<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Lisbon Treaty Open Thread</title>
	<atom:link href="http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sun, 27 May 2012 09:28:09 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2</generator>
	<item>
		<title>By: Tim Wilkinson</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290622</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim Wilkinson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 19:49:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290622</guid>
		<description>Incidentally, among all David Cameron&#039;s mumbling and dog whistling on the (non-)issue of a possible UK referendum, probably the most ludicrous single statement is the plaint: &quot;the Irish have had two chances to vote on this; this government hasn&#039;t even given us one&quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Incidentally, among all David Cameron&#8217;s mumbling and dog whistling on the (non-)issue of a possible UK referendum, probably the most ludicrous single statement is the plaint: &#8220;the Irish have had two chances to vote on this; this government hasn&#8217;t even given us one&#8221;.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: mollymooly</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290532</link>
		<dc:creator>mollymooly</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 01:41:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290532</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote cite=&quot;http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/#comment-290324&quot;&gt;
We Irish have a fine tradition of bringing referendums back for a revote when someone doesn’t like the result, if I recall correctly I’ve voted multiple times on Abortion &amp; Divorce and we had to vote twice on the previous EU Nice treaty too. Sometimes it’s the Government bringing it back and sometimes its a bunch of concerned loons with an agenda. 
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
A referendum always requires government acquiescence; the only one foisted on an unwilling government was abortion 1983.
There were also the abandon-STV polls FF had in 1959 and 1968. I don&#039;t begrudge those, abortion (1983, 1992, 2002) or divorce (1986 &amp; 1995) since time had passed between the original and the repeat, the debate had moved on, and the proposed amendments were not identical.  A referendum can be an effective way of quarantining a single hot-potato issue to prevent it infecting an entire general election campaign, to the detriment decision-making on other issues.

In the case of the Nice &amp; Lisbon Treaty ratification reruns, the only differences from the originals were dubious &quot;solemn declarations&quot; which either made no substantive difference or else invalidated the ratifications already made by other member-states.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote cite="http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/#comment-290324"><br />
We Irish have a fine tradition of bringing referendums back for a revote when someone doesn&#8217;t like the result, if I recall correctly I&#8217;ve voted multiple times on Abortion &#038; Divorce and we had to vote twice on the previous <span class="caps">EU </span>Nice treaty too. Sometimes it&#8217;s the Government bringing it back and sometimes its a bunch of concerned loons with an agenda.<br />
</blockquote><br />
A referendum always requires government acquiescence; the only one foisted on an unwilling government was abortion 1983.<br />
There were also the abandon-STV polls FF had in 1959 and 1968. I don&#8217;t begrudge those, abortion (1983, 1992, 2002) or divorce (1986 &#038; 1995) since time had passed between the original and the repeat, the debate had moved on, and the proposed amendments were not identical.  A referendum can be an effective way of quarantining a single hot-potato issue to prevent it infecting an entire general election campaign, to the detriment decision-making on other issues.</p>

	<p>In the case of the Nice &#038; Lisbon Treaty ratification reruns, the only differences from the originals were dubious &#8220;solemn declarations&#8221; which either made no substantive difference or else invalidated the ratifications already made by other member-states.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Shay Begorrah</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290511</link>
		<dc:creator>Shay Begorrah</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Oct 2009 23:27:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290511</guid>
		<description>mart@8:

&quot;it’s actually pretty crazy to have a referendum on something as complex as a treaty negotiated between 27 states. What would a ‘No’ vote even mean – it tells you nothing about what part of the treaty people object to.&quot;

If the electorate can not evaluate the implications of a treaty and vote yes or no why would you think they are qualified to select which political party&#039;s manifesto best reflects their interests or philosophy and therefore which representative to vote for? 

The population of Ireland found the Lisbon treaty difficult to evaluate as it was a combination of four completely unrelated sets of priorities (and some green window dressing):

* Making the framing and passing of laws in the European Union less time consuming by introducing QMV in some circumstances.
* Rationalizing the European Comission to allow for the increased number of member countries and the excessive complexity of the EC.
* Making foreign and defence policy less accountable to the whims of the electorate in individual countries and more responsive to realpolitik and the needs of the European arms industry (for example, more wars).
* Making Europe more attractilike the US and far east  by reducing guarantees about how easily employees can be made redundant or have their working conditions changed.

The treaty was complex and difficult to make sense of becuase it had to be framed in such a way that a popular vote was not required in any of the large, difficult to bully, countries.

Now while the first two priorites are not unreasonable, the second two do not seem to be compatible with a left wing political outlook and I think in this case that those on the left who supported the Lisbon treaty have confused pragmatism with capitulation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>mart@8:</p>

	<p>&#8220;it&#8217;s actually pretty crazy to have a referendum on something as complex as a treaty negotiated between 27 states. What would a &#8216;No&#8217; vote even mean &#8211; it tells you nothing about what part of the treaty people object to.&#8221;</p>

	<p>If the electorate can not evaluate the implications of a treaty and vote yes or no why would you think they are qualified to select which political party&#8217;s manifesto best reflects their interests or philosophy and therefore which representative to vote for?</p>

	<p>The population of Ireland found the Lisbon treaty difficult to evaluate as it was a combination of four completely unrelated sets of priorities (and some green window dressing):</p>

	<ul>
		<li>Making the framing and passing of laws in the European Union less time consuming by introducing <span class="caps">QMV</span> in some circumstances.</li>
		<li>Rationalizing the European Comission to allow for the increased number of member countries and the excessive complexity of the EC.</li>
		<li>Making foreign and defence policy less accountable to the whims of the electorate in individual countries and more responsive to realpolitik and the needs of the European arms industry (for example, more wars).</li>
		<li>Making Europe more attractilike the US and far east  by reducing guarantees about how easily employees can be made redundant or have their working conditions changed.</li>
	</ul>

	<p>The treaty was complex and difficult to make sense of becuase it had to be framed in such a way that a popular vote was not required in any of the large, difficult to bully, countries.</p>

	<p>Now while the first two priorites are not unreasonable, the second two do not seem to be compatible with a left wing political outlook and I think in this case that those on the left who supported the Lisbon treaty have confused pragmatism with capitulation.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: urgs</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290472</link>
		<dc:creator>urgs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Oct 2009 19:33:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290472</guid>
		<description>Munchau 10: Crookedtimber 0

Crookedtimber commenters  -100 )-:. 

&quot;i vote no to punish the government&quot; &quot; i dont like Blair&quot;. Great how arguments on that level  hold 500 million people hostage to a country of 4,5...

Munchau is right that the threaty doesnt go far enough and that financial crisis has taught os that we need more EU quickly, not less.  At  this point, the only options are backwards or forwards. Status quo is no option anymore.  No country will accept finance free trade without new more powerfull EU regulatiton anymore after the way Irish and even Icelandic banks ran havoc arround the EU.   If you want to abolish the EU, just say it, dont hide behind some meta debate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Munchau 10: Crookedtimber 0</p>

	<p>Crookedtimber commenters  -100 )-:.</p>

	<p>&#8220;i vote no to punish the government&#8221; &#8221; i dont like Blair&#8221;. Great how arguments on that level  hold 500 million people hostage to a country of 4,5&#8230;</p>

	<p>Munchau is right that the threaty doesnt go far enough and that financial crisis has taught os that we need more EU quickly, not less.  At  this point, the only options are backwards or forwards. Status quo is no option anymore.  No country will accept finance free trade without new more powerfull EU regulatiton anymore after the way Irish and even Icelandic banks ran havoc arround the EU.   If you want to abolish the EU, just say it, dont hide behind some meta debate.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Antoni Jaume</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290445</link>
		<dc:creator>Antoni Jaume</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Oct 2009 16:35:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290445</guid>
		<description>chris y, be aware that there is an initiative to boycott Blair:

http://stopblair.eu/
&lt;a href=&quot;http://stopblair.eu/&quot; title=&quot;Stop Blair&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>chris y, be aware that there is an initiative to boycott Blair:</p>

	<p><a href="http://stopblair.eu/" rel="nofollow">http://stopblair.eu/</a><br />
<a href="http://stopblair.eu/" title="Stop Blair" rel="nofollow"></a></p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: chris y</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290424</link>
		<dc:creator>chris y</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Oct 2009 12:49:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290424</guid>
		<description>Do these eedjits understand that they&#039;ve probably just voted Tony Blair into another damn job?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Do these eedjits understand that they&#8217;ve probably just voted Tony Blair into another damn job?</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: vrt</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290403</link>
		<dc:creator>vrt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 21:54:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290403</guid>
		<description>Mart @10:

&quot;it’s actually pretty crazy to have a referendum on something as complex as a treaty negotiated between 27 states. What would a ‘No’ vote even mean – it tells you nothing about what part of the treaty people object to.&quot;

Complex adaptive systems such as brains, artificial neural networks and, perhaps, the EU, can actually solve this problem, i.e. they can learn subtle distinctions between similar complex, stimuli based on very simple, &quot;success/failure&quot; feedback.  However, this requires multiple stimulus presentations.

In other words, the solution to the problem you raise is ... &quot;mulligan&quot; referenda.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Mart @10:</p>

	<p>&#8220;it&#8217;s actually pretty crazy to have a referendum on something as complex as a treaty negotiated between 27 states. What would a &#8216;No&#8217; vote even mean &#8211; it tells you nothing about what part of the treaty people object to.&#8221;</p>

	<p>Complex adaptive systems such as brains, artificial neural networks and, perhaps, the EU, can actually solve this problem, i.e. they can learn subtle distinctions between similar complex, stimuli based on very simple, &#8220;success/failure&#8221; feedback.  However, this requires multiple stimulus presentations.</p>

	<p>In other words, the solution to the problem you raise is &#8230; &#8220;mulligan&#8221; referenda.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: ejh</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290398</link>
		<dc:creator>ejh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 18:50:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290398</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Ireland has lived up to its responsibilities &lt;/i&gt;

Really, it&#039;s this sort of thing that made me glad when the first referendum voted No.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Ireland has lived up to its responsibilities </i></p>

	<p>Really, it&#8217;s this sort of thing that made me glad when the first referendum voted No.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: James Conran</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290392</link>
		<dc:creator>James Conran</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 16:11:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290392</guid>
		<description>Result = 67% Yes. The 2 Donegal constituencies look like the only &quot;No&quot;s.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Result = 67% Yes. The 2 Donegal constituencies look like the only &#8220;No&#8221;s.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Kevin Donoghue</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290373</link>
		<dc:creator>Kevin Donoghue</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 11:21:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290373</guid>
		<description>It &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2009/1003/breaking11.htm&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;looks like a Yes&lt;/a&gt; with Dick Roche a strong contender for the coveted brass neck trophy:

&lt;blockquote&gt;&quot;Regarding the Polish and Czech presidents, it is a matter for them and it is a matter for their people. The ball is now firmly in their court,&quot; European Affairs Minister Dick Roche said at the main Dublin counting centre.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

&lt;blockquote&gt;&quot;All I can say is that Ireland has lived up to its responsibilities and it is now up to them to live up to theirs.&quot;&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>It <a href="http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2009/1003/breaking11.htm" rel="nofollow">looks like a Yes</a> with Dick Roche a strong contender for the coveted brass neck trophy:</p>

	<p><blockquote>&#8220;Regarding the Polish and Czech presidents, it is a matter for them and it is a matter for their people. The ball is now firmly in their court,&#8221; European Affairs Minister Dick Roche said at the main Dublin counting centre.</blockquote></p>

	<p><blockquote>&#8220;All I can say is that Ireland has lived up to its responsibilities and it is now up to them to live up to theirs.&#8221;</blockquote></p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Cian</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290370</link>
		<dc:creator>Cian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 08:53:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290370</guid>
		<description>Just to let you know that the Irish bloggers have a liveblog following the results as they come in - tallies first (unofficial observations) and then results from 12.00. The link is www.short.ie/lisboncount and its being run by the group of us at www.irishelection.com

It is a yes from the early boxes - with some of the 60% no constituencies going to 50/50 or even a yes (Tallaght the most clear example).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Just to let you know that the Irish bloggers have a liveblog following the results as they come in &#8211; tallies first (unofficial observations) and then results from 12.00. The link is <a href="http://www.short.ie/lisboncount" rel="nofollow">http://www.short.ie/lisboncount</a> and its being run by the group of us at <a href="http://www.irishelection.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.irishelection.com</a></p>

	<p>It is a yes from the early boxes &#8211; with some of the 60% no constituencies going to 50/50 or even a yes (Tallaght the most clear example).</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: George Berger</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290369</link>
		<dc:creator>George Berger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 08:44:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290369</guid>
		<description>The agreement will not &quot;deny&quot; workers&#039; rights, it will change them. In my opinion for the worse, by the mechanism called  &quot;Flexicurity.&quot; At least one provision explicitly calls for more flexible regulations for hiring and firing. It combines this with the call for making it easier for (temporarily) unemployed workers to find a new job in a short time span. The combination is claimed to be beneficial for both parties.
     This is false. We are now in a crisis, in which additional measures are being taken to make firing easy, at least in the Netherlands.  But provisions for quick return to work are scarce. Only the bosses benefit from this right now.  I am dismayed that the  flexicurity provisions  have not been widely discussed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>The agreement will not &#8220;deny&#8221; workers&#8217; rights, it will change them. In my opinion for the worse, by the mechanism called  &#8220;Flexicurity.&#8221; At least one provision explicitly calls for more flexible regulations for hiring and firing. It combines this with the call for making it easier for (temporarily) unemployed workers to find a new job in a short time span. The combination is claimed to be beneficial for both parties.<br />
This is false. We are now in a crisis, in which additional measures are being taken to make firing easy, at least in the Netherlands.  But provisions for quick return to work are scarce. Only the bosses benefit from this right now.  I am dismayed that the  flexicurity provisions  have not been widely discussed.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Kevin Donoghue</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290367</link>
		<dc:creator>Kevin Donoghue</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 07:24:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290367</guid>
		<description>Counting begins at 9.00 am local time. We should have a good indication of the result by 1.00 pm unless it&#039;s very close. On the question of what we should or shouldn&#039;t be thinking about when we vote, I would like to point out that it&#039;s the text of the &lt;em&gt;Irish&lt;/em&gt; constitution we&#039;re revising. If Wolfgang Munchau wants a union that doesn&#039;t have us in it, he&#039;s free to create one.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Counting begins at 9.00 am local time. We should have a good indication of the result by 1.00 pm unless it&#8217;s very close. On the question of what we should or shouldn&#8217;t be thinking about when we vote, I would like to point out that it&#8217;s the text of the <em>Irish</em> constitution we&#8217;re revising. If Wolfgang Munchau wants a union that doesn&#8217;t have us in it, he&#8217;s free to create one.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: John Quiggin</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290363</link>
		<dc:creator>John Quiggin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 06:44:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290363</guid>
		<description>What&#039;s the story with vote counting? It seems as if voting ought to have finished quite a while ago. Do they lock up the ballot boxes and go home for the weekend?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>What&#8217;s the story with vote counting? It seems as if voting ought to have finished quite a while ago. Do they lock up the ballot boxes and go home for the weekend?</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: gr</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/02/lisbon-treaty-open-thread/comment-page-1/#comment-290362</link>
		<dc:creator>gr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 06:41:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13205#comment-290362</guid>
		<description>&quot;I was leaning toward voting Yes, with a lot of reluctance, but I ended up voting No in the expectation that it will pass, and a closer ballot has a better chance of breaking the current godawful government&quot; This strikes me as a very bad reason to vote &#039;no&#039;. The result will affect hundreds of millions of people outside of Ireland. To give just one example, if the Lisbon Treaty fails, what will be the prospects for further enlargement? Will it ever be possible for, say, Turkey to become a member? I suppose there are legitimate reasons to vote no, but yours isn&#039;t one of them. If you want to break your government, use your elections.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>&#8220;I was leaning toward voting Yes, with a lot of reluctance, but I ended up voting No in the expectation that it will pass, and a closer ballot has a better chance of breaking the current godawful government&#8221; This strikes me as a very bad reason to vote &#8216;no&#8217;. The result will affect hundreds of millions of people outside of Ireland. To give just one example, if the Lisbon Treaty fails, what will be the prospects for further enlargement? Will it ever be possible for, say, Turkey to become a member? I suppose there are legitimate reasons to vote no, but yours isn&#8217;t one of them. If you want to break your government, use your elections.</p>
 ]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>

