Why are Women more Religious than Men?

by Kieran Healy on March 18, 2007

Tyler Cowen asks,

bq. So why *are* women more religious than men? Is it just greater risk-aversion?

According to my colleague Louise Roth, in an article from the current ASR co-authored with Jeff Kroll, the answer to the second question is, “No.” Here’s the abstract:

bq. Scholars of religion have long known that women are more religious than men, but they disagree about the reasons underlying this difference. Risk preference theory suggests that gender gaps in religiosity are a consequence of men’s greater propensity to take risks, and that irreligiosity is analogous to other high-risk behaviors typically associated with young men. Yet, research using risk preference theory has not effectively distinguished those who perceive a risk to irreligiousness from those who do not. In this article, we evaluate risk preference theory. We differentiate those who believe in an afterlife, who perceive a risk to irreligiousness, from nonbelievers who perceive no risk associated with the judgment after death. Using General Social Survey and World Values Survey data, multivariate models test the effects of gender and belief on religiousness. In most religions and nations the gender gap is larger for those who do not believe in an afterlife than for those who do, contradicting the predictions of risk preference theory. The results clearly demonstrate that the risk preference thesis is not a compelling explanation of women’s greater average religiosity.

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03.19.07 at 3:48 pm

{ 58 comments }

1

Tyrone Slothrop 03.19.07 at 12:15 am

Why are men less religious than women?

2

aa 03.19.07 at 1:37 am

If in fact it’s true (anything that has long been known has good chances of being false), it’s possibly due to neurological differences. Brain centers activated by relgious activity are related to a capacity for empathy. The same centers are activated by the drug ecstasy. Give the neuroscientists another 20 years and the matter should be clearer. And of course the genes controlling the development of these centers will be identified sooner or later.

On the other hand there is no difference in hypnotizability.

Which suggests that religion is not a form of hypnosis.

Not bloody likely. Let’s just wait 20 years.

3

Richard 03.19.07 at 2:10 am

Why is vegetarianism so heavily gendered in the US, too? I suspect there’s some deep link, but I have no idea what it is.

Oh, and how, really, do you measure comparative religiosity? I wonder how reliable these survey data are, and to what extent gendered social power or agency are perfectly good explanations (that is, in many cultures I can imagine it might be acceptable for a man to describe himself as ‘free-thinking’ but not for a woman).

4

Elayne Riggs 03.19.07 at 2:14 am

I always thought it was because women are, by and large, more societally insecure (and certainly more financially so), and thus more susceptible to having to take it on faith that their lot in life will improve if they devote themselves to a sky fairy.

5

roger 03.19.07 at 2:51 am

Next question is: why are economists irrationally pre-disposed to put every question in terms of rational expectation? Is it due to the risk factor, i.e, they will get kicked out of the profession if they don’t take on faith an obviously bogus paradigm?

6

Crystal 03.19.07 at 2:52 am

What is meant by “religious,” and how is religiosity measured? Are women more religious than men across all religions and cultures? Or is this yet another generalization from “modern, Western and Christian” to “all cultures, everywhere, across time?”

Maybe we can turn this question on its head and ask, “Are men more likely to be atheists? If so, why?”

7

Paul Ding 03.19.07 at 3:32 am

Maybe Mark Andrus gave the answer when he wrote the screenplay “As Good As It Gets”:

Receptionist (Julie Benz): How do you write women so well?
Melvin Udall (Jack Nicholson): I think of a man, and I take away reason and accountability.

Then again, maybe not.

8

Jackmormon 03.19.07 at 3:57 am

Nobody has blamed the patriachy yet?

I had a great-uncle on the non-LDS side who was a local politician in a backwater town in the Canadian North. He decided one day that the town needed a church, so he hassled and harrassed every citizen into donating money toward building one.

During the first Sunday afternoon’s services, someone came in on my great-uncle in the basement of the general store, playing poker and smoking cigars with his cronies, just as usual. When asked why he’d made everybody contribute to a church he wasn’t going to attend, he reminded everyone around that church was very important—for women and children.

9

vastring 03.19.07 at 5:11 am

I don’t follow the logic of the abstract. Presumably if you believe in an afterlife and are not a universalist, you have the incentive to behave religiously whether you are risk-averse or risk-neutral (this is Pascal’s wager). It is precisely when you don’t think that an incalculably large reward might await you in the afterlife that you want to take a risk on whether your religious beliefs are correct by behaving irreligiously.

10

Scott Martens 03.19.07 at 6:28 am

“Religion is the opiate of the people” – and it’s a lot bigger a pain to be a woman than a man, so it’s no surprise when they use more painkillers.

11

Matt McIrvin 03.19.07 at 6:39 am

Why is vegetarianism so heavily gendered in the US, too? I suspect there’s some deep link, but I have no idea what it is.

I blame the patriarchy.

Seriously, vegetarianism is just an additional easy step from the diet-obsession that gets hammered into women’s heads by our entire culture, which in turn comes from body-image and appearance issues. For men it’s a bigger stretch; they’ve been taught that devouring huge bloody steaks is a sign of manliness.

12

idlemind 03.19.07 at 7:19 am

Same reason a woman is more likely to ask for directions when lost.

13

abb1 03.19.07 at 7:23 am

Obviously a socio-economic phenomenon, imposed by the superstructure and perpetuated by ideology – instrument of social reproduction.

14

Hidari 03.19.07 at 8:35 am

And could I ask an obvious question….what, precisely, do we mean by religion? Or is this another question that presumes that the only ‘real’ religions are Western monotheistic religions (Islam, Judaism, Christianity)? What about Shinto, Buddhism, Taoism, Hinduism, Confucianism (if that’s a religion), and so forth?

15

dave heasman 03.19.07 at 12:09 pm

Was this a proper survey of a range of people or was it just a survey of undergraduates? If the former, I’d suggest that older women have more familiarity with death. Anecdotally, my old girl f’rexample has had to lay out two husbands and both her parents. She’s the only one who could be bothered to maintain the graves. Most religions are constructed round some form of rationalising of death, which women seem to have to do more of.

16

Aidan Kehoe 03.19.07 at 12:16 pm

I remember seeing Jo Brand comment ruefully once that if British women had never had the vote, Labour would have won every post-1918 British election—perhaps there’s a single tendency in outlook or motivation that supports both phenomena.

17

Z 03.19.07 at 1:08 pm

I can imagine many sociologically grounded reasons why women in a particular society would be more religious than men, but I confess my ignorance of current sociological research upon that subject. So Kieran, are you going to suggest an answer?

18

Robin 03.19.07 at 1:54 pm

Doesn’t Tyler’s question treat belief as a matter of choice? I’m not sure that someone can just choose to believe, say, that they will be reincarnated and have a second shot. Anyway, the idea that people choose beliefs to maximize their utility–in this case to match up with their risk profile–seems to be describing a species of irrationality, adapting beliefs to desires, like the story of the fox and the grapes that Elster likes to bring up. The framework of choice seems ill-suited to explain beliefs altogether.

19

Randolph Fritz 03.19.07 at 3:05 pm

It’s because, in otherwise male-dominated families and areas of culture, some religions are one of the few legitimate forms of power for women; this is true of Christianity and Islam.

Surprise! It really is the patriarchy.

20

Marc 03.19.07 at 3:29 pm

You might want to dig down to the link at

http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2006/12/a_kuranian_take.html

which makes this question more interesting, although you have to take the primary result “on faith” since there is not direct link to the research behind the central claim. I do remember that, at least in western societies, there is overwhelming evidence of a gender difference in religious belief – as measured from survey responses, attendance at religious services, frequency of attendance, degree of importance of religion in daily life, etc.

As far as the patriarchy is concerned, the relevant point is

“Once people admit that this gender gap exists, the most popular explanation is that women are “socialized” to be more religious. Stark and Miller put this theory to the test. If the socialization hypothesis is true, they reason, then the gender gap should be larger in more traditional societies where socialization pressure is more intense. Make sense to me.

Survey says: Dead wrong. In fact, the gender gap is smallest in the most traditional societies, and largest in the least traditional societies! In societies that approve of single motherhood, with a high abortion rate, low fertility, and high female labor force participation, the religiosity gap between women and men is especially large.”

e.g. it’s apparently universal and the most obvious cultural explanations don’t work.

21

Alison 03.19.07 at 3:43 pm

In response to marc. There must be a cut-off of minimum conformity to religion beyond which one would count as ‘non-religious’.

In traditional societies both men and women fall within this boundary so both sexes are ‘religious’, but the men are less strictly supervised, less socialised to conform (they drink, swear, have more relaxed clothing norms etc.)

In less traditional societies this gender gap is still in place, possibly weaker, but still in place. In these societies the lighter religious conformism imposed on men enables a greater proportion of them to identify as completely secular in greater proportions than women.

this seems plausible to me, and it would explain the pattern that marc describes.

22

Matt Kuzma 03.19.07 at 4:01 pm

So why are women more religious than men? Is it just greater risk-aversion?

There’s something beautiful about the immediacy of that statement. I just love the clarity of “difference between the sexes”->”women are inherently flawed”

“Once people admit that this gender gap exists, the most popular explanation is that women are “socialized” to be more religious. Stark and Miller put this theory to the test. If the socialization hypothesis is true, they reason, then the gender gap should be larger in more traditional societies where socialization pressure is more intense. Make sense to me.

Survey says: Dead wrong. In fact, the gender gap is smallest in the most traditional societies, and largest in the least traditional societies! In societies that approve of single motherhood, with a high abortion rate, low fertility, and high female labor force participation, the religiosity gap between women and men is especially large.”

Maybe a higher percentage of men are irreligious because most religions endorse living life contrary to some pretty powerful male instincts. In liberal societies, men have fewer social constraints standing in the way of their philandering and immoral power-grabbing. Certainly there are plenty of people of both sexes who have no place for religion in their lives, who don’t need it to enforce their moral choices. But I would suggest that there is a certain type of man who stands to lose a lot of what he desires by being religious, and that this effect is more pronounced when other societal factors don’t duplicate religious control.

23

Mary Catherine Moran 03.19.07 at 4:05 pm

Why does this question make me think of Victorian gentlemen in silk waistcoats, sipping port and smoking cigars while they ponder the eternal Enigma of Woman?

Just asking.

24

theogon 03.19.07 at 4:39 pm

“Once people admit that this gender gap exists, the most popular explanation is that women are “socialized” to be more religious. Stark and Miller put this theory to the test. If the socialization hypothesis is true, they reason, then the gender gap should be larger in more traditional societies where socialization pressure is more intense. Make sense to me.

Survey says: Dead wrong. In fact, the gender gap is smallest in the most traditional societies, and largest in the least traditional societies! In societies that approve of single motherhood, with a high abortion rate, low fertility, and high female labor force participation, the religiosity gap between women and men is especially large.”

Except in those societies EVERYONE is religious. It’d be more accurate to say that the socialization hypothesis would predict that as societies grow more liberal, the decrease in religiosity will be concentrated among those groups for whom the social pressure to be religious is the least – i.e., men.

Or to phrase it in opposite terms, of course more traditional societies have a smaller gender gap, since due to the gender gap here, most of the gains to be had in religiosity are among men.

So to be short – it’s the patriarchy.

25

theogon 03.19.07 at 4:40 pm

Why does this question make me think of Victorian gentlemen in silk waistcoats, sipping port and smoking cigars while they ponder the eternal Enigma of Woman?

Just asking.

O, it’s even worse at Tyler’s place.

26

Slocum 03.19.07 at 4:49 pm

Maybe a higher percentage of men are irreligious because most religions endorse living life contrary to some pretty powerful male instincts. In liberal societies, men have fewer social constraints standing in the way of their philandering and immoral power-grabbing.

Is there any evidence that irreligious males (or irreligious people as a whole) engage in less anti-social behavior? Certainly, the prominent example of the jihadis don’t support the idea that religion has a generally pro-social impact. But this is the case even in much more mundane areas — it turns out, for example, that atheists in the U.S. have substantially lower divorce rates than conservative Christians:

http://www.adherents.com/largecom/baptist_divorce.html

Which would seem to cast doubt on your ‘religion prevents philandering’ hypothesis.

Personally, I prefer P.J. O’Rourke’s thesis that if God had intended for us to go to church more, he’d have given us smaller brains to think with and bigger butts to sit on. And in the latter, women are, at least, better adapted to hard church pews.

27

mijnheer 03.19.07 at 4:49 pm

There’s one answer that seems very plausible to me. God is the ultimate male authority figure and provider. He’s the father/husband most women seek. In traditional societies Mr. Big’s authority and right to rule is accepted by nearly all, including men. But in a society based on competitive individualism, God’s authority and power make him a rival and a threat to other males.

Now, I wonder, why would single mothers and women who have to work to support their families like the idea of an all-powerful male provider? Hmmm…

28

Katherine 03.19.07 at 5:01 pm

“He’s the father/husband most women seek”

Care to expand that patriarchal observation with any facts?

Myself, I tend to wonder why economists will look at a group of “women” and assume that their reasons for being as they are and believing as they do will have a generalised explanation.

29

Richard 03.19.07 at 5:14 pm

more traditional societies where socialization pressure is more intense

Hardy har har. I keep coming across this idea that America (or the ‘modern west’) is culture-free, peopled by unsocialised ‘rational actors.’ I can’t think where it comes from.

If ‘women’ as a category is the unit of analysis, then I guess it makes sense to look for generalised explanations…

30

Alison 03.19.07 at 6:58 pm

Richard said in response to my comment that in more traditional societies there is more pressure to conform to relgiious norms.

I keep coming across this idea that America (or the ‘modern west’) is culture-free, peopled by unsocialised ‘rational actors

I’m not American and I obviously wasn’t thinking of America as an example of a less religious society. I think, however, thet there are societies where pressures to religious conformism are weaker, and others where it is stronger.

Of course that doesn’t mean that less religious societies lack social pressures or that their citizens are necessarily more rational. Simply that in the absence of social pressure to be religious more people will be secular. I may not have spelled this out in full. I thought my comment was long enough as it was.

31

pdf23ds 03.19.07 at 7:12 pm

“Myself, I tend to wonder why economists will look at a group of “women” and assume that their reasons for being as they are and believing as they do will have a generalised explanation.”

How could it not? No one’s saying it’s necessarily only one factor, either. But if women are more religious to men, there’s going to be one or two or three main factors that push women into being more religious. It’s quite unlikely that there would be more than that.

“There’s something beautiful about the immediacy of that statement. I just love the clarity of “difference between the sexes”->”women are inherently flawed””

How ridiculous is this? What is there about “greater risk aversion” that’s flawed? It’s a neutral observation. Women also rob convenience stores less often. The ideal level of risk aversion could well be closer to women’s average than men’s, and there’s nothing about Tyler’s statement that implies otherwise.

32

radek 03.19.07 at 7:26 pm

I tend to think that a lot of social phenomenon can be explained by the economist’s standard recourse to the cost/benefit, utility maximization framework. However I also think that there’s a good bit of cultural inertia and often times a lot of behaviors where the difference between the benefits and costs is small will survive long after the purpose they have meant to serve have ceaded to exist.

If I was gonna go with the first approach I’d want to look at how religiousity affects men’s and women’s compensation and income (these studies control for income, right? Otherwise this whole discussion is a non starter). For example maybe non-religiousness is punished less by the market in men then it is in women. Of course this just pushes the question one “why?” degree further (as does the “it’s risk aversion” explanation).

But I don’t think this is the appropriate explanation here. For Western societies I think it has more to do with the fact that traditionally the worship place was also a social place. Men would hang out with other men at work. Women would hang out with other women at church (again I’m restricting this explanation just to Western societies). Of course since those days women have entered the labor market in large numbers and the places where they socialize, now with both men and women, are hardly different then that of men. But the side effect of days gone by persists.

Of course this is all making stuff up outta thin air.

33

H. E. Baber 03.19.07 at 10:08 pm

First of all, churches provide women with the chance do the things that men do at work and provide them with the opportunity to occupy responsible positions and exercise power in volunteer organizations that they most can’t get in the labor force. Churches cater for “traditional” women. I would bet heavily that if you compared men and women with careers (as distinct from jobs) that provided significant job satisfaction, prestige, the opportunity to exercise power and the chance for advancement you’d find that proportionately fewer women were religious.

Secondly, and this is purely speculative, the taste for religion seems linked to an interest in what might be called “the benign spooky” in mysticism, ritual, mythology, art, ceremony, costume, the exotic, the quest for a particular kind of thrill–the frisson one gets from ghost stories but without the dark side or from horror movies but without the horror–the kind of thing my generation looked for in acid trips and the Society for Creative Anachronism. Or maybe call it Romance–a desire for the intense and extraordinary, for escape from the mundane, practical business of life. Heck, that’s what’s in it for me.

Maybe women are after that disproportionately because ordinary life for most women is duller and more constrained than it is for their male counterparts. Women have fewer opportunities for real adventures, so they dream, and look for adventure in “spirituality.”

34

Anna 03.19.07 at 10:12 pm

Maybe (traditionally, in many cases, etc), girls are more rewarded for deferential, submissive, obedient behavior, and so are more prepared when they grow up to accept that kind of role with respect to a Lord figure?

Or, maybe women are more often involved in child care and (so?) are more invested in modelling “virtuous” behavior for children?

35

Dæn 03.19.07 at 11:41 pm

“Religion is the opiate of the people” – and it’s a lot bigger a pain to be a woman than a man, so it’s no surprise when they use more painkillers.

Interesting hypothesis—are there stats out there showing correlations between SES/race and religiosity?

36

Sebastian Holsclaw 03.19.07 at 11:59 pm

“Why are Women more Religious than Men?”

Maybe they are more perceptive than men?

37

Richard 03.20.07 at 1:13 am

Hi Alison (@31)

I wasn’t aiming my snide comment about the ‘acultural west’ at your observations at all. Your point that in the absence of social pressure to be religious more people will be secular sounds perfectly reasonable to me: it sounds a lot like: if the costs/risks of being irreligious go down, more people will identify in this way. If this proved not to be the case we’d have an interesting phenomenon to look at.

I was responding, rather, to the much broader assumption, attributed to Stark and Miller (via Bryan Caplan), that traditional societies feature more socialization pressure in general. This, it strikes me, is problematic in many ways. I foolishly mentioned America because it’s so often presented as ‘the heart of the modern west.’ In this context, as perhaps the most religious country in the west, it’s obviously not the smartest place to choose for an example.

38

roger 03.20.07 at 1:54 am

Christ, I can feel there will soon be a post about Rodney Stark and the wonderful Chicago school application of neo-classical models to show how rational, comparatively, christianity is as opposed to heathen religions. The west is the best, followed by other ridiculous uses of the market model. I can’t wait.

From Tyler Cowen to Gary Becker to Rodney Stark – the fundie infield is coming!

39

theogon 03.20.07 at 4:39 am

Interesting hypothesis—are there stats out there showing correlations between SES/race and religiosity?

Those are three of the most basic demographic statistics, so yeah. I don’t have links to anything off the top of my head, but you can google it. Suffice to say that less income correlates with greater religiosity, though I don’t know if that holds true controlling for education or not. Blacks are more religious than whites, though by the same token I don’t know that that holds true controlling for income.

40

Tracy W 03.20.07 at 10:12 am

Next question is: why are economists irrationally pre-disposed to put every question in terms of rational expectation? Is it due to the risk factor, i.e, they will get kicked out of the profession if they don’t take on faith an obviously bogus paradigm?

Because it’s more interesting. You learn more if you don’t automatically assume everyone around you is a stupid irrational idiot if they ever do something you don’t understand. Sometimes there’s a good reason why someone is doing something you don’t understand.

Of course, Roger, if you are in fact smarter than everyone else around you, this doesn’t apply to you. But I don’t think you’re going to start arguing that every economist is smarter than every non-economist.

41

greensmile 03.20.07 at 12:45 pm

This being CT, I should read all commenting before tossing in my possibly irrelevant or likely redundant two cents but, hey, I am a blogger too ;(

Point of information, drawn from my twenty years of formal and informal Jewish study in a Reform Synagogue context: Though we are egalitarian [we have a woman cantor and have had a woman as our Rabbi, we often have women as our congregational presidents and in the discussion groups and study sessions, both sexes are well represented] we are still aware that the tradition out of which we have grown has a sharp division of roles for the sexes. So we too, from curiosity more than need, ask “who wants this and why is it supported”. The answers we get when we invite orthodox scholars rub most of us the wrong way. The usual line is something like this: “Women are not under such heavy obligation to know or observe the letter of all the laws because in their natures, and yes, in their bodies, they are more holy and more attuned to the life god gives us”

I don’t really know how accurate my paraphrase is and will be glad to hear from any Orthodox or mignadim or hassidim who might be within browser-reach of this comment.

42

roger 03.20.07 at 2:33 pm

Tracy, the reason is …”Because it’s more interesting.” Wow. That is the reason people do numerology and astrology too.

The choice really isn’t between utility maximizers and idiots. Unfortunately, that is what the economics profession has convinced itself of. Actually, people have a diversity of motives – sometimes, they even believe things because they think it is true! – and they rarely make decisions in complete isolation one from the other. While it may be true you can isolate men from women in a poll, it is pretty improbable that men and women make up their views in isolation one from another in real life. John Dupre is, I think, right about the heedlessness of the belief among economists that rational expectations is the magic wand of social theory. It ain’t.

43

anon 03.20.07 at 4:22 pm

Christianity plays on guilt, and women feel much more guilty about a greater number of things than men do.

That is, men are more sociopathic, on average.

44

Amanda Marcotte 03.20.07 at 4:35 pm

Nobody has blamed the patriachy yet?

Fine, I will. Religion is primarily a social institution and women are usually tasked in a patriarchal society to do the unpaid social work to hold that society together. Looking at it from that perspective, the issue is a no-brainer.

Unfortunately, it has a bad political side effect in that religion is the primary force behind anti-abortion efforts, so women’s greater religiosity means that larger percentages of women buy into the anti-choice movement than otherwise would.

45

harry b 03.20.07 at 7:05 pm

Being generally more emotionally integrated, they are generally more open to the possibility that something exists that matters other than themselves, and then they generalise? Or, to put it another way, they are more open to the possibility that God is something other than them?

46

Ingrid Robeyns 03.20.07 at 7:51 pm

harry, I think that’s too nice on women. I am sorry to say that I believe that higher levels of guilt and anxieties (whether innate or hormone-induced or promoted by patriarchy or a combination), and higher levels of submissiveness (definitely promoted by patriarchy) seem a more plausable answer to me…

47

roy belmont 03.20.07 at 8:28 pm

Inside the capitalist hive, where children are at most another consumerist choice and gender differences are assumed to have no more real bearing than pigmentation or height, the apparent difference between the states of “being religious” or “being irreligious” is a superficial thing, making them like a fad or a fashion, a phenomenon that can probably be explained by something incomplete in the past that either is or isn’t being overcome – it’s something cultural, to be accepted or transcended, or adopted and abandoned, at whim, or through enlightened understanding. Like genital mutilation.
That there may be biological differences between the two sexes as regards their p.o.v. of things like time and the larger contexts of our lives, things like eternity and the eventualities of generation – where this all goes – isn’t going to get much hearing. But there probably is – certainly you’d expect there to be a profoundly substantial difference between the two as regards children. Men being capable of fathering whole multitudes in one lifetime, women a handful, or a dozen at most, and that in an occupation of great and focused labor, no pun intended. Those irrefutable biological facts probably account for most of the gender-bigotries of the patriarchal religions, and their consequent evolution into cultural, a-religious but equally-bigoted norms. Men institutionalizing mechanisms for the protection of their genetic offspring, women trading inherent reproductive authority for the security and protection of theirs within those institutions.
The difference between the cultural architecture of organized religions and the presence of a subjective religious “feeling” about life isn’t clearly made in the question as presented, because the biases of the presenters, both originally and here, are mainly against “being religious”, even if somewhat tolerantly curious about what exactly’s going on there. Those biases are confirmed and maintained against the straw men of current iterations of those institutions, not “religion” itself, which, like language, is cultural in form but not in essence. Probably religion is serving another purpose than it ostensibly exists to, in the main.
Maybe women are more naturally inclined toward the long view, men toward the immediate.

48

Tracy W 03.20.07 at 10:39 pm

Tracy, the reason is …”Because it’s more interesting.” Wow. That is the reason people do numerology and astrology too.

And chemistry and physics and anthropology, and etc. Personally I find economics, physics, anthropology, etc more interesting than numerology or astrology as it is possible to disprove something in one of the sciences, which makes the game tougher. Just making up something you like the sound of, as in astrology or numerology is not very interesting to me, although of course YMMV.
(Although of course there are other motivations for studying any science, or indeed numerology or astrology).

The choice really isn’t between utility maximizers and idiots. Unfortunately, that is what the economics profession has convinced itself of. Actually, people have a diversity of motives – sometimes, they even believe things because they think it is true! – and they rarely make decisions in complete isolation one from the other.

I’m not sure what you’re arguing here. Having a diversity of motives and a variety of beliefs does not have any bearing on whether you are rational or not in the economics sense. (To what extent those beliefs are true and to what extent you alter them in light of new evidence does have a bearing). Nor am I aware of any economist who argues that people make decisions in complete isolation – the whole point of marginal utility theory is that the value of something can vary according to how much you already have and what you want to use it for. And of course the whole study of prices in an economy, or indeed of public choice economics, is about how decisions are made when one decision is affected by others’ decisions.

Louise Roth and Jeff Kroll considered a hypothesis as to why one group of people’s behaviour differed from another, tested it, and discarded it. What in that required assuming that people make decisions in complete isolation from one another, or that people only have one belief, or that people only have one set of motives?

49

H. E. Baber 03.20.07 at 11:57 pm

Maybe the core issue that determines religiousity is how much control people have over their lives vs. the extent to which how things go for them are determined by dumb luck, nature red in tooth and claw, and the decisions of people in power. This would explain not only why women as a group are more religious than men, but why poor people are more religious than rich people, why religion is thriving in the third world but becoming extinct in Europe and why in the bad old days everyone was religious but as people gained more control over their lives through technology and expanded opportunities for political participation, people became less religious. For that matter, it explains why there are no atheists in foxholes.

This should be obvious. Most of what passes for religion is quasi-magic: petitionary prayer, sacrifice to induce the gods to look favorably on your projects, healing rituals, rain-making ceremonies, etc. This gives people who are in fact powerless the illusion that they can do something to improve their chances of getting what they want or need. If you’re at the mercy of Nature and the powers at be, if there’s little or nothing you can do–you pray.

50

lindsey 03.21.07 at 12:25 am

This gives people who are in fact powerless the illusion that they can do something to improve their chances of getting what they want or need.

Actually, for some religious folks, religion is seen as a way of giving up power to something more powerful than yourself. Perhaps men are unwilling to let go of control (seeming control)? Maybe it’s a pride thing? The existence of God is hard to accept without humility (if you accept his existence and live like you actually accept it). Also, at least for the early rising of the Christian church, women were a huge part of its success for an important reason. They saw in the teachings of Jesus someone who saw their worth, who told them they were equal in the eyes of God. Galations 3:28 says: There is neither Jew nor Greek, slave nor free, male nor female, for you are all one in Christ Jesus. Throughout history men have tried to hide that part of Jesus’ teaching, but that was not the case in the beginning and thankfully the old message is being rediscovered in more modern times as well. Perhaps that accounts for some of women’s inclination towards religion (at least towards Christianity)?

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roger 03.21.07 at 1:16 am

Tracy, as you point out, a number of things are interesting – anthropology and numerology among them. That you can prove things with the rational expectations model about larger social phenomena is something I don’t doubt in one way – but in another way, I think what you can prove is utterly trivial. This thread is a nice example of the imposition of a heuristic on a very very macro category across cultures that is either trivially true – you can construct a social scenario in which religion mitigates risk for women in some way, (and if the differential was the other way, you could plug in the same model) – or has to be so supplemented that it can be dispensed with. It definitely doesn’t explain variances, and it certainly does as little as, say, some probably bogus scenario from evolutionary psychology (re 48) to explain differences. I don’t doubt one can set up situations in which rational expectations theory actually applies at a deep level – that is, a level that really addresses human motivations and expectations – but the question of the religiosity of men and women is not one of them. I actually think it is a pretty poor way to explain social action, and its implicit use of the market as a metaphor for all human interchanges seems ahistorical and tendentious. As this thread shows, any scenario can be opened up by the supposed risk aversion factor.

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Richard 03.21.07 at 1:22 am

it explains why there are no atheists in foxholes

I thought we laid this to rest some months ago..?
There are, in fact, some atheists in foxholes.

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H. E. Baber 03.21.07 at 1:49 am

Proportionately fewer athiests in than out of foxholes?

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Tracy W 03.21.07 at 5:28 am

Roger – rational expectations theory relates to how people form beliefs about the future. It has nothing to say about risk preferences, which the paper in question addressed.

Rational expectations theory deals with things like how I predict inflation, or share prices, or the risk of my house burning down. Risk preference relates to what I do with those predictions. Two people might have perfectly rational predictions of the risk of their house burning down over the next year, and yet differ about buying insurance due to different risk preferences. There are of course other motivations apart from risk preferences that relate to people’s actual decisions – examples within the ambiet of economics include budget constraints, indifference curves, signalling theory, etc.

Rational expectations theory is of course very important to explain how people respond/will respond to changes in the money supply. It leads to quite different results than adaptive expectations – the theory rational expectations replaced. Hyper-rational expectations leads to different results again. Personally I think inflation is not utterly trivial, but that is a value judgement and YMMV. I am not sure, however, how you believe rational expectations theory, or adaptive expectations, or hyper-rational expectations do not address people’s expectations. They are, after all, competing models of how people form expectations.

Roth and Kroll appear to have proved what you are arguing here – that risk preference does not explain religious behaviour. I am not sure therefore why you are accusing economists of trying to explain everything by one variable.
I venture to suggest though that religious behaviour is only one part of the full range of human behaviour and risk preferences may be useful in understanding other parts of human behaviour (like purchasing insurance, or doing up seatbelts, or gambling).

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eweininger 03.21.07 at 4:14 pm

Here’s another one on the same topic. Similar conclusions to Roth and Kroll.

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greensmile 03.21.07 at 9:28 pm

My hat is off to H. E. Baber. The intrepetation that explains MORE than it was called upon to deal with is always attractive but this a particularly nice fit over three areas. Is this being discussed somewhere else? I’d like to see if persuading details for or against are marshalled anywhere.

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roy belmont 03.22.07 at 6:18 pm

#50-
“…vs. the extent to which how things go for them are determined by dumb luck, nature red in tooth and claw, and the decisions of people in power”

The assumption being that that’s the complete list of determining forces in our lives – chance, nature, and other humans with more power than us. So the simple and beleaguered manufacture, or are prey to the manufacturers of, propitiatable entities.
The straw man of current organized religious endeavor has been dealt with already it seems, outside the discussion. So then it’s just a matter of figuring out where they went wrong, and itemizing it – and confirming our superior, rational, biases. The presence of false gods proving the falsity of all.
It could be though that our instruments haven’t delivered a whole enough picture of where we are yet. That there could quite easily be ways and means of influencing our lives from what looks from here like outside the system but is in fact simply a larger system, its real boundaries invisible to us, that we’ve been living in all along.
The arrogance and self-projection, and lack of rational depth, of many if not most religionists makes it easy to dismiss any and all claims to “higher things”, but the same could as well be said of science or politics, or any other human enterprise that’s been infested with opportunism and cynical hypocrisy.

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Adam 03.23.07 at 12:32 pm

Men are, on the whole, more analytic than women, and therefore less susceptible to being mislead into worshipping fairy tales.

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