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	<title>Comments on: Lisbon referendum</title>
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	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: Shelby</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243558</link>
		<dc:creator>Shelby</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 23:43:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243558</guid>
		<description>Henry, how about another post now that the vote is in? Any further thoughts on how the campaign and voting worked, or how they should ideally work?  For myself I&#039;m a skeptic on the Lisbon Treaty, but as an American I dwell (on this issue, anyway) in rationally ignorant bliss.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Henry, how about another post now that the vote is in? Any further thoughts on how the campaign and voting worked, or how they should ideally work?  For myself I&#8217;m a skeptic on the Lisbon Treaty, but as an American I dwell (on this issue, anyway) in rationally ignorant bliss.</p>
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		<title>By: Sebastian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243497</link>
		<dc:creator>Sebastian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 16:01:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243497</guid>
		<description>&quot;Our correspondent says that many voters seem to have voted No for the simple reason that they did not understand the treaty

No voters – ignorant. Yes voters – no such suggestion.&quot;

The funny thing is that presuming you make some effort to understand it, and still can&#039;t understand it, that sounds like a perfectly good reason to vote &#039;no&#039;.  Legislators should honestly try to make things understandable to people.  The &#039;yes&#039; people have a hard time making a positive case for it because they don&#039;t understand it either.  

So if neither side can really understand it, voting &#039;no&#039; makes sense.  You shouldn&#039;t postively vote &#039;yes&#039; on a law that no one seems to understand.  That is especially true when there is a suspicion that the allegedly governed bodies are going to be the ones defining the terms.

Would anyone like to agree to a contract with me whereby you agree to adlk kjvbhsvshsig a;onasss rh onivslkn in exchange for my promise to adlkfasdkre aca;lknrsvsoin ae;lan;lkareoi eelkagha;oih if I get to define the terms later?  If you are likely to be bound to that contract unless you take the positive act of voting no, shouldn&#039;t you vote no?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;Our correspondent says that many voters seem to have voted No for the simple reason that they did not understand the treaty</p>

	<p>No voters &#8211; ignorant. Yes voters &#8211; no such suggestion.&#8221;</p>

	<p>The funny thing is that presuming you make some effort to understand it, and still can&#8217;t understand it, that sounds like a perfectly good reason to vote &#8216;no&#8217;.  Legislators should honestly try to make things understandable to people.  The &#8216;yes&#8217; people have a hard time making a positive case for it because they don&#8217;t understand it either.</p>

	<p>So if neither side can really understand it, voting &#8216;no&#8217; makes sense.  You shouldn&#8217;t postively vote &#8216;yes&#8217; on a law that no one seems to understand.  That is especially true when there is a suspicion that the allegedly governed bodies are going to be the ones defining the terms.</p>

	<p>Would anyone like to agree to a contract with me whereby you agree to adlk kjvbhsvshsig a;onasss rh onivslkn in exchange for my promise to adlkfasdkre aca;lknrsvsoin ae;lan;lkareoi eelkagha;oih if I get to define the terms later?  If you are likely to be bound to that contract unless you take the positive act of voting no, shouldn&#8217;t you vote no?</p>
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		<title>By: Z</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243486</link>
		<dc:creator>Z</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 14:29:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243486</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;But it’s really widespread and I’m afraid I think it largely consists of a lot of well-off metropolitan people with good education and promising careers supporting things that suit their interest and assuming it’s axiomatic that everybody else should do the same. Which is, in itself, another sort of ignorance.&lt;/i&gt;

This beautifully describes much of the debate around the evolution  of the economic, social and political system in a globalized world.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>But it&#8217;s really widespread and I&#8217;m afraid I think it largely consists of a lot of well-off metropolitan people with good education and promising careers supporting things that suit their interest and assuming it&#8217;s axiomatic that everybody else should do the same. Which is, in itself, another sort of ignorance.</i></p>

	<p>This beautifully describes much of the debate around the evolution  of the economic, social and political system in a globalized world.</p>
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		<title>By: Anthony</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243473</link>
		<dc:creator>Anthony</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 12:45:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243473</guid>
		<description>&quot;No voters – ignorant. Yes voters – no such suggestion.&quot;

I don&#039;t know about what the rest of the media are saying, but I suspect they&#039;re both ignorant in that they didn&#039;t make a judgement on the treaty itself, but on the presentation of issues - true or untrue - by the campaigns.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;No voters &#8211; ignorant. Yes voters &#8211; no such suggestion.&#8221;</p>

	<p>I don&#8217;t know about what the rest of the media are saying, but I suspect they&#8217;re both ignorant in that they didn&#8217;t make a judgement on the treaty itself, but on the presentation of issues &#8211; true or untrue &#8211; by the campaigns.</p>
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		<title>By: ejh</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243460</link>
		<dc:creator>ejh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 08:04:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243460</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Obviously you think they say NO in a fit of pique, and not out of conviction&lt;/i&gt;

No, there are good and bad reasons why people vote No - just as there are for the opposite vote, or indeed for abstention. But I think a lot of people&#039;s gut reaction is to be pleased when people who treat them as morons don&#039;t get what they want. See for instance &lt;a href=&quot;http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7452171.stm&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;this&lt;/a&gt; BBC report with its ought-to-be-amazing line:

&lt;i&gt;Our correspondent says that many voters seem to have voted No for the simple reason that they did not understand the treaty&lt;/i&gt;

No voters - ignorant. Yes voters - no such suggestion.

I&#039;m sure (and I can see in the comments above) that a fair number of Yes voters don&#039;t much like this attitude either. But it&#039;s really widespread and I&#039;m afraid I think it largely consists of a lot of well-off metropolitan people with good education and promising careers supporting things that suit their interest and assuming it&#039;s axiomatic that everybody else should do the same.

Which is, in itself, another sort of ignorance.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Obviously you think they say NO in a fit of pique, and not out of conviction</i></p>

	<p>No, there are good and bad reasons why people vote No &#8211; just as there are for the opposite vote, or indeed for abstention. But I think a lot of people&#8217;s gut reaction is to be pleased when people who treat them as morons don&#8217;t get what they want. See for instance <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7452171.stm" rel="nofollow">this</a> BBC report with its ought-to-be-amazing line:</p>

	<p><i>Our correspondent says that many voters seem to have voted No for the simple reason that they did not understand the treaty</i></p>

	<p>No voters &#8211; ignorant. Yes voters &#8211; no such suggestion.</p>

	<p>I&#8217;m sure (and I can see in the comments above) that a fair number of Yes voters don&#8217;t much like this attitude either. But it&#8217;s really widespread and I&#8217;m afraid I think it largely consists of a lot of well-off metropolitan people with good education and promising careers supporting things that suit their interest and assuming it&#8217;s axiomatic that everybody else should do the same.</p>

	<p>Which is, in itself, another sort of ignorance.</p>
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		<title>By: William Sjostrom</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243417</link>
		<dc:creator>William Sjostrom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 18:42:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243417</guid>
		<description>If you think low taxes on multinationals is not much of a campaign slogan, you have been away too long.  In the last general election, FF, FG, PDs, and Labour all very vocally backed low business taxes.  The Shinners had always pushed higher business taxes, but last election was their first effort to go more mainstream, and they pretty much fell in line on the tax issue too.  I grant I know mostly middle class people, but I know no one who disputes the proposition that the low business tax brings in the multinationals, and that the multinationals bring prosperity.  Whether it is true is a separate issue, but it is clearly widely believed, and no one wants to kill the goose that laid the golden egg.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>If you think low taxes on multinationals is not much of a campaign slogan, you have been away too long.  In the last general election, FF, FG, PDs, and Labour all very vocally backed low business taxes.  The Shinners had always pushed higher business taxes, but last election was their first effort to go more mainstream, and they pretty much fell in line on the tax issue too.  I grant I know mostly middle class people, but I know no one who disputes the proposition that the low business tax brings in the multinationals, and that the multinationals bring prosperity.  Whether it is true is a separate issue, but it is clearly widely believed, and no one wants to kill the goose that laid the golden egg.</p>
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		<title>By: brian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243354</link>
		<dc:creator>brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 13:39:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243354</guid>
		<description>Population size is an irrelevancy, voting is unitary as between sovereign states; the mechanism for determining the direction of that vote is a matter for each sovereign state. 

I believe that the main reason for the swell of support for the &#039;NO&#039; position is a growing belief that power is being skewed towards a population basis and in favour of large states and that there will be an even greater flow of European Court directed unacceptable social and adverse regulatory and competitive policies hitting small business and industry. 

Unfortunately none the larger countries pushing Lisbon have strong democratic traditions and all seem to be biased towards de facto rule by strong &#039;efficient&#039; centralised bureaucracies directed by self selecting political &#039;elites&#039; c.f. centralised candidate selection,list system etc.

It is the fate of all such elites to come to believe that they are smarter, better intentioned and more far-seeing than their predecessors and will thus avoid the usual mistakes of expansionism, over regulation, stagnation, militarism, authoritarianism and civil strife. History says otherwise.

While this was not a great problem for sovereign states in a common trading area it becomes a major problem in a forced political union dominated by such states.

A deliberately incomprehensible treaty signed as blank pages by European politicians afraid of the will of their own people is being advocated by those self same &#039;elites&#039; on the basis of TRUST US.

It is for such reasons that I will be voting NO.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Population size is an irrelevancy, voting is unitary as between sovereign states; the mechanism for determining the direction of that vote is a matter for each sovereign state.</p>

	<p>I believe that the main reason for the swell of support for the &#8216;NO&#8217; position is a growing belief that power is being skewed towards a population basis and in favour of large states and that there will be an even greater flow of European Court directed unacceptable social and adverse regulatory and competitive policies hitting small business and industry.</p>

	<p>Unfortunately none the larger countries pushing Lisbon have strong democratic traditions and all seem to be biased towards de facto rule by strong &#8216;efficient&#8217; centralised bureaucracies directed by self selecting political &#8216;elites&#8217; c.f. centralised candidate selection,list system etc.</p>

	<p>It is the fate of all such elites to come to believe that they are smarter, better intentioned and more far-seeing than their predecessors and will thus avoid the usual mistakes of expansionism, over regulation, stagnation, militarism, authoritarianism and civil strife. History says otherwise.</p>

	<p>While this was not a great problem for sovereign states in a common trading area it becomes a major problem in a forced political union dominated by such states.</p>

	<p>A deliberately incomprehensible treaty signed as blank pages by European politicians afraid of the will of their own people is being advocated by those self same &#8216;elites&#8217; on the basis of <span class="caps">TRUST US</span>.</p>

	<p>It is for such reasons that I will be voting NO.</p>
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		<title>By: Dave</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243348</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 12:30:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243348</guid>
		<description>Yeah, but that&#039;s not what I *said* is it? I said why can&#039;t they get member states to agree on what &#039;democratic&#039; practices *are*, then it won&#039;t just be *some* EU citizens who get referenda by right, others by govt choice, and others not at all....

And when the EP stops being not so much a gravy-train as a Saturn V rocket loaded with hollandaise sauce, we can talk about the value of codecision.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Yeah, but that&#8217;s not what I <strong>said</strong> is it? I said why can&#8217;t they get member states to agree on what &#8216;democratic&#8217; practices <strong>are</strong>, then it won&#8217;t just be <strong>some</strong> EU citizens who get referenda by right, others by govt choice, and others not at all&#8230;.</p>

	<p>And when the EP stops being not so much a gravy-train as a Saturn V rocket loaded with hollandaise sauce, we can talk about the value of codecision.</p>
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		<title>By: novakant</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243342</link>
		<dc:creator>novakant</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 10:17:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243342</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;EU states appear to be willing to centralise and coordinate their administrative ability to impose burdens on their citizenry, but curiously reluctant to examine harmonisation of the elective legitimation of their own existence and practices around any form of agreed optima.&lt;/i&gt;

Actually, the Lisbon Treaty increases the power of both the European parliament (codecision procedure) and the national parliaments (principle of subsidiarity).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>EU states appear to be willing to centralise and coordinate their administrative ability to impose burdens on their citizenry, but curiously reluctant to examine harmonisation of the elective legitimation of their own existence and practices around any form of agreed optima.</i></p>

	<p>Actually, the Lisbon Treaty increases the power of both the European parliament (codecision procedure) and the national parliaments (principle of subsidiarity).</p>
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		<title>By: Dave</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243341</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 09:40:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243341</guid>
		<description>It would be good if the EU member-states could agree on what mechanisms actually constitute &#039;democracy&#039;, then all practise them: at the moment one&#039;s ability as a &#039;citizen of Europe&#039; to actually influence political processes depends entirely on accidents of birth [allowing that the vast majority will never change the national citizenship they were born into]. This may replicate many other such distributions of access and opportunity, but one thing it is not, if there is supposed to be an ideal of European citizenship, is &#039;democratic&#039;.

EU states appear to be willing to centralise and coordinate their administrative ability to impose burdens on their citizenry, but curiously reluctant to examine harmonisation of the elective legitimation of their own existence and practices around any form of agreed optima. I wonder why?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>It would be good if the EU member-states could agree on what mechanisms actually constitute &#8216;democracy&#8217;, then all practise them: at the moment one&#8217;s ability as a &#8216;citizen of Europe&#8217; to actually influence political processes depends entirely on accidents of birth [allowing that the vast majority will never change the national citizenship they were born into]. This may replicate many other such distributions of access and opportunity, but one thing it is not, if there is supposed to be an ideal of European citizenship, is &#8216;democratic&#8217;.</p>

	<p>EU states appear to be willing to centralise and coordinate their administrative ability to impose burdens on their citizenry, but curiously reluctant to examine harmonisation of the elective legitimation of their own existence and practices around any form of agreed optima. I wonder why?</p>
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		<title>By: Z</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243340</link>
		<dc:creator>Z</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 08:14:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243340</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;De facto, it will be 1 million Irish voters.&lt;/i&gt;

Better than no referendum at all, as far I am concerned. I would have favored a European referendum held on the same day in each member states (that allows this mode of consultation). Representative democracy is OK, but is problematic when there are suspicions that the representatives hold very different view from the electorate on one particular issue. This is exactly the case here. Beside, I personally laud a constitution that requires a referendum for constitutional change.

&lt;i&gt; And if the French really felt that this was such a life or death issue, they should have taken to the streets, announced a national strike or elected candidates from the far right or left, who were against it. Instead they elected Sarkozy, a vocal proponent of Lisbon.&lt;/i&gt;

For most of us (French), it is not a life or death issue, it is an issue, just like any other. When I vote for someone, I generally agree with some of his positions and disagree with some, that should come to you as no surprise. Still, it is a bit annoying to see the way the French and Dutch referenda are considered, as you would undoubtedly understand in the symmetric eventuality (the side you favored in a referendum wins a decisive victory yet the opposite choice is implemented by the next elected parliament).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>De facto, it will be 1 million Irish voters.</i></p>

	<p>Better than no referendum at all, as far I am concerned. I would have favored a European referendum held on the same day in each member states (that allows this mode of consultation). Representative democracy is OK, but is problematic when there are suspicions that the representatives hold very different view from the electorate on one particular issue. This is exactly the case here. Beside, I personally laud a constitution that requires a referendum for constitutional change.</p>

	<p><i> And if the French really felt that this was such a life or death issue, they should have taken to the streets, announced a national strike or elected candidates from the far right or left, who were against it. Instead they elected Sarkozy, a vocal proponent of Lisbon.</i></p>

	<p>For most of us (French), it is not a life or death issue, it is an issue, just like any other. When I vote for someone, I generally agree with some of his positions and disagree with some, that should come to you as no surprise. Still, it is a bit annoying to see the way the French and Dutch referenda are considered, as you would undoubtedly understand in the symmetric eventuality (the side you favored in a referendum wins a decisive victory yet the opposite choice is implemented by the next elected parliament).</p>
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		<title>By: john m. (still not the other recent guy)</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243339</link>
		<dc:creator>john m. (still not the other recent guy)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 06:52:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243339</guid>
		<description>Hi Maria,

Thanks for the reply - as I expected it is a pro-EU rather than a pro-Irish stance. If our politicians had shown a shred of integrity(hah) that&#039;s exactly what they should have said. I&#039;ll be voitng yes later but the treaty could be in real trouble.

Mind you, Novakant&#039;s idiotic notions of democracy (if we don&#039;t ask them they must be in favour) leaves a lot to be desired. Not least is the point that we HAVE to hold a referendum as elements of the Treaty affect our consitution - does he\she\it really think the politicians would have voluntarily put this forward if they had a choice?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Hi Maria,</p>

	<p>Thanks for the reply &#8211; as I expected it is a pro-EU rather than a pro-Irish stance. If our politicians had shown a shred of integrity(hah) that&#8217;s exactly what they should have said. I&#8217;ll be voitng yes later but the treaty could be in real trouble.</p>

	<p>Mind you, Novakant&#8217;s idiotic notions of democracy (if we don&#8217;t ask them they must be in favour) leaves a lot to be desired. Not least is the point that we <span class="caps">HAVE</span> to hold a referendum as elements of the Treaty affect our consitution &#8211; does hesheit really think the politicians would have voluntarily put this forward if they had a choice?</p>
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		<title>By: Paddy Matthews</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243310</link>
		<dc:creator>Paddy Matthews</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jun 2008 21:46:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243310</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Does anybody know any Yes voters?&lt;/i&gt;

...raises hand

(Although an unenthusiastic Yes, largely because of Henry&#039;s fifth point above. A (narrow) defeat might teach our political class a small lesson about involving the public from the beginning.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Does anybody know any Yes voters?</i></p>

	<p>&#8230;raises hand</p>

	<p>(Although an unenthusiastic Yes, largely because of Henry&#8217;s fifth point above. A (narrow) defeat might teach our political class a small lesson about involving the public from the beginning.)</p>
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		<title>By: Sebastian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243307</link>
		<dc:creator>Sebastian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jun 2008 21:16:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243307</guid>
		<description>And the Dutch....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>And the Dutch&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Sebastian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2008/06/10/lisbon-referendum/comment-page-1/#comment-243306</link>
		<dc:creator>Sebastian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jun 2008 21:15:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=6975#comment-243306</guid>
		<description>So your view is that nothing should be voted on by the people unless they are willing to stage large scale demonstrations against it even when there is no focus point in time to do so?  

That seems odd, but I guess it is self-coherent.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>So your view is that nothing should be voted on by the people unless they are willing to stage large scale demonstrations against it even when there is no focus point in time to do so?</p>

	<p>That seems odd, but I guess it is self-coherent.</p>
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