Last month, New Yorker reporter Jon Lee Anderson turned twelve shades of red when he was challenged on Twitter about his claim in The New Yorker that Venezuela was “one of the world’s most oil-rich but socially unequal countries.” A lowly rube named Mitch Lake had tweeted, “Venezuela is 2nd least unequal country in the Americas, I don’t know wtf @jonleeanderson is talking about.” Anderson tweeted back: “You, little twerp, are someone who has sent 25,700 Tweets for a grand total of 169 followers. Get a life.” Gawker was all over it.
What got lost in the story though is just how wrong Anderson’s claim is. In fact, just how wrong many of his claims about Venezuela are.
Luckily, Keane Bhatt, an activist and writer at NACLA, has been on the Anderson file from the beginning, itemizing all of Anderson’s errors and forcing the New Yorker—which is widely renowned in the magazine world for its fact-checking department—to issue some corrections.
First there was this error that Bhatt caught:
Anderson’s article, “Slumlord: What Has Hugo Chávez Wrought in Venezuela?,” is indeed filled with blatant misrepresentations. The New Yorker’s vaunted factcheckers somehow permitted the publication of the following statement: “Chavez suggested to me that he had embraced the far left as a way of preventing a coup like the one that put him in office.” While it is true that in 1992, Chávez attempted a coup against an administration that had deployed security forces to massacre hundreds, perhaps thousands of civilian protesters, Anderson is misleading his readers. Chávez was “put in office” much later, in 1999, through a free and fair election—not a coup—a fact which he did not see fit to include in his piece. He instead wrote, vaguely, that Chávez “assumed” power in 1999.
Then there was this:
In a NewYorker.com piece published before Venezuela’s elections, [Anderson] wrote in error that “Venezuela leads Latin America in homicides.” The most recently available United Nations data show that Honduras, with 91.6 killings per 100,000 in 2011, has twice the rate of homicides as Venezuela, which recorded 45.1 in 2010. (El Salvador has 69.2.) When confronted with these facts on Twitter in February, Anderson admitted his mistake publicly, addressing even his editors at The New Yorker, and agreed to offer a correction. Over a month later, however, neither Anderson nor his editors have fixed his invented claim.
As Bhatt also points out, the headline on that second piece was originally given the hopeful title “The End of Chavez?” Once Chavez handily won reelection, the editors had to change it to “Chavez the Survivor.”
Thanks to Bhatt’s efforts—and that of his readers—both of these errors were eventually corrected.
But now we have this:
For Jon Lee Anderson’s most recent factual error, unfortunately, The New Yorker has thus far refused to issue a clarification or retraction. One month ago—the day Chávez died—Anderson wrote a third piece, for NewYorker.com, claiming:
What [Chávez] has left is a country that, in some ways, will never be the same, and which, in other ways, is the same Venezuela as ever: one of the world’s most oil-rich but socially unequal countries. . .
As I pointed out in “Anderson Fails at Arithmetic,” this allegation misleads the reader in two ways. Inequality has been reduced enormously under Chávez, using its standard measure, the Gini coefficient. So one can hardly say that in this aspect, Venezuela remains the “same as ever.” Making Anderson’s contention even worse is the fact that Venezuela is the most equal country in Latin America, according to the United Nations. Anderson’s readers come away with exactly the opposite impression.
…A senior editor [at The New Yorker] sent me an email [that] offered a strained defense of Anderson’s position on inequality, arguing that Anderson’s point was valid, given that his claim supposedly combined Venezuela’s conditions of being both “oil-rich” and “socially unequal” as one assertion.
I pointed out in my response that any reasonable reading of the statement would portray Venezuela as both one of the world’s most oil-rich and one of the world’s most socially unequal countries. And the fact of the matter is that the CIA’s World Factbook ranks the country 68th out of 136 countries with available data on income inequality—that is to say, Venezuela is exactly in the middle, and impossible to construe as among the most unequal.
I also explained that when Anderson was confronted with this evidence on Twitter, the magazine’s principal correspondent on Venezuela expressed extreme skepticism toward publicly available, constantly used, and highly scrutinized data; he instead cited his own “reporting” and “impressions” as the authority for his assertions….
Lastly, I argued that the awkward formulation of combining “oil-rich” and “socially unequal”—a reading I reject—exposes Anderson’s contention as even further at odds with reality. Included in my email was the following list showing the top 10 most “oil-rich” countries ranked in order of their total crude oil production, according to the International Energy Agency. Each country’s corresponding Gini coefficient from the CIA World Factbook appears in parentheses—the higher the Gini coefficient, the greater the country’s inequality:
1. Saudi Arabia (unavailable)
2. Russia (0.42)
3. United States (0.45)
4. Iran (0.445)
5. China (0.48)
6. Canada (0.32)
7. United Arab Emirates (unavailable)
8. Venezuela (0.39)
9. Mexico (0.517)
10. Nigeria (0.437)
When provided with these arguments and data, The New Yorker’s senior editor fell silent in the face of repeated follow-ups. I received a reply only once: a rejection of my request to publicly post our correspondence.
Bhatt closes by urging his readers to get in touch with the The New Yorker.
Readers can pose such questions to The New Yorker by contacting its editors at www.newyorker.com/contact/contactus, by email at tny.newsdesk@gmail.com, or on Twitter at @tnynewsdesk. Such media activism plays a crucial role in engendering more careful portrayals of countries like Venezuela, which has long been the target of cartoonishly hostile, slanted, and outright false media coverage. Previous demands for accuracy and accountability have already prompted two admissions of error by The New Yorker, and can lead to a third, in spite of the magazine’s obstinacy. More importantly, the magazine now faces a real political cost to publishing sloppy reporting, as well as a powerful deterrent to running reckless news and commentary during a politically significant transitional moment for Venezuela.
I concur.
{ 90 comments }
shah8 04.09.13 at 1:00 am
Fat lot of good bugging the New Yorker would do. Jon Lee Anderson is doing his job. It just wasn’t what his nominal journalist/reporting occupation would lead us to believe.
It’s the same with the the breathless reporting on the heroics of the syrian rebels. Any reporting that affects US geopolitics is going to be more likely to incorporate spin.
Corey Robin 04.09.13 at 1:40 am
Except that in two cases bugging the New Yorker editors actually forced them to issue a retraction. So…let’s do it again!
Tony Lynch 04.09.13 at 1:49 am
So what does a New Yorker “fact checker” do? Weed out inconvenient facts? Legitimate non-facts? What?
Corey Robin 04.09.13 at 2:03 am
Tony at 3: Write them and find out!
Hector_St_Clare 04.09.13 at 2:07 am
Jon Lee Anderson wrote a decent biography of Che Guevara (i.e. a fairly even handed one, in which he points out there’s no evidence that Guevara ever executed an innocent person, and it’s clear he wasn’t taking the Cuban-American professional whiners particularly seriously). So it sort of surprises me he would buy the right-wing line on Venezuela. Maybe it was an honest mistake.
Hector_St_Clare 04.09.13 at 2:09 am
Oh, didn’t read the full post. Yea, he seems to suck. What a hack.
Corey Robin 04.09.13 at 2:22 am
Hector_St_Clare at 6: Don’t drift into despondency! Write an email to the editors. Let’s see Jon Lee restored to his former glory (haven’t read the bio, so I wouldn’t know, but I’ll take your word.)
Brett 04.09.13 at 2:24 am
He would have better off to point out that homicides got a lot worse under Chavez, instead of making the wrong claim that Venezuela is the most violent country in Latin America (although Caracas is extremely violent – the homicide rate in 2009 was 122 per 100,000 people). The homicide rate in Venezuela more than doubled between 1998 and 2011.
TÃo Conejo 04.09.13 at 2:39 am
PSFs, activate!
Terence 04.09.13 at 3:31 am
Brett –
to be fair, the trend of increase started pre-Chavez and became one of decreasing homicide rates towards the end of his rule. I charted it here: http://wp.me/pSqRs-sW
Terence
Keane 04.09.13 at 3:41 am
Hi Brett (8)–you’re right that Anderson would’ve been safer to point out that homicides did increase under Chavez. Homicides doubled during his tenure, and this is a legitimate criticism.
More interesting to me is the pervasive sense within the elite press that there are no drawbacks to reporting on official enemies of the U.S. with such exaggerations and slant that one can produce numerous falsehoods in service to that pursuit without facing negative consequences. A doubling of the homicide rate is not enough; Venezuela must be the highest in Latin America.
If a correspondent for The New Yorker were to have written at least three incorrect statements unfairly bolstering Chavez’s record (e.g. “Chavez reduced unemployment to the lowest in Latin America”), is there any doubt s/he would face serious repercussions? Even without factual errors, Anderson is already producing partisan propaganda: in “Slumlord” he points at someone sleeping in a sewer pipe and sees human feces running down a wall, and says the Chavez government has been a failure, despite its massive popular support and accomplishments on a number of socioeconomic fronts, like poverty reduction.
Corey has already discussed this in another post
Terence 04.09.13 at 3:53 am
oh – and email sent. Easy.
Also, Keane and others: just a quick plug for the World Bank’s databank. Once you figure out how to use it, it’s very helpful, and probably better than the CIA’s factbook.
http://databank.worldbank.org/data/home.aspx
Adam S 04.09.13 at 3:59 am
It’s only decreasing because you’ve left out the past two years’ data, Terence. The homicide rate was 48 and 54 per 100,000 in 2011 and 2012, respectively.
shah8 04.09.13 at 4:02 am
Corey, I think you’ve done a lot more in simply making this issue more widely known than anyone can do with the marginal “Shame On You!” email. Email is private, blogs are public. In any event, if the New Yorker intends to be shamelessly wrong about how it reports on a topic, to the point of deciding to correct itself, twice, and still does it again… Is there really a point? Reading books like Bending Science by McGarty & Wagner or Michael’s Doubt Is Their Product (and I’ve read the Chomsky classic, too), well, they’ve made me quite well aware of informational channel stuffing. And the New Yorker is spending it’s credibility hosting this stuff on their media, going all in with lots of articles to give the sense of verisimilitude for works fit for only credulous opinion-setters.
Tweeting Bhatt’s article all over the place and making jokes at the expense of The New Yorker’s name is far more likely to be effective.
Adam S 04.09.13 at 4:22 am
Keane, I think you’ll find that most of the New Yorker’s reporting on crime in Mexico and Colombia, neither of which is an enemy of the U.S., is at least as sensationalistic as anything in Anderson’s piece on Venezuela.
Brett 04.09.13 at 4:47 am
@Terence
It does, but the chart shows that the homicide rate had oscillated up and down before, and you can see the line inflect more sharply upwards after he took office in early 1999. After there, it never even remotely came back down to where it was before, although there were ups and downs over the period in question (including one after 2009).
It would be interesting to see a time series of the Caracas homicide rate, though. What I’ve read suggests that that was the epicenter for the massive increase in crime over the past decade in Venezuela, with (for example) a homicide rate that was far, far higher than the overall national average.
Side-note, but are the countries in Latin America exceptionally high-crime compared to other nations with similar income and GDP per capita? It’s just that it has a reputation for that, and I’m not sure whether it’s deserved or not.
@Keane
I don’t know about the New Yorker, but it looks like the New York Times has punished at least an op-ed about the negative sides of the Lobo regime in Honduras.
nick s 04.09.13 at 5:10 am
So what does a New Yorker “fact checker†do?
I once got contacted by one (via an acquaintance) to verify that a road mentioned in a piece was indeed a road. This was back in the days before ubiquitous online maps.
The Venezuela beat in the English-speaking press seems to be a particularly problematic one. I have my vulgar suspicions about why, but would love to read more about the group of people who file on the topic and how they got that job.
Keane 04.09.13 at 5:16 am
@Terence: Thanks for the heads up on the World Bank data. I couldn’t find an easy way to organize countries in ascending/descending order by most recently available year so I could precisely place Venezuela within that list. Do you know if that’s possible?
@Shah8: I agree that blogging publicly about these things is great, but having individual emails from a diverse range of people filling up editors’ inboxes can also spur them to act and create discomfort. It worked for my first piece, which wasn’t much blogged about, but still prompted two retractions.
@Brett: Dana Frank’s piece was terrific, for sure. But it was anomalous (I’ve written about the NYT’s biased coverage of Honduras on my NACLA blog if you’re interested). I have a piece coming out in the upcoming print edition of the NACLA Report that might be worth checking out too. I searched through almost four years of NYT coverage of Honduras, since the 2009 coup, and found that none of the epithets that the paper regularly hurls at Venezuela, both in news and opinion–despotic, authoritarian, autocratic, caudillo, etc.–were ever applied to Micheletti’s de facto regime, or Pepe Lobo’s murderous and illegitimate government.
Tim Worstall 04.09.13 at 8:32 am
This always amuses me:
“Each country’s corresponding Gini coefficient from the CIA World Factbook”
There’s sometimes the thought that the CIA are bumbling asses who couldn’t organise their way out of a wet paper bag: alternatively that they’re simply the hired goons of the neoliberal world order. Then their statistics are accepted unquestioned. Slightly odd to do both.
And here the CIA numbers are wrong. They don’t actually calculate them themselves, they just present them from elsewhere and don’t do a very good job of checking them.
As far as I can see the Venezuela number is after the influence of whatever redistribution is done through the tax, benefits and spending systems. The US one there is certainly before the impact of much of the tax and benefits redistribution (it comes down to about 0.37 or so after those effects).
It’s not an important point of course. But given the general scepticism about the CIA worth noting that their numbers often suck too.
Terence 04.09.13 at 9:46 am
Keane,
Yeah – that was frustratingly difficult. I’ve downloaded the data, used some formulas in Excel to align and then sorted. It’s here: http://waylaiddialectic.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/global-inequality-compared-wb.xls
Annoyingly the WB data is only up until 2006 for Venezuela. I wonder where the more recent stuff CIA stuff is from?
Terence 04.09.13 at 9:47 am
“As far as I can see the Venezuela number is after the influence of whatever redistribution is done through the tax, benefits and spending systems.”
How do you deduce this?
Terence 04.09.13 at 10:11 am
Brett,
The UN does homicide data for cities too. Oddly enough, from a quick eyeball it looks like the Caracas trend was less than the whole country trend. Still the most violent city on Earth though. UN crime data here: http://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/data-and-analysis/homicide.html
I’ve put city and ctry data (sorted by most recent year) into the following spreadsheet:
http://waylaiddialectic.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/homicide-international-comparisons.xls
I gotta go to bed, so don’t have time to try comparing LA cities crime states with similar GDP countries, but my *guess* is they are worse.
Mao Cheng Ji 04.09.13 at 10:33 am
“Still the most violent city on Earth though.”
I wonder what a typical US commentary would sound like if he tried to confiscate the guns…
Barry 04.09.13 at 11:09 am
I’m interested in how Tim derived these Gini results, as well.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.09.13 at 11:12 am
The only reason the homicide rate is at 45 per 100000 is because the Chávez administration decided to stop counting as every single year that the numbers where up it was a good point for the opposition to show the failures of the “revolution”.
In fact they decided it was a crime or something to show photos of the Caracas morgues full of bodies, because… well, the revolution is never wrong.
The “equalization” of Venezuela has several interesting characteristics, starting with how in hell it is going to be sustained if oil prices go down or the PDVSA infrastructure ends up like the El Palito refinery that exploded last year, or more simply, production cant be sustained because nobody mantained the needed infrastructure.
Also equality has some interesting measures, like for example now middle-class and poor alike are equal in their quest to find food in the supermarkets and not getting it, or in sharing electricals blackouts, or…
Then you have the widespread corruption of the boliburgoises and the most important bit, the legacy of hate and division as the proper way to rule the country.
Ah, and the pseudomesianic movement that now gives anybody a bad case of “verguenza ajena” as you get Maduro to explain his mystical experiences with the Soul of Chávez As A Bird.
We need, globally, a left alternative to the current neoliberal consensus. Thats is a given, and is urgent. Trying to find it in Chavismo… well, as I just told somebody over the dead of Thatcher, if the options are between thatcherism and chavismo, I choose barbiturates and a quiet exist, thank you.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.09.13 at 11:13 am
That was exit. I need to start proofreading my post before doing submit :-/
Tim Worstall 04.09.13 at 11:40 am
“I’m interested in how Tim derived these Gini results, as well.”
Wikipedia has a list of countries by their gini. The 0.39 number for Venezuela is listed as being tyhe post tax/post benefit one via the CIA numbers. The World Bank (also post tax etc) is higher than the CIA one. Can’t recall if that is different years.
The US one is indeed listed as 0.45 post tax and post benefit in those same CIA numbers.
However, it was JQ himself, our OP writer, who posted here some time ago a file showing the effects of tax and benefits on US gini. A file which showed that the 0.45 number is pre, not post.
The reason for this is that all of the US stats about poverty and inequality are influenced by the way that much poverty alleviation and redistribution is done via the EITC and various benefits in kind. The figures are not directly comparable across countries as a result.
I agree that the US is more unequal even after redistribution than many other countries (most industrialised if not all, and more than many industrialising) but the 0.45 overstates it.
Hogan 04.09.13 at 12:11 pm
it looks like the New York Times has punished at least an op-ed
The NYT should punish a lot of its op-eds.
Katherine 04.09.13 at 12:20 pm
Congratulations Tim on your semi-successful attempt to de-rail this conversation (to lefties trusting/not trusting the CIA or something).
Now, to return to the matter at hand, by whatever measure, Anderson got significant facts significantly wrong on a number of occasions in a publication that apparently prides itself on fact-checking. Why, one might almost think the facts were incidental to the point of view being presented.
Christiaan 04.09.13 at 12:31 pm
I wonder how this editor would measure this new notion of “oil-richness and social inequality.” Norway has lots of oil and a high social equality, so is it high or low on the scale of “oil-rich and socially unequal”? And what about the highly socially unequal country of Namibia that has no oil? And how do I compare Norway to Namibia? Yea, this is a very useful measure, we should all use it.
Barry 04.09.13 at 12:33 pm
“Why, one might almost think the facts were incidental to the point of view being presented.”
It depends on which facts. The US establishment is hostile to the current government of Venezuela, and will be until that country has a right-wing government (when inequality, exploitation, violence and government repression will be if anything actively funded by the US government). That’s a fact, and it’s the relevant fact for Mr. Anderson.
Keane 04.09.13 at 12:40 pm
@Tim (19): “The US one there is certainly before the impact of much of the tax and benefits redistribution.”
Branko Milanovic, a lead researcher at the World Bank, looked at the effects of taxes and transfers on the U.S. Gini last week, and found that it drops from .51 to .49:
https://twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/317689559364280320/photo/1
I also quoted him in my piece, as he also found independently of my CIA Factbook figures that Venezuela ranks somewhere in the middle of the world’s countries.
@Terence: Thanks for the XLS file! If Venezuela’s most recent Gini figure (.397 according to the UN) were used, it would place the country squarely in the 70s–right in the middle of the list. http://estadisticas.cepal.org/cepalstat/WEB_CEPALSTAT/estadisticasIndicadores.asp
The bottom line is that it is impossible–even if the U.S. figure is .37–for any reasonable person to claim that Venezuela is one of the world’s most socially unequal countries, which is what Anderson said.
rf 04.09.13 at 12:45 pm
“You, little twerp, are someone who has sent 25,700 Tweets for a grand total of 169 followers. Get a life.â€
I get this a lot on twitter. I think what he means is how can someone with only 169 followers send over 25,000 tweets, and I think that’s reasonably. I tried to clarrify this to all the parties involved at the time, but they didnt care
Chaitanya Patel 04.09.13 at 12:57 pm
I sent the following. Happy for anyone to use as a template.
Dear Sirs,
I was surprised to read John Lee Anderson’s piece in which he claimed that Chavez had left Venezuela in a state that ‘is the same Venezuela as ever: one of the world’s most oil-rich but socially unequal countries. . .’
It is unclear how this statement got past your editors. According to UN data inequality in Venezuela fell from around 50 to around 40 on the Gini scale between 1999 and 2011.
Moreover, Venezuela is now one of the least unequal countries in Latin America.
I refer you to this article for a full explanation of the mistakes: http://nacla.org/blog/2013/3/15/venezuela-new-yorkers-jon-lee-anderson-fails-arithmetic.
The reason I am writing, is not because a mistake has been made, but because according to Corey Robin (https://crookedtimber.org/2013/04/09/from-the-mixed-up-files-of-mr-jon-lee-anderson/) you are refusing to retract it.
I read the New Yorker because I trust the quality of the reporting and the integrity of the editorial board. I find it disturbing that when a statement as misleading as the one made by Mr Anderson is discovered, you refuse to engage with those pointing out the mistake.
I realise that Mr Anderson’s statement rather clumsily elides a number of different points and in some respects it may be literally accurate. However, it left me with a clear impression that Venezuela had not changed at all in respect of social inequality during Chavez’s time in office and that it was still terrible by the standards of the region. This is clearly a misrepresentation of the truth.
I will not purchase another copy of the New Yorker until you provide your readership with a clear and public correction of this, or alternatively a refutation of the facts presented in the two articles linked.
Corey Robin 04.09.13 at 1:01 pm
Katherine at 29 has it right: “Now, to return to the matter at hand, by whatever measure, Anderson got significant facts significantly wrong on a number of occasions in a publication that apparently prides itself on fact-checking. Why, one might almost think the facts were incidental to the point of view being presented.”
Now, in the name of all that is good and decent amid our crooked timber of humanity, I ask you to take two minutes — in between commenting here — to write two sentences to the following email address — tny.newsdesk@gmail.com — and ask them to correct this error. Some of you are far more learned about these matters than the rest of us, and it is that very learning that stands you in good stead to make the case to the editors at the New Yorker. As I said above, we’ve been successful twice in getting them to fix these types of ideologically driven errors; no reason why we can’t get them to fix this. The whole point of the internet — or at least one of the points — is that it empowers all of us to talk back to the media, in some cases to become the media, in ways that can do some good. So…get to it! Put your crooked timber shoulder to the wheel!
rf 04.09.13 at 1:16 pm
Since we’re pointing out New Yorker mistakes when dealing with non US stories, there’s also this review of a Dexter Filkin piece on Hezbollah
Being serious, I’m not sure what people expect. These people are obviously unwilling to do even the bare minumum research required, or approach with anything resembling an inquiring mind. It’s the way it’s always been and will always be. Making a deal out of the Chavez article just implies that that story was an abberation rather than the norm, and gives cover to the rest of them
http://mideastwire.wordpress.com/2013/02/22/dexter-filkins-and-the-new-yorker-did-nyer-fact-check-his-story-why-is-same-source-dany-saying-the-same-things-at-the-same-time-in-david-enders-piece-at-mcclatchy-newspapers/
qatenary 04.09.13 at 1:32 pm
@ Terence (20) and (22) — Quandl has some nice data on Gini across countries. There’s also a bunch of statistics on Venezuela’s economy, society and demography , with global comparisons in a lot of cases. And a nice overview of data on Venezuela, with more recent observations than the CIA factbook for a lot of indicators. Best of all, these are all time-series datasets so you can see how trends have evolved over time (pre, during and post Chavez).
Louis Proyect 04.09.13 at 1:57 pm
This isn’t the first time the New Yorker has printed lies.
http://louisproyect.wordpress.com/2009/04/22/new-yorker-magazine-sued-by-slandered-new-guineans/
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.09.13 at 2:33 pm
#34 Would they care for non-Americans writing them?
I’m quite NOT a Chávez supporter but bad criticism that is easily refuted does not help.
Hector_St_Clare 04.09.13 at 2:42 pm
Re: The US establishment is hostile to the current government of Venezuela, and will be until that country has a right-wing government
The right has been so thoroughly discredited in Venezuela that I don’t see a right wing government happening anytime soon. And the two trump cards that unpopular right wing governments were often able to play in the past (control of key industries, and control of the military) don’t exist either; Chavez devoted a lot of time to thorough political purges of both the oil industry and the military, and they’re Red to the bone right now.
Re: The “equalization†of Venezuela has several interesting characteristics, starting with how in hell it is going to be sustained if oil prices go down
Oh great, the dumbass Jesus Fandino is back.
Oil prices aren’t going down, bro. We are past peak oil, and from here on out supplies are just going to get smaller just as demand gets bigger. Until the world has a massive switch-over to nuclear or other power sources, which won’t be anytime soon.
Re: now middle-class and poor alike are equal in their quest to find food in the supermarkets and not getting it,
Facts are tricky things, as your buddy Ronald Reagan used to say. The facts say that food consumption is massively up among the Venezuelan poor majority. Production is up too, just not quite as much, which has made some goods harder to find. But quite clearly, Venezuelans are consumng more and better food than they used to.
Re: Ah, and the pseudomesianic movement that now gives anybody a bad case of “verguenza ajena†as you get Maduro to explain his mystical experiences with the Soul of Chávez As A Bird.
How do, you, actually, know that didn’t happen? I suppose you’re one of those fashionable New Atheist types, and you look down on Venezuelans for being superstitious dupes. Well, those superstititious dupes have the men with guns at their backs, so you’d better sit down, shut up and do what they tell you.
Re: Trying to find it in Chavismo… well, as I just told somebody over the dead of Thatcher, if the options are between thatcherism and chavismo, I choose barbiturates and a quiet exist, thank you.
I don’t really give a **** what you choose, any more than I care what a classroom of particularly ill behaved third graders chooses. Chavismo is here to stay, and if you don’t want more well deserved Tascon List type harassment (or worse), you would do well just to stop talking and accept it.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.09.13 at 2:55 pm
Look, Hector, can you kindly stop talking to me? Because the only ill-behaved person in this debates is you. I’m quite tired of your insults, your broad brush (My buddy Reagan? What do you know about who I’m buddy with?), your relish in imagining what discrimination would befall me and my friends, etc.
I dont know if this discussion is moderated or anything but really at this point I think is quite clear you cant hold a civil conversation with anybody that disagrees with you and just like the opportunity to proclaim your grandstanding contempt for thing like basic democratic values or the mere fact that disagreement can exist.
I kindly suggest you to ignore me as I’m trying, hard, to ignore you. Or if not, I kindly request the site owners to tell me clearly if it is your style of “converstation” what the site is about and I should shut up and leave or if I have any recourse to your constant insulting manner and attacks.
Tim Worstall 04.09.13 at 3:08 pm
@32.
“Branko Milanovic, a lead researcher at the World Bank, looked at the effects of taxes and transfers on the U.S. Gini last week, and found that it drops from .51 to .49:
https://twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/317689559364280320/photo/1”
I’m afraid you’re misreading that graph.
The left side gives you the reduction in gini as a result of taxes and transfers. For the US this is 0.1 or 0.07 ish depending upon which of the two US points you take. Thus if the reduction is 0.1 from the 0.51 then that gives 0.41, not the 0.49 you say. Or a reduction of around 0.07 from 0.48 ish gives us the same end result.
Which still leaves the US number of 0.45 from the CIA substantially higher than Milanovic makes it. The other numbers look about right from memory: Sweden in the mid 0.4 s for market income, with 0.2 from taxes and benefits to give the post tax and post benefits number of around 0.25. GB higher market inequality than US but more alleviated through taxes and benefits.
That there are two numbers for some countries comes from his using two different methods of estimation I think.
That Twitpic really isn’t saying what you think it is.
Keane 04.09.13 at 5:21 pm
Thanks, Tim (40). So let’s take 0.41 for the U.S., and even use the slightly higher CEPAL (UN) statistic, 0.397 for 2011 (http://j.mp/WxC1HC). Venezuela still remains lower than the U.S. after taxes and transfers are accounted for. I didn’t have time to go through such a process for each of the top oil-producing countries, but it’s obvious that Venezuela is either on the extremely low or lower-middle range of that cohort. And keep in mind, this is a very contorted reading of Anderson’s original statement. When it comes to the entire world, however you want to cut it, Venezuela is a middling country in terms of income inequality, and the lowest or second-lowest in Latin America.
Hector_St_Clare 04.09.13 at 6:25 pm
How does Venezuela compare to Cuba? or does Cuba not report data ?
Hector_St_Clare 04.09.13 at 8:27 pm
Jesús Couto Fandiño,
Great, I’ll ignore you. You may not find it quite so easy to ignore the military, though. I hope they do teach you and your sort a lesson about respect for your moral superiors though, since you don’t seem to have learned your lesson thus far.
Hector_St_Clare 04.09.13 at 10:29 pm
Re: I dont know if this discussion is moderated or anything but really at this point I think is quite clear you cant hold a civil conversation with anybody that disagrees with you
Oh, I’m quite capable of holding a civil conversation with people who disagree with me, if I judge that they’re morally and intellectually worthy of it. I don’t feel inclined to have one with *you*, any more than I would expect to have a civil conversation with an ill-behaved first grader or a poorly trained chimpanzee. When you show that you’ve gained some moral and intellectual maturity, perhaps then you’ll be deserving of a bit of civil conversation.
Chavez, for all his faults, was twice the man any mainstream American politician could ever be, and he understood that the only conversation he was going to have with you folks was the one where he said “Do this”, and you said, “Yes, Commander.”
Tim Worstall 04.10.13 at 10:19 am
“Venezuela still remains lower than the U.S. after taxes and transfers are accounted for.”
It may well be and I have no problem either way if it is. My point was only about the quality of statistics being used. A fairly regular point of mine which just goes to show quite how interesting and groovy I really am.
Terence 04.10.13 at 11:20 am
Thanks qatenary. And thanks Keane for all your work.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.10.13 at 3:23 pm
A question about the Gini coeficient. Venezuela has something like 95% of all export income coming from oil sales, accounting for 45% or so of the government revenues.
Basically, that removes a lot of the high disparity people from the equation – the economy is basically in the hands of the goverment officials who, in theory, are supposed to earn a reasonable salary. No room for the stratosferic ascent of the ultra-mega-rich .001% like in the US.
Would that influence the calculation of the Gini index much?
roger nowosielski 04.10.13 at 8:36 pm
In case no one had done it yet, the following is a link pertinent to the New Yorker article, “The New Yorker Corrects Two Errors on Venezuela, Refuses a Third,” courtesy of a friend.
Adam S 04.10.13 at 10:58 pm
Jésus: Oil influences the raw Gini score but doesn’t factor into how it’s calculated. There’s been some debate over how to account for stuff like Venezuela’s massive capital flight and the super-profits earned by multinational corporations because of the overvalued currency, but no real tweaking of the way the INE does the calculations.
With so much speculation and ignorant flailing around in Keane’s critique of Anderson and now on this thread, it’s easy to forget that we do have some access to real knowledge of Venezuelan society. There’s a consensus that oil dissolved the old agrarian class structure and drove the development of a “rentistic” form of capitalism that’s defined in part by its relatively low income inequality (with a high-wage working class, a large middle class, a capitalist class made up mostly of mid-sized financial-commercial groups that are dependent on the state, etc.). I think you’ll find this gives you most of what you need to explain why Venezuela has been, with Uruguay and Costa Rica, one of the least unequal societies in Latin America for several decades.
There’s also some interesting research on how inequality has evolved in the Chávez era. In an analysis of household surveys that was published in the BCV Review in 2009, César Gallo concluded that declining inequality between 2002 and 2007 was tied to the growth of the middle class and wage compression in the middle of the income distribution. If you think about it, this is consistent with a common stereotype of how Hugo Chávez’s Venezuela has worked: where you used to see one well-paid graduate of UCAB in a given position, you’ll now see two or three poorly-paid graduates of Misión Sucre. Interestingly, given all the speculative sound and fury about populism and redistributive policy, Gallo also found in another article that income transfers had no effect at all on the evolution of inequality.
I’ll have to wait for all of the data from 2012 before I can finish it, but I’ve written several drafts of a paper that follows the distribution of the oil rent through four mechanisms (overvaluation; state expenditure; subsidies and low non-oil taxes; capital investment) in the Chávez era. The tentative conclusion is that, understood in class terms, there’s been little or no real re-distribution of income; the average real wage has declined and the functional distribution of income has tilted slightly from labour to capital. Since I’ll be making a few mild criticisms of Hugo Chávez, I’ll have to let Corey Robin and Doug Henwood know when it’s published so they can organize another one of these embarrassing hasbara missions.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.11.13 at 9:42 am
Thanks for the explanation, Adam.
Just to add another dimension to this. see http://www.canalrcnmsn.com/noticias/crisis_en_frontera_con_venezuela_por_repentino_e_inusual_cierre
Venezuelan goverment closed the border to Colombia yesterday, announces it will not be open till elections are done, causing widespread economical damage on both sides… all to prevent Venezuelans on Colombia to return and vote.
And half the comments show… widespread approval of this preventive measure to keep “lazy” and “corrupt” “oligarchs” to go and vote. One would think that given that “the people” are with “the revolution” letting oppositors vote would not be a problem…
Hector_St_Clare 04.11.13 at 1:31 pm
Jesus Couto Fandino,
I must say, that doesn’t bother me one bit, and I’m sure ill sleep quite well tonight knowing that people like you aren’t going to be able to vote.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.11.13 at 2:51 pm
Corey Robin, as this discussions is yours, and I dont see any way to report or otherwise complain about the situation, I’m asking you directly and hoping to get an answer from you.
Given the Comments Policy stating that:
“The same goes for comments which are personally defamatory or insulting or which seek to derail a thread through provocation of one kind or another”
I ask you if I should stop coming to comment here or if any action is going to be taken to the constant harrasement, insults and comtempt from Hector_St_Claire. I dont want to have to derail conversation about the topic anymore, so please let me know if it is the policy of Crooked Timber and/or the posts in it under your name that conduct like his is allowed and encouraged and you dont want to hear from me or other “dissenting” voice at all.
Barry 04.11.13 at 3:10 pm
I’m seconding this, for his insults *and* constant threadjacking (across numerous posts) *and* the overposting (which rarely contributes to a discussion).
Corey Robin 04.11.13 at 3:20 pm
Hi all: Sorry, haven’t been monitoring this. Will take it up with the collective and have an answer back soon. My apologies; thanks for bringing this to my attention.
Hector_St_Clare 04.11.13 at 3:20 pm
Barry,
If I’m asked by one of the owners of this blog, I’d be happy to tone down my rhetoric, and ignore Mr. Fandino. It’s their blog, after all.
Mr. Fandino isn’t one of the owners of Crooked Timber, though, so I’m not prepared to tone it down merely on *his* request. I’d be interested to see if the staff at Crooked Timber prefers to side with Venezuelan oppositionists, or with supporters of the Chavez Government.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.11.13 at 4:53 pm
#51 You wrote some comments in The Devil Excrement, right Adam S? I just missed that bit of “news” about the “economic atomic bomb” document. Mainly cause is coming from Spain’s ABC who moved from very right wing but serious newspaper to the highly competitive market of purveyor of bullshit for the wingnuts, head to head with La Razón and El Mundo.
So, in your opinion, that document about some internal chavista “think tank” describing imminent social unrest and suggesting reforms is legit but basically irrelevant as coming from some fringe part of the movement not in touch with the leadership? Or what is going on with that?
Adam S 04.11.13 at 9:13 pm
Jesús: It looks to me like it was written by the former planning minister Felipe Pérez MartÃ. If he didn’t write it, someone’s put a lot of time and effort into producing a fairly convincing fake. ABC, being ABC, sensationalized the bit about a “bomba atómica económica”, but it’s hardly a scandal to learn that some chavistas are discussing the country’s most pressing problems or that some of them think Jorge Giordani’s doing a lousy job .
sc 04.12.13 at 12:34 am
here we see the nasty flip-side of the authoritarian personality, in the comments of hector st clare: a priggish unwillingness to behave civilly unless someone with authority tells him to.
Billikin 04.12.13 at 1:25 am
Anderson: “You, little twerp, are someone who has sent 25,700 Tweets for a grand total of 169 followers. Get a life.â€
So you admit that his accusations are true.
Terence 04.12.13 at 8:54 am
hhmmm, not sure if this thread is still alive. But Gallup has some quite interesting survey information on Chavez’s legacy here (although I’m not sure their interpretation is fair):
http://www.gallup.com/poll/161756/special-briefing-chavez-legacy-venezuela-future.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=syndication&utm_content=morelink&utm_term=World
Adam S 04.12.13 at 9:50 am
I think it’s unlikely that Anderson is reading this comment thread, Billikin. You might as well go shout at a crowd of strangers.
As to the “accusations”, the only straightforward factual error identified in Keane’s critique has already been corrected. We’re safe to enjoy the satisfaction of knowing that Venezuela only has the third highest homicide rate in Latin America.
The remaining “accusations” both have to do with interpretation, and Keane doesn’t seem to have a particularly firm grasp of the underlying issues.
First, he takes on Anderson’s suggestion that a coup “put [Hugo Chávez] in office” as though this is an attempt to trick the reader into thinking he wasn’t elected. This is just silly. There’s nothing at all controversial about linking Chávez’s rise to power to his role in the 4-F coup attempt (you can do a Google image search of “museo militar Caracas” or “gorra tricolor” if you don’t believe me) and it’s hard to believe that even the kind of smug American liberal who makes up the New Yorker’s core readership could be so poorly educated and so lacking in knowledge and curiosity about the outside world that I need to worry they’ll come away from Anderson’s article thinking he literally took office on the day of his “por ahora”. (I just double-checked this and it turns out I’m mistaken; those smug American liberals are stupider than I’d imagined and the New Yorker has decided they do need a remedial lesson in Venezuelan history. How you people can continue to live in such a sad and hopeless country I’ll never know.)
The second “accusation” is that Anderson’s description of Venezuela as “one of the world’s most oil-rich but socially unequal countries” is somehow misleading. I won’t get into Keane’s tortuous and not very competent attempts to prove this point. There’s nothing controversial in pointing out that Venezuela is one of the least unequal countries in Latin America. As I pointed out in an earlier comment, this has been the case for decades.
All I want say here is that you seriously need to take a moment to think about your politics if you’re the kind of person who thinks it’s a worthwhile use of your time (not to mention NACLA’s money and reputation) trying to minimize the extent to which Venezuela is still a highly unequal and polarized society. I’ve been to dozens of street protests, marches, union meetings, etc., in Caracas, Barcelona, Maracay, Valencia, and Puerto La Cruz, and I’ll say without the slightest hesitation that I’ve never come across anyone who’d endorse Keane’s claim there’s been an “enormous” reduction of inequality in Hugo Chávez’s Venezuela. All of his sad flailing around trying to make it look as though Venezuela is headed down the path to becoming some kind of Nordic social democracy reminds me a lot of Mario Silva’s assertion on La Hojilla that the Arab Spring must have been the work of the CIA because Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, and Syria all had much lower Gini coefficients than Venezuela’s.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 11:24 am
I find the phrase ” “Chavez suggested to me that he had embraced the far left as a way of preventing a coup like the one that put him in office.†to be too ambiguous and misleading, opening to Mr Keane’s reaction to it. Not sure if context improves it.
Now, unfortunately your point about the perception of Venezuela by the outside “left” is, sadly, spot on. Actually learning the history, the situation, the characteristics of the country pre and post Chávez, etc is too hard; better to imagine all Latin-America is some kind of big ranch with a bad boss and poor natives toiling the soil and be done with it. Knowing that Venezuela is not, say, Guatemala, and has not been for decades?
Thats too much work – better to buy the marketing-savvy bullshit from Chavismo and make your own mental picture of “oligarchs” and “revolution” instead.
The only revolutionary aspect of Chavismo in the context of Venezuelan politics is the introduction of hate and authoritarism; in all others aspect, is just exactly the same policies as before (except the last CAP term’s failed attempt to sell neoliberal “adjustments”) , just even more of it. Same ideas (“We are rich, oil is the property of all, so we are all rich”), same responses to problems (RECADI becomes CADAVI), etc. More sincere in their belief of it, maybe, but not radically different from the “Venezuela Saudita” world view.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 11:26 am
And for the record, I’m all into “Oil is for the Venezuelan people”. The question is not that, is what use do you do of the oil riches. And in that Chavismo has been … same as what was before. All short-term thinking, not really “sowing the oil” and transforming the country.
Walt 04.12.13 at 11:45 am
Adam S, you’re seriously trying to justify Anderson’s obvious lies by omission?
Since as an American I have been subject to an anti-Chavez propaganda campaign, all I would like it is an objective assessment of Chavez. I’m pretty obviously not going to get it from you.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 12:58 pm
Walt, without entering in the debate about Anderson’s phrasing (which I would like to check but seems is behind a paywall of the New Yorker), and acknowledging that the “most unequal” bit was misleading (another thing is to explain how it was reached), I have to say you (and all Americans) have been subject to 2 campaigns. One of anti-Chávez propaganda and one of pro-Chávez sainthood.
For all the mistakes (and again, I’m not going to defend them – those are mistakes and his attitude to being told about it is despicable) what I can read of Mr Anderson report on the New Yorker is, in general, accurate in the broad lines. I’ve no doubt that Chávez and many chavistas were and are 100% sincere in their intention to help the poor (others are just in it for the money – but that was also in the previous Venezuela). What they are not too good are in actually achieving the objectives, and one of the reasons is the “defend the revolution” mentality, where any single criticism has to be met with derision, harassment, “CIA plots”, whatever instead of just cold analysis and rectification of the mistakes. In Chávez Venezuela the important thing was to be a Chavista – competence, knowledge about how to manage a particular thing, open minds, nothing of that was required to get into power. Zeal, devotion for the leader and willingness to attack dissidents were supposed to fill in for the lack of actual practical knowledge in running things from the electrical infrastructure to the economy.
While the problem seems to be rethorical for many of you (who is selling me the pro/anti Chávez propaganda and for what reason), it is not rethorical for Venezuelans, and, I fear, not rethorical to other countries. I live now in Spain and I see all the same signs that led to something like Chavismo here. Maybe here it will take a right-wing bent, maybe left wing. But the question is relevant – when I go to vote and have to choose I want to be able to choose Izquierda Unida as they have been very coherent and clear in their criticism of the current system. But the Chávez worship of segments of IU make me afraid. I’m going to vote for a democratic left alternative or for something that will morph into what I left behind?
Chávez and his movement cant be a blueprint for the left answer to the problems we are facing. Sincere desire or not, their methods and achievements are not something to emulate.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 1:22 pm
Also, if we are going to correct mistakes, I have to point out that reading the 27-F events as ” an administration that had deployed security forces to massacre hundreds, perhaps thousands of civilian protesters” is a bit vague, misleading and inaccurate.
February 27 1989 saw what started as protest end up in widespread rioting and looting. it was that widespread looting that made the goverment panic and deploy the army on the 28, murdering who knows how many (the actual official number of ~ 300 was widely received by everybody as a big lie). That doesnt make it good – apart from lots of innocents dying, even the looters should have been dispersed, not massacred) or disminish the fact that the reaction to the chaos was to set in motion events that ended up with Chávez in power and the destruction of the previous political system (good riddance). But the full picture is more complex than “murder civil protesters” suggest.
Is kind of difficult to summarize 20, 30 years of a country history in a short article without simplifications.
Adam S 04.12.13 at 5:41 pm
Walt: I haven’t offered any assessment of Chávez at all. Nor have I tried to justify any of what you call Anderson’s “lies of omission”. As I wrote to the New Yorker in an email asking for a correction of the (now-corrected) claim about how Venezuela’s homicide rate compares to the rest of Latin America, I think his writing is sensationalistic and lacking in any historical or comparative perspective.
I’m happy to know that you understand that you shouldn’t expect to get an “objective assessment of Chavez” from an anonymous stranger engaged in an entirely different argument on a blog comment thread. If you’re looking to immunize yourself from the “anti-Chavez propaganda campaign” you feel you’ve been subjected to as an American, you’d be much better off looking to a book on Venezuelan history or a recognized expert on contemporary Venezuelan politics and society.
Just in case there’s any confusion, I don’t endorse anything in Jesús’s assessment of the current situation in Venezuela. One comment I made was addressed to him because he posed a question on a topic about which I have a little bit of expertise. Another was a reply to a question he posed directly to me.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 8:24 pm
Adam S – I would like then to know your assessment of the current situation in Venezuela. Sincerely. Y0u are on the ground and informed, I may disagree (or not) with it, but I would very much like to hear your description of the current situation and your views of the likely outcomes.
marthe raymond 04.12.13 at 9:41 pm
Looks to me like none of you is “on the ground” in Venezuela or anywhere else in Latin America, nor have you been. This is one of the reasons why I infrequently join threads on political blogs. That is not to say that Anderson’s disinformation pieces and his flatulent reluctance to do his homework as a journalist cannot be pointed out clearly by folks who have never been to Venezuela, as they violate the basic rules of journalism which Anderson claimed to cherish in a “workshop” he gave in Mexico a few weeks ago. Unfortunately, this thread has been infiltrated by folks plagiarizing Fox News–or in their pay–and others claiming inside dope, just like Anderson does, and whose comments place that claim in very dubious territory. Reminds me a bit too much of a thread on Blogcritics started right after Chávez visited the podium of the UN General Assembly in 2006 where he commented on its lingering sulphurous miasma–by the annointed political editor of the site who when I confronted him on his lack of direct knowledge of Venezuela posted that Venezuela was in Central America….
Just a few quick comments:
1. Caracas is not the most dangerous city on the planet. When that particular piece of Fox News disinformation was being concocted a few years ago, there was a brief moment of breath intake here in Mexico because Ciudad Juárez WAS declared the most dangerous city on the planet, actually beating out Bagdad. And it was thanks to ex-presidential chairholder Calderón’s having sent the army in to rape and pillage as usual. Like any large city, Caracas has its problems, but I have never felt especially uneasy walking around Caracas fairly late at night–something I would not feel comfortable doing in Cuernavaca, Mexico and in both Quito and Guayaquil, Ecuador, for examples. As a country, Mexico is much more dangerous than Venezuela. The difference that is not addressed is that Mexico City is much less dangerous than the provinces, and therefore doesn’t show up near the top of violent large cities, so folks who don’t live here doon’t understand the situation. Ciudad Juárez, which held down the top slot for a few years recently, has a population of fewer than 1.5 million people–approximately 20% the size of Caracas.
If you look at the history of colonialism, you will find that in general, it leads to violence–and it is not easily erradicated, as the colonial mentality remains for a long time. It is particularly prominent here in Mexico in all sectors of the society because although Mexico has had two revolutions–one beginning iin 1810 and another 100 years later, it is not an independent sovereign nation. Venezuela has taken great steps to throwing off the yoke of colonialism and its latest form neoliberalism, but as is evident from the violence created by rightwing diehards and mercenaries from Colombia and Central America as well as local guns-for hire, that yoke is not going down quietly into the dustbin of history.
2. It is untrue that the border with Colombia is closed until after Sunday’s presidential election to deprive Venezuelans living in Colombia of being able to vote. They can vote in the Venezuelan consulates, and they are well aware of that, as there is even a Facebook page on the topic–so have no need to crossing into Venezuela to vote–where they are probably not even registered to vote.
The border is closed to prevent paramilitaries associated with Alvaro Uribe and the Venezuelan opposition, such as the several who were arrested during the past few days, from crossing into Venezuela to create violent attempts at destabilizing the country.
3. Gini coefficient: As most of you know, this can be calculated several ways–the most common two ways being pre-tax and post-tax, the latter also referencing social spending in a given country. Petroleum revenues contribute to the availability of money spent on social programs in Venezuela, but they do not compell the way it is spent. They are necessary, but not sufficient.
Before Chavez was able to recover state control of the petroleum industry, which had been nationalized during the first term of Carlos Andrés Pérez but was still controlled by the oligarchy and Big Oil (Exxon, etc.) there was little money to spend on much of anything–especially keeping in mind that petroleum was just over 7 bucks a barrel when he took office in 1999 (he had to go around to the various leaders of OPEC to get that group off its knees–hence the famous pics of him with Hussein and Gaddafi, among others) No matter how you slice the Gini, it is a pretty fair indicator of inequality or equality of wealth distribution. The US government plays a lot of games to try to keep its Gini below 5.0, but even a casual glance around you on the part of those living in the US should make you aware of that manipulation.
4. Jon Anderson is a fake journalist. One of a long line of gringo fakes who either write to order based on US government policies for money or write to order hoping to receive some. When he has been caught in the past in other lies, he has always claimed that he has “exclusive, secret” information that no one else has. When his bio of Che Guevara came out in 1997 along with a bunch of others, for the 30th anniversary of Che’s assassination by the CIA in Bolivia, he claimed to have had exclusive access to family files and documents controlled by Che’s widow, and had become one of the family. His first piece on Chávez for the New Yorker was published in 2001, and reprinted in Spanish the same year by Gatopardo magazine, then based in Colombia–the version I read. In it he played armchair psychiatrist, apparently having interviewed someone who claimed to have been Chávez’ personal psychiatrist, made unacceptably racist comments about the appearance of Chávez’ 3-year-old daughter, gave the readers such important inside information as that Chávez occasionally smoked cigarettes (another Anderson exclusive), and in general trivialized Chávez’ revolutionary posture. After twelve years I don’t remember much else about it, but I figured if Anderson had gone to this much trouble to make Chávez seem like a Quijote wannabe be failed baseball pitcher, the guy just might be worth checking out and getting to know–as well as his Bolivarian process.
I was fortunate to have been able to do so in April of 2003, and to have maintained my contact with that process since then. So Anderson inadvertently did me a favor, as he turned me on to the Bolivarian Revolution in spite of his intentions to the contrary, and I have been able in my travels and conferences and so forth to turn others on to it, including in the Middle East.
Sunday’s election is expected to be won by Maduro. The mainstream media both inside and outside Venezuela has been promoting violence, questioning the electoral system–which Jimmy Carter called the “best in the world”–and gearing up to claim fraud–for the umpteenth time, despite the easily-audited system and despite all of the elections since Chávez took office having been certified as clean and exemplary by international bodies. The opposition candidate apparently doesn’t look too presidential with his bugged out eyes and bent baseball cap, so the BBC reprint in today’s Morelos state version of La Jornada had a photo od Maduro driving a bus to a rally with the caption that it was opposition candidate Capriles. I had to laugh.
But it’s very serious business, as the US and its henchmen and usual hired guns will do everything in their power to derail democracy in South America and grab the planet’s biggest petroleum reserves. YOUR tax dollars as work, as always.
between4walls 04.12.13 at 9:46 pm
Looks to me like none of you is “on the ground†in Venezuela or anywhere else in Latin America, nor have you been.
Nice going with the unsupported generalizations about everyone on this thread.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 10:04 pm
I must have allucinated being born, raised, and reach 30 years old in Caracas, then. Also, if anybody in the CIA is listening, my paycheck is years late.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 10:14 pm
I also want to know how in hell “the oligarchy” and “big oil” controlled a fully nationalized PDVSA, for example. Starting with defining “the oligarchy” – who are those? Cause I again must have dreamed of that corrupt and venal politicians from 2 parties dedicated to the establishment of client networks squandered the oil boom of the 70’s when oil was high and PDVSA was, again, 100% a state company, leaving the country in the dire situation when oil went down. You can explain to my engineer friends that their training in fully nationalized oil refineries property of PDVSA subsidiaries was a job for Exxon.
marthe raymond 04.12.13 at 10:28 pm
Jesús:
1. Nice try with the Spanish allucinating, ecept that it’s spelled alucinating in Spanish. One l. Not like the English hallucinating. You’ve been so long in an English-speaking environment that your Spanish seems to have hit the dustbin of history. (I have been away from an English-speaking environment for 20 years, yet I seem to do a reasonable job of handling spelling and syntax in English and the same reasonable job in Spanish.) Just for the record, so you believe I still can manage an analysis of English, your statement should have read: I must have hallucinated being born, raised and living until the age of 30 in Caracas, then. Pick a language and use it to debate here: your choice.
2. I would like to request that you tell us what year you LEFT Caracas for Miami, and how much time you have spent in Venezuela since then.
3. I did not refer to you directly anywhere in my post, yet you assumed my criticism was directed towards you. Please tell us why you made that assumption.
4. I also don’t recall indicating anything about you or anyone else on this thread having been hired to post here by the CIA. A little wishful thinking?
rf 04.12.13 at 11:14 pm
I think Jesús mentioned elsewhere that he emigrated to Spain, although I could be wrong
Adam S 04.12.13 at 11:18 pm
Marthe: I never claimed to be “on the ground” (I’m a Canadian living in Toronto) but I have done some research in Venezuela and I’m well-informed enough to take part in a blog debate without being accused of “infiltration” and “plagiarizing Fox News”. I think if you paid attention you’d find I don’t actually disagree with most of your critique of Jon Lee Anderson and my political take on Venezuela is much closer to yours than it is to Jesús’s.
Jesús: There’s nothing far-fetched in Marthe’s suggestion that the old PdVSA was run by a small elite that saw its interests as being more closely aligned with Big Oil than with the Venezuelan nation. The money invested in things like refineries in Europe and the U.S. was money that wasn’t available for social spending. Her understanding of the conflict between the so-called meritocracy and the Chávez government is spot on. I don’t think you can understand anything about the Hugo Chávez era if you deny the truth of this narrative.
But I do think it’s an open question how successful the Chávez government has really been in “sowing the oil”. The reason I first intervened on this thread (which I now regret as it’s been an unpleasant experience) and tried to point people to the actual research on inequality that’s been done by economists like César Gallo is that both Anderson’s claim that Venezuela is one of the world’s most unequal countries and Keane’s “enormous” reduction in poverty struck me as unhelpful caricatures. It doesn’t seem I’ve convinced anyone, though, so I’ll leave well enough alone.
Tim Wilkinson 04.12.13 at 11:27 pm
marthe – I too have noticed – and even remarked on – a certain inauthenticity and inconsistency in Latro/Jesus’s use of English-as-a-foreign-language. Having taken some interest in his online persona, I can answer your question as to his departure from Venezuela – according to his own account, he left in 1999, also specifically described as when Chavez gained ‘power’. This is worth noting, since it means he did not need to hang around for the various contingencies on which he bases his ‘leftist’ critique of Chavez to eventuate before getting out of town. This seems particularly relevant in light of his “I’m going to vote for a democratic left alternative or for something that will morph into what I left behind?” – what he left behind being precisely a tabula rasa of a democractic left alternative.
I also agree that his immediate protestation in defence of his own bona fides is rather amusing. Unsolicited denials tend to be especially farcical.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 11:33 pm
I left Caracas for SPAIN the same year Chávez got into power. My English is not perfect, even if I manage to earn a living with it. Care to criticize my points too? I appreciate getting to improve my English, not so much being told I dont know what the hell I’m talking about the country I was born and raised in. Adam S at least seem to be CURRENTLY there, so I’m interested in his point of view – not that I lack relatives and friends there, but they are all pro-opposition (no doubt all oligarchs), Adam seems to be critical of aspect of the system while not unfriendly to it (or so it seems, I dont know). I would like very much to hear his opinion because is the only one that doesnt sound like Chávez propaganda.
The “Looks to me like none of you is “on the ground†in Venezuela or anywhere else in Latin America, nor have you been” phrase may be the point I decided you were including me in this. Again, I was “on the ground” for around 30 years so forgive me if I think I know a bit better how the whole 70s, 80 and 90’s in Venezuela than somebody that “spent some time in 2003” there. Amazingly all those fans of the revolution that just got “some time” there seem to recall a parallel Venezuela I did not knew when I was growing up; Adam summarized it very well with ” There’s a consensus that oil dissolved the old agrarian class structure and drove the development of a “rentistic†form of capitalism that’s defined in part by its relatively low income inequality (with a high-wage working class, a large middle class, a capitalist class made up mostly of mid-sized financial-commercial groups that are dependent on the state, etc.).”. But of course, what the hell do I know, you in your 2003 visit and “current contact” have much better knowledge about how Venezuela reached Chavismo. You may have even to explain to me what the Caracazo was and how it happened because I seems to have missed it while hiding in my home in Caracas during it.
How is Venezuela now? Again, all my contacts are not fan of the revolution – something to do with food shortages, electrical blackouts, and violent crime. Also something to do with Chavistas using the Hector_St_Clare mode of discourse to ANY kind of opposition. And the corruption. But hey, maybe they are all lying and I’m just being fed CIA propaganda.
Now please proceed to tell me one of two things – either your critics of my points, or how unfit I’m to have this conversation because
rf 04.12.13 at 11:34 pm
That’s quite the investigation Tim.
Just throwing it out there, but how about people deal with arguments on their merits and not speculate on peoples motives/whether they’re on the CIA’s payroll
rf 04.12.13 at 11:35 pm
Not that I’m laying down the law or anything
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.12.13 at 11:46 pm
Ah, thanks Mr Wilkinson. Any more aspersions to cast? Shall I write in Spanish so you can translate and confirm that I’m actually a Spanish speaker? Do you want my expired Venezuelan cédula?
When I left Caracas I didnt see any “tabula rasa” of democratic left. I saw an ex-army guy that should have been in jail for treason but was released for political advantage driving a campaign that at that point neither of us knew if it was extreme left or extreme right, but was already high on the undemocratic tone of little things like “boiling the enemy heads in grease” and stuff like that. Having lived there during the Caracazo, the Chávez coup and the second coup and the wonderfully incompetent Caldera’s admin I decided I was not going to hang around to find out if my appreciation of Chávez was mistaken. And for all I get from my cousins and fellow students of the USB (want my cohort? I’m on the 89′ one. Or my fake documents so tell me), it developed as expected.
Now again, feel free to say that my protestations are proof that I’m some kind of mole, or whatever you want to say, INSTEAD of, for example, telling me sincerely what are your impressions and sources for said impressions on the topic. By all means, is not like the interesting question is what is the future of the country, what can be rescued or not from the Chávez revolution, what are its characteristics, are they worthy of imitation, whole or in part, etc. I’m sure you can find many other mistakes in my English in this post to keep you entertained with conspirational theories and weak character assasination attempts.
Tim Wilkinson 04.12.13 at 11:59 pm
No I think you ham it up for effect, that’s all. You will notice that I criticise you for being in pro-actively anti-Chavist exile. You and rf are the ones going on about the CIA.
marthe raymond 04.13.13 at 2:10 am
Jesús:
1. You are as phony as a three dollar bill, and you do not live in Spain.
I very much doubt you are even Venezuelan. I don’t have the photographic memory I used to have, as at my age the stacks are pretty full, but I recognize both your story and you writing style–with its ingruent lapses into what you think passes for first language Spanish syntax. When I last outed you for being actually a native English speaker, you accused me of being an elitist–we Native Americans get that accusation all the time. Especially those of us who are specialists in language learning.
2. You have gotten more devious since our last internet encounter, but you still lie about what other folks have posted. I have never indicated that my experience of Venezuela was spending some time there in 2003. I have been spending time there since 2003, which means off and on over 10 of Chávez’ 14 years in power doing several projects related to the Bolivarian process.
3. You outed yourself on this thread. And not content to disappear you have dug yourself deeper into a hole. Now we know you make your living posting disinformation about Venezuela and that you do so from the false platform of having exclusive info because you were born there.
Even Anderson, unethical fake journalist whose deliberate disinformation precipitated this thread has not pulled that caper.
You need to get a whole lot better at this game.
We are done here.
Rich Puchalsky 04.13.13 at 2:21 am
Argument against typo is the lamest argument of all.
Hector_St_Clare 04.13.13 at 3:48 am
Marthe Raymond,
I don’t know you, but I’d like to thank you for defending the truth extremely eloquently against its adversaries, and for bringing facts, logic, and morality to a debate more often characterized by baseless and scurrilous propaganda.
I suspect I’m about to get kicked off this blog for being rude to Mr. Fandino, but I’d greatly value learning more from you about Chavez and Latin American politics more generally. I blog at the group blog http://www.aleksandreia.com and I’m a frequent commenter on Rod Dreher’s blog, so you can discuss these issues more with me there. I hope to interact more in future.
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.13.13 at 7:42 am
Amazing. Simply amazing. I’m becoming devious, while you declare me “phony” and “not in Spain” due to your Sherlock Holmes level of deduction due to a typo.
All in the same chavista pattern of saying whatever ridiculous things come to mind and attacking the opposition instead of rational debate of facts, options, plans, etc. No, if you find somebody not convinced of the revolution, it is clear they are “fake”. Or “oligarch”. Or whatever.
If your marvelous “defense of the truth” is as accurate as your assesement or where in Earth I am or who I am then is no surprise the “revolution” works for you.
marthe raymond 04.13.13 at 5:46 pm
Hector:
Thanks for your support!
I very seldom comment on these sites anymore–in fact, I don’t even keep up my own site–and really only jump in occasionally when someone alerts me to a thread on the usual suspects’ disinformation campaigns against Venezuela, but perhaps we will be able to have a dialogue on another thread, or on another site. Like the US government presidents and secretaries of state (sic) always say: All cards are on the table. Or as we say here, No decarto ninguna de las opciones….
Jesús Couto Fandiño 04.13.13 at 8:07 pm
Descarto.
Just saying.
marthe raymond 04.15.13 at 8:09 pm
I was posting on my phone, so actually did better than usual with these old fingers at avoiding typos.
What’s your excuse, rencorosito?
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