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	<title>Comments on: Of Development and Debt</title>
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	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: Davis Real World</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-226691</link>
		<dc:creator>Davis Real World</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 22:40:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-226691</guid>
		<description>[...] Of Development and Debt [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>[...] Of Development and Debt [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Luis Enrique</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-226038</link>
		<dc:creator>Luis Enrique</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Jan 2008 16:57:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-226038</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;This is a fact – it’s actually so well-substantiated a fact that it was quite an achievement on Perkins’ part to make it look like a wild self-aggrandising piece of conspiracy theory.&lt;/i&gt;

This is a genuine request as opposed to &#039;oh yeah, prove it&#039; ... can you supply a few other sources that substantiate this high-pressure salesmanship story? I&#039;d love to read them. (I ought to read Perkins&#039; book too - I have a bunch of other development industry &#039;insider&#039;s stories&#039; sat in my Amazon queue).  

my tuppence: I would think poor countries can end up getting in a lot of trouble via debt funded development projects, even if those projects are sincere attempts to help, just if these projects fail to result in an eventual increase in tax revenues, as would be needed to repay the debt (either because the project itself doesn&#039;t produce the return or because the infrastructure to capture the return via taxation does not exist). You can even ascribe this to do-gooding development lenders not being hard-nosed enough about returns (i.e. they lend where a commercial lender would not) - it doesn&#039;t have to be about money grubbing bastards (although I don&#039;t doubt that goes on too).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>This is a fact &#8211; it&#8217;s actually so well-substantiated a fact that it was quite an achievement on Perkins&#8217; part to make it look like a wild self-aggrandising piece of conspiracy theory.</i></p>

	<p>This is a genuine request as opposed to &#8216;oh yeah, prove it&#8217; &#8230; can you supply a few other sources that substantiate this high-pressure salesmanship story? I&#8217;d love to read them. (I ought to read Perkins&#8217; book too &#8211; I have a bunch of other development industry &#8216;insider&#8217;s stories&#8217; sat in my Amazon queue).</p>

	<p>my tuppence: I would think poor countries can end up getting in a lot of trouble via debt funded development projects, even if those projects are sincere attempts to help, just if these projects fail to result in an eventual increase in tax revenues, as would be needed to repay the debt (either because the project itself doesn&#8217;t produce the return or because the infrastructure to capture the return via taxation does not exist). You can even ascribe this to do-gooding development lenders not being hard-nosed enough about returns (i.e. they lend where a commercial lender would not) &#8211; it doesn&#8217;t have to be about money grubbing bastards (although I don&#8217;t doubt that goes on too).</p>
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		<title>By: notsneaky</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225964</link>
		<dc:creator>notsneaky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Jan 2008 21:51:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225964</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t wanna get into this right now, but just wanted to say that from a purely aesthetic point of view, independent of whether I agree with it or not, CoEH is the second worst book I&#039;ve ever read. The first worst is of course the DaVinci Code and in fact both of these books share a lot of stylistic similarities and read as they were both written by the same guy.

Um ok. The fact that when debt forgiveness has taken place, many of the forgiven have promptly gotten themselves back in debt suggests that there&#039;s a lot of causality going from bad governance to debt. The reverse channel might be there but governance surely has an important and independent role to play.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I don&#8217;t wanna get into this right now, but just wanted to say that from a purely aesthetic point of view, independent of whether I agree with it or not, CoEH is the second worst book I&#8217;ve ever read. The first worst is of course the DaVinci Code and in fact both of these books share a lot of stylistic similarities and read as they were both written by the same guy.</p>

	<p>Um ok. The fact that when debt forgiveness has taken place, many of the forgiven have promptly gotten themselves back in debt suggests that there&#8217;s a lot of causality going from bad governance to debt. The reverse channel might be there but governance surely has an important and independent role to play.</p>
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		<title>By: Gabriel</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225948</link>
		<dc:creator>Gabriel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Jan 2008 16:11:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225948</guid>
		<description>yes, yes, I don&#039;t disagree with that. But you (appear) to take a very cavalier attitude towards default and while I agree it is sometimes necessary I also think countries pay a huge price for it, going beyond the simple higher interests. But in the case of Argentina I agree default was unavoidable.

I&#039;m only sorry for all the poor Italians that bought Argentine debt retail.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>yes, yes, I don&#8217;t disagree with that. But you (appear) to take a very cavalier attitude towards default and while I agree it is sometimes necessary I also think countries pay a huge price for it, going beyond the simple higher interests. But in the case of Argentina I agree default was unavoidable.</p>

	<p>I&#8217;m only sorry for all the poor Italians that bought Argentine debt retail.</p>
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		<title>By: dsquared</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225941</link>
		<dc:creator>dsquared</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Jan 2008 11:03:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225941</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Argentines are happy now because the economy is better but if commodity prices take a turn down opinions will change pretty quickly&lt;/i&gt;

whereas in the neoliberal era when they were paying a huge interest bill, the Argentine economy was completely insulated from commodity price shocks?  The fact that they&#039;ve now had seven years of strong growth which would otherwise have been a pretty nasty depression is quite important in and of itself.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Argentines are happy now because the economy is better but if commodity prices take a turn down opinions will change pretty quickly</i></p>

	<p>whereas in the neoliberal era when they were paying a huge interest bill, the Argentine economy was completely insulated from commodity price shocks?  The fact that they&#8217;ve now had seven years of strong growth which would otherwise have been a pretty nasty depression is quite important in and of itself.</p>
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		<title>By: Gabriel</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225914</link>
		<dc:creator>Gabriel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Jan 2008 00:56:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225914</guid>
		<description>Actually I do think that Thailand&#039;s and Argentina&#039;s access to the markets is and will remain quite different.

Personally I find Kirchner quite a buffoon but opinions differ. Argentines are happy now because the economy is better but if commodity prices take a turn down opinions will change pretty quickly.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Actually I do think that Thailand&#8217;s and Argentina&#8217;s access to the markets is and will remain quite different.</p>

	<p>Personally I find Kirchner quite a buffoon but opinions differ. Argentines are happy now because the economy is better but if commodity prices take a turn down opinions will change pretty quickly.</p>
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		<title>By: John Emerson</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225912</link>
		<dc:creator>John Emerson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Jan 2008 00:26:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225912</guid>
		<description>Rich countries are not rich simply because they exploit poor countries, and rich countries  are not rich because wealth has been transferred from the poor to the rich countries. I agree, and some bastard Chomskyians don&#039;t. 

I do think that underdevelopment is in considerable part the result of rich countries&#039; control of the global economy and world politics, and that over the last 60 years seemingly well-meaning attempts to help the third world didn&#039;t always help, in part because various players were doing some looting and otherwise fulfilling their won agendas.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Rich countries are not rich simply because they exploit poor countries, and rich countries  are not rich because wealth has been transferred from the poor to the rich countries. I agree, and some bastard Chomskyians don&#8217;t.</p>

	<p>I do think that underdevelopment is in considerable part the result of rich countries&#8217; control of the global economy and world politics, and that over the last 60 years seemingly well-meaning attempts to help the third world didn&#8217;t always help, in part because various players were doing some looting and otherwise fulfilling their won agendas.</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225899</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jan 2008 21:02:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225899</guid>
		<description>I suppose Chomskyite thinking will say that (quite obviously) developed, powerful nations are constantly pressuring the weaker ones to abandon protectionism (much to their peril), while keeping their own protectionist apparatus intact. That&#039;s the game, basically. China, of course, has a better chance than some poor country in desperate need of financial assistance.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I suppose Chomskyite thinking will say that (quite obviously) developed, powerful nations are constantly pressuring the weaker ones to abandon protectionism (much to their peril), while keeping their own protectionist apparatus intact. That&#8217;s the game, basically. China, of course, has a better chance than some poor country in desperate need of financial assistance.</p>
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		<title>By: Quo Vadis</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225896</link>
		<dc:creator>Quo Vadis</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jan 2008 20:23:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225896</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;assuming low level of protectionism&lt;/i&gt;

Don&#039;t assume this.  China has something more to offer investors than raw materials and labor and they use this to their advantage.  If a foreign company wants to do business in China, they do so by China&#039;s rules.  The Chinese are leveraging access to their enormous markets to develop their economy.  The increasing wealth generated by domestic economic development increases the value of market access.    I didn&#039;t see this factor addressed in Daniel&#039;s post, and it&#039;s antithetical to Chomskyite thinking.

And, yes Seth, this is government policy, but policy alone can&#039;t produce wealth.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>assuming low level of protectionism</i></p>

	<p>Don&#8217;t assume this.  China has something more to offer investors than raw materials and labor and they use this to their advantage.  If a foreign company wants to do business in China, they do so by China&#8217;s rules.  The Chinese are leveraging access to their enormous markets to develop their economy.  The increasing wealth generated by domestic economic development increases the value of market access.    I didn&#8217;t see this factor addressed in Daniel&#8217;s post, and it&#8217;s antithetical to Chomskyite thinking.</p>

	<p>And, yes Seth, this is government policy, but policy alone can&#8217;t produce wealth.</p>
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		<title>By: seth edenbaum</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225893</link>
		<dc:creator>seth edenbaum</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jan 2008 19:44:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225893</guid>
		<description>&quot;Foreign investors are banking on substantial returns on increasing domestic demand as much as they are on international demand.
...This is a completely different strategy than any of the Chomskyite variations.&quot;

China and India ran protectionist economies for decades. Only defensive nationalism protected them from the vagaries of the &quot;free&quot; market. The creation of a middle class in China and India are the result of government policy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;Foreign investors are banking on substantial returns on increasing domestic demand as much as they are on international demand.<br />
&#8230;This is a completely different strategy than any of the Chomskyite variations.&#8221;</p>

	<p>China and India ran protectionist economies for decades. Only defensive nationalism protected them from the vagaries of the &#8220;free&#8221; market. The creation of a middle class in China and India are the result of government policy.</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225892</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jan 2008 19:42:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225892</guid>
		<description>QV, assuming low level of protectionism, why should your  banking on increasing domestic demand in China entice you to invest in China? I mean, you hope to sell your product in China, yes, but you might as well build your factories in, say, Haiti or Bangladesh if the labor cost is lower there, no?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>QV, assuming low level of protectionism, why should your  banking on increasing domestic demand in China entice you to invest in China? I mean, you hope to sell your product in China, yes, but you might as well build your factories in, say, Haiti or Bangladesh if the labor cost is lower there, no?</p>
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		<title>By: Quo Vadis</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225890</link>
		<dc:creator>Quo Vadis</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jan 2008 19:12:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225890</guid>
		<description>One thing you should consider when comparing some of the more populous countries like China and India with other developing countries is that the larger countries are not just sources of raw materials or cheap labor, they are vast underdeveloped markets for goods and services.  Foreign investors are banking on substantial returns on increasing domestic demand as much as they are on international demand.  

In other words the return on the investment depends more upon increasing affluence of the domestic population than on exploiting their resources or labor.  This is a completely different strategy than any of the Chomskyite variations.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>One thing you should consider when comparing some of the more populous countries like China and India with other developing countries is that the larger countries are not just sources of raw materials or cheap labor, they are vast underdeveloped markets for goods and services.  Foreign investors are banking on substantial returns on increasing domestic demand as much as they are on international demand.</p>

	<p>In other words the return on the investment depends more upon increasing affluence of the domestic population than on exploiting their resources or labor.  This is a completely different strategy than any of the Chomskyite variations.</p>
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		<title>By: abb1</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225885</link>
		<dc:creator>abb1</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jan 2008 18:37:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225885</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Rich countries aren’t rich because they exploit poor countries. They’re rich because workers are productive in rich countries.&lt;/i&gt;

Rich countries are rich for many different reasons, but I don&#039;t think there is any doubt that they exploit poor countries - their natural resources and their labor. 

As far as workers in rich countries being productive and trading with other countries, that is not a very convincing explanation. Workers in rich countries mostly produce services (for each other) and they typically consume much more stuff (real, industrial stuff) than they produce. 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_sector_composition</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Rich countries aren&#8217;t rich because they exploit poor countries. They&#8217;re rich because workers are productive in rich countries.</i></p>

	<p>Rich countries are rich for many different reasons, but I don&#8217;t think there is any doubt that they exploit poor countries &#8211; their natural resources and their labor.</p>

	<p>As far as workers in rich countries being productive and trading with other countries, that is not a very convincing explanation. Workers in rich countries mostly produce services (for each other) and they typically consume much more stuff (real, industrial stuff) than they produce.</p>

	<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_sector_composition" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_sector_composition</a></p>
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		<title>By: Sortition</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225884</link>
		<dc:creator>Sortition</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jan 2008 18:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225884</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Poor countries are, at the end of the day, poor. That means they are a relatively small part of the economic universe of rich countries.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

In the same way, I guess, that slaves in the US South were poor, meaning that they were a relatively small part of the economic universe of the South.

Regurgitated dogma about the wonders of Trade is no substitute for making sense.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote>Poor countries are, at the end of the day, poor. That means they are a relatively small part of the economic universe of rich countries.</blockquote></p>

	<p>In the same way, I guess, that slaves in the <span class="caps">US </span>South were poor, meaning that they were a relatively small part of the economic universe of the South.</p>

	<p>Regurgitated dogma about the wonders of Trade is no substitute for making sense.</p>
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		<title>By: Ravi</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/comment-page-1/#comment-225876</link>
		<dc:creator>Ravi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jan 2008 16:28:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/25/of-development-and-debt/#comment-225876</guid>
		<description>I should add that I think there&#039;s been too much focus in the intentionality part of the &quot;bastard-Chomskyite&quot; theory. The part, to me, that reveals the core of &quot;the vast nut of nuttiness&quot; is the idea that &quot;that rich countries’ economic growth occurs at the expense of poor countries.&quot; 

Poor countries are, at the end of the day, poor. That means they are a relatively small part of the economic universe of rich countries. It has been documented plenty of times before that the vast majority of global trade is between rich countries. And in the two greatest development successes of my lifetime, China and India have started trading more with the rest of the world... and they&#039;re developing and getting richer. And before them, Japan and Four Asian Tigers followed that path.

Rich countries aren&#039;t rich because they exploit poor countries. They&#039;re rich because workers are productive in rich countries. And part of the reason workers productive is that there are formal and informal institutions and frameworks that help those workers become more productive by trading with other countries (selling the widgets they make globally instead of locally, for example). In fact, I&#039;d argue that the poverty of poor countries makes rich countries poorer (not richer) - since it means that there are fewer opportunities for mutually beneficial trading.

I&#039;m not going to argue that there aren&#039;t individual people in rich countries who benefit from exploiting poor countries (of course there are). And I even probably agree that such people have too much influence on rich country development policy. But the important point is that these machinations, in the time-honored tradition of many other scam artists, make rich countries poorer, not richer. And believing otherwise is nutty.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I should add that I think there&#8217;s been too much focus in the intentionality part of the &#8220;bastard-Chomskyite&#8221; theory. The part, to me, that reveals the core of &#8220;the vast nut of nuttiness&#8221; is the idea that &#8220;that rich countries&#8217; economic growth occurs at the expense of poor countries.&#8221;</p>

	<p>Poor countries are, at the end of the day, poor. That means they are a relatively small part of the economic universe of rich countries. It has been documented plenty of times before that the vast majority of global trade is between rich countries. And in the two greatest development successes of my lifetime, China and India have started trading more with the rest of the world&#8230; and they&#8217;re developing and getting richer. And before them, Japan and Four Asian Tigers followed that path.</p>

	<p>Rich countries aren&#8217;t rich because they exploit poor countries. They&#8217;re rich because workers are productive in rich countries. And part of the reason workers productive is that there are formal and informal institutions and frameworks that help those workers become more productive by trading with other countries (selling the widgets they make globally instead of locally, for example). In fact, I&#8217;d argue that the poverty of poor countries makes rich countries poorer (not richer) &#8211; since it means that there are fewer opportunities for mutually beneficial trading.</p>

	<p>I&#8217;m not going to argue that there aren&#8217;t individual people in rich countries who benefit from exploiting poor countries (of course there are). And I even probably agree that such people have too much influence on rich country development policy. But the important point is that these machinations, in the time-honored tradition of many other scam artists, make rich countries poorer, not richer. And believing otherwise is nutty.</p>
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