Pressing the Civvy Button

by Maria on June 21, 2012

“My finger is on the ‘civvy button’. Should I hit ‘send’?” a friend’s husband called and asked the other day. He’s recently back from his second tour in Afghanistan in eighteen months. His new job is hundreds of miles from his wife and a child who can’t risk moving to start yet again at the bottom of the special needs waiting list.

“There’s no give and take for army families. It’s just take, take, take.” The words of another friend whose husband has done two tours back to back and is considering a third so he’ll be ineligible for forced redundancy for another year.

Stoic silence. From the woman whose husband has been made redundant three months before he would have been eligible for his hard-earned half-pension.

Last week’s round of UK armed forces redundancies has come and gone from the headlines, but the impact on the people whose lives are affected is only beginning. Families yearning for the safe return home of their soldiers calculate the odds of being in next January’s round of redundancies, and the one after that, and after that. Should they continue on an inhuman rate of redeployment or take their chances with finding themselves suddenly unemployed in a part of the country where they have no prospects, family or friends outside the armed forces? Bear in mind many partners – let’s be honest and call them wives – have had their careers hobbled or finished by the constant moves. More so than in the general population, there is often no second bread-winner in an armed forces family.

Yet while ‘difficult decisions’ and ‘tough choices’ have been made to throw another 4,000 service men and women into a broken job market, £1 billion pounds was easily found for the first stage of the Trident nuclear deterrent replacement programme, a controversial initiative with no mandate from Parliament.

Armed forces redundancies may simply be a sharper, harder case of what many people are going through, public sector or not. But it’s ironic that the government, which loves to wrap itself in the flag, ape US devotion to the military and talk up the PR exercise known as the ‘military covenant’, is tearing down institutions that will be impossible to re-build. Like the ability to land planes on the UK’s now-defunct aircraft carriers, once you lose experience-based knowledge, it’s gone for good.

But something else is gone, too; call it trust, faith or simply a quid pro quo.

Being in the armed forces is not a normal job. In a normal job, you can’t be jailed by your employer, don’t uproot your family by command, and don’t risk injury or death in the normal course of business. The current generation of service men and women have done a decade of constant deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan, where paying the ultimate price is far from a distant hypothetical. This against a background of cutbacks and creeping managerialism, from day to day annoyances like upkeep of houses and gardens, to skimping on body armour to suddenly finding yourself working for a regiment that no longer exists.

The government seems to think it can fight its many wars by remote control; with drones instead of boots on the ground, third party contractors it used to employ itself, and the magical spell of a greatly increased reserve force. However hard it is for an armed forces family to face into deployment, at least we are typically surrounded by others in the same predicament. Reservists’ families have no such support, whatever the recruiting pamphlets say. They also typically don’t have housing, educational assistance and, oh yes, mouthy wives who can make it their business to draw attention to these deficiencies.

Despite pronouncements to the contrary, armed forces morale is on the floor. Many good people are charging for the exits. Many losses are in the middling ranks, tossing out people who have sacrificed much over their most productive years, and mistakenly thought their commitment to the armed forces was a two-way street. In the previous round of redundancies, twenty-five full colonels were cut. What’s less well known is that fifty applied to go. Most of those who didn’t get voluntary redundancy left anyway.

This time round, two thirds of the redundancies are voluntary, with many of those applying for it being refused. (Making the compulsory ones seem particularly heartless.) The real question is, why would anyone who has a choice stay in?

The army is no longer a place to build a career. Battalions will be axed left and right (giving a political gift to Alex Salmond when at least two Scottish badges disappear). Even the small minority who could aspire to command will never get to, and so might as well leave.

As so often with mass redundancies, disappearing opportunities and plunging morale, people with the most ability self-select their way out of the crumbling institution. Meanwhile, the infamously top-heavy British Army is cutting down the top brass via an opaque and mysterious process divorced from the redundancies. Meanwhile, soldiers are warned that they must not communicate with their own MPs, lest our democratic institutions form their own view of things in contrast to fudged figures and corporate PR-speak.

The cuts being made will amputate capabilities that the UK probably needs. The Strategic Security and Defense Review is being treated like a joke; this is slash and burn to get the numbers right, and future governments or generations will deal with the consequences. But while the MoD is a slicker PR operation than perhaps it used to be, and has more or less managed not to fire anyone currently on operation, the reality of shirking its side of a bargain of trust is stark.

There’s no good way to fire twenty percent of your employees. But when you have already asked more of them than most people would bear, it’s even more important to get it right. The consequences are dire for those involuntarily fired, but perhaps just as bad for the damaged institution they leave behind.

{ 111 comments }

1

ajay 06.21.12 at 5:57 pm

I just keep thinking “we used to be able to afford stuff. We used to be able to afford university tuition, and maintenance grants, and carriers, and a four-division BAOR, and pensions… where’s all the money going?” Into lower taxes, I suppose.

2

Philip 06.21.12 at 5:59 pm

I’m not sure if it will amputate capabilities we need but that comes down to what you think we need the military for. Warning soldiers not to speak to their MPs sounds particularly disgraceful but surely ex-soldiers are going to their MPs. Unfortunately the rest of it sounds like what is happening across the public sector in the UK.

The Police see themselves as also not having a normal job but this is how the government wants to treat them. I’ve been made redundant from an FE college then kept on part-time I now hope to pick ups some teaching. Schools are having more decisions made centrally with no consultation. The NHS are fighting radical changes which no party had in the manifesto before the election. HE is facing major cuts as is local government so there will be smaller budgets with an ageing population etc.

3

Philip 06.21.12 at 6:05 pm

ajay, I don’t think taxes have come down much , if at all, since the Tories came in. Spending and the deficit are still rising so I would like to know where the money is going too.

4

mjfgates 06.21.12 at 6:07 pm

So, seeing as how the UK government is so eager to keep their Tridents, how’s that whole “independent non-nuclear Scotland” thing going? I don’t see any hint of a plan for moving the subs if they don’t get to stay where they are…

5

quanticle 06.21.12 at 6:29 pm

The problem isn’t the spending. The spending is the same as it always has been. The problem is the income. Demographic shifts mean there are fewer people working, earning money, and paying taxes. Combine that with a deeper than usual recession (with people out of work for years at a time) and you get the current mess. I suppose you can blame the bankers for being reckless with their investments, or the regulators for being lax in their oversight, but it’s cold comfort now. The money’s already gone, and it isn’t coming back.

6

Barry 06.21.12 at 6:41 pm

ajay: “I just keep thinking “we used to be able to afford stuff. We used to be able to afford university tuition, and maintenance grants, and carriers, and a four-division BAOR, and pensions… where’s all the money going?” Into lower taxes, I suppose.”

Into the hands of the rich, pure and simple.

Maria, I’d say that anybody who’s not near a critical bump-up for time in service should leave now. The big thing to ascertain is if the firings are concentrated among people who are *almost* due for something; firing somebody in the year before he qualifies for a half-pension was probably not an accident.

7

MPAVictoria 06.21.12 at 7:20 pm

“I just keep thinking “we used to be able to afford stuff. We used to be able to afford university tuition, and maintenance grants, and carriers, and a four-division BAOR, and pensions… where’s all the money going?” Into lower taxes, I suppose.”

This is so true it hurts. We are richer than ever as a society yet we can no longer afford the things we used to have as a matter of course.

8

Frank in midtown 06.21.12 at 8:06 pm

Why did you expect the peace dividend to be anything but a dividend to shareholders?

9

Ray 06.21.12 at 8:45 pm

I’m afraid killers for hire are low on my sympathy list.

10

shah8 06.21.12 at 8:52 pm

This is a marvelous analysis of what the hiring situation is like these days, and in part, as you go deep into it (and put things in context), this is a real world working of how hysteresis plays out.

http://spectrum.ieee.org/podcast/at-work/tech-careers/why-bad-jobsor-no-jobshappen-to-good-workers/

11

ben in el cajon 06.21.12 at 8:55 pm

@ 9 While I sympathize with a desire for peaceful resolution of conflict, I much prefer killers for hire to killers for ideology. The former actually kill far fewer people. Oh, by the way, allow me to suggest you move somewhere that doesn’t employ a military, such as Costa Rica, or refuse to pay a portion of your taxes, which are used to employ soldiers.

12

Ray 06.21.12 at 9:00 pm

Oh, I don’t know, it seems in recent years the professionals have had a pretty good strike rate. And I don’t see what good moving to a different country would do – they are an export-focused industry after all

13

Tom C 06.21.12 at 9:00 pm

It seems the era of mass armies is over. We’re headed back towards a Renaissance Italy-style era of small numbers of highly-professional troops (with massively enhanced technology). Luckily, most of the future antagonists of the UK have been cutting their militaries even more deeply (e.g., the Argies).

14

guthrie 06.21.12 at 10:41 pm

Tom C #13 – and we all know how well the hiring of mercenaries worked for the Italian city states…

This is one of the key points about the privatisation of public services in the UK – The removal of control and responsibility ever further from the public. Not that there was necessarily ever a golden age of it, but I’m pretty damn sure that e.g. the police were more embedded in and accountable to local people 20 and 30 years ago than they are now and will be when privatised to hell.
For instance, the cuts being imposed on the police are unhistorically huge, and the response of the ‘managers’ seems to be to run away from teh problem by handing it over to private companies on the theory that they’ll do the dirty work for them and get rid of all this pension nonsense.
(Of course if yuo cut everyone’s pensions how is the city supposed to have anything to invest?)

15

Peter T 06.22.12 at 12:14 am

I just keep thinking “we used to be able to afford stuff. We used to be able to afford university tuition, and maintenance grants, and carriers, and a four-division BAOR, and pensions… where’s all the money going?

I keep thinking this here in Australia too. We used to be able to afford lots of stuff that now we can’t. Yet taxes have not dropped, nor government share of GDP and, while we’re richer in many ways, we still can’t afford a lot of what we used to. There’s something very wrong with the metrics.

16

John B 06.22.12 at 4:27 am

Odd piece. I sympathise with the chaps whose unnecessary jobs are disappearing, and agree the process could be managed more humanely, but struggle to see how anyone in their right mind could view a smaller army and military spending cuts as a negative outcome. Less money wasted on destructive wanking over lost Empire. Hurrah!

17

Daniel 06.22.12 at 4:43 am

Why does the UK need anything more than a home defense force and a coast guard?

Are you hoping for job openings next year in Damascus, Tehran, Cairo or the Falklands?

18

Tom C 06.22.12 at 5:27 am

Falklands definitely need to be defended against outrageously silly Argie claims.

19

Belle Waring 06.22.12 at 5:46 am

“Are you hoping for job openings next year in Damascus, Tehran, Cairo or the Falklands?”

I imagine most of the people on this board, including Maria, would be happy with a smaller British presence overseas and a smaller defense budget generally. It’s not like she wants her husband to go risking his life year after year. But there are cuts and cuts. If the government is going to fire a huge percentage of the actual soldiers then they shouldn’t be rotating them into combat all the time, right up until the last. And they shouldn’t imagine they can just rustle another Army up somewhere if they need one later. And dropping someone a few months before they get their pension is just a dick move wherever you are.

20

Maria 06.22.12 at 6:20 am

What Belle said.

21

Data Tutashkhia 06.22.12 at 7:11 am

Yeah, this is surprising. Pissing off your legionnaires is never a good idea; Romans already knew that. Give him a small farm, or something. A 7-11 franchise. This sounds like trouble.

22

Scott Martens 06.22.12 at 7:37 am

I guess it turns out there’s a difference between “support the troops” and “support the war” after all.

I spent a fair amount of time around American military households in Belgium, and I’m not sure there’s any amount you could pay me for that kind of career. A career officer rarely acquires a productive trade useful outside of the military. Command experience does not translate well into business management. Technical trades are something the military outsources as often as it can. And the skills you do have – being a career soldier – are ones you’re not allowed to just hire yourself out for. If you don’t like the conditions in the American army, you can’t just send your resumé around to other militaries. And you can be fired at any time, for any reason, any time someone wants to shore up the budget.

And that’s without considering combat and the other major sources of stress in the armed forces.

Seen as a career choice, it looks like a pretty bum deal. I don’t think it’s something we’d put with from a private employer. Maybe the soldiers need a union.

23

John Quiggin 06.22.12 at 7:41 am

I must admit, I had thought until now that military jobs retained the kind of security that used to be associated with the public sector in general. It seems fair that they should – I assume you can’t tell your CO in Afghanistan or whatever that you’re sick of being shot at and catching the next plane home, so why should they be able to sack you when the budget numbers don’t add up.

24

bad Jim 06.22.12 at 8:06 am

Even as an American who doesn’t think we need a military capable of defeating all of the rest of the world’s armed forces combined, I’m appalled at the way we treat our troops, subjecting them to repeated deployments which we know cause permanent harm to their mental and physical health.

Whatever anger we may have against the policies of our various nations should not be directed against those who enlisted to carry them out, since they’re also victims of our governments’ conduct.

There appears to be a mismatch between our use of troops and the rest of our military might. If we spend more than every other nation combined, but force the infantry to serve tour after tour in unprecedented fashion, we are massively fucked up. We don’t know what we’re doing.

25

chris y 06.22.12 at 8:33 am

26

ajay 06.22.12 at 8:41 am

ajay, I don’t think taxes have come down much , if at all, since the Tories came in. Spending and the deficit are still rising so I would like to know where the money is going too.

Sorry, I should have been clearer: I was making a comparison not with 2009 but with 1980.

JQ: I must admit, I had thought until now that military jobs retained the kind of security that used to be associated with the public sector in general

You’re right. Military jobs still have the kind of security that is associated with the public sector in general.

It’s just that the rest of the public sector has been laying people off too.

Why does the UK need anything more than a home defense force and a coast guard?

Because
a) the UK has commitments to assist in the defence of its allies, in NATO and elsewhere, which cannot be easily abandoned: the US in particular has shown a recent tendency to take offence when its allies fail to help it defend itself against real or imagined threats; France, by contrast, has been a good deal more level-headed

b) the UK also has overseas territories which need to be defended – the Falklands of course, but also a surprising number of others

c) historically, the UK has participated in several overseas UN peacekeeping operations – Bosnia, Kosova, Sierra Leone and others – and disaster relief/civil contingency operations, which would not be possible without a deployable army, in other words something a bit more than a coast guard and home defence force

“Are you hoping for job openings next year in Damascus, Tehran, Cairo or the Falklands?”

Somalia and/or Yemen, actually, according to David Cameron a couple of weeks ago.

27

Ray 06.22.12 at 8:51 am

A friend of mine was talking to priest about 15/20 years ago. He was one of those hip and trendy priests, and he wasn’t happy about the latest bit of reactionary behaviour from the church hierarchy. To which the only possible response was
“Exactly what did you think you were joining in the first place?”

28

guthrie 06.22.12 at 8:52 am

Daniel #17 – we don’t have much of a coastguard left either after the last decade of cuts. It’s so bad now that a volunteer force of coastal patrollers has been formed, so hopefully that will retain some of the local knowledge which can come in a bit handy you know, even nowadays with gps and more accurate charts.

29

ajay 06.22.12 at 9:02 am

9, 27: you and your friend sound like quite a pair, Ray.

30

Katherine 06.22.12 at 9:06 am

another friend whose husband has done two tours back to back and is considering a third so he’ll be ineligible for forced redundancy for another year.

Have I read this correctly? If someone chooses to do a tour of combat, they are ineligible to be made redundant? I can sort of see the reasoning, but turned around it seems like a very horrible kind of blackmail.

31

Tom C 06.22.12 at 9:07 am

Canadians FTW–increasingly important, given the Arctic.

32

Maria 06.22.12 at 9:19 am

Katherine, yes I’m afraid so. It’s the presumably unintended consequence of the decision not to make anyone involuntarily redundant who’s just before, during or after deployment.

Ray, I think you’ve had your say on this post. I’m not wholly unsympathetic to your line of argument, but you’re expressing it in a rather trollish way. Enough already.

33

Ray 06.22.12 at 9:26 am

I do have some sympathy. But they’re not high up the list.

(I was responding to bad Jim’s “Whatever anger we may have against the policies of our various nations should not be directed against those who enlisted to carry them out, since they’re also victims of our governments’ conduct.” Soldiers don’t come up with the policy, but when they sign up it is to follow whatever policy those governments come up with, however shit. They don’t get to say “But I didn’t expect to be sent on ill-judged invasions!”)

34

Ray 06.22.12 at 9:27 am

sorry, cross-posting

35

Daniel 06.22.12 at 10:41 am

@19

“And they shouldn’t imagine they can just rustle another Army up somewhere if they need one later”

Well, you’re a classicist and you know that this is not true in the case of the Roman republic, for instance. They thrived for hundreds of years wedding the principle of citizen obligation to civic defense (albeit, a stretched interpretation of civic defense); no standing army. The whole thing went to ruin when they abandoned this principle.

We don’t need too many careerists in the military.

36

mollymooly 06.22.12 at 10:55 am

“dropping someone a few months before they get their pension is just a dick move wherever you are.”

Do I read this aright? My naive view is that, if doing a job for n years entitles you a pension of x, then doing a job for y% of n years should entitle you to a pension of ~y% of x. I can appreciate that things may be More Complicated Than That, but if doing a job for 95% of n years entitles you to a pension of 0 then that is just insane.

37

Andrew F. 06.22.12 at 11:08 am

I know too little of the proposed cuts to British forces to comment.

I will say that – all else being equal – someone leaving the military for the civilian world will have a strong “alumni” network who will actually go the distance to help, and experience that almost any employer would value. Now my “all else being equal” includes skills and abilities, but various military occupations highly develop marketable skills. Nor should the command, and management, experience of NCOs and officers be disregarded; that can be a key differentiator. More business training may be necessary, though. A not insignificant number of students and graduates at top MBA programs came directly from military service, including occupations (pilots, operators in special operations units, etc) that don’t necessarily teach transferrable technical skills.

So there’s hope for your friend if he hits send, though no idea if for him that would be the best option. He should reach out extensively to friends and friends of friends and associates who have left, and ask them about their experiences, what worked and what didn’kt.

38

guthrie 06.22.12 at 11:30 am

Daniel #35- I can’t quite tell if you are taking the mickey or not. A modern army is a long way different from a Roman army in terms of expertise and specialisms, thus comparisons are a bit silly. The army doesn’t like conscription because it takes something like 2 years to get a soldier fit and capable and embedded in their role.
We do in fact need careerists for the same reason we need professors and long serving police officers and doctors and whatever – as repositories of knowledge and experience. Otherwise you go through a huge wasteful period of re-learning everything that the previous generation knew. It isn’t enough to have fancy training courses, actual personal experience counts for a lot, and the denigration of it over the last decade is another reason things are in a mess just now.

39

rf 06.22.12 at 11:34 am

“in the case of the Roman republic, for instance. They thrived for hundreds of years wedding the principle of citizen obligation to civic defense (albeit, a stretched interpretation of civic defense); no standing army. The whole thing went to ruin when they abandoned this principle.”

Calling Neville Morley, can Neville Morley please make his way to the reception desk..

40

ajay 06.22.12 at 12:54 pm

They thrived for hundreds of years wedding the principle of citizen obligation to civic defense (albeit, a stretched interpretation of civic defense); no standing army. The whole thing went to ruin when they abandoned this principle.We don’t need too many careerists in the military.

Machiavelli also argued that a citizen militia would outfight a mercenary army or a feudal levy because, VIRTU! But then Machiavelli was wrong.

Also, like hell it all went to ruin. After the Marian reforms, the newly-professionalised army of the Roman Republic conquered half of the known world and held it for four centuries. Professional soldiers defeated Spartacus and conquered Gaul and Britain, and held the limes for hundreds of years.

41

SamChevre 06.22.12 at 1:28 pm

Otherwise you go through a huge wasteful period of re-learning everything that the previous generation knew.

But they had no old soldiers

42

ajay 06.22.12 at 1:38 pm

If you’re wondering what happened the last time Britain tried to go to war with a massive army of newly levied citizen soldiers, here is your answer.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_day_on_the_Somme

The tiny long-service professional army of 1914, the army that formed the British Expeditionary Force, was the most effective army in the war, man for man. It shot the German infantry flat at the Marne. When it came up against a German citizen army – the reservists of the Fourth Army – the German losses were so heavy that the battle was remembered as the Kindermord bei Ypern. That’s your inexperienced citizenry in arms there, all those little field-grey specks lying all over Flanders with .303 calibre holes in them.

Since then, Britain has fought by choice with a professional army, and when it had no option – as for most of the Second World War – it has taken care to train them extensively before putting them in the field.

43

Daniel 06.22.12 at 1:41 pm

>> A modern army is a long way different from a Roman army in terms of expertise and specialisms, thus comparisons are a bit silly.

Ha!

>> The army doesn’t like conscription because it takes something like 2 years to get a soldier fit and capable and embedded in their role.

Of course they don’t like conscription.Better to have a ruined economy, lots of unemployment, a pool of higher IQ enlistees insecure about their future….. hey, it’s no danger, just a professional career..

Makes it so much easier to go to war when the soldiers are already trained, motivated, psyched up….Can you see a problem with this?

>>We do in fact need careerists for the same reason we need professors and long serving police officers and doctors and whatever

Sure, some careerists, just a few though. Correct me if I am wrong, but at the beginning of 1941 Dwight Eisenhower was a mere Lieutenant Colonel in an army that couldn’t invade Puerto Rico if it had to. Boy, he and the US Army sure learned fast, didn’t they.

>>Otherwise you go through a huge wasteful period of re-learning everything that the previous generation knew.

So what.

@ ajay 40
>>Also, like hell it all went to ruin. After the Marian reforms, the newly-professionalised army of the Roman Republic conquered half of the known world and held it for four centuries. Professional soldiers defeated Spartacus and conquered Gaul and Britain, and held the limes for hundreds of years<<

I repeat, it all went to ruin. Tell me, the Roman Principate, is this the continued route you want the UK to travel?

Hey, with a little luck, Belfast may heat up again. Won't have to deploy so far from home.

44

guthrie 06.22.12 at 1:53 pm

So Daniel is the new resident clown? Who invited him in or did he choose the job himself?

45

ajay 06.22.12 at 1:57 pm

Correct me if I am wrong, but at the beginning of 1941 Dwight Eisenhower was a mere Lieutenant Colonel in an army that couldn’t invade Puerto Rico if it had to. Boy, he and the US Army sure learned fast, didn’t they.

Well, they had two and a half years of not actually having to fight very much in which to learn and train. US ground troops in the field – Army and Marines, in all theatres – didn’t outnumber British troops until July, 1944.

Not everyone has the luxury of taking the first couple of years of the war off.

46

guthrie 06.22.12 at 1:59 pm

Also the americans in north africa did have to learn, and they learnt the hard way as usual, although by the time of D-day they did know what they were doing.

Bearing in mind though that shedloads of the people from WW1 were still around in WW2, and I’m damn sure that counted for a lot in terms of expectations, organisation and experience in all parts of the armed forces and those back home. E.g. the civil service plans for evacuating, feeding and calling up people, all drew upon experience of WW1.

47

ajay 06.22.12 at 2:03 pm

Also the americans in north africa did have to learn, and they learnt the hard way as usual, although by the time of D-day they did know what they were doing.

Quite. Imagine D-Day in 1942, with the army of Kasserine Pass.

48

Barry 06.22.12 at 2:10 pm

And the Marshall kicked the crap out of the leadership of the US Army long before the US got into the war. IIRC, he sacked one-third of the generals between Sep 39 and Dec 41. The US drafted a bunch of people, starting in 40(?).

As ajay said, it’s nice to have the luxury of taking the first couple of years of the war off.

49

rf 06.22.12 at 2:11 pm

Really quite an extraordinary thread derailment. Although in fairness there is something to be said, and it has been said, about professional armies removing the cost of war from the public, creating a warrior caste removed from general society, and by extension making it easier to send them to war.

Trident might well be better value for money than the British Army. And, if your priority is national defence, probably more effective.

50

Philip 06.22.12 at 2:15 pm

@ mollymooly 36, I think it’stopping people drawing their pensions after x years of service. They will still be entitled to get a pension but will have to wait longer for it.

51

Barry 06.22.12 at 2:23 pm

Ajay: “Quite. Imagine D-Day in 1942, with the army of Kasserine Pass.”

There was a comment by a US general which I read, in which he said that the original idea was to conduct D-day in 1943, but that the British dissuaded the US from doing that. He said that it was very good that that happened, that a D-Day in 1943 would have been a colossal failure.

52

Daniel 06.22.12 at 2:31 pm

>>As ajay said, it’s nice to have the luxury of taking the first couple of years of the war off.

Well……, other than providing fodder for Goering’s amusement, what exactly did the English military accomplish in the first 2-3 years of the war other than get chased out of France?

53

ajay 06.22.12 at 2:40 pm

Really quite an extraordinary thread derailment.

Sorry about that. I shouldn’t have responded to Ray/Daniel.

54

Asteele 06.22.12 at 2:41 pm

Well certainly in the US experience, having a giant continuous military post WWII has really led to a string of smashing military successes.

55

Stephen 06.22.12 at 3:10 pm

Daniel@52
In the first 3 years of Big Mistake II, the British and Commonwealth military (I suppose you wrote “English” out of sheer ignorance) accomplished the repulse of invasions of Kenya and the Sudan, conquered Abyssinia (as it then was), Eritrea, Somaliland, Madagascar, the Lebanon, Syria, Iraq (did you know German units got as far as Mosul?) and Iran, blocked three invasions of Egypt and launched two invasions of Libya, held Malta, occupied Iceland, sank or immobilised a large proportion of the German and Italian surface fleet and a fair few submarines, and started an aerial campaign against Germany which in the third year built up to thousand-bomber raids. And also they vastly amused Goering by destroying about a third of the Luftwaffe during the abortive preparation for the invasion of Britain, which for some reason or other never got underway.

You could argue that all these things were unimportant, since no Americans were involved.

56

maria 06.22.12 at 3:24 pm

Philip @ 50, my understanding is that the pension is no longer
received because the person did not earn it, falling a couple of months short.

57

guthrie 06.22.12 at 3:31 pm

English military? The troll doth show his oddness.

On pensions, I thought some parts of the armed services were like the police – you serve 30 years, you get your pension straight away, rather than waiting until 65. Oddly enough the Winsor proposals apparently include the ability to sack front line officers for no reason except to balance the books, so you can expect nobody to make it to any length of service in the future.

58

LFC 06.22.12 at 3:34 pm

ajay:

If you’re wondering what happened the last time Britain tried to go to war with a massive army of newly levied citizen soldiers, here is your answer. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_day_on_the_Somme

Not to continue the derailment, but I don’t think this should be let stand. My understanding is that the first day of the Somme was a catastrophe primarily b.c the artillery bombardment preceding the assault failed to do much damage to the German positions and entrenched machine guns. Also wire that was supposed to be cut sometimes was not. Also the creeping barrage got way in front of the advancing soldiers. In other words, technical and technological problems produced a mass-scale slaughter. I suppose an army made up solely of experienced professional soldiers might have suffered somewhat lower casualties, but the first day of the Somme probably would have been a disaster regardless of the army’s composition. (btw I have not read the Wikipedia entry, so I don’t know what its view is.)

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Scott Martens 06.22.12 at 3:35 pm

Andrew@37: “I will say that – all else being equal – someone leaving the military for the civilian world will have a strong ‘alumni’ network who will actually go the distance to help, and experience that almost any employer would value.”

This, alas, is just not true. Unemployment among returning American veterans is over 12% – one and half times that of the population as a whole. And that’s not young vets – American vets under the age of 24 have a 30% unemployment rate – that’s all vets, including career officers.

I’ve heard that same speech all the time about how marketable military experience is since my ASVAB 25 years ago, and I’m not sure if it was always a self-serving recruitment ploy like the New GI Bill, but it sure is now. And recent MBAs have a 14% unemployment rate, so frankly, military plus an MBA doesn’t sound like it’s worth a lot more than just military.

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ajay 06.22.12 at 3:59 pm

57: oh, failure has many fathers, but a big feature of the New Army in 1915-16 was that they were sent to the front very quickly, and did frontal wave assaults because they hadn’t had the time to learn the fire-and-movement tactics that would have saved a lot of lives. July 1 1916 probably not the best example of this. Sorry.

But sticking to the topic: I am not sure how strong an alumnus network someone leaving the British military will have, outside certain specialised areas. We’re not a very militarised society so there are not many other ex-servicemen in positions of power – much less so than in the US.

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Philip 06.22.12 at 4:11 pm

Maria, I just thought it would have been what Guthrie said with my Dad being a retire policeman. A quick look at the Army website’s pension section a soldier doesn’t pay anything into their pension (though I assume this is reflected in their pay) and is entitled to the pension after 2 years’ service.

After two years of Regular service you’ll have earned an Army pension that will be paid when you get to the age of 65. And if you serve for 12 years you’ll be entitled to a tax-free resettlement grant on retirement too. Anybody aged over 40 who has served for at least 18 years gets the right to claim an immediate pension and tax-free lump sum on leaving the Army, and a second lump sum when they turn 65.

The first job I had with a pension you had to pay into it for 2 years before you had any entitlements, but the military is on average a short career and getting rid of someone just before the two years is shitty.

62

Metatone 06.22.12 at 4:35 pm

@ajay
I think you’re right. I meet some good people at networking events who get some money from the MoD to help build networks with employers to give ex-servicemen a chance. So there isn’t a strong network, otherwise they wouldn’t have to be paying to construct one.

The big trouble is, of course: with the economy the state it is in, so few companies are hiring, it’s hard for anyone to get a job, let alone a serviceman with good but possibly tangential skills…

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Barry 06.22.12 at 5:56 pm

Andrew F. 06.22.12 at 11:08 am

” I will say that – all else being equal – someone leaving the military for the civilian world will have a strong “alumni” network who will actually go the distance to help, and experience that almost any employer would value. ”

The weakest time I’d expect for such a network is when massive personnel cuts are being made quickly; it’s then likely that most of the people in one’s network are also looking for work.

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john in california 06.22.12 at 7:10 pm

In the US, if you leave the service with enough rank, defense contractors are line up to hire you. If you are of a lower rank, there si always private armies and driving truck for Haliburton.

65

Stephen 06.22.12 at 7:12 pm

LFC@58

Not to continue the derailment beyond necessary bounds, but my slightly obscure memory of reading accounts is that on the first day of the Somme Foch’s French divisions, to the south of the British attack, did rather well: Foch’s explanation being that two-thirds of his NCOs were pre-war regulars.

Which may be relevant to the belief, in my opinion delusory, that you can always improvise an army when you want one. For some values of “army” after your country has been overrun, sometimes, see Iraq and Afghanistan (but for contra-examples see Poland, 1939-1944, and France, 1940-1944)

I supect that a competent regular army has its points. Not that I agree with the current deployment of US/UK forces,

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LFC 06.22.12 at 8:53 pm

Stephen @65
“I suspect that a competent regular army [i.e., a professional army] has its points.”

Sure. That’s one of the reasons for example, as might have been mentioned upthread, the ‘all-volunteer force’ has been popular with the US’s top military officers, none of whom would support a return to conscription, afaik. I think there are arguments that can be made against the all-volunteer force, but those arguments have mostly to do with civic and societal considerations rather than strictly military ones. Probably the same is true in UK.

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LFC 06.22.12 at 10:09 pm

P.s. On the Somme, and specifically w/r/t ajay’s comment above re ‘fire and movement’ — from John Keegan, The First World War, pp. 290-91:

So certain were Haig and most of his subordinates of the crushing effect the artillery would produce, that they had decided not to allow the inexperienced infantry to advance by the tried and tested means of ‘fire and movement,’ when some lay down to cover with rifle volleys the advance of the rest, but to keep them moving forward upright and in straight lines. At the battle of Loos the preoccupation of the General Staff had been to ‘keep the troops in hand,’ with the result that the reserves had been kept too far behind the lines and, when sent forward too late, deployed in dense masses. The preoccupation before the Somme was with the danger of the troops taking cover and not restarting the advance once they had lain down. The tactical instruction for the battle…and the associated instruction issued by Fourth Army…both prescribe an advance by successive waves or lines of troops and a continuous movement forward by all involved…. Almost everything that Haig and Rawlinson expected of the enormous artillery effort they had prepared was not to occur.

Although ‘fire and movement’ presumably would have saved some lives in these circumstances, Keegan maintains that casualties would have been heavy regardless of the tactics used (p.293):

The simple truth of 1914-18 trench warfare is that the massing of large numbers of soldiers unprotected by anything but cloth uniforms, however they were trained, however equipped, against large masses of other soldiers, protected by earthworks and barbed wire and provided with rapid-fire weapons, was bound to result in very heavy casualties among the attackers.

Cf. M. Howard, “Men Against Fire: The Doctrine of the Offensive in 1914,” in P. Paret, ed., Makers of Modern Strategy (1986), pp.510ff.

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Salient 06.22.12 at 10:42 pm

Thank you for this, Maria. Powerful and true.

And “the pension is no longer received because the person did not earn it, falling a couple of months short” is exactly what my father experienced just a few years ago, after about three decades of highly regarded public service. It’s I don’t know, soulcrushing in a way that’s hard to comprehend at any distance or level of abstraction. You’ve probably expressed it better than I can hope to. It feels like someone is stealing your life’s work from you, like it’s taking away all the accomplishment and high regard you’ve accumulated in your years of service. As if all that was just a cruel joke, spanning years, at your expense.

I had always envisioned the phrase “they pulled the rug out from under me” as a vaudeville prank, the kind of cheeky/silly pratfall that makes for decent physical comedy, with everybody smiling and pulling faces. Then my dad (who’s not particularly innovative) used it to describe having his retirement benefits cheated out of reach. He’s pretty literal-minded, and never cared much for the kind of comedy he saw as people goofing off. So the phrase was different, sincere. It’s not just the physical pain of landing roughly, it’s the humiliation of having been shown for a fool all those years. You thought they were going to honor your service. You thought you were secure. You thought you had solid and sensible plans for the end of your life, or for the next stage of your life. You were. And are. A god damned fool.

It’s such a breach of trust. There’s really no coming back from it. If it was committed by one particular person

And you captured really well the greater intensity of these feelings for someone in military public service. Not only the danger involved in the work. At least the rest of the public sector doesn’t have to hear every politician openly declare their appreciative commitment to ‘the troops’ while failing to support them. Shrink the military, by all means, but do so in a way that painstakingly supports the productive and meaningful employment of those leaving the military service, please. At the very least don’t pretend to be doing so while not even making an attempt. (Hearing your work vilified by every campaign ad on TV is of course pretty damn harmful in a different way, but at least the villains decrying “government bureaucrats” aren’t baldly lying about their commitments. It’s more of a tragedy, less of a farce, and of the two tragedies are easier to live through, because you can retain some trust that your younger self made good choices, that you didn’t deserve or earn this outcome through unjustifiable ignorance or insufficient character. If one must be nullified and deemed redundant, better that it be with the grace of open malice than with the fatuity of false pretenses. Better that their antagonism against you be plain and widely seen; at least then there’s the structural reassurance that your allies failed you. It’s much more wounding to discover you didn’t actually have allies all along, that you were foolish to believe in any of the promises or assurances you received.)

It’s worse to have been tricked all along than to be ambushed in the fifth act. I can see that in how my dad expresses his anger very personally directed against Jim Doyle, who was the newcomer governor when the severe cuts began. If he can be justifiably bitter and resentful of the change that nullified him and the people that presided over that change, that’s some cold comfort at least. Some sliver of trust, faith or simply a quid pro quo, like you said. To hear every politician solemnly declare admiration and support for his work would have been more than he could bear.

…That’s maybe the best I can do to contribute to the description. Too abstract and too affected or melodramatic or something. It’s been painful to watch my father’s tragedy unfold even from a distance, these days mostly inferred from the change in adjectives my mom uses in her letters. (My father barely even talks any more. What’s the point, once words don’t mean anything?) I can only imagine it’s ten times worse to experience it more directly, and, ten times worse to see campaigning politicians blatantly keep up the same farce they’ve been deceiving you with and basically getting away with it.

[…to be completely OT for just a second, seeing Maria’s post and Belle’s comment above and Niamh’s recent post was good/reassuring/nice/whatever positive noun obtains, but uh.. does anyone know, is Tedra still around? ‘s been three months…]

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Belle Waring 06.23.12 at 2:43 am

Well, that was refreshingly deraily. As to why we picked Daniel for a new demi-humorous troll position, it was that he had the best funny hat, and our budget is such as to require the troll to provide his (and, let’s be honest, it’s almost always his) own hat.

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maria 06.23.12 at 8:03 am

Hi Salient, I’m not sure I did capture that visceral sense of betrayal and inversion
of the values you’ve lived by, but you certainly have. Thank you. It occurs to me that probably
many of the parents of CR commenters have been ‘caught out’ by austerity measures & pension fund
dips at just the wrong moment. We don’t seem to hear quite as much about that demographic.

I wrote about this because I’m in the happily disinterested position of having a husband who, though deployed,
applied for voluntary redundancy and has a reasonable chance of starting a second career. Fingers crossed.
And mine had not yet been completely derailed by the army lifestyle (which of course has many pluses). Also, his
army career, since It’s ending, won’t be harmed by my writing about it.

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NomadUK 06.23.12 at 9:49 am

Hoping this will be the last deraily thing to be said, but feeling it really needs to be said, Stephen@55 was brilliant. Cheers.

And greatest sympathies to maria and all the others who are being utterly screwed by the powers that be. It would be interesting to read about this time in the history books — assuming there are any, and assuming I live so long, which seems unlikely.

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rf 06.23.12 at 11:15 am

My God you Brits really do love your military! Well more power to you I guess, but it really shouldn’t be so controversial that the rest of the world isn’t so impressed.
Stephen’s 55 was very nicely put, and would be all the more impressive if he didn’t spend his spare time trolling about Charles Trevelyan(out of all people) and was willing to pay ‘kudos’ to that great mass of people who died in the East.

Anyway, back to 2012, and also hoping that will be the last deraily thing said, I’m glad topics like reneged on pensions and unemployment are being spoken about by posters on CT. My genuine sympathies to those in the British military suffering, even if the whole institution should have been dismantled in 1945.

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MPAVictoria 06.23.12 at 1:04 pm

“My genuine sympathies to those in the British military suffering, even if the whole institution should have been dismantled in 1945.”

Yeah, that would have ended well.
/Surprised to see a member of the Komitet gosudarstvennoy bezopasnosti posting here.

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Adrian Kelleher 06.23.12 at 5:15 pm

@67, LFC

Well your quote from Keegan illustrates well two major reasons for the abandonment of fire-and-movement that had nothing to do with training:

At the battle of Loos the preoccupation of the General Staff had been to ‘keep the troops in hand,’ with the result that the reserves had been kept too far behind the lines and, when sent forward too late, deployed in dense masses. The preoccupation before the Somme was with the danger of the troops taking cover and not restarting the advance once they had lain down.

“Keep the troops in hand” meant under control, with the implication that they weren’t to be trusted. The “danger of troops taking cover” followed from the same fear. This was quite a turn around from the same people who only a few years earlier had trumpeted the primacy of the offense and the moral superiority of the righteous European soldier under arms.

Command and control in 1915 was not as bad as in 1815 — it was immeasurably worse. Once the troops left the trenches, they had no communications equipment whatsoever. But unlike his forbears at Waterloo, when fighting was carried out in densely packed linear formations, the WWI soldier was forced to disperse or suffer rapid and total annihilation by heavy artillery.

The upshot was that officers between company and corps level had essentially no ability to manoeuvre, or for that matter even to find out what was happening. This did not discourage their psychological need to exercise total control over what went on.

This communications problem had been apparent for decades, as had been the other implications of an abundance of heavy high-explosive shells and machine guns. In fact there was little new about the battlefields of the Somme apart from their industrial basis; a 16th Century sapper would have understood at a glance exactly what was going on and why.

The slaughter on the Western front resulted not from a failure of foresight but from a refusal to accept things people like Ivan Bloch had pointed out and people like the Boers had illustrated in a practical way. This wasn’t accidental. The generals’ careers, and in fact their entire worldview, hinged on their incomprehension of these things.

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LFC 06.23.12 at 6:18 pm

Adrian:
Interesting. (I refrain from further comment since I’ve already been ‘thread-deraily’ enough.)

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Stephen 06.23.12 at 8:06 pm

rf@72
Honestly my last contribution: thread not entirely derailed if it is thought to cover nature of imperial oppression, etc.

I’m a little puzzled by rf’s reference to my supposed unwillingness to “to pay ‘kudos’ to that great mass of people who died in the East”. Long ago when I studied Greek, kudos meant glory which cannot be paid (or bought). If you mean you think I am unwilling to acknowledge the heroic Soviet contribution to the defeat of Germany in BM II, I can only ask from where you get your apparent belief in your powers of telepathy? As far as I know I have never written anything on CT about that. Possibly you believe that, if I mention some British and Commonwealth successes in the first three years of the war in response to an idiot, I must deliberately ignore the Soviets. If so, please learn a little logic.

For the record: in my opinion, the Soviet contribution to BMII consisted of:
1) Assisting the Germans in their conquest of Poland, invading and oppressing Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and (as far as they could) Finland.
2) Supplying the Germans with as many strategic materials as they asked for: most of the bombs dropped on British cities in the blitz came from planes running on Soviet fuel.
3) Extremely valiant and astonishingly incompetent attempts to hold back the German invasion of the Soviet Union, up to the point of nearly losing Moscow, with enormous casualties.
4) Extremely valiant and decreasingly incompetent efforts, still with enormous casualties, to expel the Germans from the regions they had conquered.
5) Extremely valiant conquest of Poland, Romania, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, eastern Germany and Austria, etc., still with enormous casualties, and subsequent oppression
of people there.

As for trolling re Charles Trevelyan: all I have said is that, when responsible for preventing starvation in the early part of the 1840s famine in Ireland, under Peel’s administration, he did a very efficient and successful job. That is well known in Ireland, if not in Boston. It was not his fault that the subsequent Russell administration – put in place, by the way, by the Irish Catholic MPs who contributed to Peel’s downfall – at first relied on inadequate market forces.

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rf 06.23.12 at 8:25 pm

Consider me schooled

Re trolling Trevelyan – Perhaps, although in fairness the context was a post about Ireland going out of the Euro’s. (Just to clear up, I have no strong feelings either way on Charles Trevelyan, and still think the British Military should have been dismantled post 1945.)

78

Adrian Kelleher 06.24.12 at 12:53 am

@Stephen

I’ll need to bear in mind that any time I post a message on the internet it might end up next to one of yours.

In your account, Daniel O’Connell’s “Irish Catholic MPs” (such as Pierce Butler, Henry White, Baron Annaly, Sir Valentine Blake or Henry Grattan, etc.?) conspire to destroy the country. How could they have overlooked the charms of the “Irish Coercion Act”? Just as well that candidates representing the will of around 75-80% of the population came away with barely a fifth of the seats.

As for the Soviets, their “astonishingly incompetent attempts to hold back” almost 200 enemy divisions “up to the point of nearly losing Moscow, with enormous casualties” are as nothing compared with “the repulse of invasions of Kenya and the Sudan, [and invasion of] Abyssinia… Eritrea, Somaliland”. Your list of British achievements is longer, presented with monotonic postivity and therefore better. No need to mention Dunkirk or Greece — those dead should have known not to throw their lives away in battles that weren’t also “achievements”.

The Soviets certainly had a thing or two to learn about oppression. After all, why oppress yourself when you can hire others to oppress for you? And with Iraq you cite a felicitous example as demonstrated by its subsequent tranquility.

You express adulation or contempt: one selection of facts, or another. Hence, just as Trevelyan is a cartoon villain to your opponents, for you he is a saint. In aggregate, your posts are a reminder that anti-nationalism in Ireland is often and sadly not anti-nationalism at all, just another form of nationalism.

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Daniel 06.24.12 at 1:02 am

@76

1940-1943: the significant contribution of the British was to keep the Mediterranean open, the rest was theater. The smartest thing the English did in the whole war was Mers-el-Kebir.

90% of WW2 was fought and won by the Soviet army. They repelled and overwhelmed the deadliest, most murderous fighting force the world had ever seen.

10% of the war, the drive from Normandy to Germany, with side action in Italy, was largely the work of the United States army, with some help from the French, Moroccans, Poles, Brits, Canadians, Brazilians……

Regarding Soviet competency or lack of, I understand that when compared to the sterling standard set by Market Garden and its deservedly preening commander, the dull, unimaginative, plodding of the Soviet army doesn’t look too impressive. But in war, you don’t get points for style. It’s not the way that you do it, it’s that you do it.

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Bill Jones 06.24.12 at 1:12 am

If you demonstrate that you have no sense of judgement by joining the military, why do you expect to be treated like normal people?

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Watson Ladd 06.24.12 at 6:05 am

Stephan, those Baltic states welcomed the SS with open arms, and assisted them widely in the Shoah. To this day they commemorate their war dead on the Axis side. Lithuanian partisans showed great initiative in fighting the Soviets, but oddly such courage was not forthcoming against Hitler. Much like the US South I can only conclude the USSR did not teach them enough of a lesson.

14% of the prewar USSR population died from the war. Only 1% of the UK population did so.

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Brussels Sprout 06.24.12 at 7:24 am

I believe the redundant soldiers are meant to join the shrinking ranks of teachers, imposing army style discipline on asbo-inclined youth. I seem to remember a discussion here a couple of years ago exploring the possibility of former troops plonked I front of year 9 on amonday morning with a minimum of teacher training.

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Stephen 06.24.12 at 1:40 pm

Watson Ladd @81

What are we disagreeing about? I say the Soviet armies fought valiantly and with enormous casualties, you say 14% of the USSR’s people were killed in the war: I do not see the contradiction, do you?

We might differ on what proportion of the Soviet dead were killed by the Germans or by the Soviet government, but I do not at all dispute that their casualties fighting the Germans were enormous; or that they defeated the Germans.

And I’m not sure I follow your logic about the Balts. I think you are indicating that, since many of the Balts welcomed the Germans as liberators from the Soviets, who had made an unprovoked invasion of their countries and shot, imprisoned and deported many Balts, therefore the Soviets were right to launch the invasions in the first place. Have I misunderstood you?

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Stephen 06.24.12 at 2:06 pm

Daniel @79
I agree, keeping the Mediterranean open was important, and Mers-el-Kebir (and the disarming of the French fleet at Alexandria) an important part of it. But I think British achievements in the first three years of war, which was the point that you originally raised, were rather more than that.

Suppose that the various achievements I mentioned had all been failures. We would then, in September 1942, have Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Iran in hostile hands – I repeat, German units in reality got as far as Mosul – and Axis forces occupying Malta, Egypt, Sudan, east Africa and Madagascar (which the French were offering to Germany and Japan as a submarine base), no hope for British forces in Cyprus and Palestine, and a precarious situation in Aden and Kuwait. I think that the strategic situation of the Allies would then have been rather worse than not having full control of the Mediterranean. Not to mention the consequences of the survival of German, Italian and French surface units. You may of course disagree.

And as for your original comment that the British were only “providing fodder for Goering’s amusement”: if that had been an even vaguely approximate reflection of the events of summer 1940, the strategic situation would have been very different indeed. But if you are daft enough to believe what you wrote at first, I’m not surprised that you also believe that (a) I have denied the accomplishments of the Soviet armies (b) the ground war in the west was largely the work of the US. Very considerably, yes, but see Ajay@45

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Manta1976 06.24.12 at 2:23 pm

To Maria: first of all, I want to express my sympathy for your situation: I hope things go as well as you expect, and possibly better.

About one point in the post.
“Yet while ‘difficult decisions’ and ‘tough choices’ have been made to throw another 4,000 service men and women into a broken job market, £1 billion pounds was easily found for the first stage of the Trident nuclear deterrent replacement programme, a controversial initiative with no mandate from Parliament.”
I may be wrong, but given Britain’s situation (no immediate enemies, nobody able to attack it, except the big boys), it seems to me that spending on atomic bombs (and the attending paraphernalia of missiles and submarines) is better than keeping an army: it is cheaper, and moreover, once you have an army, it will be used, while the same is not true for atomic bombs (with 2 notable exceptions).
The end result of scrapping the army and keeping the bombs would be: no idiotic military adventures (but I am repeating myself), while still being able to deter attacks, and spending less money.

Of course, the downsizing should have been handled much better, with more care for the people involved.

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Stephen 06.24.12 at 3:24 pm

Adrian Kelleher @78
I have no objection at all to our posts appearing together, and I can’t see why you do.
This thread is going seriously adrift, and I will say no more about wars other than to make the obvious point that appreciation of one nation’s contribution is not denigration of all others; and the slightly less obvious one that the lamentable disasters after the recent invasion of Iraq, led by a fool and a liar, are entirely irrelevant to the very useful effects of the British invasion of Iraq that kept the Germans out in 1941.

An equally obvious point is that if I say Trevelyan was not the devil his opponents claimed, that does not mean I think he was a saint: merely a hardworking, conscientious civil servant who until the fall of the Peel ministry, and after the Russell ministry changed their policies, prevented millions of Irish from starving. These good deeds have not, of course, gone unpunished.

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Andrew F. 06.24.12 at 4:37 pm

Scott @59, I think my well hedged comment (I wouldn’t equate it to a recruiter’s pitch) isn’t inconsistent with those statistics. If the question is, “is 4 years of continuous employment in industry A, or 4 years of military service in an occupation tangentially or unrelated to industry A, more predictive of successful application for employment in industry A in year 5” then I fully agree that prior continuous employment in the industry is likely to be superior.

But suppose both the veteran and nonveteran are applying for employment in industry A, each after 4 years of continuous employment in equally unrelated occupations.

All that aside, drilling just a little further down into the numbers can reveal interesting variations. For the 35-44 age group, for example, post-9/11 veterans actually have a lower unemployment rate than nonveterans (6% compared to 7.1%). See http://www.bls.gov/news.release/vet.t02A.htm

Also a related thought: given cutbacks in public sector hiring, where veterans (in the US certainly – in the UK as well?) frequently have an appreciable advantage in applying for employment, this may be a more difficult than usual time for veterans to re-enter the civilian labor force. Insofar as veteran preferences in public sector hiring is a measure designed to aid veterans gain employment upon leaving service, cutbacks in public sector hiring constitute a reduction of a program designed to help.

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guthrie 06.24.12 at 7:45 pm

Oh please, just one more off topic comment – using one operation which went awry to denigrate the entire effort by the allies in the west compared to the allegedly wonderful and effective USSR armies through the entire period is a bit silly.
Also of course a quarter of a million of axis soldiers were caught in the north of Africa when it finally fell, comparable to Stalingrad.
And finally, how exactly was Britain supposed to do it? The USSR had the manpower and resources immediately to hand, britain did not. The USSR totally didn’t notice the invasion until too late, despite suggestions from the UK. It’s all very well pointing out the work done by the soldiers etc. in the east, but to use that as a means of doing down people who simply didn’t have the same facilities available is childishly mean, to say the least.

89

rf 06.24.12 at 8:00 pm

But still, can someone explain the purpose the British Military serves today? Ajay mentions three commitments @ 26, but these are the result of having a military rather than vice versa. MPA Victoria implies the Soviets would have been in Manchester without the Lancaster Fussilers, yet Soviet archives tell a different story.

Below is a list of post 1945 British military interventions, each one more pointless than the last, so there is more to this than Stephens “the lamentable disasters after the recent invasion of Iraq, led by a fool and a liar”. If the British military had slowly been wound down post 1945 you might have lost the Falklands but saved a great deal in terms of lives, money and reputation. So the question remains, why not replace the British Military with Trident? (Especially now with the rise of regional powers, which will make successful British military interventions more unlikely in the future)

http://www.britishlegion.org.uk/media/33962/conflicts_190607.pdf

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Chris Williams 06.24.12 at 8:22 pm

Trident? I’d rather replace 50% of the military, including especially Trident, with a non-trivial number of Astutes and a residual air defence capacity. However, this desire is not a reason to treat service personnel badly.

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Adrian Kelleher 06.25.12 at 9:32 am

@Stephen

Charles Trevelyan was apparently a considerate man on a personal level. There is no suggestion he ever used his position to favour either himself or any friend or faction. Instead, he expressed his understanding of the world in terms of principle.

These principles were anything but universal, however. His account of the catastrophe does not even mention the fact that the property qualification for voters was 5 times as high in Ireland as in Britain, let alone challenge the justice the property qualification as such. Nor did he challenge the tithe which accrued from all to churchmen representing a tiny fraction of the population. Incredibly, he made no reference to the history of how those who owned the land in Ireland had come to do so.

Instead he echoed all the worst contemporary stereotypes of the Irish: “selfish”, “perverse”, “slovenly”, “cunning” etc. While frequently blaming economic structure for these characteristics, his explicit distinction between “poverty, discontent, and idleness” produced as he saw it by circumstance and the Irish people’s “excitable nature” revealed that there was no firm distinction between this and straightforward racism.

The claim that he struggled vainly to maintain aid in the face of Russell’s opposition is unfounded. In May 1846, predicting a good crop that year, he was already agitating for aid depots to “be closed down as soon as possible”. Even when he could no longer deny that this forecast was disastrously wrong he continued to press the demand throughout the summer.

And when he attributed to “the judgement of God … the calamity to teach the Irish a lesson” it revealed nothing about God (of which he could claim no knowledge) and much about himself. It was after all no less than the invocation, or rather the pure conjuration, of God’s blessing for Trevelyan’s own interpretation of reality.

This profoundly self-serving conception of providence rationalised at a stroke both his own vast inherited wealth and the privilege and power he and his peers exerted over much of the world’s population, facts he never thought to question. It is therefore not so surprising that, at the height of the suffering in the summer of 1847, the man who secured for himself tight control over every aspect of the relief effort could take his wife and family on a two week tour of Loire valley chateaux even though he never in the entire period visited the country over which he exercised the power of life and death. Principle is as much a refuge as a constraint to people of this mindset.

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guthrie 06.25.12 at 2:31 pm

Rf #89 – you seem to be supposing that it is acceptable and desirable to say to a possible hostile country “You do anything to us and we’ll nuke you”. Never mind that would lead to megadeaths of civilians, nuclear pollution etc.
I’m as much against pointless international engagements as the next person, but I can’t see how threatening to kill everyone is a really good defence mechanism.

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Manta1976 06.25.12 at 2:41 pm

guthrie, you are forgetting that the hostile country would also probably have atomic weapons, and therefore the ultimatum would be “do not invade us, or we both die”.

In this sense, atomic weapons are an exclusively defensive tool, whose existence would allow to get rid of the army without having to worry about a new Hitler.

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guthrie 06.25.12 at 9:53 pm

That seems a bit extreme.
What does happen when you give everyone guns to allow them to defend themselves? The incidence of death by shooting goes up. So what happens if everyone has nukes and massacring civilians is okay? More nuclear war.

Basically, I think the proposal is nonsensical.

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rf 06.25.12 at 10:10 pm

I was exaggerating about swapping the British Military for Trident, but I think Chris William’s proposal @90 seems right. The reality is that Britain doesn’t face any security challenges that Scotland Yard can’t deal with, and for a middling power on the Western edges of Europe to have such a large, (I would say any), Military doesn’t make sense to me.

The reason no one’s invaded the Rep of Ireland post-independence isn’t for fear of the Irish Defence Forces, I mean why the hell would they want to? I think the British political class have shown they can be trusted with a nuke, not so much a standing, professional army, so I still for the life of me can’t see one good reason for it still to be in existence.

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basil 06.26.12 at 6:21 am

Even as a lurker, I’m very disappointed to have these military threads on CT, especially in these times when joining the military and working to build a career in it are conscious choices people make, with full knowledge of what these choices mean. Even worse, in this case, those concerned aren’t naive youngsters enticed by the glamour of guns and travel around the world.

It is worse when those choices are made in a time like this when the resources used to sustain the UK armed forces would be much better spent elsewhere, and when we are undeniably aware of the folly of the military adventurism and interventionism that British troops are engaged in. Assuming he’s adamant that custs be made, where would Gideon make them if he didn’t make them here? Would CT be happier about that choice?

Also, and writing from East Africa, British troops aren’t exactly loved here. There’s the colonial atrocities which have been covered on the internet before, but there’s also the costs to communities where unexploded munitions have cost lives and resulted in disability. And we don’t even want to start talking about the rapes and the abandoned mixed race children of central Kenya.

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ajay 06.26.12 at 7:24 am

The reason no one’s invaded the Rep of Ireland post-independence isn’t for fear of the Irish Defence Forces, I mean why the hell would they want to?

No, the reason no one’s invaded the Republic of Ireland post independence is, ironically enough, that on the one occasion when it was a serious risk the British armed forces were in the way. It is unlikely that Hitler would have stopped at Crossmaglen.

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Adrian Kelleher 06.26.12 at 7:56 am

Orwell (who disposes peremptorily with the Irish variety also) on the psychological advantages of transferred nationalism:

“The intensity with which they are held does not prevent nationalist loyalties from being transferable. To begin with, as I have pointed out already, they can be and often are fastened up on some foreign country. One quite commonly finds that great national leaders, or the founders of nationalist movements, do not even belong to the country they have glorified. Sometimes they are outright foreigners, or more often they come from peripheral areas where nationality is doubtful. Examples are Stalin, Hitler, Napoleon, de Valera, Disraeli, Poincare, Beaverbrook. The Pan-German movement was in part the creation of an Englishman, Houston Chamberlain. For the past fifty or a hundred years, transferred nationalism has been a common phenomenon among literary intellectuals. With Lafcadio Hearne the transference was to Japan, with Carlyle and many others of his time to Germany, and in our own age it is usually to Russia. But the peculiarly interesting fact is that re-transference is also possible. A country or other unit which has been worshipped for years may suddenly become detestable, and some other object of affection may take its place with almost no interval. In the first version of H. G. Wells’s Outline of History, and others of his writings about that time, one finds the United States praised almost as extravagantly as Russia is praised by Communists today: yet within a few years this uncritical admiration had turned into hostility. The bigoted Communist who changes in a space of weeks, or even days, into an equally bigoted Trotskyist is a common spectacle. In continental Europe Fascist movements were largely recruited from among Communists, and the opposite process may well happen within the next few years. What remains constant in the nationalist is his state of mind: the object of his feelings is changeable, and may be imaginary.

“But for an intellectual, transference has an important function… It makes it possible for him to be much more nationalistic — more vulgar, more silly, more malignant, more dishonest — that he could ever be on behalf of his native country, or any unit of which he had real knowledge… In societies such as ours, it is unusual for anyone describable as an intellectual to feel a very deep attachment to his own country. Public opinion — that is, the section of public opinion of which he as an intellectual is aware — will not allow him to do so. Most of the people surrounding him are sceptical and disaffected, and he may adopt the same attitude from imitativeness or sheer cowardice: in that case he will have abandoned the form of nationalism that lies nearest to hand without getting any closer to a genuinely internationalist outlook. He still feels the need for a Fatherland, and it is natural to look for one somewhere abroad. Having found it, he can wallow unrestrainedly in exactly those emotions from which he believes that he has emancipated himself. God, the King, the Empire, the Union Jack — all the overthrown idols can reappear under different names, and because they are not recognised for what they are they can be worshipped with a good conscience. Transferred nationalism, like the use of scapegoats, is a way of attaining salvation without altering one’s conduct.”

Attn: Stephen, Myers, Dudley-Edwards et al

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rf 06.26.12 at 8:34 am

“It is unlikely that Hitler would have stopped at Crossmaglen.”

My undertanding was that although there were plans drawn up to invade, re Fisks PhD thesis, it was never seriously contemplated. My understanding was Hitler had no real intention on invading Britain initially either? Anyway at the end of the day if someones gonna invade their gonna invade. Sometimes its better to keep your head down and welcome your new rulers. This will be a lesson the British will have to learn in the next century.

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Manta1976 06.26.12 at 8:36 am

guthrie: what I was exposing was neither new nor controversial: it’s simply the basic principle of MAD doctrine, which has been thoroughly tested and found working. Since they were invented, with the exception of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, nuclear weapons have been used exclusively as defensive tools.

Mind you, ceteris paribus, I would also discard the nukes; but here the choice is NOT ceteris paribus: between the status quo and keeping the nukes while downsizing the army, the second choice is far better. For this reason, I applaud Obama’s attempt to curb nuclear weapons, since the US has no intention of decreasing its army, while I also fully approve Cameron’s choice in this issue.

Putting money in the army is worse than simply wasting it, since not only Britain gets (almost) no benefit out of it, but also gets quite a few pointless wars.

And what basil said @96.

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ajay 06.26.12 at 8:43 am

Anyway at the end of the day if someones gonna invade their gonna invade.

I am not sure if the spelling, the logic or the strategic awareness here is the most outstanding part of the comment. If it were a book, this comment would be titled “Flowers for Clausewitz”.

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rf 06.26.12 at 8:48 am

True enough on my abysmal spelling. The point still stands however

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Andrew F. 06.26.12 at 2:51 pm

Anyway at the end of the day if someones gonna invade their gonna invade.

This must be an extension of the view of states as black boxes. Not only are states black boxes, but the boxes lack any windows as well.

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guthrie 06.26.12 at 4:00 pm

I just remembered that during the cold war the USSR and USA, not to mention France and the UK and Germany all ran down their military establishments so that the biggest outlay was for the nuclear missiles, thus proving Manta’s idea works.

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rf 06.26.12 at 4:57 pm

“This must be an extension of the view of states as black boxes. Not only are states black boxes, but the boxes lack any windows as well.”

Not really. I was just trying to wind Ajay up to be honest, though it doesn’t seem to have worked. I’ve long given up on getting a sensible answer, (one that doesn’t mention World War2), on what purpose the British Military serves today. If people want to argue its needed to advance British interests, maintain the NATO alliance, defend UK overseas territories etc then that’s fine, but it’s not compatible with being “against pointless international engagements as the next person”.

Quite obviously, for the first couple of decade’s post 1945 the British military was used to try and maintain the Empire. Recently it doesn’t seem to have any defined role. I was just curious to see why people who claimed to oppose most military interventions would not be in favour of its eventual reduction to a group of people sitting around in Devon. I’ll leave it there though.

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Manta1976 06.26.12 at 5:06 pm

guthrie: USA and USRR were maintaining some empires (or should I say “empires”, given the discussion in the other CT thread?), so they needed conventional weapons.

I am saying that UK is not maintaining an empire, so it does need an army. I would say that the history of British and French military involvements in the last 60 years fully prove my point: if they did scrap their armies, they would have had the same benefits (no invasions) without the costs (maintaining the army + military interventions): could you please explain where do you disagree? Do you either think that
a) if Britain scrapped its army, URSS would have invaded it, in the face of nuclear deterrence?
or
b) Britain got some substantial benefits from its army, outweighing both the incurred costs? But then please do specify what were those benefits.
Having pilots able to land on a battleship, to quote Maria’a example, is not a benefit: at most it is a mean to an end, but I don’t see what the end is.

More importantly, you (and Maria!) should explain, if Britain scrapped its army now, what would be the disadvantages: because in my book “Not being able to send troops to Iraq” and “not being able to bomb Libya” count as pluses, not as a disadvantages.

Moreover, I read that huge military costs contributed to USSR downfall, so for it even the benefits of an empire did not count for much.

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guthrie 06.26.12 at 5:36 pm

Ah, now you explain better it makes more sense, I can see more where you are coming from.
However although yes, during teh cold war maintaining an army is good for the maintenance of an empire, I note that Britain got rid of a lot of its empire in the first 20 years, and after that was very interested in stopping any possible Russian invasion through central Europe.
Then for overseas work there was the navy and raf, but as far as I am aware they were trying to optimise the navy for anti-soviet duty.

As for the benefits of an army, I can think of a number, varying depending on your viewpoint.
– someone has to guard the airbases, naval bases and so on.
– It is also useful to have a bunch of people who will take orders and you can fill in the gaps when your pathetic private organisations find they’ve completely fouled up, see Olympic security for instance.
– it can come in handy in major disasters, although that doesn’t necessarily need the ability to shoot people.
– it is useful in peacekeeping missions, I thought there had been one or two reasonably successful ones in the las decade or two, no?
– Or indeed the gulf war?
– On the other hand they come in handy when the miners strike, or people decide they can’t stand the condems any more.

I’m all in favour of ramping down the military when threats are low or non-existent, but like I wrote above, you don’t want to get rid of everything because of the usefulness of institutional memory and suchlike. Obviously after the socialist revolution, or 30 or 40 years of peace under the current system (hahah, who am I kidding) nobody would have any experience at all and we can just pension everyone off.

The obvious end of having an aircraft carrier is to be able to re-take the Falklands or carry out operations far away without handy airbases. And protect shiping as well.
The question ultimately is whether we need these capabilities right now because there might be a need in 5 years time, and it takes years to get a modern army up to speed and working properly, or whether you can just scrap it all and maybe in 5 or 10 or 20 years ramp it up again. Mind you even Eire has an army does it not? And nobody has invaded them for decades.
Oh yes, regarding the last 60 years, you need to prove that not having an army at all would have resulted in no invasion, which actually is quite likely I think, within the context of NATO and the USA being around. Scrap the USA and Nato and hmmm, what happens then? I don’t know. I notice that there was a wee fight in the Falklands though.

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Manta1976 06.26.12 at 5:49 pm

guthrie, “Oh yes, regarding the last 60 years, you need to prove that not having an army at all would have resulted in no invasion (of Britain, I suppose, since we are discussing British army): what aspect of “nuclear deterrence” is unclear to you? The part where a soviet army lands somewhere in Britain and nuclear war ensues?

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Data Tutashkhia 06.26.12 at 6:06 pm

Manta1976, I think the problem with ‘nuclear deterrence’ in a lawless world is that for it to work, even theoretically, every one of the geopolitical actors has to have a nuclear arsenal. Including such polities as Lichtenstein and Monaco.

The UK is not going to nuke the Soviets (and get vaporized by retaliation) if the Soviets invade, say, Austria. Austria can’t defend itself, and the UK (arguably) has significant geopolitical interests in defending Austria. What’s the solution?

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Manta1976 06.26.12 at 6:29 pm

Let’s consider a more realistic example, instead of Austria: West Germany.
As far as I understood how things worked, the scenario was the following: Soviet troops invade West Germany, USA retaliates, nuclear war ensues, everybody dies.
Notice that in this scenario whether West Germany and/or Britain has an army or not is irrelevant: the only important thing is whether USA was believed when it said that it would retaliate, with nuclear weapons if necessary.

More to the point: in 2007, long after the end of cold war, GB spends 2.4% if its GDP on military stuff; see http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/spending.htm
Japan, to take an extreme example, 0,8%, Spain, 1,2%, Germany, 1,5%, Italy, 1,7%, and Poland, who has much more to fear than UK, 1,7%: where is the benefit of all this extra money?

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Data Tutashkhia 06.26.12 at 6:45 pm

I got the impression that NATO, in fact, didn’t pledge automatic nuclear retaliation for an attack on W Germany. At least during one period of time.

As for the post cold war period, the USSR is just one example. Since the US and UK are imperial powers themselves, they obviously realize that other states, now and in the future, may have the same sort of ambitions.

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