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	<title>Comments on: Chaos Hawks and Quagmires</title>
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	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: bi</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210580</link>
		<dc:creator>bi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Sep 2007 17:46:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210580</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-210540&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Ignore ignore ignore&lt;/a&gt;. Ignore all Stalinist statistics. Ignore ignore ignore!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><a href="#comment-210540" rel="nofollow">Ignore ignore ignore</a>. Ignore all Stalinist statistics. Ignore ignore ignore!</p>
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		<title>By: richard</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210561</link>
		<dc:creator>richard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Sep 2007 14:54:33 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;i&gt;Since the Sunni are a small minority, I’d hazard a guess that the ‘all’ is effectively a weighted average.&lt;/i&gt;

Did anyone else catch the disturbing little side note on NPR&#039;s &lt;i&gt;Talk of the Nation&lt;/i&gt; (10 sept) in which a series of ABC polls, with a cumulative &lt;i&gt;n&lt;/i&gt; of 4400, got 47% Shi&#039;ites and 37% Sunnis across Iraq? Gary Langer observed, with admirable sangfroid, that the much-spouted 65% Shi&#039;ite/20% Sunni proportion came from an &quot;unsourced claim in the CIA world factbook.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Since the Sunni are a small minority, I&#8217;d hazard a guess that the &#8216;all&#8217; is effectively a weighted average.</i></p>

	<p>Did anyone else catch the disturbing little side note on <span class="caps">NPR</span>&#8217;s <i>Talk of the Nation</i> (10 sept) in which a series of <span class="caps">ABC</span> polls, with a cumulative <i>n</i> of 4400, got 47% Shi&#8217;ites and 37% Sunnis across Iraq? Gary Langer observed, with admirable sangfroid, that the much-spouted 65% Shi&#8217;ite/20% Sunni proportion came from an &#8220;unsourced claim in the <span class="caps">CIA</span> world factbook.&#8221; </p>
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		<title>By: Ragout</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210554</link>
		<dc:creator>Ragout</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Sep 2007 12:58:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210554</guid>
		<description>SG,

I don&#039;t know why you&#039;re trying to hijack this thread and make it about Israel-Palestine.  But anyway, your out-of-context quote is slanderous because it makes it sound like I was making some universal claim about all Palestinians.  Rather, I was pointing to the well-documented fact that many Palestinian parents encourage their children to become &quot;martyrs.&quot;  Some are quoted in the article I linked to in the other thread.  You can choose to ignore this reality, just as you want to ignore the BBC&#039;s poll, but don&#039;t blame me for the facts.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>SG,</p>

	<p>I don&#8217;t know why you&#8217;re trying to hijack this thread and make it about Israel-Palestine.  But anyway, your out-of-context quote is slanderous because it makes it sound like I was making some universal claim about all Palestinians.  Rather, I was pointing to the well-documented fact that many Palestinian parents encourage their children to become &#8220;martyrs.&#8221;  Some are quoted in the article I linked to in the other thread.  You can choose to ignore this reality, just as you want to ignore the <span class="caps">BBC</span>&#8217;s poll, but don&#8217;t blame me for the facts.</p>
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		<title>By: bi</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210540</link>
		<dc:creator>bi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Sep 2007 05:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210540</guid>
		<description>abb1:

&quot;Q22 Overall, do you think the presence of US forces in Iraq is making security in our country better, worse, or having no effect on the security situation?
&lt;b&gt;Worse&lt;/b&gt;: All 72% Sunni arab 95% Shia arab 73%&quot;

Another Stalinist statistic. Ignore ignore ignore. You never saw this statistic. What, what statistic?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>abb1:</p>

	<p>&#8220;Q22 Overall, do you think the presence of US forces in Iraq is making security in our country better, worse, or having no effect on the security situation?<br />
<b>Worse</b>: All 72% Sunni arab 95% Shia arab 73%&#8221;</p>

	<p>Another Stalinist statistic. Ignore ignore ignore. You never saw this statistic. What, what statistic?</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: SG</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210519</link>
		<dc:creator>SG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 23:39:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210519</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;
Palestinian parents who encourage their children to throw stones at Israeli troops and become “martyrs.”
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
oh Ragout, is the basis for your claim I have &quot;slandered&quot; you that I wrote &quot;raise&quot; rather than &quot;encourage&quot;? And if it is slander to misrepresent such a &lt;i&gt;vital&lt;/i&gt; word, does it also slander Palestinian parents to write what you wrote? Or are they subject to different standards?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote><br />
Palestinian parents who encourage their children to throw stones at Israeli troops and become &#8220;martyrs.&#8221;<br />
</blockquote><br />
oh Ragout, is the basis for your claim I have &#8220;slandered&#8221; you that I wrote &#8220;raise&#8221; rather than &#8220;encourage&#8221;? And if it is slander to misrepresent such a <i>vital</i> word, does it also slander Palestinian parents to write what you wrote? Or are they subject to different standards?</p>
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		<title>By: Ragout</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210517</link>
		<dc:creator>Ragout</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 23:26:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210517</guid>
		<description>SG,

My concern, or lack of concern, for the Iraqi people is hardly relevant.  The credibility of the poll depends on the pollsters and their sponsors (the BBC, ABC, etc.), not on me.  

I&#039;ll ignore your slanderous claim about Palestinian parents: anyone who wants to &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.crookedtimber.org/2007/08/24/hobbesian-hegemonys-not-perfect-but-its-better-than-what-we-have-now/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt; read what I wrote&lt;/a&gt; is welcome to.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>SG,</p>

	<p>My concern, or lack of concern, for the Iraqi people is hardly relevant.  The credibility of the poll depends on the pollsters and their sponsors (the <span class="caps">BBC</span>, ABC, etc.), not on me.</p>

	<p>I&#8217;ll ignore your slanderous claim about Palestinian parents: anyone who wants to <a href="http://www.crookedtimber.org/2007/08/24/hobbesian-hegemonys-not-perfect-but-its-better-than-what-we-have-now/" rel="nofollow"> read what I wrote</a> is welcome to.</p>
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		<title>By: MFA</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210451</link>
		<dc:creator>MFA</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 16:28:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210451</guid>
		<description>Ragout,

It&#039;s easy to square it. 

They want THEIR security to improve and recognize that if the coalition troops leave sectarian violence may increase. 

But they don&#039;t give a flying fig about the security of the occupiers who caused the problem in the first place.

It&#039;s similar to how some US conservatives view the Constitution. Necessary to protect their rights, but unwelcome nevertheless, and so subject to frequent attack.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Ragout,</p>

	<p>It&#8217;s easy to square it.</p>

	<p>They want <span class="caps">THEIR</span> security to improve and recognize that if the coalition troops leave sectarian violence may increase.</p>

	<p>But they don&#8217;t give a flying fig about the security of the occupiers who caused the problem in the first place.</p>

	<p>It&#8217;s similar to how some US conservatives view the Constitution. Necessary to protect their rights, but unwelcome nevertheless, and so subject to frequent attack.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: MFA</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210447</link>
		<dc:creator>MFA</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 16:23:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210447</guid>
		<description>Since the Sunni are a small minority, I&#039;d hazard a guess that the &#039;all&#039; is effectively a weighted average.

Odd that Petraus is claiming all that success among the Sunni in Anbar, yet the vast majority of them want us out right effing now because they think his surge has made it worse.

Perhaps some enterprising Senator or Representative will mention the incongruity.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Since the Sunni are a small minority, I&#8217;d hazard a guess that the &#8216;all&#8217; is effectively a weighted average.</p>

	<p>Odd that Petraus is claiming all that success among the Sunni in Anbar, yet the vast majority of them want us out right effing now because they think his surge has made it worse.</p>

	<p>Perhaps some enterprising Senator or Representative will mention the incongruity.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: SG</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210445</link>
		<dc:creator>SG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 16:06:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210445</guid>
		<description>ragout also believes Palestinian parents raise their children to be martyrs. I am suspicious about ragout&#039;s concern for the true voice of the Iraqi people.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>ragout also believes Palestinian parents raise their children to be martyrs. I am suspicious about ragout&#8217;s concern for the true voice of the Iraqi people.</p>
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		<title>By: Jack</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210438</link>
		<dc:creator>Jack</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 15:14:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210438</guid>
		<description>The Kurds?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>The Kurds?</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210412</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 12:49:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210412</guid>
		<description>Q21 How long do you think US and other Coalition forces should remain in Iraq? Should they leave now, remain until security is restored, remain until the Iraqi government is stronger, remain until Iraqi security forces can operate independently, remain longer but leave eventually, or never leave?
&lt;b&gt;Leave now&lt;/b&gt;: All 47% Sunni arab 72% Shia arab 44%

Q22 Overall, do you think the presence of US forces in Iraq is making security in our country better, worse, or having no effect on the security situation?
&lt;b&gt;Worse&lt;/b&gt;: All 72% Sunni arab 95% Shia arab 73%

Yeah, I agree, &lt;a href=&quot;http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/10_09_07_iraqpoll.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;it is weird&lt;/a&gt; (pdf).

Also, in Q22, obviously you don&#039;t get get &quot;All 72%&quot; from 95% and 73%; why didn&#039;t they add the third column? What&#039;s the percentage of respondents in each column?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><span class="caps">Q21 </span>How long do you think US and other Coalition forces should remain in Iraq? Should they leave now, remain until security is restored, remain until the Iraqi government is stronger, remain until Iraqi security forces can operate independently, remain longer but leave eventually, or never leave?<br />
<b>Leave now</b>: All 47% Sunni arab 72% Shia arab 44%</p>

	<p><span class="caps">Q22 </span>Overall, do you think the presence of US forces in Iraq is making security in our country better, worse, or having no effect on the security situation?<br />
<b>Worse</b>: All 72% Sunni arab 95% Shia arab 73%</p>

	<p>Yeah, I agree, <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/10_09_07_iraqpoll.pdf" rel="nofollow">it is weird</a> (pdf).</p>

	<p>Also, in <span class="caps">Q22</span>, obviously you don&#8217;t get get &#8220;All 72%&#8221; from 95% and 73%; why didn&#8217;t they add the third column? What&#8217;s the percentage of respondents in each column?</p>
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		<title>By: Ragout</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210410</link>
		<dc:creator>Ragout</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 12:25:24 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>It&#039;s worth noting that polls consistently show that the Iraqis don&#039;t want us to leave.  If you look at the poll Norbizness links to, you find that 53% of Iraqis wants US troops to &quot;remain until security is restored&quot; or something similar.   A total of 47% say &quot;leave now&quot; which makes this the first poll I&#039;ve seen with anything close to a majority choosing this option.  According to the same pollsters, earlier this year only 35% wanted US troops to &quot;leave now.&quot;

How this squares with a majority finding attacks on US forces to be acceptable, I don&#039;t know.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>It&#8217;s worth noting that polls consistently show that the Iraqis don&#8217;t want us to leave.  If you look at the poll Norbizness links to, you find that 53% of Iraqis wants US troops to &#8220;remain until security is restored&#8221; or something similar.   A total of 47% say &#8220;leave now&#8221; which makes this the first poll I&#8217;ve seen with anything close to a majority choosing this option.  According to the same pollsters, earlier this year only 35% wanted US troops to &#8220;leave now.&#8221;</p>

	<p>How this squares with a majority finding attacks on US forces to be acceptable, I don&#8217;t know.</p>
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		<title>By: Alex</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210406</link>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 11:50:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210406</guid>
		<description>&quot;Chaos Hawks&quot; would be a great name for an outlaw motorcycle club, no?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;Chaos Hawks&#8221; would be a great name for an outlaw motorcycle club, no?</p>
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		<title>By: Katherine</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210384</link>
		<dc:creator>Katherine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 09:59:42 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Um, I&#039;m no cheerleader for decades of British action in Northern Ireland, but as an analogy with Iraq it&#039;s pretty off.  Unless you count the start of the Iraqi occupation as the equivalent of William of Orange barging into Ireland in the 17th Century or Cromwell&#039;s earlier invasion, in which case the US had best get ready to be in there for the long haul indeed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Um, I&#8217;m no cheerleader for decades of British action in Northern Ireland, but as an analogy with Iraq it&#8217;s pretty off.  Unless you count the start of the Iraqi occupation as the equivalent of William of Orange barging into Ireland in the 17th Century or Cromwell&#8217;s earlier invasion, in which case the US had best get ready to be in there for the long haul indeed.</p>
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		<title>By: Mudge</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/comment-page-1/#comment-210368</link>
		<dc:creator>Mudge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Sep 2007 07:10:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/10/chaos-hawks-and-quagmires/#comment-210368</guid>
		<description>Oh how I miss Billmon. He had rare insight.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Oh how I miss Billmon. He had rare insight.</p>
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