers are responding to the price correction, some unusually warm weather helped boost sales in January,&#8221; he said.  &#8220;On the flip side, the winter storms that disrupted so much of the country in February could negatively impact the housing market.</p>

	<p><a href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2007/ehs_feb07_existing_home_sales_improve.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2007/ehs_feb07_existing_home_sales_improve.html</a></p>
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