Annals of the gold standard: medium of exchange, store of value

by Eric on April 17, 2013

Today Jim Rickards (author of Currency Wars) says,

Last week I had x ounces of #Gold. Today I have x ounces. So value is unchanged. Constant at x ounces. Dollar is volatile though. #ThinkOz

I know it’s a failing in me, but it is hard not to ponder whether this is charlatanism or delusion. As John Maynard Keynes says in the first sentence of his Tract on Monetary Reform, “Money is only important for what it will procure.” With the stubborn volatility of the dollar, Rickards’s ounces procure rather less than they recently did.

The exhortation #ThinkOz is of course wonderful. I think now of hashtags past…

Last week I had x bulbs of #Tulips. Today I have x bulbs. So value is unchanged. Constant at x bulbs. Florin is volatile though. #ThinkBulbs

Money is a medium of exchange and a store of value, they say.

{ 31 comments }

1

mpowell 04.17.13 at 5:48 pm

Medium of account, too. That’s not a trivial detail.

2

SamChevre 04.17.13 at 5:54 pm

My dollar seems to be losing it’s ability to buy beef, gasoline, and cigarettes rather rapidly over the past 5 years; it’s been pretty stable over the last week though.

3

Robert P 04.17.13 at 6:01 pm

Brilliant, I often find the most simple arguments the most crushing. Thanks for the laughs.

4

Billikin 04.17.13 at 6:04 pm

Jim Rickards. Funny man. ;)

5

Robert P 04.17.13 at 6:19 pm

@Sam #2

Gas is a global commodity whose price is largely determined in a global market.
Nominal wage increases largely offset price increases in beef and cigarettes

Real wages are stagnant for a large plurality of the population (at least in the United States) but I don’t believe this is due to an inflation problem.

6

Eric 04.17.13 at 6:22 pm

Medium of account, too. That’s not a trivial detail.

Yes, unit of account. Is there a locus classicus for the “medium of exchange/store of value” definition?

7

Patrick 04.17.13 at 6:38 pm

Tulips, houses, buggy carriage whips, Lance Armstrong paraphenalia, Exxon stock…

8

SamChevre 04.17.13 at 6:45 pm

Robert P @ 5

I’m cherry-picking commodities and endpoints. Everything I list has doubled in price since it’s lowest 2008 price.

9

MattF 04.17.13 at 6:45 pm

One should resist the urge to put air quotes around ‘value’, ‘dollar’, ‘volatile’, ‘unchanged’, and ‘I’.

10

CJColucci 04.17.13 at 6:56 pm

My grandfather (d. 1969) used to say that when he was young he could buy a custom-made suit with a $20 gold piece, and now that he was old he still could. Since the custom-made suit was actually useful, it seemed to me that we should go not to the gold stabndard, but to the custom-made suit standard.
My grandfather always thought I was a bit of a smart-ass.

11

John Quiggin 04.17.13 at 7:39 pm

@CJColucci Good story, but the price of gold was fixed (at $35/oz, IIRC) until the breakdown of Bretton Woods in 1971. So, a $20 gold coin would have been worth $20. The suit-gold comparison is also made here:

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/harding092605.html

12

Anderson 04.17.13 at 7:43 pm

I think “charlatanism” is a pretty easy call here.

13

Taylor 04.17.13 at 8:03 pm

Is there a locus classicus for the “medium of exchange/store of value” definition?

How about Aristotle?

Or Schumpeter

14

John Quiggin 04.17.13 at 8:14 pm

Aristotle didn’t really get there, and Schumpeter is too late. As he says in the quoted passage, the standard definition emerged in C19. Marshall points to Menger as the standard treatment, but I haven’t gone back any further

15

CJColucci 04.17.13 at 8:25 pm

@CJColucci Good story, but the price of gold was fixed (at $35/oz, IIRC) until the breakdown of Bretton Woods in 1971. So, a $20 gold coin would have been worth $20. The suit-gold comparison is also made here:

That’s true, but the tailor he dealt with still would have taken the coin in full payment. I assume he either planned to hold it for the looming breakdown of civil order or had some, shall we say, alternative method of getting a custom suit’s worth of money for it.

16

Reino Ruusu 04.17.13 at 8:34 pm

I’ve never really quite understood the store of value part. It doesn’t make any sense. The only real store of value are real investments.

Money should have a reasonably stable value, but if all people would try to use it as a sole storage of value, the result would be a catastrophe, no matter what, because ultimately saving equals investment.

Hoarding of money should always be discouraged to ensure that people who save also invest, either directly or by proxy. A steady slow inflation is a quite suitable means for that. Unfortunately too much savings have been diverted to consumer credit instead of real investment.

17

Tim Wilkinson 04.17.13 at 8:38 pm

Unit of account is the essential one.

Cash is a corporeal proof of said account, relative to a given institution – that will do all the work of ‘store of value’ while also explaining why the apparently ‘stored’ value should disappear when the accounts, or the proof of them, are no longer recognised.

‘Medium of exchange’ is pure barter-mythology – money almost never mediates a bilateral exchange of non-money goods, and it’s certainly not essential that it ever should. If all that’s meant is diffuse ‘exchange’ – as reallocation of goods – then ‘unit of account’ covers that, too. An account, after all, marks a claim or liability satisfiable by allocation of non-money goods – otherwise no-one would be much interested in it.

18

Christiaan 04.17.13 at 9:50 pm

Apparently, because of actions in the market for gold, bread is volatile.

19

Random Lurker 04.17.13 at 10:46 pm

The point is that, while technology advances and the quantity of stuff that is produced increases, the amount of gold is fixed.
Hence in the mind of the goldbugs a fixed quantity of gold should buy a fixed share of total production : its real value should grow, not stay fixed.
For some reason the goldbugs call this a “real” value but in reality it would be a continuous deflation.
(Since money is a unit of account the actual quantity of gold isn’t really binding unless someone forbid any form of credit).
The only real store of value and units of account are, obviously, magic the gathering dual lands.

20

Matt 04.17.13 at 11:07 pm

I have seen the gold/suit comparison before. I seem to recall several years ago seeing a comparison between prices of wine and gold in the days of the Roman Empire to “prove” that gold has been stable since antiquity, but I cannot find it with a quick search now.

What’s the value of gold in relation to other commodities over, say, the last 150 years? You could compare to currencies also. The study group would need to be commodities that have been sold since before the start of the period examined. Some group like bituminous coal, zinc, pine boards, iron nails, Portland cement, sulfuric acid, sodium hydroxide, wheat, butter, pearls, indigo, cotton cloth… Perhaps it is sulfuric acid that comes closest to moving in concert with all other commodities, rather than gold. A sulfuric acid standard might be difficult when it comes to convertibility, but so long as most transactions happen via paper or electronic signals, all that’s really needed is assurance that the central acid vaults have enough acid to back the paper commitments. Perhaps have an occasional audit by a chemist to ensure that bankers aren’t artificially lowering the pH of the currency with inferior substitutes like hydrogen chloride.

I’ve never seen a gold enthusiast present data to the effect that gold wins the basket-of-commodities stability bakeoff I described above. It’s about cherry picking a couple of goods and a couple of points in time if any proof of stability is needed. If you can find lots of other goods that were stable while gold zig-zagged (like back in 1980), it devolves to an axiom that gold was stable and everything else was undergoing wild but highly correlated price swings.

21

nick s 04.18.13 at 3:46 am

The association of gold with delusion goes back longer than fiat currencies, so that’s one stable point of reference, at least.

22

bad Jim 04.18.13 at 8:26 am

Brad DeLong has on various occasions tried to translate Darby’s fabulous income into modern terms, illuminating the difficulty of comparisons across a period in which the rate of technological change has become noticeably exponential.

I have a pair of American-made Levi’s 501 jeans in my closet which, by some miracle, are still in decent shape; they may be in some sense worth more now then when I bought them. The same may be true of the pairs in the rag pile with holes in the butt. Not a medium of exchange or a unit of accounting but perhaps a better store of value than gold, but, if so, only as a result of the changes in where goods are manufactured and how they’re valued.

Maybe sand has a constant value.

23

ajay 04.18.13 at 9:31 am

the tailor he dealt with still would have taken the coin in full payment. I assume he either planned to hold it for the looming breakdown of civil order or had some, shall we say, alternative method of getting a custom suit’s worth of money for it.

If he had some method of getting someone to give him (say) $100 for something whose value was, by definition, $20, I don’t know why he was wasting his time in the tailoring business.

24

CJColucci 04.18.13 at 2:52 pm

the tailor he dealt with still would have taken the coin in full payment. I assume he either planned to hold it for the looming breakdown of civil order or had some, shall we say, alternative method of getting a custom suit’s worth of money for it.

“If he had some method of getting someone to give him (say) $100 for something whose value was, by definition, $20, I don’t know why he was wasting his time in the tailoring business.”

The thing is, a $20 gold piece might have been defined as worth $20 in the USA, but it was still a hunk of gold with a market value as such in places that didn’t accept the US definition. It wouldn’t have been that hard to find someone who would take it off his hands, at a discount from the coin’s market value as a hunk of gold to cover certain risks, with profit for all involved. Being in the business of doing that is a more difficult proposition, so the tailor wisely kept his day job.

25

ajay 04.18.13 at 3:34 pm

24 sounds entirely plausible and not at all made up.

26

Bruce Wilder 04.19.13 at 5:37 am

It wouldn’t have been that hard to find someone who would take it off his hands, at a discount from the coin’s market value as a hunk of gold to cover certain risks, with profit for all involved. Being in the business of doing that is a more difficult proposition . . .

So difficult that we couldn’t possibly ask those masters of the universe, who do make it their dayjob, to pay taxes at the rates imposed on, say, a tailor, or to refrain from, say, wrecking the world economy or driving unemployment to 25% or to comply with reasonable regulations prohibiting usury or systematic fraud . . . good as gold, gold is.

27

Dr. Hilarius 04.19.13 at 7:41 pm

Gold does have the benefit of being easily sold or exchanged anywhere in the world. (CIA field operatives in SE Asia, Vietnam era, often wore link bracelets of 24K gold. Each link could be removed as needed.) Most of us will never have such a need but it does fuel goldbug fantasies.

Much overlooked for moving assets across borders without detection: high-value postage stamps. Maybe we should go to the 24 cent, upside down biplane, stamp standard. Now I have to go see how far my gold stock mutual fund has slipped today.

28

Katherine 04.19.13 at 7:46 pm

Maybe we should go to the 24 cent, upside down biplane, stamp standard.

It’s been thought of before – by Terry Pratchett, and presumably many others.

29

Dr. Hilarius 04.20.13 at 8:01 pm

I wasn’t aware of Pratchett making a similar suggestion but certainly didn’t put forward the idea as being original with me. It came to mind because I know someone who has used stamps to avoid currency declarations at the border. Gold sets off metal detectors, stamps don’t.

30

Bruce Wilder 04.20.13 at 8:30 pm

Gold’s attraction is its deflationary potential. The only thing that’s delusional about that, is the idea that deflationary potential is a virtue in a money, and not an infection vector for parasites.

31

EWI 04.21.13 at 6:24 pm

Non-Irish Timberites may not know the name, but our resident Russian celebrity Chicago economist (for reals) Constantin Gurdgiev has been a notable goldbug – and a contractor of some sorts to a company called Goldcore, guess-what-business-they’re-in:

http://www.goldcore.com/goldcore_blog/if-you’re-looking-bubbles-don’t-look-gold-coins

No signs of contrition yet:

“Key point here is that there is absolutely no hard evidence that gold coins demand is bubble-prone or bubble-driven.”

http://trueeconomics.blogspot.ie/2013/04/242013-us-mint-gold-coins-vs-gold-prices.html

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