Solidarity

by Harry on February 23, 2011

Yesterday:

At a press conference Tuesday in the Capitol, firefighters and police officers — who are exempt the union proposals in Gov. Scott Walker’s budget repair bill — said they’d be willing to take cuts along with other state workers.

“Firefighters and police officers around the state, we’ve all said, in order to help with the budget, that we don’t mind taking concessions as well,” said Mahlon Mitchell, state president of the Professional Fire Fighters of Wisconsin Inc. “If you want to capture more money, you can do that by putting us with those others. And get rid of all the collective bargaining stuff that has nothing to do with the budget.”

{ 45 comments }

1

Tim Worstall 02.23.11 at 12:58 pm

“And get rid of all the collective bargaining stuff ”

I thought that’s what Walker wanted to do?

(Yes, sorry, couldn’t resist)

2

Cian 02.23.11 at 1:20 pm

I think the unions should be demanding the rescinding of the tax cuts. We’re in this together baby…

3

joe koss 02.23.11 at 1:54 pm

Any chatter on Sen Schultz’s “sunset” compromise from within the trenches?

One should probably be leery of compromises that can be rescinded at a later date, but is anyone feeling like this is the best that can be accomplished?

4

Steven 02.23.11 at 2:45 pm

Tim, valuable advice: Take your time, read carefully, be charitable towards people trying to express themselves in candid settings, and don’t be patronizing towards uniformed civil servants.

When that firefighter said “…and get rid of all the collective bargaining stuff that has nothing to do with the budget,” anyone who actually follows the news and isn’t merely looking to poke fun at people who do high-stakes jobs with their hands would’ve known he is calling on the legislature to “get rid of all the collective bargaining stuff” from the law they are trying to pass and the measures they are taking to balance their budget. He is talking about the text of the proposed budget and law.

In other words: it’s easier to decipher this man’s thoughts in their obvious context than try to make a grain of sense of anything presented under the auspices of the MLA.

5

Harry 02.23.11 at 2:57 pm

Tim was teasing us, Steven: he disagrees with many of us profoundly, but is in my experience good-natured about it (and often insightful); he knew what the firefighters meant, and I, at least, grinned at his comment.

6

Steven 02.23.11 at 3:15 pm

Very well then.

7

joe koss 02.23.11 at 3:39 pm

a decoding of the polling data from fivethirtyeight.

8

Bloix 02.23.11 at 5:25 pm

Walker was pranked by a blogger (“Buffalo Beast”) who called him pretending to be David Koch. The tape of the call is truly extraordinary – ten minutes, and worth every second:

http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/02/walker_office_confirms_governor_fell_for_koch_pran.php?ref=fpb

9

joe koss 02.23.11 at 5:41 pm

10

joe koss 02.23.11 at 5:42 pm

Mother Jones has the full 20 minutes

11

Salient 02.23.11 at 5:46 pm

Governor Walker, on the phone with a David Koch impersonator:

“Each day we’re going to ratchet it up a little bit. […] The Senate Organization Committee is going to meet and pass a rule that says, if you don’t show up for two consecutive days, on a session day, in the state Senate, the Senate Chief Clerk (it’s a little procedural thing here but) can actually have your payroll stop from being automatically deducted [sic:deposited] into your checking account and instead you still get a check, but the check has to be personally picked up, and he’s instructing them (which we just love) to lock them in their desks on the floor of the state Senate.”

“I think in the end… the paycheck will have an impact… secondly… we’re still waiting on an opinion to see — if the unions have been paying to put these guys up out of state, we think at minimum there’s an ethics code violation, if not an outright felony. I mean paying for the Senators to be put up. Literally if the unions are paying for the fourteen Senators, we believe it’s an ethics code violation and it may very well be a felony… each day we crank up a little more pressure.”

“I’ve got layoff notices ready… they’ll go out next week, probably 5 or 6 thousand state workers will get at-risk notices for layoffs. … If they think I’m caving they’ve been asleep for the past eight years. … Thousands of public workers are going to be laid off, that’ll put pressure on the Senators to come on back.”

The whole interview is enlightening. Walker was planning to pretend to be willing to negotiate in exchange for the Senate going into session, because then a quorum wouldn’t be necessary for the remainder of the day. “Hell, I’ll talk with them, if they want to yell at me for an hour? I’m used to that, I can deal with that. But I’m not negotiating.”

Caller: “What we were thinking about the crowds, was planting some troublemakers.” Walker: “We thought about that… My only fear would be if there was a ruckus caused, that would scare the public into thinking that maybe the governor’s got to settle to avoid all these problems.”

12

Glen Tomkins 02.23.11 at 6:56 pm

Yet another proof that I don’t understand American politics.

I flatter myself that I’m not a completely stupid or uneducated person. I’ve lived here 55 years, tried to pay attention. But it hasn’t done any good. I consistently overthink things, and that when I have before me the contrary advice of that foundational scholar of the American mind, PT Barnum, who tells us that, “No one ever went broke underestimating the American public.”

On earlier postings on this subject, I offered what I still think is the obvious best strategy for the Dems in this situation in WI — recall elections. It’s not as if Walker and the Rs in WI are engaged in anything we think is unconstitutional, or beyond the discretionary use of the powers of their offices. We simply think that the union-busting plan is an abuse of that discretion. Fortunately, WI has a provision to deal with exactly that circumstance, the situatioon where you believe, and are willing to stake that the majority of the electorate agrees with you, that the officials in question have abused their discretion. If they’ve done something illegal or unconstitutional, you go after them in the courts. If they own the courts, as in, say, Selma under Jim Crow, or Egypt under Mubarak, you go after them in the streets.

But if the system gives you a free shot at throwing the bums out of office and replacing them with our people, if the practical situation makes it likely that recall will succeed (look at the polling), that response is so much stronger a measure than going after them in the streets, that I could not understand why the folks in WI weren’t going for it.

Shows you what I know.

Now we have the definitive proof that going after them in the streets was the right choice. Walker is such a drooling half-wit as to: 1)talk like that even if he had David Koch on the line, 2)talk like that without being sure it was David Koch on the line.

Why can’t we have better adversaries?

You see, my approach theated the democratic process with the profoundest respect. My approach would have been correct had Walker been a serious, if wrong, and even wrong-headed, politician. But he’s not. He’s a chucklehead.

He’s also done. Lord knows you can survive stupidity in our politics, even thrive as stupid. Ditto on criminality. But you can’t be ridiculous.

Unfortunately, his fall will not take his “ideas” with him, because he will fall as a chucklehead, not as a serious politician whose ideas were challenged and found wanting by the people.

I’m not going to offer any advice about what to do next. I’m trying to preserve some dignity after offering such poor avice based on taking Walker for anything but a chucklehead.

13

F 02.23.11 at 7:32 pm

Glen,

A recall in WI cannot be started in the first year of office. Half the senators and the governor cannot be recalled until next January. And even if you went after the ones you could, you’d have to successfully recall 3 Republican senators and replace them with Democrats to have an effect, though I suppose you could hope that the threat of recall might get them to change their minds.

14

Christopher Phelps 02.23.11 at 7:37 pm

It is hugely important that Walker’s attempt at divide and rule, at separating off law enforcement and fire fighters from other public workers has failed. It failed because he blew it by forgetting about state police. It failed because he didn’t think of correctional officers as in the same category. But above all it has failed because the fire fighters and police union have understood that an injury to one is an injury to all and that they would just be next on the list once the other public workers were threatened.

Poll data shows declining support for Walker, who never said a word about unions or collective bargaining on the campaign trail — only about putting Wisconsin back to work. Ha.

The movement is immensely inspiring, Harry. Keep filing the reports. But give us some more detail. Is it true that the number of cops on the street has gone way up? What are people thinking about the apparent Friday deadline by which cuts to state employment may become drastic according to Walker? Is there any sign of wavering by the moderate Republicans? What have the unions said about the supposed compromise that would suspend collective bargaining for two years only?

15

Josh 02.23.11 at 8:52 pm

Bloix, the Buffalo Beast is not an individual but a newspaper. I think Matt Taibbi was one of its founders years ago.

16

Bloix 02.23.11 at 9:44 pm

I stand corrected. Transcript: http://www.buffalobeast.com/?p=5045

17

Brett Bellmore 02.23.11 at 11:45 pm

This does, of course, kind of assume that it’s not the Democrats who left the state who end up getting recalled, instead. I rather imagine that, in order to win a recall election, they’d have to return to the state at some point.

18

Glen Tomkins 02.24.11 at 2:19 am

Brett,

The Senators would not have to return to the state to campaign, should they be recalled as threatened. They should stay out until the Senate is again Dem majority, which won’t be until we beat at least 3 of their 8 without losing any of our 8. But that’s the strongest reason for the recall, because winning the majority of the Senate is the only way to allow the Dem Senators to return without the union-busting scheme passing, and return they must before the budget bills have to be passed, or our side shuts down WI govt. That might cause our side to lose elections.

The great thing about such recall elections, is that they will inherently be one-issue, and actually focused on an issue, for a change, as opposed to all the distractions that benefit incumbents in particular, but the other party in general. If you think that the WI voters are on our side of this one issue, you should believe that our side will win more than 8 of 16 of these races, if we are to have all 16 contested. The polls suggest it’s 61:33 in our favor, and that poll was taken before Walker’s telephone talk with the pseudo-Koch. We ought to be able to get 11 out of 16, and the absence of our candidates will only serve to rally for them the support of people who support their side of this issue.

But all that assumes that it will come to that, that the politicians on both sides will not return to being the cautious do-nothings we are more used to them being, but that they will push this to an actual ideological election, like accountants suddenly signing up in the Marine Corps or something. They have been behaving in just such an unusual manner for the past two weeks, but my prediction (for what that’s worth, and that’s been proven to be not that much) is that this Koch Whore phone call will make Walker too tainted to carry on the fight. It just seems to too clearly validate our side’s take on the matter, that Walker is doing this whole scheme to carry water for Koch, plus, worst of all for the other side, it reveals Walker as a laughably stupid, and way too eager, dupe for anyone who even claims to be a Koch. It’s not so much that he says anything to indicate that he is on Koch’s payroll, as that he would be so inordinately pleased to be on Koch’s payroll.

If Walker has to resign to spend more time with his children, I don’t see the other side persisting. If he refuses to fall on his sword in order to take one for the team, I don’t see the team persisting in supporting him in this scheme. This is just the sort of episode that validates cautious do-nothingism in our politicians.

On the other hand, if I am wrong, and Walker doesn’t resign, and the Rs stay monolithic in their support for his scheme, then we really have no alternative but fight recall elections. If they nail their colors to the mast, and just keep going, damn the bad PR, they will be able to force our Senators back to Madison before July, and then they will surely, having toughed it out and already paid the PR price, definitely pass their union-busting scheme, and whatever else they think to ram through. We will have no alternative, if we don’t want that to happen, but to fight recall elections, and win them, win enough of them to retake the Senate, and all that before July.

Then, next January, we retake the Assembly and the governor’s mansion. Time to start welcoming their hatred, while using the time to get more than even, and not mad at all. Keep going until they have nothing left in their power but the expression of that welcome hatred.

19

MarkUp 02.24.11 at 2:36 am

Seems Wall St bonus guestimate is out. This years pool was only enough to cover ~153 years of the WI137 million. Perspective, Dick Fuld style.

20

piglet 02.24.11 at 5:30 am

This years pool was only enough to cover ~153 years of the WI137 million. Perspective, Dick Fuld style.

I guess Brooks forgot to mention that in his “shared sacrifice” column.

21

Christopher Phelps 02.24.11 at 6:39 am

For those wishing to express solidarity in a material way, here’s a way to donate to help pay costs (buses, signs, etc.):

https://afl.salsalabs.com/o/4002/wi-response

22

Brett Bellmore 02.24.11 at 11:13 am

Glen, I meant that, in the event of a recall election, they’d probably find returning to the state necessary to *win*. I’m well aware they could phone in their campaigns if they were content to be recalled. But being present and doing your job is probably helpful when somebody is trying to convince the voters to remove you from office.

23

chris 02.24.11 at 1:48 pm

But being present and doing your job is probably helpful when somebody is trying to convince the voters to remove you from office.

Unless, of course, the voters happen to agree that you are doing your job by being absent.

24

Harry 02.24.11 at 2:10 pm

Right. I don’t think any one of the 14 needs to be in the state to win their next election — they could win comfortably in absentia, and they know it.

25

Margaret 02.24.11 at 3:32 pm

Harry is absolutely right. And, moreover, recalls are getting started now against Republican senators who won in close elections in their last time out. But I have to say I don’t see Walker resigning any time soon. This guy is truly delusional. I couldn’t begin to guess what will happen next. (But I was pleased to see that Gov Quinn of Illinois, now harboring our missing Democrats, decided to postpone his trip to Madison to pay his Packers-beat-Bears bet.)

26

ScentOfViolets 02.24.11 at 5:45 pm

The procedural mechanics of the Law are a mystery to me. How does impeachment work in WI, assuming the process exists? And practically speaking, how many Republicans would have to sign on to get the ball rolling?

27

Myles 02.24.11 at 6:04 pm

Right. I don’t think any one of the 14 needs to be in the state to win their next election—they could win comfortably in absentia, and they know it.

How very Sinn Fein of them.

28

chris 02.24.11 at 6:10 pm

@27: I don’t follow. I thought that the chief thing people objected to about Sinn Fein, if they objected to them at all, was their association with a violent, arguably terrorist organization. Nobody has yet been killed or seriously injured in Wisconsin, AFAIK (I can’t categorically state that nobody has had their foot stepped on, been bumped into with enough force to knock them down, etc., but that seems to be a possibility in any large crowd, regardless of who makes it up or why they are there). So where’s the comparison?

29

Harry 02.24.11 at 6:23 pm

The comparison is that Sinn Fein wins elections and then refuses to sit in the parliament to which they have been elected. (Though they do this because they do not respect its legitimacy and won’t pledge allegiance to the queen, so neither of those applies to the Wisconsin Democrats, unless there is something going on that is being kept very quiet).

30

Harry 02.24.11 at 6:25 pm

Walker won’t resign or back down, the question is whether we can really put the wind up a handful of Senate Republicans and/or give a handful enough political cover that they feel able to break ranks.

31

Myles 02.24.11 at 6:27 pm

So where’s the comparison?

Do lighten up. The original abstentionists were imprisoned Irish republicans who stood for Parliament and won in absentia.

If there are indeed recall elections, it would be humorous if the Democrats, just like Sinn Fein, win but refuse to take their seats (because that would put them within state borders).

32

Myles 02.24.11 at 6:30 pm

Hold on; they don’t need to take their seats. They already have them.

33

Myles 02.24.11 at 6:40 pm

Walker won’t resign or back down, the question is whether we can really put the wind up a handful of Senate Republicans and/or give a handful enough political cover that they feel able to break ranks.

If indeed you do, it’s probably on account of moral suasion rather than electoral calculus. The Republican majority seems safe. Scott Walker has, even for me, gone stark raving mad. I would have settled for a ban on union-sponsored political activity and left it at that.

34

Salient 02.24.11 at 7:05 pm

Scott Walker has, even for me, gone stark raving mad.

No no, as far as my limited experience goes, Scott Walker was always stark raving mad. I’ve been in nonstop WTF? mode since I heard he was running for governor, but sadly there are [a] plenty of Wisconsinites who have long loved the hell out of him for his particular brand of callous viciousness, and [b] plenty of Wisconsinites who wanted Anyone But Doyle (whose name had become a thing you spit, over the past couple years) and who were kinda vaguely hoping Walker would be like Tommy Thompson (with Walker successfully convincing enough of ’em, including, to my chagrin, my own parents, that Barrett = Doyle II and Walker = Thompson II).

35

MPAVictoria 02.24.11 at 7:12 pm

Myles:
“I would have settled for a ban on union-sponsored political activity and left it at that.”

Nothing like weakening the voice of working people eh Myles?

36

Cian 02.24.11 at 8:21 pm

Myles is just looking after the interest of his trust fund.

37

Barry 02.24.11 at 8:57 pm

Brett Bellmore 02.23.11 at 11:45 pm

” This does, of course, kind of assume that it’s not the Democrats who left the state who end up getting recalled, instead. I rather imagine that, in order to win a recall election, they’d have to return to the state at some point.”

You just really hate it when your enemies don’t submit quietly to defeat, do you?

38

Myles 02.24.11 at 9:14 pm

Myles is just looking after the interest of his trust fund.

Would that it were so.

39

Harry 02.24.11 at 9:54 pm

Myles #33 — I’m inclined to agree, except that I’m not even sure that is needed to change their minds (some of which I am sure are opposed to the bill), just to change their actions so they align with what they really support.
I wish I thought he was mad. He seems, certainly, somewhat bizarre (his affectless public persona is somewhat creepy to me) but I think he is really a pretty committed ideologue. If he wins this (which involves more than winning the vote — he has to win the subsequent battle for hearts and minds, which will be harder) his career is really on the up. He’s become a national figure, and would become a natural cabinet member/VP candidate (but not, I think, a presidential candidate, even for 2016 — he has the wrong kind of track record for that).

40

Myles 02.24.11 at 10:20 pm

He’s become a national figure, and would become a natural cabinet member/VP candidate (but not, I think, a presidential candidate, even for 2016—he has the wrong kind of track record for that).

I don’t see how he could get on any presidential ticket, top or bottom. He’s too combative. Presumably he would be a prominent senator.

I’m inclined to agree, except that I’m not even sure that is needed to change their minds (some of which I am sure are opposed to the bill), just to change their actions so they align with what they really support.

I think the difficulty for them is to give ground without strengthening the opposition, and especially without emboldening the bourgeoning protest movement. Few should like their politics dealt a great defeat just because a loon on their side has seized the radio station.

He seems, certainly, somewhat bizarre (his affectless public persona is somewhat creepy to me) but I think he is really a pretty committed ideologue.

A sort of gormless Savonarola of the provinces, then.

41

Harry 02.24.11 at 10:30 pm

You’re probably right about the presidential ticket.

Right, the Rep senators do have that problem. PLus the longer they leave it the less sincere they look. Plus there’s always a risk of defections (a whole group of them have to jump together, but really know that the others in the group will jump). Plus they have to believe that the punishment their party will subject them to will be compensated for by rewards from others (any Rep senator who contributes to defeating this bill deserves very clear assurance from our side that we will not fight them hard at the next election, that we will support them if they get primaried, and that they will be taken seriously and consulted in negotiations over future unrelated issues).

42

joe koss 02.24.11 at 10:49 pm

there are a bunch of very good videos being made. i thought i’d share this one.

43

Brett Bellmore 02.24.11 at 10:51 pm

“You just really hate it when your enemies don’t submit quietly to defeat, do you?”

No, but I do find it moderately annoying when they take their own victory as a given, and don’t give any consideration to the possibility that they might be put on the defense. If there are recall elections, I can pretty much guarantee it won’t just be Republicans up for recall.

44

Myles 02.24.11 at 10:57 pm

PLus the longer they leave it the less sincere they look.

I would say that the ideal time to capitulate is either at the very beginning, before a protest movement had built up mass, or after it has begun losing momentum. At some point the public will start tuning the protests out, and that’s the time to jump.

The difficulty with capitulating at the height of protests is that they take on a life of their own, and could quickly snowball into a general recall. After all, as Lord Salisbury once noted, the use of conservatism is “to delay changes until they became harmless.”

45

Myles 02.24.11 at 11:15 pm

And, in the mean time, the GOP politicians of Wisconsin should do or say absolutely nothing, and respond not at all to any of the protests. The more they respond, the greater the political intrigue, and the more newsworthy it is. And then, jump.

Perhaps the Wisconsin GOP should take lessons from Mariano Rajoy of the Partido Popular.

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