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	<title>Comments on: Bill and Nazarbayev</title>
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	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: Sortition</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226747</link>
		<dc:creator>Sortition</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 15:46:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226747</guid>
		<description>Ok, we will have to agree to disagree on Obama - let me summarize by just saying that I really don&#039;t see what there is to like about him, and I see quite a few reasons not to like him. (His only good policy call ever, as far as I am aware, was on Iraq, but now he is with the establishment on that matter as well.) Ted Kennedy&#039;s designation of Obama as the heir to JFK is all too appropriate.

&lt;blockquote&gt;How you’d take the principles of sortition and make them work in today’s world strikes me as difficult.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

My proposal at this point is quite simple: use random selection instead of elections to appoint the members of congress (initially one chamber).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Ok, we will have to agree to disagree on Obama &#8211; let me summarize by just saying that I really don&#8217;t see what there is to like about him, and I see quite a few reasons not to like him. (His only good policy call ever, as far as I am aware, was on Iraq, but now he is with the establishment on that matter as well.) Ted Kennedy&#8217;s designation of Obama as the heir to <span class="caps">JFK</span> is all too appropriate.</p>

	<p><blockquote>How you&#8217;d take the principles of sortition and make them work in today&#8217;s world strikes me as difficult.</blockquote></p>

	<p>My proposal at this point is quite simple: use random selection instead of elections to appoint the members of congress (initially one chamber).</p>
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		<title>By: bert</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226719</link>
		<dc:creator>bert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 03:29:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226719</guid>
		<description>Well, unsurprisingly Glen Ford leaves me utterly cold. The comments thread under the Black Agenda Report post has some good back and forth, though - I&#039;m with Abu Momoh.

Ford&#039;s case against Obama on Iraq rests on two indictments. First, the 2002 speech wasn&#039;t on Obama&#039;s website in June 2003. Not something I&#039;d defend, or want to. The response Ford quotes from Obama certainly smells of weasel; how badly this dents the halo is a judgement call. Second, his comments in 2004. In the middle of an election campaign, both of the names on the Democratic ticket had voted for the war. Obama chose not to say they&#039;d got it wrong. Instead he said that he&#039;d called it differently from them with the information he had, but that they&#039;d had a different picture sitting where they were. In short, he had the back of his party&#039;s candidates. The fact that Bill Clinton later used that against him smells worse than weasel. Kerry, note, endorses Obama. So by all means insert those two correctives into the campaign&#039;s &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhpKmQCCwB8&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;airbrushed timeline&lt;/a&gt; - I&#039;d say Obama still comes out looking pretty good.

By far the most interesting link though is your post on sortition. I&#039;m with you on the drawbacks of representative democracy, which is why I trotted out that hoary Churchill quote earlier in the thread. My one concern is that your functioning example - Athens - was a small city state run by an elite of citizens, underpinned by a disenfranchised mass of women and slaves. How you&#039;d take the principles of sortition and make them work in today&#039;s world strikes me as difficult. 
It seems the closest we have nowadays is Frank effing Luntz. Which means you still have a long long row to hoe, and I wish you luck.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Well, unsurprisingly Glen Ford leaves me utterly cold. The comments thread under the Black Agenda Report post has some good back and forth, though &#8211; I&#8217;m with Abu Momoh.</p>

	<p>Ford&#8217;s case against Obama on Iraq rests on two indictments. First, the 2002 speech wasn&#8217;t on Obama&#8217;s website in June 2003. Not something I&#8217;d defend, or want to. The response Ford quotes from Obama certainly smells of weasel; how badly this dents the halo is a judgement call. Second, his comments in 2004. In the middle of an election campaign, both of the names on the Democratic ticket had voted for the war. Obama chose not to say they&#8217;d got it wrong. Instead he said that he&#8217;d called it differently from them with the information he had, but that they&#8217;d had a different picture sitting where they were. In short, he had the back of his party&#8217;s candidates. The fact that Bill Clinton later used that against him smells worse than weasel. Kerry, note, endorses Obama. So by all means insert those two correctives into the campaign&#8217;s <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhpKmQCCwB8" rel="nofollow">airbrushed timeline</a> &#8211; I&#8217;d say Obama still comes out looking pretty good.</p>

	<p>By far the most interesting link though is your post on sortition. I&#8217;m with you on the drawbacks of representative democracy, which is why I trotted out that hoary Churchill quote earlier in the thread. My one concern is that your functioning example &#8211; Athens &#8211; was a small city state run by an elite of citizens, underpinned by a disenfranchised mass of women and slaves. How you&#8217;d take the principles of sortition and make them work in today&#8217;s world strikes me as difficult.<br />
It seems the closest we have nowadays is Frank effing Luntz. Which means you still have a long long row to hoe, and I wish you luck.</p>
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		<title>By: bert</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226708</link>
		<dc:creator>bert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 01:15:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226708</guid>
		<description>Ah, I see it now.
I&#039;ll follow the links, and reply.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Ah, I see it now.<br />
I&#8217;ll follow the links, and reply.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: bert</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226707</link>
		<dc:creator>bert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 01:12:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226707</guid>
		<description>4 links ... I don&#039;t see it.
Did you strip the links out, or did it get lost in moderation? If you still have the same tab open, you can find your previous posts if you hit &quot;back&quot;. They&#039;ll be there in the comment box. 
Hope that helps :)

I prefer a much narrower defintion than you do. I think #36 covers it pretty well, but basically I think the term gets much of its descriptive, pejorative power from its origins with a sleazebag like Morris and its close association with the dispiriting Clinton/Gingrich period. To broaden it out to include anything that doesn&#039;t map precisely onto party divisions robs it of meaning.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>4 links &#8230; I don&#8217;t see it.<br />
Did you strip the links out, or did it get lost in moderation? If you still have the same tab open, you can find your previous posts if you hit &#8220;back&#8221;. They&#8217;ll be there in the comment box.<br />
Hope that helps :)</p>

	<p>I prefer a much narrower defintion than you do. I think #36 covers it pretty well, but basically I think the term gets much of its descriptive, pejorative power from its origins with a sleazebag like Morris and its close association with the dispiriting Clinton/Gingrich period. To broaden it out to include anything that doesn&#8217;t map precisely onto party divisions robs it of meaning.</p>
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		<title>By: Sortition</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226703</link>
		<dc:creator>Sortition</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 00:24:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226703</guid>
		<description>bert,

My reply has 4 links in it and so was caught in moderation.

Among other things, I was asking: if you are unhappy with my definition of triangulation, how would you define it?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>bert,</p>

	<p>My reply has 4 links in it and so was caught in moderation.</p>

	<p>Among other things, I was asking: if you are unhappy with my definition of triangulation, how would you define it?</p>
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		<title>By: Sortition</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226702</link>
		<dc:creator>Sortition</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 00:19:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226702</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;
  If you stretch words too much they sag, and sense falls out of them.
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I thought my definition was the standard one. How would you define triangulation?

&lt;blockquote&gt;
  I have to say I don’t hear the anti-progressive pitch you’re telling me Obama’s making. Are you absolutely sure these dog whistles you’re hearing aren’t just a sinus problem?
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I agree with Glen Ford&#039;s take on this matter: &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.fair.org/index.php?page=3251&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;FAIR&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.democracynow.org/2008/1/9/barack_obama_and_the_african_american&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Democracy Now!&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.blackagendareport.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=491&amp;Itemid=34&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Black Agenda Report&lt;/a&gt;.

As for who to give my vote to, I don&#039;t put much thought into the matter: &lt;a href=&quot;http://probonostats.wordpress.com/2007/09/06/the-problem-with-elections/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;elections are just an oligarchic ploy anyway&lt;/a&gt;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote><br />
If you stretch words too much they sag, and sense falls out of them.<br />
</blockquote></p>

	<p>I thought my definition was the standard one. How would you define triangulation?</p>

	<p><blockquote><br />
I have to say I don&#8217;t hear the anti-progressive pitch you&#8217;re telling me Obama&#8217;s making. Are you absolutely sure these dog whistles you&#8217;re hearing aren&#8217;t just a sinus problem?<br />
</blockquote></p>

	<p>I agree with Glen Ford&#8217;s take on this matter: <a href="http://www.fair.org/index.php?page=3251" rel="nofollow"><span class="caps">FAIR</span></a>, <a href="http://www.democracynow.org/2008/1/9/barack_obama_and_the_african_american" rel="nofollow">Democracy Now!</a>, <a href="http://www.blackagendareport.com/index.php?option=com_content&#038;task=view&#038;id=491&#038;Itemid=34" rel="nofollow">Black Agenda Report</a>.</p>

	<p>As for who to give my vote to, I don&#8217;t put much thought into the matter: <a href="http://probonostats.wordpress.com/2007/09/06/the-problem-with-elections/" rel="nofollow">elections are just an oligarchic ploy anyway</a>.</p>
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		<title>By: bert</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226697</link>
		<dc:creator>bert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 23:19:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226697</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Triangulation means adopting elements from the traditional positions of both parties.&lt;/blockquote&gt; If you stretch words too much they sag, and sense falls out of them. I&#039;ll piss you off by suggesting that&#039;s the problem with Jonah Goldberg&#039;s recent Very Important Book.

I have to say I don&#039;t hear the anti-progressive pitch you&#039;re telling me Obama&#039;s making. Are you absolutely sure these dog whistles you&#039;re hearing aren&#039;t just a sinus problem? 
At least there&#039;s a candidate for you on Tuesday who&#039;s attempting to counter Obama&#039;s appeal to independents by turning out the base. But I&#039;m guessing you hate her too, which means you&#039;re screwed. You have my sympathy, but I&#039;m also guessing you&#039;d tell me where to stick it. Seems like your only hope is for Nader to get in.

Run, Ralph, run!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote>Triangulation means adopting elements from the traditional positions of both parties.</blockquote> If you stretch words too much they sag, and sense falls out of them. I&#8217;ll piss you off by suggesting that&#8217;s the problem with Jonah Goldberg&#8217;s recent Very Important Book.</p>

	<p>I have to say I don&#8217;t hear the anti-progressive pitch you&#8217;re telling me Obama&#8217;s making. Are you absolutely sure these dog whistles you&#8217;re hearing aren&#8217;t just a sinus problem?<br />
At least there&#8217;s a candidate for you on Tuesday who&#8217;s attempting to counter Obama&#8217;s appeal to independents by turning out the base. But I&#8217;m guessing you hate her too, which means you&#8217;re screwed. You have my sympathy, but I&#8217;m also guessing you&#8217;d tell me where to stick it. Seems like your only hope is for Nader to get in.</p>

	<p>Run, Ralph, run!</p>
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		<title>By: Sortition</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226689</link>
		<dc:creator>Sortition</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 22:27:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226689</guid>
		<description>bert,

&lt;blockquote&gt;What does Obama see when he looks at Reagan? A successful presidency.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Exactly. What does a progressive see when he looks at Reagan? A total failure for the American people. Speaking of Reagan in positive terms (&quot;dynamism&quot;, &quot;accountability&quot;), and of the &quot;excesses of the 60&#039;s and 70&#039;s&quot; does not bode well. Being able to apologetically parse Obama&#039;s words or explain his actions may very well become a useful skill for his supporters if he becomes president.

&lt;blockquote&gt;Looking at your list of desired specifics, torture stood out because I did recall a statement – here it is.

[From the link:] Torture is how you set back America&#039;s standing in the world, not how you strengthen it. It&#039;s time to tell the world that America rejects torture without exception or equivocation. It&#039;s time to stop telling the American people one thing in public while doing something else in the shadows. No more secret authorization of methods like simulated drowning.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

This is typical Obama - high rhetoric with little of substance. Yes - we all hate torture, including Bush. Bush simply claims that waterboarding is not torture. It seems that Obama disagrees and would opt for different techniques - maybe he prefers stress positions, cold rooms and sleep deprivation. Even that is not clear, since Obama puts the emphasis on the matter of secrecy. It seems that if waterboarding is authorized officially rather than in secret, then he would not have much trouble with it.

Also note how the argument is cast in the usual terms of self-interest - even torture is rejected primarily not on the grounds that it is evil but on the grounds that it doesn&#039;t pay for the U.S..

&lt;blockquote&gt;[Obama&#039;s] campaign will by necessity be broad and inclusive. I can understand the frustration of those who believe he should be casting his net more narrowly over their own specific stretch of water. What I can’t accept is the slippage of meaning involved in using ‘triangulation’ as a term of abuse for someone trying to build a working coalition that extends beyond their party base.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Making your principles and policy plans clear is considered &quot;casting the net narrowly&quot;? To me, it is a matter of being honest with the voters.

Triangulation means adopting elements from the traditional positions of both parties. This is exactly Obama&#039;s strategy, so I don&#039;t see why you reject the term.

The bottom line is this: Obama may be an insincere, trying to lure anti-progressive voters to vote for a progressive candidate by pretending that his isn&#039;t; or he may be sincere, trying to lure progressives to vote for an anti-progressive candidate by campaigning mostly on style and soft-selling his anti-progressive policy plans. You think it is the former. My fear is that he is sincere.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>bert,</p>

	<p><blockquote>What does Obama see when he looks at Reagan? A successful presidency.</blockquote></p>

	<p>Exactly. What does a progressive see when he looks at Reagan? A total failure for the American people. Speaking of Reagan in positive terms (&#8220;dynamism&#8221;, &#8220;accountability&#8221;), and of the &#8220;excesses of the 60&#8217;s and 70&#8217;s&#8221; does not bode well. Being able to apologetically parse Obama&#8217;s words or explain his actions may very well become a useful skill for his supporters if he becomes president.</p>

	<p><blockquote>Looking at your list of desired specifics, torture stood out because I did recall a statement &#8211; here it is.</blockquote></p>

	<p>[From the link:] Torture is how you set back America&#8217;s standing in the world, not how you strengthen it. It&#8217;s time to tell the world that America rejects torture without exception or equivocation. It&#8217;s time to stop telling the American people one thing in public while doing something else in the shadows. No more secret authorization of methods like simulated drowning.</p>

	<p>This is typical Obama &#8211; high rhetoric with little of substance. Yes &#8211; we all hate torture, including Bush. Bush simply claims that waterboarding is not torture. It seems that Obama disagrees and would opt for different techniques &#8211; maybe he prefers stress positions, cold rooms and sleep deprivation. Even that is not clear, since Obama puts the emphasis on the matter of secrecy. It seems that if waterboarding is authorized officially rather than in secret, then he would not have much trouble with it.</p>

	<p>Also note how the argument is cast in the usual terms of self-interest &#8211; even torture is rejected primarily not on the grounds that it is evil but on the grounds that it doesn&#8217;t pay for the U.S..</p>

	<p><blockquote>[Obama&#8217;s] campaign will by necessity be broad and inclusive. I can understand the frustration of those who believe he should be casting his net more narrowly over their own specific stretch of water. What I can&#8217;t accept is the slippage of meaning involved in using &#8216;triangulation&#8217; as a term of abuse for someone trying to build a working coalition that extends beyond their party base.</blockquote></p>

	<p>Making your principles and policy plans clear is considered &#8220;casting the net narrowly&#8221;? To me, it is a matter of being honest with the voters.</p>

	<p>Triangulation means adopting elements from the traditional positions of both parties. This is exactly Obama&#8217;s strategy, so I don&#8217;t see why you reject the term.</p>

	<p>The bottom line is this: Obama may be an insincere, trying to lure anti-progressive voters to vote for a progressive candidate by pretending that his isn&#8217;t; or he may be sincere, trying to lure progressives to vote for an anti-progressive candidate by campaigning mostly on style and soft-selling his anti-progressive policy plans. You think it is the former. My fear is that he is sincere.</p>
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		<title>By: bert</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226646</link>
		<dc:creator>bert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 14:30:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226646</guid>
		<description>No paragraph breaks, sorry.
This is &lt;strike&gt;more&lt;/strike&gt; readable:


&lt;blockquote&gt;I honestly have no idea what changes in policy are going to fall within the mandate for change – do you?&lt;/blockquote&gt;

You make a good point: when you take the various positions worked up for a primary campaign and put them side by side, does that give you a clear idea of how, say, the first hundred days of an administration are going to feel? What the  priorities are going to be? You&#039;ll notice I was careful to talk about the &lt;i&gt;mandate&lt;/i&gt; being clear rather than anything else.

But beyond that you seem to be saying two other things. You suspect that when full clarity comes it&#039;s going to be a disappointment because the available evidence points to Obama being a gutless, rudderless centrist. And you say that &#039;triangulation&#039; is an accurate label for Obama&#039;s appeal to Republicans. I disagree on both points.

Obama&#039;s Reagan comments are actually useful in explaining why. For Obama, Reagan took a popular mood of disillusion and frustration, and presented himself as the solution. He did this persuasively enough to attract large numbers of Democrats into his winning coalition. What does Obama see when he looks at Reagan? A successful presidency. A lot of people choke on admitting this, but Reagan won two terms, the second in a 49-state landslide, and handed over to an anointed successor. He got his agenda through, and changed the country. What Obama doesn&#039;t see is an ideological model, which is why the &quot;party of ideas&quot; ad that Hillary ran in Nevada is so deceitful.

The contrast Obama explicitly drew between Reagan and Clinton in terms of changing the country is true and fair. After 1992 there was an early period of incoherent idealism, tempered by compromise (Bob Woodward&#039;s The Agenda is an interesting read, and points towards why Robert Reich is pro-Obama). This was dissipated by the botch Hillary made out of healthcare, and was swept away by the &#039;94 midterms. After which, the Clintons embraced the Dick Morris model. Beset by opposition on all sides, beleaguered by crisis, dominated by agendas hatched elsewhere, they maneuvred tactically to split the difference between opposing forces. &lt;i&gt;That&lt;/i&gt; is what triangulation is. It&#039;s where the word comes from: the split difference is the third point on a triangle.

How does the Obama approach compare? Summarized brutally: take a broadly shared popular mood, channel this into a political movement expressed at the ballot box, and use the resulting majority to push through your reforms. This is the antithesis of triangulation. 

Looking at your list of desired specifics, torture stood out because I did recall a statement - &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.barackobama.com/2007/10/04/obama_torture_and_secrecy_betr.php&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;here it is&lt;/a&gt;. At the time it contrasted with both Bill and Hillary, who had each put the case for torture, using the ticking bomb argument. I understand they&#039;ve since adjusted their views.
 
So there are some specifics out there. 

Another example is healthcare. Krugman has tied his knickers in a knot about this, Steve above reckons it&#039;s an example of running to the right, but Obama&#039;s plan is very similar to Bradley&#039;s, which Al Gore used in their primaries to paint Bradley as a head-in-the-clouds liberal fantasist. And it seems to me that Obama&#039;s process arguments about the workings of Washington are in fact very relevant in attempting to judge at this distance the sort of outcome we&#039;ll see on healthcare, and strengthen rather than weaken his credibility on this issue.

Specifics aside, Obama is pushing for a big majority - something approaching a double digit margin in the general. He believes, I think rightly, that Bush has made this possible. His campaign will by necessity be broad and inclusive. I can understand the frustration of those who believe he should be casting his net more narrowly over their own specific stretch of water. What I can&#039;t accept is the slippage of meaning involved in using &#039;triangulation&#039; as a term of abuse for someone trying to build a working coalition that extends beyond their party base.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>No paragraph breaks, sorry.<br />
This is <strike>more</strike> readable:</p>


	<p><blockquote>I honestly have no idea what changes in policy are going to fall within the mandate for change &#8211; do you?</blockquote></p>

	<p>You make a good point: when you take the various positions worked up for a primary campaign and put them side by side, does that give you a clear idea of how, say, the first hundred days of an administration are going to feel? What the  priorities are going to be? You&#8217;ll notice I was careful to talk about the <i>mandate</i> being clear rather than anything else.</p>

	<p>But beyond that you seem to be saying two other things. You suspect that when full clarity comes it&#8217;s going to be a disappointment because the available evidence points to Obama being a gutless, rudderless centrist. And you say that &#8216;triangulation&#8217; is an accurate label for Obama&#8217;s appeal to Republicans. I disagree on both points.</p>

	<p>Obama&#8217;s Reagan comments are actually useful in explaining why. For Obama, Reagan took a popular mood of disillusion and frustration, and presented himself as the solution. He did this persuasively enough to attract large numbers of Democrats into his winning coalition. What does Obama see when he looks at Reagan? A successful presidency. A lot of people choke on admitting this, but Reagan won two terms, the second in a 49-state landslide, and handed over to an anointed successor. He got his agenda through, and changed the country. What Obama doesn&#8217;t see is an ideological model, which is why the &#8220;party of ideas&#8221; ad that Hillary ran in Nevada is so deceitful.</p>

	<p>The contrast Obama explicitly drew between Reagan and Clinton in terms of changing the country is true and fair. After 1992 there was an early period of incoherent idealism, tempered by compromise (Bob Woodward&#8217;s The Agenda is an interesting read, and points towards why Robert Reich is pro-Obama). This was dissipated by the botch Hillary made out of healthcare, and was swept away by the &#8216;94 midterms. After which, the Clintons embraced the Dick Morris model. Beset by opposition on all sides, beleaguered by crisis, dominated by agendas hatched elsewhere, they maneuvred tactically to split the difference between opposing forces. <i>That</i> is what triangulation is. It&#8217;s where the word comes from: the split difference is the third point on a triangle.</p>

	<p>How does the Obama approach compare? Summarized brutally: take a broadly shared popular mood, channel this into a political movement expressed at the ballot box, and use the resulting majority to push through your reforms. This is the antithesis of triangulation.</p>

	<p>Looking at your list of desired specifics, torture stood out because I did recall a statement &#8211; <a href="http://www.barackobama.com/2007/10/04/obama_torture_and_secrecy_betr.php" rel="nofollow">here it is</a>. At the time it contrasted with both Bill and Hillary, who had each put the case for torture, using the ticking bomb argument. I understand they&#8217;ve since adjusted their views.</p>

	<p>So there are some specifics out there.</p>

	<p>Another example is healthcare. Krugman has tied his knickers in a knot about this, Steve above reckons it&#8217;s an example of running to the right, but Obama&#8217;s plan is very similar to Bradley&#8217;s, which Al Gore used in their primaries to paint Bradley as a head-in-the-clouds liberal fantasist. And it seems to me that Obama&#8217;s process arguments about the workings of Washington are in fact very relevant in attempting to judge at this distance the sort of outcome we&#8217;ll see on healthcare, and strengthen rather than weaken his credibility on this issue.</p>

	<p>Specifics aside, Obama is pushing for a big majority &#8211; something approaching a double digit margin in the general. He believes, I think rightly, that Bush has made this possible. His campaign will by necessity be broad and inclusive. I can understand the frustration of those who believe he should be casting his net more narrowly over their own specific stretch of water. What I can&#8217;t accept is the slippage of meaning involved in using &#8216;triangulation&#8217; as a term of abuse for someone trying to build a working coalition that extends beyond their party base.</p>
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		<title>By: bert</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226645</link>
		<dc:creator>bert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 14:25:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226645</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;I honestly have no idea what changes in policy are going to fall within the mandate for change – do you?&lt;/blockquote&gt;

You make a good point: when you take the various positions worked up for a primary campaign and put them side by side, does that give you a clear idea of how, say, the first hundred days of an administration are going to feel? What the  priorities are going to be? You&#039;ll notice I was careful to talk about the &lt;i&gt;mandate&lt;/i&gt; being clear rather than anything else.
But beyond that you seem to be saying two other things. You suspect that when full clarity comes it&#039;s going to be a disappointment because the available evidence points to Obama being a gutless, rudderless centrist. And you say that &#039;triangulation&#039; is an accurate label for Obama&#039;s appeal to Republicans. I disagree on both points.
Obama&#039;s Reagan comments are actually useful in explaining why. For Obama, Reagan took a popular mood of disillusion and frustration, and presented himself as the solution. He did this persuasively enough to attract large numbers of Democrats into his winning coalition. What does Obama see when he looks at Reagan? A successful presidency. A lot of people choke on admitting this, but Reagan won two terms, the second in a 49-state landslide, and handed over to an anointed successor. He got his agenda through, and changed the country. What Obama doesn&#039;t see is an ideological model, which is why the &quot;party of ideas&quot; ad that Hillary ran in Nevada is so deceitful.
The contrast Obama explicitly drew between Reagan and Clinton in terms of changing the country is true and fair. After 1992 there was an early period of incoherent idealism, tempered by compromise (Bob Woodward&#039;s The Agenda is an interesting read, and points towards why Robert Reich is pro-Obama). This was dissipated by the botch Hillary made out of healthcare, and was swept away by the &#039;94 midterms. After which, the Clintons embraced the Dick Morris model. Beset by opposition on all sides, beleaguered by crisis, dominated by agendas hatched elsewhere, they maneuvred tactically to split the difference between opposing forces. &lt;i&gt;That&lt;/i&gt; is what triangulation is. It&#039;s where the word comes from: the split difference is the third point on a triangle.
How does the Obama approach compare? Summarized brutally: take a broadly shared popular mood, channel this into a political movement expressed at the ballot box, and use the resulting majority to push through your reforms. This is the antithesis of triangulation. 
Looking at your list of desired specifics, torture stood out because I did recall a statement - &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.barackobama.com/2007/10/04/obama_torture_and_secrecy_betr.php&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;here it is&lt;/a&gt;. At the time it contrasted with both Bill and Hillary, who had each put the case for torture, using the ticking bomb argument. I understand they&#039;ve since adjusted their views. 
So there are some specifics out there. 
Another example is healthcare. Krugman has tied his knickers in a knot about this, Steve above reckons it&#039;s an example of running to the right, but Obama&#039;s plan is very similar to Bradley&#039;s, which Al Gore used in their primaries to paint Bradley as a head-in-the-clouds liberal fantasist. And it seems to me that Obama&#039;s process arguments about the workings of Washington are in fact very relevant in attempting to judge at this distance the sort of outcome we&#039;ll see on healthcare, and strengthen rather than weaken his credibility on this issue.
Specifics aside, Obama is pushing for a big majority - something approaching a double digit margin in the general. He believes, I think rightly, that Bush has made this possible. His campaign will by necessity be broad and inclusive. I can understand the frustration of those who believe he should be casting his net more narrowly over their own specific stretch of water. What I can&#039;t accept is the slippage of meaning involved in using &#039;triangulation&#039; as a term of abuse for someone trying to build a working coalition that extends beyond their party base.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote>I honestly have no idea what changes in policy are going to fall within the mandate for change &#8211; do you?</blockquote></p>

	<p>You make a good point: when you take the various positions worked up for a primary campaign and put them side by side, does that give you a clear idea of how, say, the first hundred days of an administration are going to feel? What the  priorities are going to be? You&#8217;ll notice I was careful to talk about the <i>mandate</i> being clear rather than anything else.<br />
But beyond that you seem to be saying two other things. You suspect that when full clarity comes it&#8217;s going to be a disappointment because the available evidence points to Obama being a gutless, rudderless centrist. And you say that &#8216;triangulation&#8217; is an accurate label for Obama&#8217;s appeal to Republicans. I disagree on both points.<br />
Obama&#8217;s Reagan comments are actually useful in explaining why. For Obama, Reagan took a popular mood of disillusion and frustration, and presented himself as the solution. He did this persuasively enough to attract large numbers of Democrats into his winning coalition. What does Obama see when he looks at Reagan? A successful presidency. A lot of people choke on admitting this, but Reagan won two terms, the second in a 49-state landslide, and handed over to an anointed successor. He got his agenda through, and changed the country. What Obama doesn&#8217;t see is an ideological model, which is why the &#8220;party of ideas&#8221; ad that Hillary ran in Nevada is so deceitful.<br />
The contrast Obama explicitly drew between Reagan and Clinton in terms of changing the country is true and fair. After 1992 there was an early period of incoherent idealism, tempered by compromise (Bob Woodward&#8217;s The Agenda is an interesting read, and points towards why Robert Reich is pro-Obama). This was dissipated by the botch Hillary made out of healthcare, and was swept away by the &#8216;94 midterms. After which, the Clintons embraced the Dick Morris model. Beset by opposition on all sides, beleaguered by crisis, dominated by agendas hatched elsewhere, they maneuvred tactically to split the difference between opposing forces. <i>That</i> is what triangulation is. It&#8217;s where the word comes from: the split difference is the third point on a triangle.<br />
How does the Obama approach compare? Summarized brutally: take a broadly shared popular mood, channel this into a political movement expressed at the ballot box, and use the resulting majority to push through your reforms. This is the antithesis of triangulation.<br />
Looking at your list of desired specifics, torture stood out because I did recall a statement &#8211; <a href="http://www.barackobama.com/2007/10/04/obama_torture_and_secrecy_betr.php" rel="nofollow">here it is</a>. At the time it contrasted with both Bill and Hillary, who had each put the case for torture, using the ticking bomb argument. I understand they&#8217;ve since adjusted their views.<br />
So there are some specifics out there.<br />
Another example is healthcare. Krugman has tied his knickers in a knot about this, Steve above reckons it&#8217;s an example of running to the right, but Obama&#8217;s plan is very similar to Bradley&#8217;s, which Al Gore used in their primaries to paint Bradley as a head-in-the-clouds liberal fantasist. And it seems to me that Obama&#8217;s process arguments about the workings of Washington are in fact very relevant in attempting to judge at this distance the sort of outcome we&#8217;ll see on healthcare, and strengthen rather than weaken his credibility on this issue.<br />
Specifics aside, Obama is pushing for a big majority &#8211; something approaching a double digit margin in the general. He believes, I think rightly, that Bush has made this possible. His campaign will by necessity be broad and inclusive. I can understand the frustration of those who believe he should be casting his net more narrowly over their own specific stretch of water. What I can&#8217;t accept is the slippage of meaning involved in using &#8216;triangulation&#8217; as a term of abuse for someone trying to build a working coalition that extends beyond their party base.</p>
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		<title>By: Sortition</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226642</link>
		<dc:creator>Sortition</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 06:40:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226642</guid>
		<description>bert:

&lt;blockquote&gt;the Obama approach is to get a clear mandate for change by riding a grass-roots wave.
We can differ over whether that’s practical or naive.
What it isn’t is triangulation.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I honestly have no idea what changes in policy are going to fall within the mandate for change - do you? How soon are we going to be out of Iraq? When will he close Guantanamo and the black sites? Will he make a clear and firm stand on torture? How will he act to reverse the widening economic inequalities? And on and on.

The only thing that seems clearly within the mandate is changing the &quot;style in Washington&quot;, which seems to boil down to cozying up to the Republicans a-la Obama&#039;s Reagan comments. Pure triangulation.

And that&#039;s just one thing that is wrong with him.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>bert:</p>

	<p><blockquote>the Obama approach is to get a clear mandate for change by riding a grass-roots wave.<br />
We can differ over whether that&#8217;s practical or naive.<br />
What it isn&#8217;t is triangulation.</blockquote></p>

	<p>I honestly have no idea what changes in policy are going to fall within the mandate for change &#8211; do you? How soon are we going to be out of Iraq? When will he close Guantanamo and the black sites? Will he make a clear and firm stand on torture? How will he act to reverse the widening economic inequalities? And on and on.</p>

	<p>The only thing that seems clearly within the mandate is changing the &#8220;style in Washington&#8221;, which seems to boil down to cozying up to the Republicans a-la Obama&#8217;s Reagan comments. Pure triangulation.</p>

	<p>And that&#8217;s just one thing that is wrong with him.</p>
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		<title>By: pat c</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226636</link>
		<dc:creator>pat c</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 01:24:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226636</guid>
		<description>Bill Clinton is decrying Ted Kennedy&#039;s involvement in the &quot;No Child Left Behind Act,&quot; but his wife VOTED for it. He says stuff like this while stumping for his wife and relies on the ignorance of the audience; i.e., he assumes that they&#039;re oblivious of the fact that his wife sponsored such a piece of legislature . SOMEBODY CALL HIM OUT ON THIS!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Bill Clinton is decrying Ted Kennedy&#8217;s involvement in the &#8220;No Child Left Behind Act,&#8221; but his wife <span class="caps">VOTED</span> for it. He says stuff like this while stumping for his wife and relies on the ignorance of the audience; i.e., he assumes that they&#8217;re oblivious of the fact that his wife sponsored such a piece of legislature . <span class="caps">SOMEBODY CALL HIM OUT ON THIS</span>!</p>
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		<title>By: Sean R. Roberts</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226630</link>
		<dc:creator>Sean R. Roberts</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Feb 2008 21:43:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226630</guid>
		<description>I should note that there is an additional point here that the NY Times missed.  The day after Bill Clinton came to Kazakhstan, Nazarbayev announced presidential elections to be held ahead of schedule in three months time.  While I do not suggest that Bill knew this was going to happen (although many had heard the rumors), but in the end, Bill provided a meeting and some comments that Nazarbayev was easily able to spin into an endorsement for his re-election bid, which, by the way, he won handedly in typical Kazkahstan fashion, by stopping the opposition from campaigning.  To read more, check out my blog:
http://roberts-report.blogspot.com/2008/02/bill-clinton-gets-stranded-in-kazakh.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>I should note that there is an additional point here that the <span class="caps">NY </span>Times missed.  The day after Bill Clinton came to Kazakhstan, Nazarbayev announced presidential elections to be held ahead of schedule in three months time.  While I do not suggest that Bill knew this was going to happen (although many had heard the rumors), but in the end, Bill provided a meeting and some comments that Nazarbayev was easily able to spin into an endorsement for his re-election bid, which, by the way, he won handedly in typical Kazkahstan fashion, by stopping the opposition from campaigning.  To read more, check out my blog:<br />
<a href="http://roberts-report.blogspot.com/2008/02/bill-clinton-gets-stranded-in-kazakh.html" rel="nofollow">http://roberts-report.blogspot.com/2008/02/bill-clinton-gets-stranded-in-kazakh.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226566</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Feb 2008 02:53:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226566</guid>
		<description>Score one long-term Central Asian airbase, I guess.  Not to mention you get to pocket a sizeable chunk of the world&#039;s uranium.  That ought to pack some strategic wallop if Clinton is elected?  Not to mention the oil.  Although, I guess appointing a semi-despot as head of the OSCE may not be the proper gift, ethically speaking.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Score one long-term Central Asian airbase, I guess.  Not to mention you get to pocket a sizeable chunk of the world&#8217;s uranium.  That ought to pack some strategic wallop if Clinton is elected?  Not to mention the oil.  Although, I guess appointing a semi-despot as head of the <span class="caps">OSCE</span> may not be the proper gift, ethically speaking.</p>
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		<title>By: bert</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/comment-page-1/#comment-226559</link>
		<dc:creator>bert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Feb 2008 00:46:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/2008/01/31/bill-and-nazarbayev/#comment-226559</guid>
		<description>The worst system, apart from all the others that have been tried from time to time. 
I&#039;m not sure we differ that much, you know. 
Your cynicism (substitute preferred word here) is more sweeping than mine. And I would need some context to understand what you mean by neo-liberal. They &lt;i&gt;both&lt;/i&gt; lurve Reagan? 
Tell you what though, they share a desire for a functioning and predominantly private-sector market economy, you&#039;re right about that. Cringing and gutless worms that they are, they follow the preferences of the overwhelming majority of voters.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>The worst system, apart from all the others that have been tried from time to time.<br />
I&#8217;m not sure we differ that much, you know.<br />
Your cynicism (substitute preferred word here) is more sweeping than mine. And I would need some context to understand what you mean by neo-liberal. They <i>both</i> lurve Reagan?<br />
Tell you what though, they share a desire for a functioning and predominantly private-sector market economy, you&#8217;re right about that. Cringing and gutless worms that they are, they follow the preferences of the overwhelming majority of voters.</p>
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