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	<title>Comments on: Profits and Loss</title>
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	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: SG</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-200348</link>
		<dc:creator>SG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Jun 2007 02:03:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-200348</guid>
		<description>dsquared, can profits be modelled by taking into account the role of share holders? I know absolutely zero about economics, but since these mysterious people seem to be always the reason given for companies making stupendous profits, wouldn`t that be a good starting point? For example, they could be treated like a kind of bank, with infinite capital and a variable rate of repayment on their &quot;loan&quot;, which can be as low as zero but has to be repaid for an infinitely long period of time. Then any company which &quot;floated&quot; in your dynamic model would have to earn an amount above the equilibrium state forever in order to pay off this &quot;bank&quot;. Am I barking up the wrong tree? I find it really hard to believe that the supposed central motive of all of business is absent from the supposed central theory of all of business...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>dsquared, can profits be modelled by taking into account the role of share holders? I know absolutely zero about economics, but since these mysterious people seem to be always the reason given for companies making stupendous profits, wouldn`t that be a good starting point? For example, they could be treated like a kind of bank, with infinite capital and a variable rate of repayment on their &#8220;loan&#8221;, which can be as low as zero but has to be repaid for an infinitely long period of time. Then any company which &#8220;floated&#8221; in your dynamic model would have to earn an amount above the equilibrium state forever in order to pay off this &#8220;bank&#8221;. Am I barking up the wrong tree? I find it really hard to believe that the supposed central motive of all of business is absent from the supposed central theory of all of business&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Gdr</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-200267</link>
		<dc:creator>Gdr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jun 2007 15:46:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-200267</guid>
		<description>#82: Misleading jargon tells us something about the beliefs and attitudes of the people who coined and popularized the jargon.  For example, in mathematics the misleading terms &quot;real number&quot; and &quot;imaginary number&quot; tell us something about the attitudes of Descartes and his contemporaries.

Misleading jargon can also help perpetuate those beliefs: many people continue to wrongly believe that &quot;real numbers&quot; are more real than &quot;imaginary numbers&quot;; it&#039;s hard to avoid the suspicion that the terminology has had something to do with this.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>#82: Misleading jargon tells us something about the beliefs and attitudes of the people who coined and popularized the jargon.  For example, in mathematics the misleading terms &#8220;real number&#8221; and &#8220;imaginary number&#8221; tell us something about the attitudes of Descartes and his contemporaries.</p>

	<p>Misleading jargon can also help perpetuate those beliefs: many people continue to wrongly believe that &#8220;real numbers&#8221; are more real than &#8220;imaginary numbers&#8221;; it&#8217;s hard to avoid the suspicion that the terminology has had something to do with this.</p>
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		<title>By: dsquared</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-200239</link>
		<dc:creator>dsquared</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jun 2007 10:48:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-200239</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Combining them and allowing for intereaction between them is just plain hard&lt;/i&gt;

You keep saying this, but it&#039;s not hard.  It&#039;s hard to do it in a closed-form mathematical model of the type that gets published in the AER, but that&#039;s a bad thing about the AER and is kind of the point.  &quot;The New Industrial State&quot; is a whole book about profit, planning and corporate power and its effects on the aggregate economy, and it&#039;s not all that hard.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Combining them and allowing for intereaction between them is just plain hard</i></p>

	<p>You keep saying this, but it&#8217;s not hard.  It&#8217;s hard to do it in a closed-form mathematical model of the type that gets published in the <span class="caps">AER</span>, but that&#8217;s a bad thing about the <span class="caps">AER</span> and is kind of the point.  &#8220;The New Industrial State&#8221; is a whole book about profit, planning and corporate power and its effects on the aggregate economy, and it&#8217;s not all that hard.</p>
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		<title>By: Eric Nilsson</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-200119</link>
		<dc:creator>Eric Nilsson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jun 2007 18:56:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-200119</guid>
		<description>In the math models of mainstream economists there is the variable called &quot;profit.&quot; In the real world there is also something called &quot;profits.&quot; 

But just because the same word (&quot;profits&quot;) appears in the math model and in the real world, this does not mean they refer to the same thing.

Indeed, we have no reason to suppose that the &quot;variable called profits&quot; tells us anything about profits in the real world. If I renamed my cat Max, giving him the new name &quot;Profits,&quot; I have no reason to suppose that because Profits (aka, Max) sleeps alot that in the real world profits sleep alot.

Mainstream economists have yet to clearly indicate what the relationship is between their models and the &quot;real world.&quot; Just because the models and the real world utilize the same labels (for different things), this does not mean the math model &quot;says&quot; anything about the real world.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>In the math models of mainstream economists there is the variable called &#8220;profit.&#8221; In the real world there is also something called &#8220;profits.&#8221;</p>

	<p>But just because the same word (&#8220;profits&#8221;) appears in the math model and in the real world, this does not mean they refer to the same thing.</p>

	<p>Indeed, we have no reason to suppose that the &#8220;variable called profits&#8221; tells us anything about profits in the real world. If I renamed my cat Max, giving him the new name &#8220;Profits,&#8221; I have no reason to suppose that because Profits (aka, Max) sleeps alot that in the real world profits sleep alot.</p>

	<p>Mainstream economists have yet to clearly indicate what the relationship is between their models and the &#8220;real world.&#8221; Just because the models and the real world utilize the same labels (for different things), this does not mean the math model &#8220;says&#8221; anything about the real world.</p>
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		<title>By: notsneaky</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-200117</link>
		<dc:creator>notsneaky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jun 2007 18:49:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-200117</guid>
		<description>daniel, aside from a critique of my choice of words, what is your point? 

Over and over in this thread it&#039;s been pointed out that there plenty of both micro and macro models with positive profits in them. Look through the past, I dunno, five issues of AER and count the # of models with zero profits. Even the infamous DSGE models often assume monopolistic competition.

The only thing I agreed to, I think - not sure what you&#039;re referring to - is that it&#039;s hard to have a GE model with a general theory of imperfect competition. While every competititve market is roughly the same, each imperfectly competititve market is special. Combining them and allowing for intereaction between them is just plain hard.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>daniel, aside from a critique of my choice of words, what is your point?</p>

	<p>Over and over in this thread it&#8217;s been pointed out that there plenty of both micro and macro models with positive profits in them. Look through the past, I dunno, five issues of <span class="caps">AER</span> and count the # of models with zero profits. Even the infamous <span class="caps">DSGE</span> models often assume monopolistic competition.</p>

	<p>The only thing I agreed to, I think &#8211; not sure what you&#8217;re referring to &#8211; is that it&#8217;s hard to have a GE model with a general theory of imperfect competition. While every competititve market is roughly the same, each imperfectly competititve market is special. Combining them and allowing for intereaction between them is just plain hard.</p>
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		<title>By: J Thomas</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-200091</link>
		<dc:creator>J Thomas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jun 2007 16:35:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-200091</guid>
		<description>Gdr, I don&#039;t know much about economics either, but I know you can&#039;t tell much at all about what jargon means from the way it sounds.

I have the strong impression that &quot;mainstream economics&quot; includes the idea that apart from monopolies etc all profit is just something that happens naturally for the good of the whole economy, and it also includes the idea that weird things can happen away from equilibrium but that things tend toward equilibrium where weird things stop happening and &quot;profit&quot; balances out with the cost for needed expansion and the cost of capital and so on.

I think &quot;mainstream economics&quot; includes a lot of variety, and for many ideas that get the label you can find some mainstream economists who disagree with them. But that variety still leaves a whole lot of room for heterodox economics which is labeled as not mainstream.

Sometimes the difference between mainstream and heterodox is just in who&#039;s saying it. In genetics, at one point there was a &quot;neoclassical synthesis&quot; that put together most of the genetics known at that time into a coherent whole. You could mostly tell what was part of the neoclassical movement and what wasn&#039;t, though there was some variety within it. I don&#039;t think we have that in economics now.

However, there is a normative economic philosophy that is espoused by a lot of amatuer economists, that goes roughly: &quot;Whatever happens in a free-market economy is good and is the best that could possibly happen, unless a government is involved.&quot; This is similar to the oldstyle view in ecology that ecosystems are each optimised for something-or-other and are as good as they possibly could be so long as human beings aren&#039;t involved. And these people believe that this simple wrong idea is derived from mainstream economics. I can&#039;t prove that it isn&#039;t.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Gdr, I don&#8217;t know much about economics either, but I know you can&#8217;t tell much at all about what jargon means from the way it sounds.</p>

	<p>I have the strong impression that &#8220;mainstream economics&#8221; includes the idea that apart from monopolies etc all profit is just something that happens naturally for the good of the whole economy, and it also includes the idea that weird things can happen away from equilibrium but that things tend toward equilibrium where weird things stop happening and &#8220;profit&#8221; balances out with the cost for needed expansion and the cost of capital and so on.</p>

	<p>I think &#8220;mainstream economics&#8221; includes a lot of variety, and for many ideas that get the label you can find some mainstream economists who disagree with them. But that variety still leaves a whole lot of room for heterodox economics which is labeled as not mainstream.</p>

	<p>Sometimes the difference between mainstream and heterodox is just in who&#8217;s saying it. In genetics, at one point there was a &#8220;neoclassical synthesis&#8221; that put together most of the genetics known at that time into a coherent whole. You could mostly tell what was part of the neoclassical movement and what wasn&#8217;t, though there was some variety within it. I don&#8217;t think we have that in economics now.</p>

	<p>However, there is a normative economic philosophy that is espoused by a lot of amatuer economists, that goes roughly: &#8220;Whatever happens in a free-market economy is good and is the best that could possibly happen, unless a government is involved.&#8221; This is similar to the oldstyle view in ecology that ecosystems are each optimised for something-or-other and are as good as they possibly could be so long as human beings aren&#8217;t involved. And these people believe that this simple wrong idea is derived from mainstream economics. I can&#8217;t prove that it isn&#8217;t.</p>
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		<title>By: Gdr</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-200078</link>
		<dc:creator>Gdr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jun 2007 15:43:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-200078</guid>
		<description>I know very little about economics, but it seems to me that something&#039;s fishy when positive economic profits (surely a very common, even usual case) go by the names &quot;supernormal profits&quot; and &quot;abnormal profits&quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I know very little about economics, but it seems to me that something&#8217;s fishy when positive economic profits (surely a very common, even usual case) go by the names &#8220;supernormal profits&#8221; and &#8220;abnormal profits&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>By: dsquared</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-199980</link>
		<dc:creator>dsquared</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jun 2007 06:25:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-199980</guid>
		<description>Elliot, if you can&#039;t think of profits in the financial services industry in the long term, you&#039;re not imagining hard enough.

Radek: How jolly, &lt;i&gt;jolly&lt;/i&gt; decent of mainstream economics to &quot;allow for&quot; accounting and economic profits!  I don&#039;t think I&#039;d ever suggested that economists had banned them.  However, &quot;mainstream economics&quot; does not, as I think you agreed not so long ago, work on the basis of models in which economic profits are systematically nonzero and positive.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Elliot, if you can&#8217;t think of profits in the financial services industry in the long term, you&#8217;re not imagining hard enough.</p>

	<p>Radek: How jolly, <i>jolly</i> decent of mainstream economics to &#8220;allow for&#8221; accounting and economic profits!  I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;d ever suggested that economists had banned them.  However, &#8220;mainstream economics&#8221; does not, as I think you agreed not so long ago, work on the basis of models in which economic profits are systematically nonzero and positive.</p>
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		<title>By: elliottg</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-199957</link>
		<dc:creator>elliottg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jun 2007 03:03:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-199957</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m confused.  Everyone arguing for the idea that profits are a big problem.  I can&#039;t think of an industry where long term profits exist with the possible exception of oil and pharmaceuticals; certainly not airlines, automobiles, finanacial services, or computers.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I&#8217;m confused.  Everyone arguing for the idea that profits are a big problem.  I can&#8217;t think of an industry where long term profits exist with the possible exception of oil and pharmaceuticals; certainly not airlines, automobiles, finanacial services, or computers.</p>
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		<title>By: Walt</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-199940</link>
		<dc:creator>Walt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Jun 2007 23:30:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-199940</guid>
		<description>That&#039;s the definition we all use in the real world, notsneaky.  We&#039;re very sensitive to the whims and fancies of Daniel Davies.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>That&#8217;s the definition we all use in the real world, notsneaky.  We&#8217;re very sensitive to the whims and fancies of Daniel Davies.</p>
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		<title>By: notsneaky</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-199909</link>
		<dc:creator>notsneaky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Jun 2007 18:05:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-199909</guid>
		<description>Then what are these &quot;Profits in the ordinary language sense of the word&quot; that mainstream economics refuses to consider? As has been pointed out mainstream economics allows for both accounting and economic profits. 

Are they just &quot;profits arising in a model/theory which is aesthetically pleasing to the whims and fancies of Daniel Davies&quot;?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Then what are these &#8220;Profits in the ordinary language sense of the word&#8221; that mainstream economics refuses to consider? As has been pointed out mainstream economics allows for both accounting and economic profits.</p>

	<p>Are they just &#8220;profits arising in a model/theory which is aesthetically pleasing to the whims and fancies of Daniel Davies&#8221;?</p>
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		<title>By: Walt</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-199891</link>
		<dc:creator>Walt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Jun 2007 14:25:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-199891</guid>
		<description>Why do you say that, notsneaky?  Businesspeople and investors, for example, are well-aware that the accounting profits that appear in a balance sheet are only a proxy for the true profit number.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Why do you say that, notsneaky?  Businesspeople and investors, for example, are well-aware that the accounting profits that appear in a balance sheet are only a proxy for the true profit number.</p>
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		<title>By: dsquared</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-199874</link>
		<dc:creator>dsquared</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Jun 2007 11:24:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-199874</guid>
		<description>No, radek, &quot;profits&quot; in the ordinary language sense of the term are cash that the owner can take out, over and above depreciation and the cost of capital.  The accountant&#039;s use of &quot;profit&quot; to mean accruals profit is another specialised one.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>No, radek, &#8220;profits&#8221; in the ordinary language sense of the term are cash that the owner can take out, over and above depreciation and the cost of capital.  The accountant&#8217;s use of &#8220;profit&#8221; to mean accruals profit is another specialised one.</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-199856</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Jun 2007 06:41:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-199856</guid>
		<description>J Thomas, sounds like you may want to read Going Postal by Mark Ames (Going Postal: Rage, Murder, and Rebellion: From Reagan&#039;s Workplaces to Clinton&#039;s Columbine and Beyond); it has lots of stuff about socio-economics of slavery vs. &#039;new deal&#039;/&#039;great society&#039; model vs. &#039;Reagan revolution&#039;/neoliberalism model. Excellent book.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>J Thomas, sounds like you may want to read Going Postal by Mark Ames (Going Postal: Rage, Murder, and Rebellion: From Reagan&#8217;s Workplaces to Clinton&#8217;s Columbine and Beyond); it has lots of stuff about socio-economics of slavery vs. &#8216;new deal&#8217;/&#8217;great society&#8217; model vs. &#8216;Reagan revolution&#8217;/neoliberalism model. Excellent book.</p>
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		<title>By: notsneaky</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/comment-page-2/#comment-199848</link>
		<dc:creator>notsneaky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Jun 2007 03:36:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/06/07/profits-and-loss/#comment-199848</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;“Profits” in the ordinary language sense of the word&lt;/i&gt;

Profits in the ordinary language sense of the word are accounting profits. There&#039;s not a single neoclassical/mainstream/GE model that insists on accounting profits being zero. So ...

what the hell are you talking about???</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>&#8220;Profits&#8221; in the ordinary language sense of the word</i></p>

	<p>Profits in the ordinary language sense of the word are accounting profits. There&#8217;s not a single neoclassical/mainstream/GE model that insists on accounting profits being zero. So &#8230;</p>

	<p>what the hell are you talking about???</p>
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