Tell it early, tell it all, tell it yourself

by John Q on May 28, 2011

That’s the advice on scandal management from former Clinton spinmaster Lanny Davis, who’s since applied his expertise to defending some of the least appealing clients imaginable. Whatever you think of Davis, his advice is pretty good, and lots of people have come to grief by doing the opposite. That certainly seems to be the case with George Mason University. In March 2010, they received an official complaint of plagiarism regarding the notorious Wegman report produced (at the request of Republican Congressman Joe Barton) to criticise the well-known ‘hockey stick’ graph of global temperatures. Amazingly, GMU Professor Edward Wegman had lifted substantial blocks of text, without acknowledgement, from one of his targets, Raymond Bradley. When this was pointed out by bloggers John Mashey and Deep Climate, Bradley complained and asked for the report to be retracted.

Ignoring (or ignorant of) Davis’ advice, GMU took its time, perhaps hoping the problem would go away. Unfortunately for them, the opposite happened. Further research produced at least two more instances of plagiarism, one in another section of the Wegman report dealing with social networks and another in an unrelated paper on color vision. As I a mentioned a little while ago, the social networks analysis produced an academic paper, accepted by a Wegman mate with no peer review, which has now been retracted.

And now, Nature, which published the original hockey stick paper in 1999, has weighed in with an editorial calling for GMU to hurry up, and making mention of the Office of Research Integrity as an alternative process. That could make it a criminal matter.

At this point, GMU has no appealing options.

Under normal circumstances, faced with multiple instances of plagiarism from a senior academic with a previously distinguished record, GMU would probably arrange for Wegman to take responsibility and early retirement, retract the papers and the report, give his co-authors (mostly Wegman’s current and former graduate students) a stern warning, then move on.

But circumstances aren’t normal. A report to Congress can’t be retracted as easily as a journal article, and this one is a cause celebre for climate denialists[1] in their attacks on climate science. A particularly embarrassing case is that of GMU graduate and Virginia Attorney-General Cuccinelli, who’s relying on the Wegman report as part of his (so far fruitless) attempts to dig dirt on hockey stick lead author Michael Mann. But Cuccinelli’s reaction, if Wegman is forced to retract, will be mild compared to that of the delusional blogospheric right, and their allies among the faculty and financial backers of GMU.

It’s unsurprising that GMU has chosen delay, but time has now run out.

fn1. I stopped using this term, in favor of “delusionist” a while ago. But the fact that the political right is engaged in denialist practices on a whole range of issues, is something which even the most “balanced” of mainstream media outlets like USA Today and the Washington Post are now pointing out, and so I’ll use whichever term seems more appropriate from now on.

{ 47 comments }

1

Jamie 05.28.11 at 12:33 pm

I think it most important to keep this visible so that prospective students can accurately assess the institutions out there. Wegman will be fine. I’m sure the coming Koch FSU Critical Climate Studies (the first facility with underwater lecture halls!) will hire him, if need be, and I doubt this will “shift the debate” much – the denialistsdeluded have write-only memories on these things.

But I’m pretty sure there are many students who will care quite a bit about such things. (Including, I’m sure, a few who consider it a positive.)

2

Barry 05.28.11 at 12:56 pm

“But Cuccinelli’s reaction, if Wegman is forced to retract, will be mild compared to that of the delusional blogospheric right, and their allies among the faculty and financial backers of GMU.”

Cuccinelli is a Koch-funded – well, Koch-wh*re who walked into a settled scientific debate, in which the evidence just keeps rolling in confirming the results, and tried to use legal harassment to persecute the proven winners. The only thing that he might do is to try to deflect blame with more fraudulent legal harassment. He is *part* of the Koch network, as much as is GMU. They’ll work together quite nicely.

3

Steve LaBonne 05.28.11 at 1:02 pm

I used to routinely compare university administrators to prostitutes. I stopped doing so after realizing that hard-working sex workers really don’t deserve to be insulted that way.

4

politicalfootball 05.28.11 at 1:53 pm

But Cuccinelli’s reaction, if Wegman is forced to retract, will be mild compared to that of the delusional blogospheric right, and their allies among the faculty and financial backers of GMU.

I’m inclined to agree that the financial backers are the ones to watch, and are the likely explanation for GMU’s dithering. Regarding economics, GMU doesn’t seem to see itself as beholden to its students or to academic inquiry. Its market niche is service to the crackpot right.

5

engels 05.28.11 at 1:57 pm

Steve reminds me of my favourite comment on a Brad Delong post (on his latest deliberations over L’Affaire Yoo).

Delong (quoting Ernst Kantorowicz)

There are three professions which are entitled to wear a gown: the judge, the priest, the scholar. This garment stands for its bearer’s maturity of mind, his independence of judgment, and his direct responsibility to his conscience and his god. It signifies the inner sovereignty of those three interrelated professions: they should be the very last to allow themselves to act under duress and yield to pressure.

Commenter ‘Jerry’:

There is another profession that wears gowns and is in many ways similar to the judge, priest, and scholar except for intellectual honesty in which it is almost always the clear leader.

6

Tom T. 05.28.11 at 2:04 pm

Does removal of the plagiarized portions affect the report’s conclusions?

7

Myles 05.28.11 at 2:29 pm

I used to routinely compare university administrators to prostitutes. I stopped doing so after realizing that hard-working sex workers really don’t deserve to be insulted that way.

This joke is actually so terrible as to be excruciating. Never mind that nobody who makes it probably has ever come within ten feet of a prostitute, and thus has no basis to judge for themselves the degree of strenuousness of the vocation; it’s the complete and glib misidentification of the stigma (no, the reason society stigmatizes prostitution isn’t because the work isn’t strenuous enough), and thus the nonsensicalness of the whole riff, that’s just mystifying.

The next time I see one of those emissions of nonsense I want to grab its emitter by the collar and ask, “who would you prefer to have dinner with, honestly?” Because the aggressive stupidity of the whole analogy, even if merely in jest, is incredibly irritating.

8

Steve LaBonne 05.28.11 at 2:40 pm

I agree- see engels @4. ;) (Also- your sense of humor called; it misses you.)

9

Substance McGravitas 05.28.11 at 3:14 pm

The next time I see one of those emissions of nonsense I want to grab its emitter by the collar and ask, “who would you prefer to have dinner with, honestly?”

Or a beer even.

10

William Timberman 05.28.11 at 3:30 pm

But Myles, honestly, who would you prefer to have after-dinner with? As a culture warrior, you make at least some sense, so for God’s sake, don’t go all prissy on us — it ruins the effect.

11

JP Stormcrow 05.28.11 at 3:39 pm

12

JP Stormcrow 05.28.11 at 3:42 pm

Arrgh, blockquote fail:

I was Dr. Wegman’s graduate student when I provided him with the overview of social network analysis, at his request. My draft overview was later incorporated by Dr. Wegman and his coauthors into the 2006 report. I was not an author of the report.

13

R.Mutt 05.28.11 at 5:28 pm

Never mind that nobody who makes it probably has ever come within ten feet of a prostitute, and thus has no basis to judge for themselves the degree of strenuousness of the vocation…

Are you attacking Steve because you believe he doesn’t frequent prostitutes?

14

Steve LaBonne 05.28.11 at 6:13 pm

Are you attacking Steve because you believe he doesn’t frequent prostitutes?

Well, honestly, it’s a fair cop- I’ve never had to pay for sex. I will cheerfully defer to Myles’s evidently greater experience in that area.

15

John Mark Ockerbloom 05.28.11 at 8:18 pm

Hmmm… maybe we could get the Volokh Conspiracy bloggers on it. After all, they were posting lots of articles critical of Mann, and citing the Wegman report, some years back, so they should be familiar with the material. And academic misconduct’s come up a number of times, there, so they should be keen on bringing known facts to light.

But for some reason, when I look at recent posts, I don’t see anything recent mentioning Wegman, or the retractions and ethical investigation. Do you suppose maybe it’s slipped their minds somehow?

16

CJColucci 05.28.11 at 8:36 pm

This joke is actually so terrible as to be excruciating. Never mind that nobody who makes it probably has ever come within ten feet of a prostitute, and thus has no basis to judge for themselves the degree of strenuousness of the vocation

I have been, so I do. And, no, you’re not getting the details.

17

L2P 05.28.11 at 8:45 pm

“The next time I see one of those emissions of nonsense I want to grab its emitter by the collar and ask, “who would you prefer to have dinner with, honestly?” Because the aggressive stupidity of the whole analogy, even if merely in jest, is incredibly irritating.”

I’ve had lunch w/ many sex workers over the years, and I’ll hang out with them any day over a college administrator (or a plagiarizing college professor). Who wouldn’t? They got style and kick and hella good stories. Is that the right answer? Or the wrong answer? I can’t tell.

18

Patrick D 05.28.11 at 9:29 pm

L2P got there before I did, but let me add these two things:

Why would any of us assume that a sex worker would want to lunch with us? (Or , for that matter an administrator.) I think I’m as amusing as the next academic, but I don’t make assumptions.

The person I want to converse with is someone who freely chose (if that’s possible) to be a sex worker and a university administrator, at different points. Now that person would have a story to tell. (I’ve met a woman who was a showgirl before going back to school. She wound up a full professor of medieval literature, and a wonderful, if intimidating, conversationalist (and teacher).)

19

Double-Public-Doubt 05.28.11 at 11:53 pm

One should have Double-Public-Doubt (DPB) with anything or anyone
involved with GMU to begin with!

20

Pär Isaksson 05.29.11 at 12:00 am

Myles manages to take over a thread even after the enforcement of the 1 post a day rule; if he ever get banned he will probably be trolling in absentia.

21

mrearl 05.29.11 at 12:42 am

May I repeat Tom T.’s question? Did the copying affect the conclusions? Or is this just a bunch of inside-academia glee here?

Yes he’s a thief and yes that’s a big, important, significant credibility torpedo below the waterline, but what about the conclusions? We’ve all known crooks who could reason, and some who could tell the truth.

22

Andrew 05.29.11 at 1:23 am

I’m impressed by Deep Climate’s investigation and analysis of the report. Based on a quick perusal of their research, it appears that the plagiarism is similar to that found in the work of some Wegman’s co-authors, which substantiates the claim that Wegman himself did not intentionally allow plagiarized material into the report.

However, I don’t think this is a criminal matter. I doubt one could establish the necessary intent for fraud, and it appears that the new research conducted by Wegman et al was actually performed. The plagiarism present in the background sections is disturbing, but imho a criminal investigation would be a waste of resources.

23

spyder 05.29.11 at 1:26 am

From the many posts over at Deltoid and RealClimate on the matter, particularly on the matter of conclusions, my sense is that the conclusions came first. The rest of the paper was an exercise in scrambling bits–including the multiple plagarisms–in the attempt to support them.
http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2011/05/wegmans_defence_makes_him_look.php
Aussie grammaticians are a fussy bunch.

24

Brainz 05.29.11 at 3:03 am

I have known (socially) prostitutes with whom I’d rather have dinner than with some academic administrators whom I’ve known (professionally).

25

Lee A. Arnold 05.29.11 at 3:08 am

What we REALLY need is an analysis of the “social network” of Representative Joe Barton, the rest of the clowns on the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, Senator Jim Inhofe and his buddies, and the petro lobby — as I pointed out over at RealClimate, at that time. I fully demand and expect this new report to be forthcoming from GMU, hopefully before the Rapture, and hopefully some time before a heat-spike destroys world agriculture for a few years and creates real havoc and mayhem. One positive outcome of this was that the good scientists at RealClimate began to appear to understand that through no fault of their own they were, and are, the principals in a political fight and the “denialist” opposition observes no rules regarding scientific facts nor the reportage thereof — as “Climategate” subsequently confirmed.

26

skippy 05.29.11 at 4:58 am

who would you prefer to have dinner with, honestly?

depends…is there sex afterwards?

27

herr doktor bimler 05.29.11 at 7:35 am

Yes he’s a thief and yes that’s a big, important, significant credibility torpedo below the waterline, but what about the conclusions?

The social-network paper born of the report was retracted not so much because of the plagiarism, but because when independent peer reviewers were belatedly brought in they thought it was risible. Wegman’s current position on the paper seems to be that he did not contribute anything apart from his imprimatur so its faults should not be held against him. This is hardly reassuring.

28

bad Jim 05.29.11 at 8:16 am

Talk of emissions coupled with violent imagery? I thought I gave up amateur psychoanalysis when I decided to major in math, but reading that is like being smacked in the face with a wet mackerel, except that this isn’t about fish.

29

Pyre 05.29.11 at 8:57 am

[herr doktor bimler] Wegman’s current position on the paper seems to be that he did not contribute anything apart from his imprimatur so its faults should not be held against him.

He was willing to take the credit for others’ work, but not the blame.

Rather the opposite stance from the acknowledgments page at the start of any reasonable book — “I thank X, Y, and Z for these contributions and corrections; any errors that remain are my own.”

30

Matt McIrvin 05.29.11 at 11:36 am

Prediction: this incident is going to enhance the credibility of the paper in climate-contrarian lore. The line will be “the paper was plagiarized but true, and the emphasis on the plagiarism charge is proof that they couldn’t refute it on factual grounds.”

31

Hidari 05.29.11 at 12:00 pm

At the risk of pointing out the obvious, some sexworkers are also ‘in’ academia.

And not just as students.

32

hopkin 05.29.11 at 12:29 pm

“who would you prefer to have dinner with, honestly?”

I think the answer to this is pretty obvious.

33

hopkin 05.29.11 at 12:30 pm

Apologies to Skippy, who got there first.

34

herr doktor bimler 05.29.11 at 1:08 pm

Yes he’s a thief and yes that’s a big, important, significant credibility torpedo below the waterline, but what about the conclusions?

Also worth looking at this post. The gist of it is that McIntyre and McKitrick claimed that the ‘hockey stick’ result appearing in Mann’s climate research was an artefact of his analysis. They claimed that they could produce the same effect by running Monte Carlo tests on simulated data in the absence of rising temperature. Turns out, however, when you examine the computer source code they were using, that they were simply cherry-picking the particular simulated test-runs that showed the result they were trying to replicate, and averaged them.

So the other part of Wegman’s report to Congress was claiming to have replicated McIntyre and McKitrick’s results, independently. This was all very well except that his figures for simulated Monte Carlo runs were exactly the same as McIntyre and McKitrick’s.

The most charitable interpretation to put on this is that Wegman had innocently plagiarised the earlier authors’ fraudulent diagrams, or had re-run their fraudulent source-code on his own computer without bothering to check what it was doing and called that an “independent replication”.

Or else he told students to do this, swiped their work, and will now proceed to blame them for academic misconduct.

35

herr doktor bimler 05.29.11 at 1:12 pm

Better advice for Wegman would be “Tell it early, tell it all, tell it in someone else’s words and then blame a student”.

36

Seeds 05.29.11 at 1:25 pm

I like Substance’s mouseover text.

37

Eli Rabett 05.29.11 at 2:24 pm

Eli has taken up the term rejectionist to capture the madness of the denial crowd.

BTW, NIH OPR cannot bring criminal charges, but they can bar folk from getting or working on federal grants, or in a very very very bad situation, bar the entire university (nuclear war version). In practice they wait for the completion of the university’s investigation and then impose penalties. Since GMU has not even made it out of the preliminary inquiry stage in over 18 months, there is an argument to be made that OPR simply push them aside. That too would be very unusual.

38

Eli Rabett 05.29.11 at 2:31 pm

Myles, there is no difference if you have dinner with a university president or a prostitute, both will ask you for money and stick you with the check. Talking of which, GMU is more a child of the right wingers in the VA government than the Koch boys. The later only provide the sauce, the former the meat and potatoes (or the quail)

39

Andrew C 05.29.11 at 8:15 pm

Really. A bunch of white-bread academicians boasting to each other about how ‘street’ they are because they have met a sex worker and would much prefer to have dinner with said person than with somebody of a very similar cultural, educational and class background?

My credulity, like Substance’s mouse-over, is stretched.

40

Myles 05.29.11 at 8:46 pm

I would pay to see a video of those above who said they prefer to dine with sex workers actually attempting such a dinner conversation. It would be beyond hilarious.

That is, if the sex worker isn’t already bored to death by the patronising attempt to (impossibly) relate and opted to bolt for the door. They prefer to get paid by the hour, you know.

41

hopkin 05.29.11 at 9:09 pm

Myles: ‘I would pay to see a video of those above who said they prefer to dine with sex workers actually attempting such a dinner conversation.’

Me: any serious offer considered.

42

Walt 05.29.11 at 9:15 pm

We’re worried we’d end up having dinner with somebody like you, Andrew C.

43

Hidari 05.29.11 at 9:23 pm

Didn’t I read somewhere on CT that Myles was limited to one written ejaculation, so to speak, per day? (blah blah I bet he gets told something similar by his sexworker as well blah blah etc.)

44

John Quiggin 05.29.11 at 9:32 pm

Myles, nothing more from you on this thread, please. Everyone else, no more on the prostitution analogy and no responses to Myles. Thank you.

45

Ted Kirkpatrick 05.30.11 at 1:57 am

Yes he’s a thief and yes that’s a big, important, significant credibility torpedo below the waterline, but what about the conclusions?

Kathleen Carley, the senior academic who introduced SNA to Wegman’s group, has stated the paper did not deserve to be published in its current form.

Andrew Gelman, a senior statistician, dismisses it:

As a blog post, the Said et al. manuscript is pretty impressive: they offer opinions and also some data analysis!

John Mashey’s long report also includes comments from social networking expert Garry Robins (p. 151):

In summary, there may or may not be compromised reviewing in various research domains but this network analysis cannot provide sufficient leverage to show it.

The plagiarism just confirms they didn’t know enough to do a real analysis.

46

sg 05.30.11 at 11:21 am

That’s a beautiful sentence by Gelman.

47

Tim Wilkinson 06.01.11 at 10:36 am

This seems roughly to be a mirror image of the UEA (‘Climategate’) affair, which ISTR was claimed by one tribe to be utterly devastating, while other side gave it a pass, indulging in extraordinary intellectual contortions to hold the line and avoid any substantial criticism whatsoever. The last line of defence was irrelevance in the wider scheme of things – though the denialist camp would be keen to exaggerate the wider doubt cast on the integrity of the science in general.

Presumably the uncompromising defence of the UEA lot is to be considered rather a good thing, since it shows the ‘left’ tribe eschewing the naive intellectual honesty and refusal to use agnotological techniques that some here have bemoaned.

(‘Agnotological’ of course problematic here – since it tends to suggest that the fundamental position being defended is incorrect. ‘Opinion management’, ‘noble-cause corruption’, whatever.)

For some even more heartening cases of ‘left’ agnotology, see Colin Danby’s comment on Denis MacShane, who IIRC also does a nice line in anti-racist agnotology (subtype: anti-antisemitism).

Which reminds me, there has also been a pretty encouragingly rampant strand of anti-rape (a noble cause, indeed) agnotology in recent years – outright statistical distortions, not just rank stupidity like the recent uproar about Ken Clarke’s explanation of why the maximum sentence is not also the minimum.

—-

BTW, in the UK, deficit denier is a right-agnotological term used for those who oppose the Conservative assault on the welfare state.

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