It appears that the bomb outside the Australian Embassy in Jakarta (which killed 20 (Update: latest figure is more like 8) people and injured about 170, almost all of them locals and therefore presumably Muslims) was set by Jemaah Islamia, the Al-Quaeda offshoot that was responsible for the Bali nightclub bombing. This is yet another outrage in what is turning out to be a very grim month. What this the precise nature of this outrage tell us about Islamism?
The reason I’m writing about this is that weblog obsessives may know that I personally don’t think “Islamism” is a useful analytic category, and that lots of people who read CT violently disagree with me[1].
Between hearing about the bomb and hearing about the JI claim of responsbility, I put together a mental checklist of what the latest piece of information meant for my theory:
1: If the bomb was planted by Al-Quaeda, then whatever the stated reason for planting it, this does not change my views. Al-Quaeda are fighting a global war against their concept of “the West” and calculate their attacks and statements to attempt to drive a wedge between the allied forces fighting them.
2: If the bomb was planted by non-Al Quaeda Indonesian forces and is claimed to be aimed at furthering a local Indonesian cause, then this would make me slightly more confident that “Islamism” is not a useful way to think about things. Fundamentalist Muslims have a lot of grievances, mainly because fundamentalist Muslims don’t have very much power over the way the world is run and thank God for that, but if they are fighting for those grievances one by one, then we can fight them one by one. As I understand them, theorists of “Islamism” believe that violent fundamentalist Muslim groups all share each other’s grievances and fight for them on a global basis, which would be a hell of a lot more worrying.
3: If, on the other hand, the bomb was planted by non-Al Quaeda Indonesian forces and was claimed by them to be related to the war in Iraq, the French headscarf rule, Palestine or any other non-Indonesian (at a pinch, non SE Asian) grievance, then that would be evidence that couldn’t fit into my theory, and it would be time to think once again about whether Islamism wasn’t actually something worth thinking about.
As it turned out, this appears to me to be somewhere between 1 and 2; the bomb was planted by a local group, but one linked to Al-Quaeda, and was claimed to be planted in furtherance of partly local (“punishing” Australia for helping East Timor, which is frankly not the way I remembered it) and partly Al-Quaedaist (Iraq) goals. So I am for the moment, of my opinion still.
The author will not be entering into correspondence on the precise phrasing of this post, or on whether the perpetrators or victims have been referred to in someone’s idea of the correct language, by the way. I haven’t checked whether I remembered to refer to Al-Quaeda of Jemaah Islamia as “terrorists” and suspect that I didn’t.
Footnote:
[1]By the way, if anyone is planning on calling this a “thesis” about Islamism, could they please call it “Daniel Davies’ Stupid Evil Islamism Thesis” rather than “Crooked Timber’s Stupid etc etc etc”, because that would be more accurate.
{ 37 comments }
K.D. 09.09.04 at 11:05 pm
You are just a complete ignorant loser who was a nerd in high school and trying to get some attention by sitting behind his computer by talking crap to get some kind of attention. The world is full of morons like yourself. Your attacking against the Muslims will come to an end soon because the truth will come out soon and you’ll learn the difference between the Muslims and the terrorists who are claiming they’re Muslims. Until then enjoy your life because losers like you are not going to have the full enjoyment when it’s needed the most (……).
Jack William Bell 09.09.04 at 11:08 pm
Perhaps you are not taking your analysis far enough; isn’t something that falls between (1) and (2) an indication that Al Quaeda is working towards a goal of eventually producing (3) on a world-wide scale?
Going by the rhetoric of A.Q. one would have to assume that (3) is *exactly* what they want. I.E. the sort of general rising of the masses you hear about in Marxist polemics, only in this case the masses are demanding a world-wide (presumably Wahabbist) Islamic theocracy.
If that is the case, then even a simulated (3) helps them. So, in that case, your thesis is correct on the realities of what happened, but wrong on the intent of the act and perhaps even wrong on the propaganda value of the act…
dsquared 09.09.04 at 11:09 pm
You are just a complete ignorant loser who was a nerd in high school and trying to get some attention by sitting behind his computer by talking crap to get some kind of attention
Well yes, taken literally all three of these claims are probably true, but since the world is full of morons like me you probably ought to start being nicer to us.
jdw 09.09.04 at 11:37 pm
Jack William Bell–
Exactly right, I think. And AQ could easily have international goals and still pursue local goals, or support the goals of their associates. A blow for Indonesian theocracy is a blow for world Islamic theocracy.
k.d.–
I’m not sure exactly what you’re parodying.
And DD (and the folks at B&W and elsewhere — I’m one of those blog junkies, I guess) —
I understand that you want to defend yourselves, but this whole thing looks is beginning to look more and more like a Usenet flamewar of attrition. Somebody ought to grow up.
Jack William Bell 09.09.04 at 11:38 pm
A note to K.D.: I find Daniel to be intelligent and interesting, even if he letting his politics color his analysis. You, on the other hand, are just a nasty troll.
I have no use for anyone unwilling to participate in civil discourse. Even when they are on my side.
Brad DeLong 09.09.04 at 11:42 pm
Richard Clarke suggests, “Jihadism, which is largely but not completely a break-off sect from Wahabism” as a better alternative to “Islamism.”
Brad DeLong 09.09.04 at 11:44 pm
Richard Clarke suggests, “Jihadism, which is largely but not completely a break-off sect from Wahabism” as a better alternative to “Islamism.”
Jake McGuire 09.09.04 at 11:48 pm
“punishing†Australia for helping East Timor, which is frankly not the way I remembered it
How does this differ from your recollection? East Timor (mainly Roman Catholic) voted for independence from Indonesia (mainly Muslim). Offense was taken by “militias”, supported by the Indonesian government, who then tried kill lots of Timorese, successfully. The UN decided to stop this, but the intervention was led by Australia.
Now we can argue whether this was a legitimate intervention to protect innocents from being massacred, an unjust interference in the sacred task of killing unbelievers, or something in between. But that’s argument over whether or not helping the East Timorese was objectionable, not whether or not it happened.
Brian Weatherson 09.09.04 at 11:59 pm
Re East Timor, Daniel may have been referring to the period between 1975 and 1998 when Australia certainly wasn’t helping the East Timorese. (Or the period after when we decided to enforce rather one-sided agreements to take a chunk of their oil.) But Australians did provide assistance in the recent transition to democracy, and in my opinion that’s something the Howard government actually deserves credit for. (Not that they deserve credit for much.)
ian 09.10.04 at 12:05 am
What really worries me is that, despite the decades of blog-hours spent on this issue, no-one is any closer to actually understanding this issue than we were on 12/9/2001. Or 10/9/2001, frankly.
I have no answers — mind you, I have no blog, so perhaps I should start one before voicing an opinion on anything — there again, some of the finest minds in blogdom have looked at this issue and their responses have ranged from ‘bomb them all’ (if the road to hell is paved with good intentions, this kind of thought is the drainage system) to ‘the West has been asking for this kind of response’ (an interesting take on desire that has some exciting Freudian potential).
Maybe I’m just feeling particularly bleak at the moment, but it would appear we are all going to hell in a handbasket. And unless we find leaders more capable or more inclined to seek answers than our current crop (mentioning no names, but November is a hugely important month for everyone on this planet) then we are all going to be living in something that would have been classed as speculative fiction not four years ago; I remember when I thought ‘The Handmaids Tale’ was a diverting piece of nonsense: no longer. Now it appears that the ‘The Forever War’ may have been an apt title for where we appear to be heading.
Anyone got anything to cheer me up, or shall I remain in despair?
kevin donoghue 09.10.04 at 12:16 am
“I personally don’t think “Islamism†is a useful analytic category…lots of people who read CT violently disagree with me.”
It might be helpful if those who disagree kick off by giving a brief definition of the term. My impression is that some mean jihadism while others mean political Islam (not necessarily violent).
Shelby 09.10.04 at 12:24 am
ian:
Haldeman was an optimist.
bob mcmanus 09.10.04 at 12:30 am
“November is a hugely important month for everyone on this planet”
Probably not, 2000 more important. America too polarized and too closely divided. Either one could be manageable, but not both. Whichever side wins will be considered radically, and I expect violently, illegitimate.
“Anyone got anything to cheer me up, or shall I remain in despair?”
Internal division will make America less internationally influential? Course a 2nd American Civil War will probably degrade the world economy. Buy bottled water and canned goods.
attam 09.10.04 at 12:34 am
You are supposed to be inteligent, intellectuals and similar. You blame Muslims but you can not see that it is not the truth? Ask who will be benifiting from this? Only Israel only the Zionists! Open your eyes before it is too late.. Do not blame the innocent. See who is behind these lies, it can only be one group. Do not be fooled!
dsquared 09.10.04 at 12:42 am
I’m suspecting from attam and k.d’s comments that we’ve been linked to by an Indonesian news source or blog?
Pierre 09.10.04 at 12:50 am
Dsquared: I believe an “IN” address is India, not Indonesia.
Jack William Bell 09.10.04 at 12:51 am
Attam: I don’t know about ‘intelligent’ or ‘intellectual’, but speaking as a ‘similar’ I can say the Zionist Conspiracy angle doesn’t pass the Occam’s Razor test. The simplest (and therefore most likey) answer is that these people are doing these things for the very reason’s they give. Therefore they are Islamists or, if you prefer, Jihadists. Personally I prefer the term batshit-crazy-evil-sonofabitches…
In any case I personally do not blame Muslims in general for the acts of a few. For example I am certain that the average Muslim is appalled by the recent happenings in Russia. Does not the Koran say to spare children and women even in war?
So, if these acts were done by some shadowy Zionist consipiracy in an attempt to turn people like me against those of the Muslim faith they have failed. In the more likely event that they really are Islamic terrorists trying to convince Muslims to destroy the ‘Evil West’, I hope that they are failing as well.
Those of us who are good and feel good-will towards others must band together against this kind of evil; no matter its source.
dsquared 09.10.04 at 12:55 am
Ahhh … well anyway, by a news source somewhere where people don’t speak English very well and have quite aggressive views. In any case my point is that the reason I’m not deleting these comments is that I’d be very interested in getting some primary sources on Islamism; the fact that “attam” appears to have swallowed the Zionist conspiracy theory is weak evidence in favour of the Islamist thesis since by my “localist” theory, obsession with the State of Israel ought to be confined to the Middle East.
Jake McGuire 09.10.04 at 1:12 am
But Australians did provide assistance in the recent transition to democracy, and in my opinion that’s something the Howard government actually deserves credit for.
I happen to agree with you. And I suspect that Daniel may have been referring to the previous unhappy history of East Timor.
But there’s also no question that the part of East Timorese history that Jemaah Islamiah is angry about and is using as a pretext for their various terrorist acts is the support for their independence in 1999. It’s that intervention that was on bin Laden’s list of grievances against the West, not their complicity in letting (Islamic) Indonesia repress the Timorese during the 70s and 80s.
I happen to think that the intervention was a grand idea, in spite of the fact that it has caused an increase in fundamentalist Muslim terrorism, which it undoubtedly has; both in Bali and Jakarta and possibly in the bombing of UN building in Baghdad that killed Sergio de Mello.
Gary Farber 09.10.04 at 1:48 am
“… well anyway, by a news source somewhere….”
It need not be a link, but might be simple Googling, in which CT is apt to show up strongly.
Yasir 09.10.04 at 2:23 am
Why is it that no Australians were killed only Muslims? Who is really to blame?
John Quiggin 09.10.04 at 3:35 am
Almost certainly, the reason no Australians were killed is that the Embassy building has been extensively bombproofed. So even though the killers set the bomb off as close to the Embassy gate as they could, other buildings in the area suffered much worse damage, and of course people in the street (including Indonesian security guards employed by the embassy) suffered most of all.
The same was true of the Marriott bombing for which (IIRC) JI members have already been convicted. Most casualties were locals, presumably Muslims.
Pierre 09.10.04 at 3:44 am
Well, nothing like a few excited fans to put a damper on discussion…
Kevin, I think most people using the term Islamism simply mean a certain militant fundamentalism — political or religious. Sharia, a distrust/hatred of the West, of Israel, of liberalism are also common ingredients. Jihadism is different. In degree. In its violence. Paraphrasing Abdel Rahman al-Rashed [http://www.nytimes.com/ 2004/09/08/international/middleeast/ 08CND-ARAB.html?hp], not all Islamists are terrorists but all Muslim terrorists are Islamists.
dsquared 09.10.04 at 3:59 am
Pierre, that’s not right: the Palestinian suicide bombers in Israel are Muslim terrorists but not Islamists.
PG 09.10.04 at 4:02 am
Is it quite accurate to describe opposition to the Iraqi occupation as an Al Qaeda goal?
I ask because AQ long has been defined in my mind for its nihilist, take-no-prisoners methods in pursuit of an impossible goal. No doubt this is due to AQ’s having come to my attention mainly through 9/11. I actually don’t perceive hostage-taking, when the hostages are released upon compliance with a specific demand, as an AQ-style tactic.
I keep thinking about how non-hostage taking use of airliner terrorism was something of a shock. Remember that the passengers on the planes that hit the World Trade Center were not less courageous than those on Flight 93; they simply assumed that they were being held hostage, and that the best way to get out alive was to sit quietly and wait for the government to negotiate it.
Of course, there was no negotiation because there was no specific demand to be met. The goal truly was to inspire terror in the U.S. The hostage-taking in Iraq, when the hostages have been released upon demands being fulfilled, seems like a more conventional and less terrorizing sort of insanity than what we are dealing with when AQ is the definite opponent. Because AQ didn’t start with the Iraq war, I am reluctant to see the end of the occupation as an “AQ goal,” rather than simply the goal shared by a lot of people who otherwise wouldn’t take much interest in AQ.
dsquared 09.10.04 at 4:06 am
My understanding is that it’s just been taken on as an AQ goal for publicity value and in order to try to drive a wedge between countries that would be natural allies against AQ but don’t agree about Iraq.
Pierre 09.10.04 at 5:05 am
Pierre, that’s not right: the Palestinian suicide bombers in Israel are Muslim terrorists but not Islamists.
Perhaps some not. If so, very few exceptions. The three main groups, Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the Al Aksa Martyrs, are all Islamist. All explain their suicide bombings in religious terms, as opposed to attributing their actions to political or nationalist motives. I can’t recall any tape made in advance by a Palestinian suicide bomber that did not have Jihadist religious trappings.
Pierre 09.10.04 at 5:47 am
Perhaps I should have qualified, and modified, my previous comment. Of course the Palestinian suicide bombers are doing what they to “liberate Palestine”, not to “restore the Caliphate” or to “destroy America”. But I would bet that there are no communists or anarchists among them and, save for a few 16-year-olds who may be in it because of peer pressure and haven’t given it much serious thought, they all share the broad Islamist agenda. In that sense they are all Islamists.
woodturtle 09.10.04 at 7:36 am
I believe in all societies there are a certain number of people who really enjoy belonging to a group that likes to blow things up and/or kill people. It gives meaning and purpose to their lives like nothing else does. It just depends on what circumstances start them into action, and how long the momentum sustains itself. In the West it is the right wing that is more deadly than the left, but the opposite is true in the East.
We had the Weathermen in the 60’s, which died out after fatalities in one of their bombings, and then the Vietnam War ended. Depressed rural economies in the 80’s, and later a Democratic administration led to polarization of extreme right wingers and eventual blowing up of the Murrah building.
After the breakup of Soviet Union, the U.S. is left as the only world power, and that is an unstable position, which set in motion the situation we have now. Just as we showed them how to defeat a superpower in Afghanistan, now they are using the techniques on us, as a replacement for the power of the Soviet Union that is now gone.
Note to jdw: I think it is a good idea for the author to respond to unreasonably critical remarks at least once, even if you think it sounds like a flame war. When you have groups of people that only get together and agree with each other all the time, that’s when it can get dangerous. I’ve listened to some of them and it can sound dangerous real fast.
Andrew Brown 09.10.04 at 8:13 am
But if they say they are doing it to liberate Palestine[1]; and if they would stop doing it if Palestine were liberated, isn’t it reasonable to assume that they aren’t in fact trying to restore the Caliphate, or destroy America?
[1] For some value of “Palestine” <= Israel.
dsquared 09.10.04 at 11:50 am
I’m working on the assumption that Yasser Arafat isn’t an Islamist, and that Arafat exercises control over the terrorists, ergo the terrorists aren’t Islamists. None of these are exactly uncontroversial assumptions, I admit.
Jack 09.10.04 at 12:49 pm
Pierre, originally the Palestinians were dominated by communist organisations with the PLO very left leaning but others like the PLFP further to the left. Israel actually helped Hamas in its early days as a counterbalance to those movements, much as the CIA was later to fund OBL and the Taliban. I think this very phenomenon is one of the best arguments for a concept of Islamism.
In desperate search for an example of somebody making use of the term I found this 1998 article by Daniel Pipes which is remarkably sane for someone with his recent press. His contrast between the situations in Turkey and Iran is particularly full of nuance.
Oh,and surely working out whether or not people are in an analytically useless category is a strange pursuit.
Pierre 09.10.04 at 2:14 pm
I’m working on the assumption that Yasser Arafat isn’t an Islamist, and that Arafat exercises control over the terrorists
The first probably yes, Dsquared, the second almost certainly not. For nearly a decade (late-80s to late-90s) a large part of Arafat’s bargaining position with the Israelis had been that if they gave him what he wanted (basically land, financial aid and legitimacy) he would give them what they wanted (basically peace and legitimacy). I.e., he would play policeman. But terrorism of one sort or another was what brought him to this point and he was reluctant to (attempt to) eradicate it — not only by force (a very tricky proposition) but by reforming the educational system, abandoning the institution of martyrdom, and so on. Not to mention that it was the Israelis themselves who had originally promoted Hamas as a counterweight to (mainstream) Fatah and the more purely nationalist radicals. By the late 90s Islamism had overtaken Palestine as it had so much of the Arab world, and if he had any control over the terrorists before the 2nd Intifada, he quickly lost it under pressure on one side from Hamas and Islamic Jihad, and on the other from Israeli destruction of his infrastructure. His only remaining bargain chips are what remains of his prestige as father of the nation and his ability to pick or veto the prime minister and security chief.
But if they say they are doing it to liberate Palestine; and if they would stop doing it if Palestine were liberated, isn’t it reasonable to assume that they aren’t in fact trying to restore the Caliphate, or destroy America?
Their Jihadism is local, Andrew, it is only their Islamism that is global. I doubt that many Palestinians are volunteering to liberate Andalusia or destroy America (none of the Madrid bombers or the 9/11 crew were Palestinians); their immediate concerns are closer to home. But on general principle most probably agree with some variation of the above aims.
Robin Varghese 09.10.04 at 9:32 pm
This is not the first time the world has seen a loose network of terrorist movements which more or less share the same discourse and vague goals. The Red Army Faction, the Red Brigades, the Japanese Red Army, the Weathermen, alongside some lefty national liberation groups like the IRA Officios and the PFLP/DFLP and hangers on like Ilych Sanchez (Carlos the Jackal) constituted a sort of New Left terrorism in the 1970s into the 1980s. The difference was scale and support, one which is probably in the end a spill over from the Soviet Afghan war. The New Left terrorism piled on demands onto each action and different times in the name of solidarity of the oppressed.
‘Islamism’ (‘Jihadism’) may do the same. Thus, option (3) may actually offer little to adjudicate. These terrorist acts can perform in a movie theater concession stand kind of way: lots of add on’s. (In fact, authorities usually have a hell of a time filtering through the false claims of responsibility.)Only the counterfactual can help: were the Indonesian government to give into to local demands, or were local demands met, would the grievance disappear from JI despite the continued occupation of Palestine, etc.?
Moreover, since the ‘inspiration’ or justifactory framework is religion, the dilemma may be exacerbated as religions can accommodate so much wider differences than say Marxism. The category of ‘Islamism’ or ‘Jihadism’ makes sense only as an ideological/discursive framework, but it speaks little to methods and even some set of goals. Turkish Islamists (or ‘Islamists’), in and out and back in power, operate very differently from Al Qaeda; the Mujahadin-e-Khalq, as nutty as they were, opposed the Islamic republic, while claiming inspiration from Islam. (Contra the earlier point about the wideness of religion and in this diversity, the connection between groups is perhaps more akin to Social Democrats and Lenninists in the post WWI period. They shared a framework and a way of analyzing (and I use the term loosely) things, but their objectives and means were very different. Yet, in both the case of the Old Left and the New Left, it made some sense of speaking of a shared ideological framework. ‘Islamism’ may be similar in that. The upshot may be that an ideogical framework (or maybe instead a discourse) is less ‘determining’ than we give it credit for.
Jonathan Edelstein 09.10.04 at 10:33 pm
The three main groups, Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the Al Aksa Martyrs, are all Islamist.
Al-Aqsa isn’t.
Pierre 09.10.04 at 11:41 pm
You’re right, Jonathan, I shouldn’t have included the Al Aksa Martyrs. But even though they’re just a militant offshoot of Fatah (which is not nominally Islamist), their suicide bombing rhetoric is often indistinguishable from that of Hamas. A Maariv interview earlier this year with a young Al Aksa suicide bomber who got cold feet described the heavy emphasis on religion during his recruitment. On the other hand, paradoxically, some of Hamas’ after-bomb “credit”-taking has contained very little religious language. As if the jihad/martyrdom link were already stipulated.
Conrad Barwa 09.11.04 at 12:00 pm
Dsquared,
The reason I’m writing about this is that weblog obsessives may know that I personally don’t think “Islamism†is a useful analytic category, and that lots of people who read CT violently disagree with me1.
Generally speaking I share your analysis; but I disagree with you on the usefulness of ‘Islamism’ as a term. Of course it is imprecise, can mean different things to different people and like most popular and well worn concepts is prone to definitional slippages in what it is intended to represent. On the other a lot depends on how you use it and I think it does provide a convenient short-hand to describe a group of related political positions and phenomena.
As I understand them, theorists of “Islamism†believe that violent fundamentalist Muslim groups all share each other’s grievances and fight for them on a global basis, which would be a hell of a lot more worrying.
This could be where you might be going wrong – of course there is no need to pay attention to me since I am not a theorist of Islamism and am not a specialist of any kind on things and matter Islamic. But as someone who uses the term and believes it to be of value; I certainly don’t think that it is immediately equatable to “violent fundamentalist Muslim groups†as I would argue that both non-violent fundamentalists as well as some non-fundamentalist Muslim groups who base political action on a certain ascribed political role for religion; should be included. In this schema it is only the violent and extremist Islamists that one needs to be directly worried about and who tend to form terrorist organisations. The problem is that, the divisions between these different strains of Islamism can be porous and the credible fear is that individuals cross over at different points of time, depending on their particular situation as well as external events and environments, from one strain to another. I don’t think it helps, as some so-called theorists of Islamism argue, to treat the entire range of positions as if they were all violent fundamentalists with a pre-disposition towards terrorism; as this is most likely to be a self-fulfilling activity. I would assume that AQ, is well aware of the divisions within different streams of Islamist opinion, and is banking on precisely this kind of reaction to achieve the kind of polarisation they desire. The dilemma though, is that there are organic linkages between these different streams of thought and practise which allows individuals to start in one and end up in another; I think some evidence based on the trajectories of the membership of terrorist organisations might indicate that this is more than a possibility.
As it turned out, this appears to me to be somewhere between 1 and 2; the bomb was planted by a local group, but one linked to Al-Quaeda, and was claimed to be planted in furtherance of partly local (“punishing†Australia for helping East Timor, which is frankly not the way I remembered it) and partly Al-Quaedaist (Iraq) goals.
But wouldn’t this be the expectations of how AQ would operate? For an organisation paranoid about security and infiltration, and aware that they would be explicitly targeted after the WoT (with varying degrees of intensity) it would make sense to rely on such groups to carry out attacks in different theatres. It is unlikely that they can have active cells and support structures in place, in widely different regions to put into place some grand strategy of action. Relying on sympathetic local organisations, cuts down costs (and AQ likes to fight on the cheap, knowing that cash flows are limited and not easily renewable) preserves its own manpower and makes it that much harder to penetrate if the localised actors are eliminated or captured. I would assume that AQ would primarily rely on this kind of route of action, while it preserves its energies towards surviving and planning the next big attack, which would most likely be another direct strike as opposed to a ‘localised’ action.
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