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	<title>Comments on: Centrism as tribalism</title>
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	<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/</link>
	<description>Out of the crooked timber of humanity, no straight thing was ever made</description>
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		<title>By: snuh</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291330</link>
		<dc:creator>snuh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2009 00:24:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291330</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Second, good policy requires stability. Though Democrats apparently find this hard to imagine, they will not always control the White House and both chambers of Congress. Measures that infuriate the other side – remember the Bush tax cuts? – can be reversed.&lt;/i&gt;

this made me laugh.  crook inserts a bit about the bush tax cuts, to show his centrist bona fides to a sceptical left, but only makes a fool of himself:  the bush tax cuts will repeal themselves in 10 years because they were enacted with a sunset provision.  the democrats don&#039;t need to reverse them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Second, good policy requires stability. Though Democrats apparently find this hard to imagine, they will not always control the White House and both chambers of Congress. Measures that infuriate the other side &#8211; remember the Bush tax cuts? &#8211; can be reversed.</i></p>

	<p>this made me laugh.  crook inserts a bit about the bush tax cuts, to show his centrist bona fides to a sceptical left, but only makes a fool of himself:  the bush tax cuts will repeal themselves in 10 years because they were enacted with a sunset provision.  the democrats don&#8217;t need to reverse them.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve LaBonne</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291256</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve LaBonne</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 20:07:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291256</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;When Disraeli said “That sir, depends on whether I embrace your mistress or your principles” he was not exactly being gracious.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I thought that was John Wilkes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote>When Disraeli said &#8220;That sir, depends on whether I embrace your mistress or your principles&#8221; he was not exactly being gracious.</blockquote></p>

	<p>I thought that was John Wilkes.</p>
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		<title>By: Arion</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291248</link>
		<dc:creator>Arion</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 18:02:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291248</guid>
		<description>When Disraeli said &quot;That sir, depends on whether I embrace your mistress or your principles&quot; he was not exactly being gracious. Yet I&#039;m awfully glad he said it.  perhaps there&#039;s room for a good deal of the old nasty provided it is delivered with style.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>When Disraeli said &#8220;That sir, depends on whether I embrace your mistress or your principles&#8221; he was not exactly being gracious. Yet I&#8217;m awfully glad he said it.  perhaps there&#8217;s room for a good deal of the old nasty provided it is delivered with style.</p>
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		<title>By: Henri Vieuxtemps</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291247</link>
		<dc:creator>Henri Vieuxtemps</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 17:48:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291247</guid>
		<description>Defense of the Centrism is an affirmation of the official doctrine, an attempt to narrow the range of acceptable opinions. That&#039;s what I&#039;m saying.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Defense of the Centrism is an affirmation of the official doctrine, an attempt to narrow the range of acceptable opinions. That&#8217;s what I&#8217;m saying.</p>
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		<title>By: Barry</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291246</link>
		<dc:creator>Barry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 16:07:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291246</guid>
		<description>Henri, perhaps your comment was missing a few words, to make the meaning clear?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Henri, perhaps your comment was missing a few words, to make the meaning clear?</p>
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		<title>By: Henri Vieuxtemps</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291232</link>
		<dc:creator>Henri Vieuxtemps</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 08:31:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291232</guid>
		<description>Just an affirmation of the standard paradigm with a narrow official doctrine and heresies around it. The heretics are not rational, by definition. Quite possibly, slightly insane. Sluggishly progressing schizophrenia.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Just an affirmation of the standard paradigm with a narrow official doctrine and heresies around it. The heretics are not rational, by definition. Quite possibly, slightly insane. Sluggishly progressing schizophrenia.</p>
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		<title>By: Jeff Crook</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291225</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Crook</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 01:49:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291225</guid>
		<description>Clive is from the mossy, lightning-struck, kudzu-strangled side of the family tree. I will make no apologies for him.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Clive is from the mossy, lightning-struck, kudzu-strangled side of the family tree. I will make no apologies for him.</p>
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		<title>By: paul</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291224</link>
		<dc:creator>paul</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 00:23:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291224</guid>
		<description>Crook is also wrong in his notion that good policy requires stability. Although obviously changing things too fast runs the risk of dismantling a policy before its effects have even been felt, there&#039;s pretty clear evidence that those bright back-room kids, who get paid so much to circumvent the spirit of whatever rules are put in place to protect against their previous debacle, typically require 5-15 years to put a new bag of tricks into place. So the policy/regulatory environment really needs to change at least that fast to keep them from making the next debacle even more widespread.

But I still wish Henry and everybody else wouldn&#039;t give in to the orwellian use of &quot;centrism&quot;. The &quot;center&quot; is somewhere to the right of where the right used to be.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Crook is also wrong in his notion that good policy requires stability. Although obviously changing things too fast runs the risk of dismantling a policy before its effects have even been felt, there&#8217;s pretty clear evidence that those bright back-room kids, who get paid so much to circumvent the spirit of whatever rules are put in place to protect against their previous debacle, typically require 5-15 years to put a new bag of tricks into place. So the policy/regulatory environment really needs to change at least that fast to keep them from making the next debacle even more widespread.</p>

	<p>But I still wish Henry and everybody else wouldn&#8217;t give in to the orwellian use of &#8220;centrism&#8221;. The &#8220;center&#8221; is somewhere to the right of where the right used to be.</p>
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		<title>By: Dick Hertz</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291220</link>
		<dc:creator>Dick Hertz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 23:41:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291220</guid>
		<description>Crook shows that even those who pretend a libertarian centrism are ideologically blindered if not fundamentally dishonest.  The &quot;left&quot; in America today appears to be Rockefeller Republicans; there are few socialists outside of Vermont and hardly a Wobbly or Internationale member knocking down jails or getting massacred by &quot;the man&quot; (e.g. Everett Massacre, Centralia Massacre, Colorado mining strike breaking with the National Guard).  There is a vast muddled generation of people who wonder what happened to the world of reasonable people and reasonable programs that evolved in the postwar years to take care of people.  These gains are the socialism Crook and his FT ilk are desperate to remove, if only to bring back the power of Dickens&#039; prose.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Crook shows that even those who pretend a libertarian centrism are ideologically blindered if not fundamentally dishonest.  The &#8220;left&#8221; in America today appears to be Rockefeller Republicans; there are few socialists outside of Vermont and hardly a Wobbly or Internationale member knocking down jails or getting massacred by &#8220;the man&#8221; (e.g. Everett Massacre, Centralia Massacre, Colorado mining strike breaking with the National Guard).  There is a vast muddled generation of people who wonder what happened to the world of reasonable people and reasonable programs that evolved in the postwar years to take care of people.  These gains are the socialism Crook and his FT ilk are desperate to remove, if only to bring back the power of Dickens&#8217; prose.</p>
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		<title>By: JM</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291212</link>
		<dc:creator>JM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 21:31:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291212</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;And Mr. Crook’s suggestion that leftwingers are constitutionally incapable of understanding that there can ever be any benefits to lowering taxes on rich people can be dismissed as standard right-wing pundit shtick.&lt;/i&gt; 

Pretending there&#039;s something congenitally wrong with leftwingers for not being &quot;able&quot; to admit Crook is right certainly preserves Crook from having to frame a rational argument.  But it&#039;s unconvincing.  

Sadly, the job of selling regressive tax changes after the umpteenth failure of voodoo economics will fall to a more capable and imaginative fraud.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>And Mr. Crook&#8217;s suggestion that leftwingers are constitutionally incapable of understanding that there can ever be any benefits to lowering taxes on rich people can be dismissed as standard right-wing pundit shtick.</i></p>

	<p>Pretending there&#8217;s something congenitally wrong with leftwingers for not being &#8220;able&#8221; to admit Crook is right certainly preserves Crook from having to frame a rational argument.  But it&#8217;s unconvincing.</p>

	<p>Sadly, the job of selling regressive tax changes after the umpteenth failure of voodoo economics will fall to a more capable and imaginative fraud.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291208</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 20:16:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291208</guid>
		<description>Hmm, I didn&#039;t realize quite how big a wall of economics text that was going to be.

Nevertheless, the mere existence of a substantive left-ish approach to the question refutes Crook&#039;s strawman.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Hmm, I didn&#8217;t realize quite how big a wall of economics text that was going to be.</p>

	<p>Nevertheless, the mere existence of a substantive left-ish approach to the question refutes Crook&#8217;s strawman.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291207</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 20:09:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291207</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;For the left, there could never be a reason to lower taxes on the rich.&lt;/i&gt;

He&#039;s not arguing with the left, or seeking an accommodation.  He&#039;s strawmanning the left to push it out of the Overton Window.  I don&#039;t see that as very different from silencing or shouting down.

Let me be the first to explode Clive Crook&#039;s head by saying that I&#039;m on the left and I believe there could be circumstances in which it would be a good idea to lower taxes on the rich.  We just aren&#039;t presently in those circumstances, or likely to be in them any time in the foreseeable future.

Theoretically, there&#039;s nothing wrong with the idea of the Laffer Curve, and if you actually are on the descending part of it, then lowering tax rates is a good idea.  What&#039;s wrong with the Laffer Curve is the constant attempt to claim we are on the descending side when the evidence clearly shows otherwise.

I can think of three actual situations where it would be a good idea to cut taxes on the rich.  The first is if the rich-and-productive (as an example I&#039;ll use Steve Jobs) are *actually being deterred from working* by high tax rates.  Do you see Steve Jobs working one day a week and taking the other four off because it just isn&#039;t worth the effort when he only gets to keep 70% of his tens of thousands of dollars per hour gross pay?  Me neither.  (Actually, I doubt that a techie like Jobs is all that money motivated in the first place, especially after the first couple million.  More study of the psychology of people like Jobs might produce a more realistic estimate of the effect of marginal tax rates on behavior.)

The second is if there are many potentially-productive opportunities to invest in means of production that would increase economic output in the future (e.g. building factories), but nobody is actually making the investments because there are no investable funds or because capital gains are being taxed at some extremely high rate that skews the risk-reward calculations.  (1)  What we have is, if anything, the opposite -- lots of investment in risky and unproductive assets and loans to people with little capacity to repay who aren&#039;t planning to do anything productive with the money, because it&#039;s really not a good time to build factories but there&#039;s tons of investment capital looking for someplace to park.

Finally, the third situation is where taxes are so high that a whole industry is pushed into the black market to avoid them.  Most black markets arise from outright bans on the transaction in question, but a sufficiently high tax *could* have the same effect, which would eliminate it as a revenue measure (and also deliver money to organized crime).  Theoretically a *really* high income tax could do this to the whole economy, but in practice that has never happened and seems almost impossible that it could ever happen.


(1) Limited liability skews risk-reward *in favor* of risky investments, because you can&#039;t lose more than the equity invested but there&#039;s no limit to the upside if the investment pays off.  This results in investments with negative expected return being undertaken anyway because some of the costs can be externalized through bankruptcy if the venture fails.  (This effect is even stronger if the founder expects to work as a manager, because then his/her managerial salary is a guaranteed return regardless of success or failure.  Literally any failed business can be a profitable undertaking if you can convince someone else to pay you to manage it until it crashes.  The only limiting factor is finding venture capitalists willing to buy shares in Newcastle Coal Importation, Ltd.)  

In order for capital gains taxes to suppress *valuable* investment they have to be an even stronger effect in the opposite direction.  It&#039;s not sufficient to say they suppress investment that would have been undertaken otherwise if that investment would have had negative expected overall return including externalizable risk.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>For the left, there could never be a reason to lower taxes on the rich.</i></p>

	<p>He&#8217;s not arguing with the left, or seeking an accommodation.  He&#8217;s strawmanning the left to push it out of the Overton Window.  I don&#8217;t see that as very different from silencing or shouting down.</p>

	<p>Let me be the first to explode Clive Crook&#8217;s head by saying that I&#8217;m on the left and I believe there could be circumstances in which it would be a good idea to lower taxes on the rich.  We just aren&#8217;t presently in those circumstances, or likely to be in them any time in the foreseeable future.</p>

	<p>Theoretically, there&#8217;s nothing wrong with the idea of the Laffer Curve, and if you actually are on the descending part of it, then lowering tax rates is a good idea.  What&#8217;s wrong with the Laffer Curve is the constant attempt to claim we are on the descending side when the evidence clearly shows otherwise.</p>

	<p>I can think of three actual situations where it would be a good idea to cut taxes on the rich.  The first is if the rich-and-productive (as an example I&#8217;ll use Steve Jobs) are <strong>actually being deterred from working</strong> by high tax rates.  Do you see Steve Jobs working one day a week and taking the other four off because it just isn&#8217;t worth the effort when he only gets to keep 70% of his tens of thousands of dollars per hour gross pay?  Me neither.  (Actually, I doubt that a techie like Jobs is all that money motivated in the first place, especially after the first couple million.  More study of the psychology of people like Jobs might produce a more realistic estimate of the effect of marginal tax rates on behavior.)</p>

	<p>The second is if there are many potentially-productive opportunities to invest in means of production that would increase economic output in the future (e.g. building factories), but nobody is actually making the investments because there are no investable funds or because capital gains are being taxed at some extremely high rate that skews the risk-reward calculations.  (1)  What we have is, if anything, the opposite&#8212;lots of investment in risky and unproductive assets and loans to people with little capacity to repay who aren&#8217;t planning to do anything productive with the money, because it&#8217;s really not a good time to build factories but there&#8217;s tons of investment capital looking for someplace to park.</p>

	<p>Finally, the third situation is where taxes are so high that a whole industry is pushed into the black market to avoid them.  Most black markets arise from outright bans on the transaction in question, but a sufficiently high tax <strong>could</strong> have the same effect, which would eliminate it as a revenue measure (and also deliver money to organized crime).  Theoretically a <strong>really</strong> high income tax could do this to the whole economy, but in practice that has never happened and seems almost impossible that it could ever happen.</p>


	<p>(1) Limited liability skews risk-reward <strong>in favor</strong> of risky investments, because you can&#8217;t lose more than the equity invested but there&#8217;s no limit to the upside if the investment pays off.  This results in investments with negative expected return being undertaken anyway because some of the costs can be externalized through bankruptcy if the venture fails.  (This effect is even stronger if the founder expects to work as a manager, because then his/her managerial salary is a guaranteed return regardless of success or failure.  Literally any failed business can be a profitable undertaking if you can convince someone else to pay you to manage it until it crashes.  The only limiting factor is finding venture capitalists willing to buy shares in Newcastle Coal Importation, Ltd.)</p>

	<p>In order for capital gains taxes to suppress <strong>valuable</strong> investment they have to be an even stronger effect in the opposite direction.  It&#8217;s not sufficient to say they suppress investment that would have been undertaken otherwise if that investment would have had negative expected overall return including externalizable risk.</p>
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		<title>By: dsquared</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291204</link>
		<dc:creator>dsquared</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 19:59:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291204</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;A common ploy on the right, to deplore the excesses of both sides, but somehow, for some reason, there don’t seem to be too many examples on the right that get mentioned&lt;/i&gt;

as Jamie Kenny &lt;a href=&quot;http://bloodandtreasure.typepad.com/blood_treasure/2009/10/the-legions-again.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;puts it&lt;/a&gt; in a sort of version of Godwin&#039;s Law, you can more or less guarantee that when someone starts out by saying &quot;Communism was as bad as Nazism&quot;, within finite time with probability one, he will end up expressing a preference for the Nazis.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>A common ploy on the right, to deplore the excesses of both sides, but somehow, for some reason, there don&#8217;t seem to be too many examples on the right that get mentioned</i></p>

	<p>as Jamie Kenny <a href="http://bloodandtreasure.typepad.com/blood_treasure/2009/10/the-legions-again.html" rel="nofollow">puts it</a> in a sort of version of Godwin&#8217;s Law, you can more or less guarantee that when someone starts out by saying &#8220;Communism was as bad as Nazism&#8221;, within finite time with probability one, he will end up expressing a preference for the Nazis.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve LaBonne</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291203</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve LaBonne</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 19:47:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291203</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;A common ploy on the right, to deplore the excesses of both sides, but somehow, for some reason, there don’t seem to be too many examples on the right that get mentioned.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

And what&#039;s worse is that your garden-variety clueless liberal is only too happy, in discussions with &quot;centrists&quot;,  to enable this scam by readily agreeing (seeking thereby to strengthen his or her own &quot;mainstream&quot; creds) that, sure, Michael Moore is crazy (or the like), thereby collaborating in the rightward movement of the Overton window.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote>A common ploy on the right, to deplore the excesses of both sides, but somehow, for some reason, there don&#8217;t seem to be too many examples on the right that get mentioned.</blockquote></p>

	<p>And what&#8217;s worse is that your garden-variety clueless liberal is only too happy, in discussions with &#8220;centrists&#8221;,  to enable this scam by readily agreeing (seeking thereby to strengthen his or her own &#8220;mainstream&#8221; creds) that, sure, Michael Moore is crazy (or the like), thereby collaborating in the rightward movement of the Overton window.</p>
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		<title>By: tristero</title>
		<link>http://crookedtimber.org/2009/10/09/centrism-as-tribalism/comment-page-1/#comment-291200</link>
		<dc:creator>tristero</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Oct 2009 19:31:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crookedtimber.org/?p=13273#comment-291200</guid>
		<description>A common ploy on the right, to deplore the excesses of both sides, but somehow, for some reason, there don&#039;t seem to be too many examples on the right that get mentioned.

Me, I make no bones about it. I don&#039;t want to see a &quot;middle ground&quot; or &quot;consensus&quot; between liberalism - which, by the way, is not &quot;the left&quot; - and the extreme right politics of the modern Republican party. Why? Because it simply isn&#039;t possible. We are talking about people who have made it quite clear they want even a moderate like Obama to fail and whose vision of America is so bizarre, they run their candidates in stealth mode so no one knows what they actually stand for.

I want to see the extremists on the right pushed back to the margins of American discourse, where they so clearly belong. It is utterly shameful that Crook makes a false equivalence between them and mainstream liberals, but it is not a new tactic.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>A common ploy on the right, to deplore the excesses of both sides, but somehow, for some reason, there don&#8217;t seem to be too many examples on the right that get mentioned.</p>

	<p>Me, I make no bones about it. I don&#8217;t want to see a &#8220;middle ground&#8221; or &#8220;consensus&#8221; between liberalism &#8211; which, by the way, is not &#8220;the left&#8221; &#8211; and the extreme right politics of the modern Republican party. Why? Because it simply isn&#8217;t possible. We are talking about people who have made it quite clear they want even a moderate like Obama to fail and whose vision of America is so bizarre, they run their candidates in stealth mode so no one knows what they actually stand for.</p>

	<p>I want to see the extremists on the right pushed back to the margins of American discourse, where they so clearly belong. It is utterly shameful that Crook makes a false equivalence between them and mainstream liberals, but it is not a new tactic.</p>
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