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	<title>Comments on: Prins and Rayner on Kyoto</title>
	<atom:link href="http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: engels</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-216161</link>
		<dc:creator>engels</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Nov 2007 04:22:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-216161</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;I gather you are in favour of capitulation to the Islamofascists. After all, they hate you for your morals.&lt;/i&gt;

Is this supposed to be a parody?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>I gather you are in favour of capitulation to the Islamofascists. After all, they hate you for your morals.</i></p>

	<p>Is this supposed to be a parody?</p>
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		<title>By: mugwump</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-216136</link>
		<dc:creator>mugwump</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2007 23:39:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-216136</guid>
		<description>RE #47: If people are violent towards me because I hold a differing moral viewpoint, then they deserve all they get.

I gather you are in favour of capitulation to the Islamofascists. After all, they hate you for your morals.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><span class="caps">RE </span>#47: If people are violent towards me because I hold a differing moral viewpoint, then they deserve all they get.</p>

	<p>I gather you are in favour of capitulation to the Islamofascists. After all, they hate you for your morals.</p>
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		<title>By: mugwump</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-216134</link>
		<dc:creator>mugwump</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2007 23:35:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-216134</guid>
		<description>RE #45: I can read fine. But your position is ambiguous: either you are claiming Kyoto is a success when CO2 is trading at 7 euro cents a tonne, or you are admitting it is a failure, but claiming that the next round of restrictions will be a success. 

The first position is indefensible, so we can assume you agree Kyoto has thus far failed to reduce CO2 emissions. 

Whether the next round of cuts has any effect remains to be seen. Most likely, if the cuts genuinely bite, CO2 production will simply move to those developing nations that don&#039;t have their own targets, and we&#039;ll see no overall reduction. 

But we will see a transfer of wealth from Europe to the developing nations, which, after all, is the main (unstated) aim of the Kyoto Eurocrats. Just like the communist apparatchiki of yore, the Eurocrats&#039; privileged position is secure regardless of the underlying economic conditions, and Global Warming represents the perfect vehicle for the spread of their soci4list agenda.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><span class="caps">RE </span>#45: I can read fine. But your position is ambiguous: either you are claiming Kyoto is a success when <span class="caps">CO2</span> is trading at 7 euro cents a tonne, or you are admitting it is a failure, but claiming that the next round of restrictions will be a success.</p>

	<p>The first position is indefensible, so we can assume you agree Kyoto has thus far failed to reduce <span class="caps">CO2</span> emissions.</p>

	<p>Whether the next round of cuts has any effect remains to be seen. Most likely, if the cuts genuinely bite, <span class="caps">CO2</span> production will simply move to those developing nations that don&#8217;t have their own targets, and we&#8217;ll see no overall reduction.</p>

	<p>But we will see a transfer of wealth from Europe to the developing nations, which, after all, is the main (unstated) aim of the Kyoto Eurocrats. Just like the communist apparatchiki of yore, the Eurocrats&#8217; privileged position is secure regardless of the underlying economic conditions, and Global Warming represents the perfect vehicle for the spread of their soci4list agenda.</p>
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		<title>By: bi</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-216042</link>
		<dc:creator>bi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2007 19:01:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-216042</guid>
		<description>mugwump&#039;s Plan for Peace and Security: make other people hate you to the point of attacking you, then bomb them into a huge parking lot.

Quick, someone give this guy a Nobel Peace Prize. Now.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>mugwump&#8217;s Plan for Peace and Security: make other people hate you to the point of attacking you, then bomb them into a huge parking lot.</p>

	<p>Quick, someone give this guy a Nobel Peace Prize. Now.</p>
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		<title>By: Tracy W</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215975</link>
		<dc:creator>Tracy W</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2007 09:46:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215975</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Tracy w – that coordination would be like WWII doesn’t mean that the pattern of who coordinates would be like wwii. &lt;/i&gt;

What I meant was that the world, on the whole,  did not do a very good job of coordinating in WWII. To tackle climate change politically we would need *far* more cooperation than in WWII, not the same level. Sorry for not spelling it out in my comment.  

&lt;i&gt;As for the terrible result of WWII, which has been much lamented lately on the far right – &lt;/i&gt;

Okay, I&#039;m lost. What view do you hold about the Soviet&#039;s takeover of Eastern Europe at the end of WWII? Do you lament it? If not, why not?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Tracy w &#8211; that coordination would be like <span class="caps">WWII</span> doesn&#8217;t mean that the pattern of who coordinates would be like wwii. </i></p>

	<p>What I meant was that the world, on the whole,  did not do a very good job of coordinating in <span class="caps">WWII</span>. To tackle climate change politically we would need <strong>far</strong> more cooperation than in <span class="caps">WWII</span>, not the same level. Sorry for not spelling it out in my comment.</p>

	<p><i>As for the terrible result of <span class="caps">WWII</span>, which has been much lamented lately on the far right &#8211; </i></p>

	<p>Okay, I&#8217;m lost. What view do you hold about the Soviet&#8217;s takeover of Eastern Europe at the end of <span class="caps">WWII</span>? Do you lament it? If not, why not?</p>
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		<title>By: John Quiggin</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215962</link>
		<dc:creator>John Quiggin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2007 06:00:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215962</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m an economist, and won&#039;t waste any more typing than this on people who can&#039;t/won&#039;t read.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I&#8217;m an economist, and won&#8217;t waste any more typing than this on people who can&#8217;t/won&#8217;t read.</p>
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		<title>By: mugwump</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215892</link>
		<dc:creator>mugwump</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 18:48:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215892</guid>
		<description>#41: You&#039;re the economist, and you&#039;re the one touting the success of Kyoto, so please tell us, by how much do you think a price of 7 euro cents a tonne has reduced CO2 emissions?

#42: I&#039;m not saying we shouldn&#039;t help the Bangladeshis, just that I don&#039;t believe the rich countries have a &lt;i&gt;moral obligation&lt;/i&gt; to do so just because we have historically been the biggest emitters. The CO2 is a common &quot;bad&quot; that helped create a much larger common good from which all of us (Bangladeshis included) are benefiting.

&lt;blockquote&gt;Current political or religious terrorists don’t go for economic targets; but these would be entirely appropriate for a revenge cult blaming rich countries’ energy wastefulness. It could do an awful lot with a few RPGs or hijacked oil tankers.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
And states that harbor terrorists should be prepared for the &quot;appropriate&quot; response.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>#41: You&#8217;re the economist, and you&#8217;re the one touting the success of Kyoto, so please tell us, by how much do you think a price of 7 euro cents a tonne has reduced <span class="caps">CO2</span> emissions?</p>

	<p>#42: I&#8217;m not saying we shouldn&#8217;t help the Bangladeshis, just that I don&#8217;t believe the rich countries have a <i>moral obligation</i> to do so just because we have historically been the biggest emitters. The <span class="caps">CO2</span> is a common &#8220;bad&#8221; that helped create a much larger common good from which all of us (Bangladeshis included) are benefiting.</p>

	<p><blockquote>Current political or religious terrorists don&#8217;t go for economic targets; but these would be entirely appropriate for a revenge cult blaming rich countries&#8217; energy wastefulness. It could do an awful lot with a few RPGs or hijacked oil tankers.</blockquote><br />
And states that harbor terrorists should be prepared for the &#8220;appropriate&#8221; response.</p>
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		<title>By: roger</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215821</link>
		<dc:creator>roger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 14:04:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215821</guid>
		<description>Tracy w - that coordination would be like WWII doesn&#039;t mean that the pattern of who coordinates would be like wwii. I know, comprehension of a complicated analogy like that one might be difficult. Or it just might be that you are misreading pointlessly. I chose option number two.

As for the terrible result of WWII, which has been much lamented lately on the far right - there&#039;s been a meme about how the U.S. should never have coddled those russians, but attacked for freedom&#039;s sake in 1947! - well, that is one of those swampy little sentiments that derive from the right&#039;s addiction to playing computer war games. After you&#039;ve bought your Clancy approved Limited Nuclear War game and scored the surprise direct hits, you get all warm and hard and Patton-ish.  And you are playing for freedom! Your throwing in of Churchill, the far right&#039;s Britney Spears+Mother Theresa figure, was truly a bonus. Since Churchill signed on quite blithely to send the Russian Displaced persons back to Russia, and felt the main thing to do, after the War, was to retain British rule over its empire, his beliefs about the freedom of Eastern Europe strike me as meaningless rhetorical ploys.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Tracy w &#8211; that coordination would be like <span class="caps">WWII</span> doesn&#8217;t mean that the pattern of who coordinates would be like wwii. I know, comprehension of a complicated analogy like that one might be difficult. Or it just might be that you are misreading pointlessly. I chose option number two.</p>

	<p>As for the terrible result of <span class="caps">WWII</span>, which has been much lamented lately on the far right &#8211; there&#8217;s been a meme about how the U.S. should never have coddled those russians, but attacked for freedom&#8217;s sake in 1947! &#8211; well, that is one of those swampy little sentiments that derive from the right&#8217;s addiction to playing computer war games. After you&#8217;ve bought your Clancy approved Limited Nuclear War game and scored the surprise direct hits, you get all warm and hard and Patton-ish.  And you are playing for freedom! Your throwing in of Churchill, the far right&#8217;s Britney Spears+Mother Theresa figure, was truly a bonus. Since Churchill signed on quite blithely to send the Russian Displaced persons back to Russia, and felt the main thing to do, after the War, was to retain British rule over its empire, his beliefs about the freedom of Eastern Europe strike me as meaningless rhetorical ploys.</p>
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		<title>By: James Wimberley</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215796</link>
		<dc:creator>James Wimberley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 12:51:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215796</guid>
		<description>Mugwump in #38: I tried to point out that compensation &lt;i&gt;won&#039;t work anyway&lt;/i&gt;, like other adaptationist strategies. Mitigation is TINA.
You don&#039;t accept that we rich emitters owe the Bangladeshis anything. OK. Then you might try thinking of the practical consequences of your position. What would be the likely feelings of the tens of millions of Bangladeshis who would very probably be driven from their farms in the Ganges/Brahmaputra flood plain, if they managed to survive? What forms might their resentment take? Current political or religious terrorists don&#039;t go for economic targets; but these would be entirely appropriate for a revenge cult blaming rich countries&#039; energy wastefulness. It could do an awful lot with a few RPGs or hijacked oil tankers.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Mugwump in #38: I tried to point out that compensation <i>won&#8217;t work anyway</i>, like other adaptationist strategies. Mitigation is <span class="caps">TINA</span>.<br />
You don&#8217;t accept that we rich emitters owe the Bangladeshis anything. OK. Then you might try thinking of the practical consequences of your position. What would be the likely feelings of the tens of millions of Bangladeshis who would very probably be driven from their farms in the Ganges/Brahmaputra flood plain, if they managed to survive? What forms might their resentment take? Current political or religious terrorists don&#8217;t go for economic targets; but these would be entirely appropriate for a revenge cult blaming rich countries&#8217; energy wastefulness. It could do an awful lot with a few RPGs or hijacked oil tankers.</p>
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		<title>By: John Quiggin</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215792</link>
		<dc:creator>John Quiggin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 12:46:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215792</guid>
		<description>#37 Indeed, mugwump, if I understand the situation correctly, your Hummer can travel cheaply for another couple of months, until it runs into the new and tighter rules for vehicle emissions, and more expensive emissions credits, that apply from 2008 onwards. Seems like a fair deal to me.

I&#039;m glad you agree on the desirability of Kyoto.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>#37 Indeed, mugwump, if I understand the situation correctly, your Hummer can travel cheaply for another couple of months, until it runs into the new and tighter rules for vehicle emissions, and more expensive emissions credits, that apply from 2008 onwards. Seems like a fair deal to me.</p>

	<p>I&#8217;m glad you agree on the desirability of Kyoto.</p>
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		<title>By: Tracy W</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215756</link>
		<dc:creator>Tracy W</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 09:36:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215756</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;After all, the U.S. had to concede continually to the U.S.S.R during that war. Such concessions cause deep psychological wounds among the denizens of the American right – and unfortunately, these aren’t laughable. &lt;/i&gt;

I think more people than just the American right who were upset by the fact that WWII resulted in many Eastern European nations becoming satellite states of a cruel dictatorship. I am not American, but that result of WWII upset me. And I get the impression from his writings that it upset Churchill, who was only half-American. Personally I think anyone who cares about liberty should be upset by that outcome of WWII. 

&lt;i&gt;They can and will do quite a bit to make the situation infinitely worse.&lt;/i&gt;

Indeed. The lack of democracy in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union probably explains the severe environmental damage in those areas.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>After all, the U.S. had to concede continually to the U.S.S.R during that war. Such concessions cause deep psychological wounds among the denizens of the American right &#8211; and unfortunately, these aren&#8217;t laughable. </i></p>

	<p>I think more people than just the American right who were upset by the fact that <span class="caps">WWII</span> resulted in many Eastern European nations becoming satellite states of a cruel dictatorship. I am not American, but that result of <span class="caps">WWII</span> upset me. And I get the impression from his writings that it upset Churchill, who was only half-American. Personally I think anyone who cares about liberty should be upset by that outcome of <span class="caps">WWII</span>.</p>

	<p><i>They can and will do quite a bit to make the situation infinitely worse.</i></p>

	<p>Indeed. The lack of democracy in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union probably explains the severe environmental damage in those areas.</p>
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		<title>By: Tracy W</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215754</link>
		<dc:creator>Tracy W</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 09:26:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215754</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Instead, coordination between states will have to be at the level it was in, say, WWII&lt;/i&gt;

So you think we can tackle climate change with:
 - a large chunk of the European states doing their best to stay neutral (eg Ireland, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden)
 - China in a state of civil war
 - the Australians hauling home when they feel threatened
 - military occupations of any countries that get in the way of the grand scheme (eg Iran)
 - Germany breaking treaties left, right and centre?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Instead, coordination between states will have to be at the level it was in, say, <span class="caps">WWII</span></i></p>

	<p>So you think we can tackle climate change with: &#8211; a large chunk of the European states doing their best to stay neutral (eg Ireland, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden) &#8211; China in a state of civil war &#8211; the Australians hauling home when they feel threatened &#8211; military occupations of any countries that get in the way of the grand scheme (eg Iran) &#8211; Germany breaking treaties left, right and centre?</p>
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		<title>By: mugwump</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215735</link>
		<dc:creator>mugwump</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 05:54:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215735</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Sure, the Bangladeshis owe “us” a huge bill for the technology “we” have developed for them absolutely gratis (oh really), to deal with problems partly caused by “our” own emissions the first place.&lt;/blockquote&gt;That&#039;s not the technology I am talking about. Happy to write the Bangaldeshis a check for climate damage caused by CO2 if they do not use any &quot;unclean&quot; technology as they modernize. That is, any technology developed anywhere using high CO2 energy. Unfortunately for them, &lt;i&gt;all&lt;/i&gt; technology is unclean, so they&#039;re going to have to modernize without any help from the developed nations.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote>Sure, the Bangladeshis owe &#8220;us&#8221; a huge bill for the technology &#8220;we&#8221; have developed for them absolutely gratis (oh really), to deal with problems partly caused by &#8220;our&#8221; own emissions the first place.</blockquote>That&#8217;s not the technology I am talking about. Happy to write the Bangaldeshis a check for climate damage caused by <span class="caps">CO2</span> if they do not use any &#8220;unclean&#8221; technology as they modernize. That is, any technology developed anywhere using high <span class="caps">CO2</span> energy. Unfortunately for them, <i>all</i> technology is unclean, so they&#8217;re going to have to modernize without any help from the developed nations.</p>
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		<title>By: mugwump</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215734</link>
		<dc:creator>mugwump</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 05:50:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215734</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;To be clear, the alleged spectacular failure is mainly in mugwump’s mind.&lt;/blockquote&gt;The proof is in the market: at 7 euro cents a tonne there ain&#039;t a whole lot of CO2 reduction going on.

[Put that in perspective: your average Hummer produces about 500g of CO2 per km. Let&#039;s say gas costs roughly 1 Euro per liter (it is more in Europe, but this is a rough calculation), and the Hummer gets 5km/liter (a little low, but the low gas price cancels the underestimate).

So the Hummer can travel 2,000km (most of the way across Europe) before producing 1 tonne of CO2 at a cost of 7 Euro cents, but the price of the gas to get there is 400 Euros. So about 0.02% of the cost of driving across Europe in a Hummer is due to its CO2 emissions.

With that level of Hummer disincentive I say what are we waiting for?? Kyoto here we come!]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote>To be clear, the alleged spectacular failure is mainly in mugwump&#8217;s mind.</blockquote>The proof is in the market: at 7 euro cents a tonne there ain&#8217;t a whole lot of <span class="caps">CO2</span> reduction going on.</p>

	<p>[Put that in perspective: your average Hummer produces about 500g of <span class="caps">CO2</span> per km. Let&#8217;s say gas costs roughly 1 Euro per liter (it is more in Europe, but this is a rough calculation), and the Hummer gets 5km/liter (a little low, but the low gas price cancels the underestimate).</p>

	<p>So the Hummer can travel 2,000km (most of the way across Europe) before producing 1 tonne of <span class="caps">CO2</span> at a cost of 7 Euro cents, but the price of the gas to get there is 400 Euros. So about 0.02% of the cost of driving across Europe in a Hummer is due to its <span class="caps">CO2</span> emissions.</p>

	<p>With that level of Hummer disincentive I say what are we waiting for?? Kyoto here we come!]</p>
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		<title>By: bi</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/comment-page-1/#comment-215730</link>
		<dc:creator>bi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Oct 2007 05:17:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2007/10/29/prins-and-rayner-on-kyoto/#comment-215730</guid>
		<description>Sure, the Bangladeshis owe &quot;us&quot; a huge bill for the technology &quot;we&quot; have developed for them absolutely gratis (oh really), to deal with problems partly caused by &quot;our&quot; own emissions the first place.

roger: When people&#039;s very lives are at stake, the most important problem now is to prevent big companies from offshoring their operations.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Sure, the Bangladeshis owe &#8220;us&#8221; a huge bill for the technology &#8220;we&#8221; have developed for them absolutely gratis (oh really), to deal with problems partly caused by &#8220;our&#8221; own emissions the first place.</p>

	<p>roger: When people&#8217;s very lives are at stake, the most important problem now is to prevent big companies from offshoring their operations.</p>
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